Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[CCB 628]

17 minutes ago, Jinzha said:

Too many Marits! And I wouldn't put it past Bouwmeester to swim the 10km open water after capsizing, she doesn't seem like one that gives up easily.

 

I realised recently that this could be the 4th Games where Bouwmeester wins a medal. She would be the 8th Dutch athlete to achieve that.

There might also be a hockey player that was at London, Rio and Tokyo? Eva de Goede and Lidewij Welten both got their 4th consecutive medal in Tokyo.

Margot van Geffen could win her 4th consecutive medal in Paris. And yes, Marit B. is a tough one!

Edited July 27, 2023 by CCB

[Giovanni Gianni Cattaneo 144]

Gracenote is a statistical site, not a tecnhical site. Algorythms are based on numerical data.
So, for Italy 20 gold is quite impossible. But about 15 is my optimistical hope. Then, in the olympic games it's easy that a gold becomes a silver medal... or otherwise. 

[Josh 13,631]

In heptathlon, I would say Anna Hall is the favorite over Thiam. But maybe that'll change after WCHs, we'll see. 

[vinipereira 3,513]

On 7/26/2023 at 5:17 PM, hoversaBR said:

I'm afraid Duda/Ana Patricia will have a bad week and we'll finish the Olympics without a medal in that sport. 

You made me remember the disaster of our participation in Tokyo. That as a terrible week for our Beach Volleyball teams.

[vinipereira 3,513]

On 7/26/2023 at 6:41 AM, Rafa Maciel said:

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

The impressive performance of at the World Aquatics championships shows that they should win more than 26 golds. I doubt they will lose second place.

[Rafa Maciel 1,737]

18 minutes ago, vinipereira said:

The impressive performance of at the World Aquatics championships shows that they should win more than 26 golds. I doubt they will lose second place.

Agreed. Obviously Neilsen haven't taken into account the results from Budapest - they're predicting that Australia are going to have significant reduction in number of gold medals but their performance in the pool this week would suggest that a dramatic drop off in performance would be required for that to happen. Likewise for America, I read somewhere that they were predicting USA to take around 48% of the medals available across swimming and athletics - for that to happen, but based on the US swim team results this week, that's unlikely.

 

But it'll be interesting to see how their predictions develop over the next 12 months - based on previous cycles, I'd be expecting them to update it on monthly basis.  

[Rafa Maciel 1,737]

A couple more details from Gracenote's predictions 

 

Breaking - Women:

Gold -  Ami Yuasa

Silver -  Liu Qingyi

Bronze -  Ayumi Fukushima

 

Breaking - Men:

Gold -  Philip Kim

Silver -  Victor Montalvo

Bronze -  Shigeyuki Nakarai

 

 

[Benolympique 2,451]

7 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

A couple more details from Gracenote's predictions 

 

Breaking - Women:

Gold -  Ami Yuasa

Silver -  Liu Qingyi

Bronze -  Ayumi Fukushima

 

Breaking - Men:

Gold -  Philip Kim

Silver -  Victor Montalvo

Bronze -  Shigeyuki Nakarai

 

 

do you have the detailed list?

[Rafa Maciel 1,737]

Another couple of medal predictions for Japan confirmed:

 

Gold

 

BMX Cycling - Men's Freestyle: Rim Nakamura

 

Athletics - Men's 20km Racewalk: Toshikazu Yamanishi

 

Wrestling - Women's Freestyle 50Kg: Yui Susaki

[Benolympique 2,451]

1 minute ago, Rafa Maciel said:

Another couple of medal predictions for Japan confirmed:

 

Gold

 

BMX Cycling - Men's Freestyle: Rim Nakamura

 

Athletics - Men's 20km Racewalk: Toshikazu Yamanishi

 

Wrestling - Women's Freestyle 50Kg: Yui Susaki

you don't have the details of the other sports? in particular collective sport?