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Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions Road to Paris 2024

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LDOG
LDOG

My team sport predictions with tiers (I prefer doing it this way instead of just handing out G, S & B):   I'll put an * next to not already qualified teams (in some cases I'll be conside

Rafa Maciel
Rafa Maciel

Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - August 2023      Gracenote have released their updated VMT for August:   NOC Gold Silver

Jinzha
Jinzha

With just over 100 days to go I decided to do another medal prediction, but this time on a day to day basis.    Day 1 Saturday 27 July (0-1 medals) Road cycling: Ellen van Dijk (W time

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De_Gambassi Community Regular

De_Gambassi   896

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Rafa Maciel said:

No - trying to piece it together from various global media sources but it's a pain that nobody has published the full list

Here is the full list of the 54 japanese medals

 

https://news.ntv.co.jp/category/sports/68bc9a23fe294799867c44d13e8bf7d6

 

 

By the magic of Google translate :

 

 

Spoiler

■ Gold medal predictions for Japan

・Athletics: Men's 20km race walk, Toshikazu Yamanishi
・Badminton: Women's singles, Akane Yamaguchi
・BMX Freestyle: Men's Park Rinmu
Nakamura・Breaking : Women's Ami Yuasa
・Fencing: Women's Misaki Emura Women's 52kg class Uta Abe /Judo Men's 66kg class Hifumi Abe /Judo Women's 70kg class Saki Niizoe /Judo Mixed team /Wrestling Women's 50kg class Yui Suzaki

■ Japan's silver medal predictions

・Athletics: Men's 20km Race Walk: Kouki Ikeda
・Athletics: Mixed Team Race Walk
・Badminton: Mixed Doubles: Arisa Higashino/Yuta Watanabe Pair
・Bicycle/Track : Keirin:
Mizuna Sato
Group
/Gymnastics Men's Group
/Trampoline Women's Hikaru Mori
/Judo Women's 48kg class Natsumi Tsunoda
/Judo Women's 57kg
class Haruka Funakubo/Judo Women's 63kg class Megumi Horikawa
/Judo Men's 90kg class Sanshiro Murao
/Skateboard Women's park Sakura Yosozumi
/Skateboard Women's Street
: Tomoe Nishiya, Surfing Men's Kanoa Igarashi
, Swimming Women's 100m Breaststroke Reo Aoki
, Swimming Men's 200m Butterfly Akari Honda,
Swimming Women's 200m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi,
Table Tennis Mixed Doubles
, Table Tennis Women's Team
, Wrestling Women's 62kg Ozakino Noka

■ Japan's bronze medal forecast

・Athletics Women's Javelin Throw Shinka Kitaguchi
・Basketball Women
・Breaking Men Shigeyuki Nakarai
・
Breaking Women Ayumi Fukushima
・Diving Men's High Diving Rikuto Tamai
Fencing Men's Kazuyasu Minobu
/Gymnastics Women's Balance Beam Hazuki Watanabe
/Judo Women's 78kg class Teru Sone
/Judo Men's 60kg class Naohisa Takafuji
/Judo Men's 81kg class Takanori
Nagase/Skateboarding Women's Park Kaishinna
/Skateboard Women's Street Nakayama Maple
Swimming Women's 400m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi Table Tennis Men 's
Singles Tomokazu Harimoto Table Tennis Women's
Singles Hina Hayata Table Tennis
Men's Team
Wrestling Women's 53kg Akari
Fujinami Wrestling Women's 57kg Tsugumi
Sakurai Wrestling Women's 68kg Ami Ishii
Men's wrestling Greco-Roman 60kg Kenichiro Fumita

 

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,259

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, De_Gambassi said:

Here is the full list of the 54 japanese medals

 

https://news.ntv.co.jp/category/sports/68bc9a23fe294799867c44d13e8bf7d6

 

 

By the magic of Google translate :

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

So by my tally, we've got the full medal breakdowns for :GBR, :JPN, :BEL and gold medalists for :NED

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OlympicsFan Rising Star

OlympicsFan   783

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, De_Gambassi said:

Here is the full list of the 54 japanese medals

 

https://news.ntv.co.jp/category/sports/68bc9a23fe294799867c44d13e8bf7d6

 

 

By the magic of Google translate :

 

 

  Hide contents

■ Gold medal predictions for Japan

・Athletics: Men's 20km race walk, Toshikazu Yamanishi
・Badminton: Women's singles, Akane Yamaguchi
・BMX Freestyle: Men's Park Rinmu
Nakamura・Breaking : Women's Ami Yuasa
・Fencing: Women's Misaki Emura Women's 52kg class Uta Abe /Judo Men's 66kg class Hifumi Abe /Judo Women's 70kg class Saki Niizoe /Judo Mixed team /Wrestling Women's 50kg class Yui Suzaki

■ Japan's silver medal predictions

・Athletics: Men's 20km Race Walk: Kouki Ikeda
・Athletics: Mixed Team Race Walk
・Badminton: Mixed Doubles: Arisa Higashino/Yuta Watanabe Pair
・Bicycle/Track : Keirin:
Mizuna Sato
Group
/Gymnastics Men's Group
/Trampoline Women's Hikaru Mori
/Judo Women's 48kg class Natsumi Tsunoda
/Judo Women's 57kg
class Haruka Funakubo/Judo Women's 63kg class Megumi Horikawa
/Judo Men's 90kg class Sanshiro Murao
/Skateboard Women's park Sakura Yosozumi
/Skateboard Women's Street
: Tomoe Nishiya, Surfing Men's Kanoa Igarashi
, Swimming Women's 100m Breaststroke Reo Aoki
, Swimming Men's 200m Butterfly Akari Honda,
Swimming Women's 200m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi,
Table Tennis Mixed Doubles
, Table Tennis Women's Team
, Wrestling Women's 62kg Ozakino Noka

■ Japan's bronze medal forecast

・Athletics Women's Javelin Throw Shinka Kitaguchi
・Basketball Women
・Breaking Men Shigeyuki Nakarai
・
Breaking Women Ayumi Fukushima
・Diving Men's High Diving Rikuto Tamai
Fencing Men's Kazuyasu Minobu
/Gymnastics Women's Balance Beam Hazuki Watanabe
/Judo Women's 78kg class Teru Sone
/Judo Men's 60kg class Naohisa Takafuji
/Judo Men's 81kg class Takanori
Nagase/Skateboarding Women's Park Kaishinna
/Skateboard Women's Street Nakayama Maple
Swimming Women's 400m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi Table Tennis Men 's
Singles Tomokazu Harimoto Table Tennis Women's
Singles Hina Hayata Table Tennis
Men's Team
Wrestling Women's 53kg Akari
Fujinami Wrestling Women's 57kg Tsugumi
Sakurai Wrestling Women's 68kg Ami Ishii
Men's wrestling Greco-Roman 60kg Kenichiro Fumita

 

Crazy swimming predictions ...

Silver for Aoki?

Silver and bronze for Ohashi?

At this point i don't really see them winning more than 1 medal, but we will see.

Edited by OlympicsFan

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,259

Posted
Posted

:IOC Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - August 2023 :IOC

 

 

Gracenote have released their updated VMT for August:

 

NOC Gold Silver Bronze Total Change Since July
:USA 35 44 47 126 Down 2 medals overall with 8 less golds
:CHN 31 20 24 75 Up 7 medals overall with 5 more golds
:FRA 31 16 11 58 Down 5 medals overall with 1 less gold
:GBR 18 24 23 65 Up 3 medals overall with 3 extra golds
:AUS 16 18 15 49 Up 7 medals overall with 4 more golds
:ITA 14 18 16 48 Up 3 medals overall with 6 less golds
:NED 14 10 14 38 Down 3 medals overall with 1 more gold
:JPN 12 15 28 55 1 more medal overall - no change in gold, 6 less silver and 7 more bronze
:CAN 10 4 9 23 Down 1 medal overall with 1 more gold
:GER 9 12 11 32 3 less medals overall with 1 less gold

 

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,259

Posted
Posted

:IOC Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - October 2023 :IOC

 

 

Gracenote have released their updated VMT as at the end of October:

 

NOC Gold Silver Bronze Total Change Since Last Release
:USA 38 44 45 127 Up 1 medal overall with 3 additional golds
:CHN 31 20 24 75 No change in total medal number. 2 additional golds with 2 less bronze
:FRA 27 17 11 53 Down 5 medals overall. Gold medals drop by 4. Silver medals are up 1 and bronze medals down by 2.
:GBR 17 22 26 65 Total remains the same, but gold medals drop by 1 and silvers drop by 2.
:NED 16 9 13 38 No change to total medals but gold medals are up by 2.
:AUS 15 17 17 49 Total remains the same - gold and silver medals both down by 1.
:JPN 15 15 26 56 Gains 1 medal overall. Projected to win an additional 3 gold medals.
:ITA 13 15 20 48 No change to total medal total. Gold medals drop by 1 whilst silver drops by 3.
:GER 10 14 13 37 Projected to win 5 additional medals overall including 1 additional gold medal and 2 silvers.
:CAN 7 7 9 23 No change to the overall number of medals but projection drops 3 gold medals down to silver

 

Since the initial release in July, both :USA and :FRA have shed 5 gold medals, whilst :CHN have picked up 5 golds. :GBR are up 2 golds since July whilst :NED are up 3. 

 

Bracing myself for the potential backlash... but :ITA gold medals are dwindling away - down 7 since July. 

 

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,259

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

Is there any conplete medal tally predictions of event by event one

Not that I've been able to find.

 

Gracenote just publish the medal numbers. Some media outlets had published the full predictions for specific countries, but not many of them. Hopefully more details will be available next year as they get closer to the games.

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,259

Posted
Posted

:IOC Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - November 2023 :IOC

 

 

Gracenote have released their updated VMT as at the end of November:

 

NOC Gold Silver Bronze Total Change Since Last Release
:USA 37 45 44 126 Down 1 medal overall
:CHN 35 25 18 78 Up 3 medals in total. 4 additional golds and 5 additional silvers offset by 6 fewer bronze medals
:FRA 27 15 9 51 Down 2 silver medals.
:GBR 17 24 25 66 Up 1 overall. Total silver increase to 24 whilst bronze total drops to 25.
:NED 16 9 12 37 Down 1 bronze medal.
:AUS 15 17 18 50 Gain of 1 bronze medal.
:JPN 15 13 30 58 Gains 2 medals overall.
:ITA 13 14 22 49 Gains 1 medal overall.
:GER 10 13 15 38 Gains 1 medal overall - dropping a silver and picking up 2 bronze.
:CAN 7 7 9 23 No change.

No major movement in the predictions this month.

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