JoshMartini007

I've constructed a table of top 8 results, I'll post it tomorrow once the remaining events have finished.
 
Since everyone likes to complain finishing fourth, let's see who has won that count.
 
- 13
- 10
- 9
 
A very strong performance by Russia to win the battle of "so close yet so far away." One thing you may notice is that these nations are in the top five in terms of medals won so logically, it would make sense that these teams would finish with a lot of fourth places. So I decided to subtract their total with the expected total based on their top 8 finishes assuming even distribution. That gives us a top 3 of...
 
- 3.125
- 1.875
- 1.625
 
I guess it's official, Russia was the unluckiest fourth place finisher. Finland moves up to second thanks to four 4th place finishes yet not many top 8 finishes. On the reverse side here are the nations which avoided fourth place the best using the same method
 
- -2.625
- -2.000
- -2.000
 
Fun fact, South Korea did not finish fourth in any event. Italy and Norway were interesting in that they had a bunch of 3rd and 5th place finishes, but not as many 4th places.

I guess we can rule out the public not caring about sports anymore as a reason why NBC numbers are down...

Back to the SOG, GB has officially stripped of their silver in the 4x100 relay, so Canada moves from bronze to silver.  

Heading for the home stretch and we still have medal opportunities. Men's ski halfpipe and women's mass start will be the events to watch. The 2-woman bobsled is currently in fourth and a medal is possible, but it will likely take a mistake in the top three to secure it. Additionally, the 4-men bobsled begins today which will be our final hope for a medal on the final day.
 
As much as I would love to see our alpine team luck its way into a medal, the bracket draw is very unfavourable and we already didn't have much of a chance.

Better than setting a 4th place record

I think the IOC meeting tomorrow will confirm the qualification process for the 2024 Summer Olympics so keep an eye out for them.

I think the IOC meeting tomorrow will confirm the qualification process for the 2024 Summer Olympics so keep an eye out for them.

I think the IOC meeting tomorrow will confirm the qualification process for the 2024 Summer Olympics so keep an eye out for them.

Seeding isn't the be all and end all in ski cross, especially on the men's side. It's not uncommon to see someone with a mid-20s seed going to semis or even finals.

The media definitely shares some fault for turning a child abuse case into a "she's a dirty cheater" case. The entourage is obviously worse for not only abusing her by giving her a cocktail of drugs, but essentially making her still compete knowing full well the media would attack her all in the thirst for a medal.

The media definitely shares some fault for turning a child abuse case into a "she's a dirty cheater" case. The entourage is obviously worse for not only abusing her by giving her a cocktail of drugs, but essentially making her still compete knowing full well the media would attack her all in the thirst for a medal.

The media definitely shares some fault for turning a child abuse case into a "she's a dirty cheater" case. The entourage is obviously worse for not only abusing her by giving her a cocktail of drugs, but essentially making her still compete knowing full well the media would attack her all in the thirst for a medal.

Gotta give the United States their best chance

Gotta give the United States their best chance

Final Thoughts
 
We won our third gold, but getting eliminated in men's ice hockey is quite sad. Despite the loss, women's curling still has a chance to reach the semis, but winning a medal will be tough. Shout out to our men's cross-country team for finishing 5th in the team sprint, a very good result for them.

Final Thoughts
 
We won our third gold, but getting eliminated in men's ice hockey is quite sad. Despite the loss, women's curling still has a chance to reach the semis, but winning a medal will be tough. Shout out to our men's cross-country team for finishing 5th in the team sprint, a very good result for them.

We are now 3/4 through the Olympics, we have so far won 18 medals which is six short of my prediction of 24, let's see how the six categories are doing.
 
Freestyle Skiing - 2/5
Snowboarding - 6/5
Short Track - 4/4
Speed Skating - 3/4
Curling/Ice Hockey - 0/3
Others - 3/3
 
Short track and the other categories have now met my standards while snowboarding was nice enough to outdo my expectations and win an additional medal. Sadly the three remaining categories don't look so hot. Freestyle skiing still has half-pipe and ski cross which is good for us, but it does force our team to be near perfect in events where all it takes is a minor mistake to fail.
 
Speed skating is pretty much down to women's mass start. Blondin has had a poor start to the games, but hopefully the team pursuit gold medal will help her get into the rhythm. Besides that the only other option would be if Dubreuil or Howe decide to have a great performance in their weaker event in the men's 1000m.
 
While we will get a medal in women's ice hockey, the other two will be hard to secure. The men's ice hockey team was eliminated which only leaves our two curling teams. The men are in the semis and women can qualify if they defeat Denmark. The chances are there for both, but they could easily finish fourth with the way they have been performing.
 
Should any of the above fail the only other events which could help us will be in bobsled. Overall of the 23 remaining events we have a medal chance in 11 of them (unless we pull off a ski jumping and luck into a mixed team alpine skiing medal) where we must win 6 medals just to meet expectations. A team figure skating medal may come in the future, but I feel the games will be long gone by then.

We are now 3/4 through the Olympics, we have so far won 18 medals which is six short of my prediction of 24, let's see how the six categories are doing.
 
Freestyle Skiing - 2/5
Snowboarding - 6/5
Short Track - 4/4
Speed Skating - 3/4
Curling/Ice Hockey - 0/3
Others - 3/3
 
Short track and the other categories have now met my standards while snowboarding was nice enough to outdo my expectations and win an additional medal. Sadly the three remaining categories don't look so hot. Freestyle skiing still has half-pipe and ski cross which is good for us, but it does force our team to be near perfect in events where all it takes is a minor mistake to fail.
 
Speed skating is pretty much down to women's mass start. Blondin has had a poor start to the games, but hopefully the team pursuit gold medal will help her get into the rhythm. Besides that the only other option would be if Dubreuil or Howe decide to have a great performance in their weaker event in the men's 1000m.
 
While we will get a medal in women's ice hockey, the other two will be hard to secure. The men's ice hockey team was eliminated which only leaves our two curling teams. The men are in the semis and women can qualify if they defeat Denmark. The chances are there for both, but they could easily finish fourth with the way they have been performing.
 
Should any of the above fail the only other events which could help us will be in bobsled. Overall of the 23 remaining events we have a medal chance in 11 of them (unless we pull off a ski jumping and luck into a mixed team alpine skiing medal) where we must win 6 medals just to meet expectations. A team figure skating medal may come in the future, but I feel the games will be long gone by then.

Final Thoughts
 
We won our third gold, but getting eliminated in men's ice hockey is quite sad. Despite the loss, women's curling still has a chance to reach the semis, but winning a medal will be tough. Shout out to our men's cross-country team for finishing 5th in the team sprint, a very good result for them.

Yes, if those two matches go that way then Canada will qualify to the semis.

In the end China performed similarly to South Korea at the Olympics so I would say the disaster was avoided.

The main medal focus today will be in short track where Canada will hope to secure medals in the final two events. Men's freestyle slopestyle is another event to watch. Big day for our team events. The women's curling team needs to win both of their matches while the men's ice hockey team faces Sweden in the quarterfinals.
 
In terms of keeping pace with my medal prediction, one medal might suffice, but then we need to win all of our team games, if not we probably need both short track medals.

In terms of total medals, this will be Russia best performance as an independent nation outside of 2014 where they were the host nation.
 
Like Canada, the issue is Russia has been having difficulty converting their medals into gold.

The main medal focus today will be in short track where Canada will hope to secure medals in the final two events. Men's freestyle slopestyle is another event to watch. Big day for our team events. The women's curling team needs to win both of their matches while the men's ice hockey team faces Sweden in the quarterfinals.
 
In terms of keeping pace with my medal prediction, one medal might suffice, but then we need to win all of our team games, if not we probably need both short track medals.

In the end China performed similarly to South Korea at the Olympics so I would say the disaster was avoided.