intoronto

Wow Canada qualified a full women's team. 

June 9th team size predictor. S
 
Artistic swimming: 8 (confirmed)
Diving: 9 (Could be 8, but I predict 9, 4 men and 5 women)
Swimming: 26-30 (hard to tell, due to the nature of the trials). 
Water polo: 12 (confirmed)
Archery 4 (I predict the men's team will qualify)
Athletics: 50 (47 have qualified at the moment, 25 women and 22 men). 50 is a conservative estimate
Badminton: 8 (confirmed, 1 entry in each event)
Basketball: 12 (women's team confirmed)
Boxing: 4 (3 women, qualified, one man is on the ranking list, does not include Mandy Bujold)
Canoeing: 18-19 (4 in slalom and 14-15 in sprint, depending if LVL gets a quota)
Cycling: 23 (Road:5, track: 13, mountain biking: 3, 2 in bmx) Confirmed.
Equestrian: 6 (confirmed)
Fencing: 9 (confirmed)
Field hockey: 16 (confirmed)
Football: 18 (confirmed)
Golf: 4 (all but confirmed)
Gymnastics: 7 (5 in artistic + 2 in trampoline, Jeremy Chartier has done enough)
Judo: 6 (73kg, 81 kg, 90kg and 100 kg for men and 52, 57 and 63 for women, more or less confirmed)
Karate: 0-3 (3 athletes in contention for spots at the final qualifier)
Rowing: 29 (confirmed)
Rugby: 24 (confirmed)
Sailing: 9 (confirmed)
Shooting: 1 (confirmed)
Skateboarding: 3 (confirmed)
Softball: 15 (confirmed)
Sport climbing: 2 (confirmed)
Table tennis: 3 (confirmed)
Taekwondo: 1-2 (still awaiting confirmation on reallocation for 49kg)
Tennis: 6 (Raonic. Shapovalov, Auger-Alliasiame, Andrescu, Dabrowski and Fichman), hoping for more, but I think this is it
Triathlon: 4 (2 women, 2 men, all 4 should be safe)
Volleyball: 18 (men's indoor, 2 pairs in women's and 1 in men's for beach)
Weightlifting: 5 (4 women and 1 man, confirmed)
Wrestling: 4 (confirmed)
 
At a minimum: 364 qualified, could be as high as 383, either number would be national record in a non-home/boycotted games, not to mention below, which with luck can bring the team size into the 400's!
 
 
TBD:
Men's basketball (12 athletes)
 
If all goes well for swimming/basketball/athletics, we are looking at around 395~ athletes. Just hope it could be 400!

Swimming here are 
 
Men
50m freestyle: Brent Hayden
100m freestyle: Brent Hayden
200m freestyle: Alexander Pratt (B standard)
400m freestyle: Jeremy Bagshaw  (B standard)
800m freestyle: Peter Brothers  (B standard)
1500m freestyle: Michael McGillivray  (B standard)
 
100m back: Markus Thormeyer and Cole Pratt
200m back: Markus Thormeyer (preselected) and Cole Pratt
 
100m breast: Richard Funk (B standard)
200m breast: James Dergousoff (B standard)
 
100m butterfly: Joshua Liendo (B standard)
200m butterfly: Mack Darragh (B standard)
 
200im: Finlay Knox and Cole Pratt 
400im: Tristan Cote (B standard
 
4x100m freestyle relay: Brent Hayden, Markus Thormeyer, Yuri Kisil (relay only), Joshua Liendo. I really do not see anyone else being named to this team
4x100m medley relay: Brent Hayden (freestyle), Markus Thormeyer (backstroke), Richard Funk (breaststroke) and Joshua Liendo (butterfly). I expect Gabe Mastromatteo to be named as a relay only swimmer in this event as well. 
 
If everyone in the individual races hit at least B standard, we should see 15 male swimmers going to Tokyo. 
 
Women
50m freestyle: Kayla Sanchez (B standard)
100m freestyle:  Taylor Ruck (preselected), Penny Oleksiak
200m freestyle: Penny Oleksiak (preselected), Taylor Ruck
400m freestyle: Emily Overholt
800m freestyle: Emma O'Croinin 
1500m freestyle: Emma O'Croinin, Summer McIntosh
 
100m back: Kylie Masse (preselected), Taylor Ruck
200m back: Kylie Masse (preselected), Taylor Ruck
 
100m breast: Kelsey Wog, Kierra Smith
200m breast: Sydney Pickrem (preselected), Kelsey Wog
 
100m butterfly: Maggie Macneil (preselected), Rebecca Smith 
200m butterfly: Mabel Zavaros (b standard)
 
200im: Sydney Pickrem (preselected), Bailey Andison
400im: Sydney Pickrem (preselected), Emily Overholt
 
4x100m freestyle relay: Ruck, Oleksiak, Sanchez, Macneil
4x200m freestyle relay: Oleksiak, Ruck, Mcintosh, Overholt 
4x100m medley relay: No new swimmers will be added here I believe. 
 
So about 29 swimmers overall, men on pace to qualify for more swimmers 

Where would the quota come from? You can't just find one lol, unless someone declines, which seems unlikely.

And there was other Pan American boats in the race that they could have given it too as well. Bizarre they just gave it to non Pan American countries.
 
Here is a link (in French) https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1795902/comite-olympique-canadien-japon-trois-rivieres-eric-myles-mauricie

And there was other Pan American boats in the race that they could have given it too as well. Bizarre they just gave it to non Pan American countries.
 
Here is a link (in French) https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1795902/comite-olympique-canadien-japon-trois-rivieres-eric-myles-mauricie

What happened to our women's C2 500m team of  Laurence vincent-lapointe and katie vincent? Why did it give Japan the Americas quota saying there were insufficient athletes when Canada is ranked number one in the world before Laurence missed the 2019 world championships? Shouldn't they get it because of their dominace from 2017-2019 and the fact Laurence was proven clean and there wasn't a  chance for them to battle for a spot in the Americas region? I just don't understand how Japan got that spot when they aren't from the Americas region.

My guess
 
Women: 49 55 87 87+
Men: 61 67 73 81
 
We will have final answers in 2 or 3 days anyway.

And we are also waiting for word on Colombia and Romania bans

I think I found out. The difference for it is being the points from National Chmapionships.... I can't remember if WS ranking was already counting those points before the Worlds...
 
So that's it, the National Championship of Colombia, put Jhancarlos in at Olympincs and Decenzo out.
 
Because without those points, Decenzo has the same pontuation that I mentioned previously....
 
@intoronto

if they're going to be based on the OQR, these are the top 4 ranked among all the people on the entry list in each class:
 
women's kata
1) Dilara Bozan
2) Alexandrea Anacan
3) Jasmin Juettner
4) Maria Dimitrova

women's -55kg
1) Jana Messerschmidt
2) Li Ranran
3) Junna Tsukii
4) Yassmin Attia

women's -61kg
1) Leila Heurtault
2) Rozita Alipour
3) Haya Jumaa
4) Alexandra Grande

women's +61kg
1) Feryal Abdelaziz
2) Elena Quirici
3) Eleni Chatziliadou
4) Sofya Berultseva

men's kata
1) Ariel Torres Gutierrez
2) Ilja Smorguner
3) Ahmed Shawky
4) Adnane El Hakimi

men's -67kg
1) Eray Samdan
2) Vinicius Figueira
3) Kalvis Kalnins
4) Sadriddin Saymatov

men's -75kg
1) Thomas Scott
2) Abdalla Abdelaziz
3) Erman Eltemur
4) Gabor Harspataki

men's +75kg
1) Gogita Arkania
2) Daniyar Yuldashev
3) Valerii Chobotar
4) Farouk Abdesselem
 
 
the full entry list of the tournament is here:
https://www.sportdata.org/wkf/set-online/veranstaltung_info_main.php?active_menu=calendar&vernr=386&ver_info_action=catnennlist#a_eventheadend

Yes please :D

At most one male. No female quotas since Canada qualified. However the system later says if a continent qualifies through the world rankings (which  would) then a continent won't get a spot through the continental championships. This process is so convoluted.

She could have totally qualified with a solid performance at the last World Cup. Ugh - that's annoying. 

https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1108805/north-korea-tokyo-2020-places-reallocate
 
 

I re-read the qualification system, and this line: 
 
The highest placed male and highest placed female athlete, based on the results of the Finals from each Continental Championships 2020 will each qualify one (1) quota place for their NOC, provided the continent has not already an NOC qualified under Criteria 1 (2019 World Championships) or 3 (2019/2020 Trampoline World Cup Series). To me this means Oceania does not get a continental spot, only Africa will, because Oceania stands to gain athletes through the world series.
 
This means 9 spots will be given to men through the world series and 8 for the women.
 
Men 
So these 9 should get the quotas based on the current ranking:
 
          
 
and  would get the reallocated host + tripartite spots if the World Cup Rankings are allocated first. However, I don't think this is the case as the qualification system does not explicitly say this (unlike the other parts of the document). If these are reallocated first,  and  would get the quotas, bumping those two world cup quotas to  and  
 
Women
So these 8 should get the quotas based on the current ranking:
 
      
 
and  would get the host + tripartie reallocation, in either scenario. 
 

Perfect, thanks for answering my question!

They wouldn't. Travelling reserves are not given accreditation unless they are called into replace someone.

I am not sure but id imagine if you are going to use seeds, it will follow that format

Thanks!

The final rankings are available on the website.

WTF ?!  so Derafshipour and Mahjoub are refugees !!! I really need to learn what the word refugee means. these guys still travel to Iran regularly.
 
Derafshipour is a world bronze medalist in Karate, he lost Iranian trials then moved to Canada. now he can go the Olympics without doing anything while the guy who beat him in the trials has to go through 80-man bracket in World Qualifiers to qualify.
 
this is the most disgusting thing from IOC, if these guys could qualify themselves by merit that was at least OK but even when they lost in the qualifiers, IOC found a way to let them in. lots of athletes around the world had to kill themselves to qualify for the Olympics while these guys can just walk to Tokyo.
 
 

There's some info in here that's interesting. She could still be named to the team in the 400m free if she's qualified in the 800m/1500m free. My guess is she's leaving her options open but really focussing on the relay spot for the 200m free.
 
https://swimswam.com/canadian-trials-psych-sheets-oleksiak-drops-100-fly-no-mcintosh-in-400-free/

You can't qualify more than one if your not in the top 16, so no. If the IOC waited to reallocate the spots, would get  and another tripartie would have gotten a spot, and I know for sure had asked for one. SO basically  (and other tripartie countries) are SOL
 
Looks like  will luck out this time @rybak

Sadly no