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Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

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Faramir
Faramir

Finally found a website where you can see for free Gracenote's VMT with details of all countries: https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/jeux-olympiques/tableau-des-medailles/

phelps
phelps

Italian biggest sports website (OA) full predictions   https://www.oasport.it/2024/07/olimpiadi-parigi-2024-il-medagliere-di-oa-sport-tutti-i-podi-italia-ottava-francia-terza/   on

LDOG
LDOG

My team sport predictions with tiers (I prefer doing it this way instead of just handing out G, S & B):   I'll put an * next to not already qualified teams (in some cases I'll be conside

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,606

Posted
Posted

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

:USA 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

:FRA 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

:CHN 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

:ITA 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

:GBR 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

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De_Gambassi Community Regular

De_Gambassi   1,225

Posted
Posted

 

10 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

:USA 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

:FRA 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

:CHN 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

:ITA 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

:GBR 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

 

1 hour ago, hckošice said:

but the "potion magique" will be "interdite" I hope ! otherwise nobody else will stand a chance here :d

 

It seems that Gracenote is very much into the "potion" thing.

 

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Rafa Maciel Community Regular

Rafa Maciel   1,606

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

:USA 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

:FRA 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

:CHN 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

:ITA 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

:GBR 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

List of :GBR predicted medal winners

 

Keely Hodgkinson and Jessica Gadirova tipped for gold at Paris 2024 Olympics as Team GB medal rush looms - Eurosport

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De_Gambassi Community Regular

De_Gambassi   1,225

Posted
Posted
24 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

:USA 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

:FRA 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

:CHN 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

:ITA 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

:GBR 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

 

Wa are defintly not going to win 32 gold medals :rolleyes: But, I believe we will have a three european nations battle for the third place between :FRA, :GBR and :ITA

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Vektor Rising Star

Vektor   3,326

Posted
Posted

That projection seems insane for France. +22 gold medals compared to Tokyo. Not even Japan had that kind of increase (they had +15) and they got a bunch of favorable new events to perform stronger. I am not sure where French sport stands at the moment, but my guess would be in the range of 15-20 gold medals.

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De_Gambassi Community Regular

De_Gambassi   1,225

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Posted
13 minutes ago, Vektor said:

That projection seems insane for France. +22 gold medals compared to Tokyo. Not even Japan had that kind of increase (they had +15) and they got a bunch of favorable new events to perform stronger. I am not sure where French sport stands at the moment, but my guess would be in the range of 15-20 gold medals.

That's my estimation as well (and 50-60 medals overall)

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Jinzha Collaborator

Jinzha   702

Posted
Posted

I always love those Gracenote predictions, but I wish I could see the data behind the medal tables. I guess we have to rely on media outlets purchasing the data for their country.

 

I wonder why they overestimate :NED so much again this year (13 golds, 41 medals). There's probably some oddities in there like Sifan Hassan winning in four distances or Annemiek van Vleuten (retiring this summer) winning both road cycling golds. I haven't done a sport by sport prediction yet, but I think 25-30 medals would be a great result already. I'm not even sure if 10 gold medals is realistic.

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Noorderling29 Contributor

Noorderling29   170

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Posted (edited)

According to AD newspaper, they indeed predict Van Vleuten winning two medals.apparently their policy is to only discard athletes that have actually quit, not those that have only announced they will do so.

 

41 medals is not impossible, but very very unlikely. Everything will have to go our way to achieve that goal.

Edited by Noorderling29
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hoversaBR Collaborator

hoversaBR   474

Posted
Posted

26 medals for Brazil... Well, I think this is only possible if our volleyball repeats the performance of 2022 (We won two medals indoor and 3 in beach volleyball at the world championships) and boxing, gymnastics and skateboarding won together for the least 8 medals. I don't know if I'm confident for that to happen. It's possible, but optimistic.

 

7 golds I found a little more realistic.

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