Jinzha

and now it's official! 
 
the IJF has officially registered Kim Polling's switch from  to  
 
now she can represent  with immediate effect
 
Polling's words on the social media (in Italian...google might be helpful):
 
"Ciao a tutti, mi chiamo Kim Polling e posso dirvi che da oggi posso rappresentare l’Italia. Sono super orgogliosa, grata, contenta e non lo so… ancora mille parole in più per darvi questa notizia. Vi parlo un po’ di me, vivo da otto anni in Italia, mi sono sposata un italiano che si chiama Andrea Regis, anche lui è stato un judoka. Abbiamo una figlia, Aurora, che è nata quasi due anni fa e viviamo a San Mauro Torinese. Ho fatto quest’anno la richiesta all’IJF di cambio nazionalità ed oggi è arrivata la notifica che è stato dato l’ok. Sono davvero super orgogliosa, grata e voglio ringraziare l’Italia, ringraziare l’Accademia Torino, la palestra in cui mi alleno da sette anni e non vedo l’ora per il futuro. Vedremo quello che riesco a fare."

Gold Medalists:
Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Individual Sprint
Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Keirin
Track Cycling Men's Team Sprint (For me Australia is the favorite with their extra rider and better start)
Track Cycling Men's Madison (Havik and Van Schip only won once accidentally during the Worlds, but with  the Dutch are outsider)
Femke Bol - 400m Hurdles (I truly not believe she's capable to beat Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone, how much I wish her to do)
Mathieu van der Poel - Cycling Road Race (Well, he is one of the riders to watch, but so many can win this)
Sharon van Rouwendaal - Marathon Swimming (She won last Worlds because the already qualified swimmers didn't take part seriously in the 10km)
Men's Field Hockey (They have a chance, but for me  and  are bigger favourites)
Women's field Hockey
Tes Schouten - Swimming 200m Breaststroke Did Gracenote ever heard of Tatjana Schoenmaker and Kate Douglass? No.
van de Werken/Lambriex - Sailing 49er
Duetz/van Aanholt - 49er FX
Luuc van Opzeeland - Sailing iQFOiL (Strange format in the final)
Rowing - Men's Double Sculls
Rowing - Women's Four(  is the big boat in this class)
Rowing - Women's Pair(   and  weren't at their best at last year's WCh, but normally those two countries fighting for gold)
Rowing - Men's quadruple Sculls
Rowing - Women's Single Sculls
 
I predict a maximum of 11 golds for us. That still would be an amazing result for our little country. Would be very happy with that.
 
Gracenote predicts only 5 silver, I predict a lot more silver!

In 2021 I was very bad at this little game. But I want to be very, veeeery optimistic about in 2024 : I strongly believe in the "home advantage" for this type of event.
 
(I'm stealing your "Day by Day" method )
 
Day 1 Saturday 27 July
Judo : Shirine Boukli (W -48kg) - Luka Mkheidze (M -60kg)
Rugby Sevens : M Team
Skateboarding : Aurélien Giraud (M Street)
 
Day 2 Sunday 28 July
Archery : W Team
Cycling Mountain Bike : Pauline Ferrand-Prévot (W Cross Country)
Fencing : Romain Cannone (M Epee)
Judo : Amandine Buchard (W -52kg)
Shooting : Camille Jedrzejewski (W 10m Air Pistol)
Swimming : Leon Marchand (M 400m Medley)
 
Day 3 Monday 29 July
Canoe Slalom : Nicolas Gestin (M C1)
Equestrian : Eventing Team
Fencing : Sara Balzer (W Sabre) - Enzo Lefort (M Foil)
Shooting : Oceanne Muller (W 10m Air Rifle)
 
Day 4 Tuesday 30 July
Fencing : W Épée Team
Judo : Clarisse Agbegnenou (W -63 kg)
Rugby Sevens : W team
Triathlon : Dorian Coninx (but it could be anyone really) (M Individual)
 
Day 5 Wednesday 31 July
Cycling BMX Freestyle : Anthony Jeanjean (M)
Judo : Marie-Ève Gahié (W -70 kg)
Surfing : Kauli Vaast (M) & Vahine Ferro (W) - maybe I overestimate them, but they are both from Tahiti and know the place like no one else
Swimming : Leon Marchand (M 200m Butterfly + 200m Breaststroke) - Anastasiia Kirpichnikova (W 1500m Freestyle)
 
Day 6 Thursday 1 August
Canoe Slalom : Titouan Castryck (M K1)
Judo : Madeleine Malonga (W -78 kg)
Sailing : Erwan Fischer / Clément Pequin (M 49er)
Swimming : Marwen Tomac (M 200m Backstroke)
 
Day 7 Friday 2 August - I thing our "Super Friday"
BMX : 2 of the French racers (M)
Fencing : M Epee Team
Judo : Romane Dicko (W +78 kg) - Teddy Riner (M +100 kg)
Sailing : Nicolas Goyard (M) - Hélène Noesmoen (W) (IQFoil)
Swimming : Leon Marchand (M 200m Individual Medley)
 
Day 8 Saturday 3 August
Artistic Gymnastics : Coline Devillard (W Vault)
Fencing : W Sabre Team
Judo : Mixed Team
 
Day 9 Sunday 4 August
Fencing : M Team Foil
 
 
Day 10 Monday 5 August
Basketball 3x3 : W Team
Canoe Slalom : Titouan Castryck (M Kayak Cross)
Shooting : Clement Bessaguet (M Rapid Fire Pistol)
Triathlon : Mixed Team
 
Day 11 Tuesday 6 August
No one !
 
Day 12 Wednesday 7 August
Boxing : Sofiane Oumiha (M -63.5 kg)
Cycling Track : W Pursuit Team
Sailing : Camille Lecointre/Jeremie Mion (Mixed Dinghy)
 
Day 13 Thursday 8 August
Athletics : Wilheim Belocian (M 110H) - at least one medal in Athletics please
Boxing : Billal Bennama (-51kg)
Cycling Track : Benjamin Thomas (M Omnium)
Sailing : Lauriane Nolot (W) - Axel Mazella (M) (Kitefoil)
 
Day 14 Friday 9 August
Cycling Track : Clara Copponi/Victoire Berteau (W Madison)
Table Tennis : M Team
Taekwondo : Magda Wiet-Henin (W -67kg)
 
Day 15 Saturday 10 August
Handball : W Team
Taekwondo : Althéa Laurin (W +67kg)
 
Day 16 Sunday 11 August
Handball : M Team
 
Any day
Maybe some more medals in Fencing, or Mélanie de Jesus dos Santos who will have a resurrection, and some surpring medalists. Let's say three more medals.
 
Total prediction (in the very optimistic spectrum)
 
63 Medals, +/- 17 gold medals

Medal Projection 100 days out from Paris:
 
Gold Medalists:
Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Individual Sprint
Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Keirin
Track Cycling Men's Team Sprint
Track Cycling Men's Madison
Femke Bol - 400m Hurdles
Mathieu van der Poel - Cycling Road Race
Sharon van Rouwendaal - Marathon Swimming
Men's Field Hockey
Women's field Hockey
Tes Schouten - Swimming 200m Breaststroke
van de Werken/Lambriex - Sailing 49er
Duetz/van Aanholt - 49er FX
Luuc van Opzeeland - Sailing iQFOiL
Rowing - Men's Double Sculls
Rowing - Women's Four
Rowing - Women's Pair
Rowing - Men's quadruple Sculls
Rowing - Women's Single Sculls
 
 
Silver Medalists:
Sifan Hassan - 10000m
Athletics Women's 4x400m Relay
Swimming - Women's 4x100m Freestyle Relay
Rowing - Women's Eight
Rowing - Men's Single Sculls
 
 
Bronze Medalists:
Athletics 4x400m Mixed Relay
Sifan Hassan - 5000m
Niek Kimmann - BMX Racing
Laura Smulders - BMX Racing
Ellen van Dijk - Cycling Individual Time Trial
Demi Vollering - Cycling Road Race
Equestrian Team Show Jumping
Harrie Smolders - Equestrian Individual Show Jumping
Sanne van Dijke - Judo -70Kg
Guuske Steenhuis - Judo -78Kg
Judo Mixed Team
Puck Pieterse - Mountain Bike
Women's Waterpolo
Marrit Steenbergen - Swimming 100m Freestyle
Rowing - Women's Quadruple Sculls

Your prediction is much more accurate than Gracenote's, who still thinks Netherlands will win a silver medal at the 4x100 freestyle in swimming  and a total of 18 golds 

Well, my prediction is  and  will fight for the very important second place in the group after France. That normally means a clash with a Scandinavian country in the quarterfinals (most likely  or  ). In that perspective this isn't the best draw for us. But otherwise: there are no weak opponents in the quarters of an Olympic Games.
 
Group A seems a bit stronger with the three Scandinavian powerhouses. Don't know what to say about  . They played a very good OQT, but we destroyed them at the last Worlds. There's a good chance for them to reach the quarterfinals (  and  are weaker). 
 
I really looking forward to the handball tournament in Paris/Lille. Only 100 days wait ...

Groupe A






 
Groupe B

What a nice coincidence! An easy extra honerary title for Summer McIntosh I presume

Good point! Boermans/De Groot is a serious chance that I missed, adding it now. I don't think Stam/Schoon will medal, they are consistently top 8, but I feel like they're just slightly lacking that final edge.

Bonus fun fact: the first gold medal winner will be the 150 th Dutch gold medal at the Olympics. I'll go ahead and predict a total of 10 gold medals, in chronological order:
 
Day 5: Rowing M4x (150!!)
Day 6: Rowing M2x, Sailing M skiff
Day 7: Luc van Opzeeland (M IQFoil)
Day 8: Mathieu van der Poel (M road race), Karolien Florijn (Rowing W1x)
Day 11: M team sprint
Day 13: Femke Bol (W 400mH)
Day 14: Hockey women's team, Harrie Lavreysen (M sprint)
 
What can I say, I'm an optimist and I like Van der Poel, Bol and Lavreysen

With just over 100 days to go I decided to do another medal prediction, but this time on a day to day basis. 
 
Day 1 Saturday 27 July (0-1 medals)
Road cycling: Ellen van Dijk (W time trial)
 
Day 2 Sunday 28 July (0-2 medals)
Mountain bike: Puck Pieterse (W cross country)
Swimming: Arno Kamminga or Caspar Corbeau (M 100m breast)
 
Day 3 Monday 29 July (0-1 medals)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)
 
Day 4 Tuesday 30 July (0-1 medals)
Judo: Joanne van Lieshout (W -63kg)
 
Day 5 Wednesday 31 July (3-5 medals)
Judo: Sanne van Dijke (W -70kg)
Rowing: M4x and W4x
Swimming: Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free) and Caspar Corbeau (M 200m breast)
 
Day 6 Thursday 1 August (4-7 medals)
Judo: Michael Korrel (M -100kg) and Guusje Steenhuis (W -78kg)
Rowing: M2x and W4-
Sailing: Duetz/Van Aanholt (W skiff) and Van de Werken/Lambriex (M skiff)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 200m breast)
 
Day 7 Friday 2 August (2-5 medals)
Archery: Mixed team
BMX racing: Niek Kimmann or Laura Smulders
Judo: Marit Kamps (W +78kg)
Rowing: W2-
Sailing: Luc van Opzeeland (M IQFoil)
 
Day 8 Saturday 3 August (3-5 medals)
Athletics: Mixed 4x400m relay
Road cycling: Mathieu van der Poel (M road race)
Rowing: W1x, M1x and M8-
 
Day 9 Sunday 4 August (0-2 medals)
Equestrian: Dinja van Liere (dressage)
Road cycling: Lorena Wiebes or Demi Vollering (W road race)
 
Day 10 Monday 5 August (0-1 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W 5000m?)
 
Day 11 Tuesday 6 August (1-2 medals)
Sailing: Marit Bouwmeester (W dinghy)
Track Cycling: M team sprint
 
Day 12 Wednesday 7 August (0-1 medals)
Sailing: Laila van der Meer / Bjarne Bouwer (mixed multihull)
 
Day 13 Thursday 8 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Femke Bol (W 400mH)
Hockey: Men’s team
Swimming: Sharon van Rouwendaal (W 10 km open water)
Track cycling: Hetty van der Wouw (W Keirin)
 
Day 14 Friday 9 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Lieke Klaver (W 400m)
Breaking: India Sardjoe (W breaking)
Hockey: Women’s team
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M sprint)
 
Day 15 Saturday 10 August (1-3 medals)
Athletics: Women’s 4x400m relay and Abdi Nageeye (M marathon)
Water polo: Women’s team
 
Day 16 Sunday 11 August (1-2 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W marathon??)
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M keirin)
 
Any day (0-2 medals)
Surprise medals: preferrably Niels Laros (M 1500m) and W handball or volleyball team (what can I say, the more surprising the better)
 
Total prediction (19-47 medals)
+/- 10 golds
+/- 11 silvers
+/- 12 bronze
 
I feel like the day-by-day version made the numbers too optimistic. Some names I'm thinking more like 'one out of these 4 judoka's will probably win a medal', but it shows as a medal chances on 4 days, instead of just 1 expected medal.
Overall I'm a bit more optimistic than the 25 medals I predicted last time, I'll say 30 medals this time!

With just over 100 days to go I decided to do another medal prediction, but this time on a day to day basis. 
 
Day 1 Saturday 27 July (0-1 medals)
Road cycling: Ellen van Dijk (W time trial)
 
Day 2 Sunday 28 July (0-2 medals)
Mountain bike: Puck Pieterse (W cross country)
Swimming: Arno Kamminga or Caspar Corbeau (M 100m breast)
 
Day 3 Monday 29 July (0-1 medals)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)
 
Day 4 Tuesday 30 July (0-1 medals)
Judo: Joanne van Lieshout (W -63kg)
 
Day 5 Wednesday 31 July (3-5 medals)
Judo: Sanne van Dijke (W -70kg)
Rowing: M4x and W4x
Swimming: Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free) and Caspar Corbeau (M 200m breast)
 
Day 6 Thursday 1 August (4-7 medals)
Judo: Michael Korrel (M -100kg) and Guusje Steenhuis (W -78kg)
Rowing: M2x and W4-
Sailing: Duetz/Van Aanholt (W skiff) and Van de Werken/Lambriex (M skiff)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 200m breast)
 
Day 7 Friday 2 August (2-5 medals)
Archery: Mixed team
BMX racing: Niek Kimmann or Laura Smulders
Judo: Marit Kamps (W +78kg)
Rowing: W2-
Sailing: Luc van Opzeeland (M IQFoil)
 
Day 8 Saturday 3 August (3-5 medals)
Athletics: Mixed 4x400m relay
Road cycling: Mathieu van der Poel (M road race)
Rowing: W1x, M1x and M8-
 
Day 9 Sunday 4 August (0-2 medals)
Equestrian: Dinja van Liere (dressage)
Road cycling: Lorena Wiebes or Demi Vollering (W road race)
 
Day 10 Monday 5 August (0-1 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W 5000m?)
 
Day 11 Tuesday 6 August (1-2 medals)
Sailing: Marit Bouwmeester (W dinghy)
Track Cycling: M team sprint
 
Day 12 Wednesday 7 August (0-1 medals)
Sailing: Laila van der Meer / Bjarne Bouwer (mixed multihull)
 
Day 13 Thursday 8 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Femke Bol (W 400mH)
Hockey: Men’s team
Swimming: Sharon van Rouwendaal (W 10 km open water)
Track cycling: Hetty van der Wouw (W Keirin)
 
Day 14 Friday 9 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Lieke Klaver (W 400m)
Breaking: India Sardjoe (W breaking)
Hockey: Women’s team
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M sprint)
 
Day 15 Saturday 10 August (1-3 medals)
Athletics: Women’s 4x400m relay and Abdi Nageeye (M marathon)
Water polo: Women’s team
 
Day 16 Sunday 11 August (1-2 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W marathon??)
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M keirin)
 
Any day (0-2 medals)
Surprise medals: preferrably Niels Laros (M 1500m) and W handball or volleyball team (what can I say, the more surprising the better)
 
Total prediction (19-47 medals)
+/- 10 golds
+/- 11 silvers
+/- 12 bronze
 
I feel like the day-by-day version made the numbers too optimistic. Some names I'm thinking more like 'one out of these 4 judoka's will probably win a medal', but it shows as a medal chances on 4 days, instead of just 1 expected medal.
Overall I'm a bit more optimistic than the 25 medals I predicted last time, I'll say 30 medals this time!

A talent like McIntosh in swimming really is the difference between a regular Games and a record breaker! Impressive how Canada gets so many of their medals from some of the most competitive sports at the games (swimming and athletics).

2024 Eindhoven Qualification Meet - Eindhoven (NED)
April 11th - April 14th 2024
 
Meet Results
 
 
The following new OQTs were achieved
 
Men's 100m Butterfly
 Clement Secchi
 
Men's 400m Individual Medley
 Cedric Büssing
 
Women's 50m Freestyle
 Valerie van Roon
 
Women's 100m Butterfly
 Tessa Giele

Approaching 100 days to go, my predictions for
Day 1
20:55: Swimming - Women’s 400m Freestyle Final - Summer McIntosh (Silver)
21:37: Swimming - Women’s 4x100m Freestyle Relay Final - (Bronze)
 
Day 2
20:45: Swimming - Women’s 100m Butterfly Final - Maggie MacNeil (Silver)
 
Day 3
17:18-17:38: Judo - Women’s 57kg - Christa Deguchi (Gold)
20:30: Swimming - Women’s 400m Individual Medley - Summer McIntosh (Gold)
 
Bronze in the women’s 200m freestyle if she chooses to do the double. She’ll have almost an hour and a half between both so it seems doable (but she’s also probably going to be swimming a rigorous schedule so maybe she’ll skip it)
 
Day 4
17:18-17:38: Judo - Men’s 81kg - Francois Gauthier-Drapeau (Bronze)
17:49-18:09: Judo - Women’s 63kg - Catherine Beauchemin Pinard (Silver)
20:57: Swimming - Women’s 100m Backstroke - Kylie Masse (Bronze)
 
Day 5
20:36: Swimming - Men’s 200m Butterfly Final - Illya Kharun (Silver, behind Milak)
 
Day 6
20:30: Swimming - Women’s 200m Butterfly Final - Summer McIntosh (Gold)
 
Day 8
15:30: Artistic Gymnastics - Men’s Floor - Felix Dolci (Bronze)
20:30: Swimming - Men’s 100m Butterfly Final - Josh Liendo (Bronze)
20:59: Swimming - Women’s 200m Individual Medley - Summer McIntosh (Gold)
21:45: Athletics - Men’s Decathlon - Pierce LePage (Gold)
 
Day 9
19:35: Swimming - Women’s 4x100m Medley Relay Final (Bronze)
20:30: Athletics - Men’s Hammer Throw Final - Ethan Katzberg (Silver)
 
Day 10
21:00/22:05: 3x3 Basketball - Women’s Tournament Medal Matches (Gold)
 
Day 11
20:00: Athletics - Women’s Hammer Throw Final - Camryn Rogers (Bronze)
 
Day 12
20:30: Athletics - Men’s 200m Final - Andre DeGrasse (Silver)
 
Day 13
15:00: Weightlifting - Women’s 59kg - Maude Charron (Bronze)
19:27: Track Cycling - Men’s Omnium - Dylan Bibic (Silver)
19:40: Athletics - Women’s Shot Put Final - Sarah Mitton (Bronze)
19:45: Athletics - Men’s 4x100m Relay Final - Canada (Bronze)
21:00: Beach Volleyball - Women’s Bronze Medal Match - Melissa Humana-Parades/Brandie Wilkerson (Bronze)
21:07: Taekwondo - Women’s 57kg Bronze Medal Match - Skylar Park (Bronze)
 
Day 14
11:00: Basketball - Men’s Bronze Medal Game - Canada (Bronze)
13:50: Canoe Sprint - Women’s C1-200m - Katie Vincent (Bronze)
19:25: Athletics - Men’s 800m Final - Marco Arop (Gold)
21:23: Breaking - B-Boys - Phil Wizard (Gold)
22:34: Boxing - Women’s 75kg Gold Medal Bout - Tammara Thibeault (Gold)
 
 
Left off some other medal chances, think at least one other name/team that I haven’t mentioned will make the podium. Still very optimistic with this prediction considering our best ever result is 24 medals at Tokyo (I picked 30 events for Canada to win medals in) but we have a talent in McIntosh now. 

Marrit Steenbergen improved her 200m medley PB and NR by 0,3s to 2.08,86 yesterday.
Also swam a 52,72 100 meter freestyle same day at the Eindhoven Qualification Meet.
 
 
Only new qualifiers from the Eindhoven Qualification Meet are Tessa Giele (100m butterfly) and Valerie van Roon (50m freestyle).
 
 

With just over 100 days to go I decided to do another medal prediction, but this time on a day to day basis. 
 
Day 1 Saturday 27 July (0-1 medals)
Road cycling: Ellen van Dijk (W time trial)
 
Day 2 Sunday 28 July (0-2 medals)
Mountain bike: Puck Pieterse (W cross country)
Swimming: Arno Kamminga or Caspar Corbeau (M 100m breast)
 
Day 3 Monday 29 July (0-1 medals)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)
 
Day 4 Tuesday 30 July (0-1 medals)
Judo: Joanne van Lieshout (W -63kg)
 
Day 5 Wednesday 31 July (3-5 medals)
Judo: Sanne van Dijke (W -70kg)
Rowing: M4x and W4x
Swimming: Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free) and Caspar Corbeau (M 200m breast)
 
Day 6 Thursday 1 August (4-7 medals)
Judo: Michael Korrel (M -100kg) and Guusje Steenhuis (W -78kg)
Rowing: M2x and W4-
Sailing: Duetz/Van Aanholt (W skiff) and Van de Werken/Lambriex (M skiff)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 200m breast)
 
Day 7 Friday 2 August (2-5 medals)
Archery: Mixed team
BMX racing: Niek Kimmann or Laura Smulders
Judo: Marit Kamps (W +78kg)
Rowing: W2-
Sailing: Luc van Opzeeland (M IQFoil)
 
Day 8 Saturday 3 August (3-5 medals)
Athletics: Mixed 4x400m relay
Road cycling: Mathieu van der Poel (M road race)
Rowing: W1x, M1x and M8-
 
Day 9 Sunday 4 August (0-2 medals)
Equestrian: Dinja van Liere (dressage)
Road cycling: Lorena Wiebes or Demi Vollering (W road race)
 
Day 10 Monday 5 August (0-1 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W 5000m?)
 
Day 11 Tuesday 6 August (1-2 medals)
Sailing: Marit Bouwmeester (W dinghy)
Track Cycling: M team sprint
 
Day 12 Wednesday 7 August (0-1 medals)
Sailing: Laila van der Meer / Bjarne Bouwer (mixed multihull)
 
Day 13 Thursday 8 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Femke Bol (W 400mH)
Hockey: Men’s team
Swimming: Sharon van Rouwendaal (W 10 km open water)
Track cycling: Hetty van der Wouw (W Keirin)
 
Day 14 Friday 9 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Lieke Klaver (W 400m)
Breaking: India Sardjoe (W breaking)
Hockey: Women’s team
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M sprint)
 
Day 15 Saturday 10 August (1-3 medals)
Athletics: Women’s 4x400m relay and Abdi Nageeye (M marathon)
Water polo: Women’s team
 
Day 16 Sunday 11 August (1-2 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W marathon??)
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M keirin)
 
Any day (0-2 medals)
Surprise medals: preferrably Niels Laros (M 1500m) and W handball or volleyball team (what can I say, the more surprising the better)
 
Total prediction (19-47 medals)
+/- 10 golds
+/- 11 silvers
+/- 12 bronze
 
I feel like the day-by-day version made the numbers too optimistic. Some names I'm thinking more like 'one out of these 4 judoka's will probably win a medal', but it shows as a medal chances on 4 days, instead of just 1 expected medal.
Overall I'm a bit more optimistic than the 25 medals I predicted last time, I'll say 30 medals this time!

No mention for your beach volleyball athletes? I think you have a good chance at a medal in either the men’s or the women’s tournaments. 

What a nice coincidence! An easy extra honerary title for Summer McIntosh I presume

Marrit Steenbergen improved her 200m medley PB and NR by 0,3s to 2.08,86 yesterday.
Also swam a 52,72 100 meter freestyle same day at the Eindhoven Qualification Meet.
 
 
Only new qualifiers from the Eindhoven Qualification Meet are Tessa Giele (100m butterfly) and Valerie van Roon (50m freestyle).
 
 

Good point! Boermans/De Groot is a serious chance that I missed, adding it now. I don't think Stam/Schoon will medal, they are consistently top 8, but I feel like they're just slightly lacking that final edge.

With just over 100 days to go I decided to do another medal prediction, but this time on a day to day basis. 
 
Day 1 Saturday 27 July (0-1 medals)
Road cycling: Ellen van Dijk (W time trial)
 
Day 2 Sunday 28 July (0-2 medals)
Mountain bike: Puck Pieterse (W cross country)
Swimming: Arno Kamminga or Caspar Corbeau (M 100m breast)
 
Day 3 Monday 29 July (0-1 medals)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)
 
Day 4 Tuesday 30 July (0-1 medals)
Judo: Joanne van Lieshout (W -63kg)
 
Day 5 Wednesday 31 July (3-5 medals)
Judo: Sanne van Dijke (W -70kg)
Rowing: M4x and W4x
Swimming: Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free) and Caspar Corbeau (M 200m breast)
 
Day 6 Thursday 1 August (4-7 medals)
Judo: Michael Korrel (M -100kg) and Guusje Steenhuis (W -78kg)
Rowing: M2x and W4-
Sailing: Duetz/Van Aanholt (W skiff) and Van de Werken/Lambriex (M skiff)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 200m breast)
 
Day 7 Friday 2 August (2-5 medals)
Archery: Mixed team
BMX racing: Niek Kimmann or Laura Smulders
Judo: Marit Kamps (W +78kg)
Rowing: W2-
Sailing: Luc van Opzeeland (M IQFoil)
 
Day 8 Saturday 3 August (3-5 medals)
Athletics: Mixed 4x400m relay
Road cycling: Mathieu van der Poel (M road race)
Rowing: W1x, M1x and M8-
 
Day 9 Sunday 4 August (0-2 medals)
Equestrian: Dinja van Liere (dressage)
Road cycling: Lorena Wiebes or Demi Vollering (W road race)
 
Day 10 Monday 5 August (0-1 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W 5000m?)
 
Day 11 Tuesday 6 August (1-2 medals)
Sailing: Marit Bouwmeester (W dinghy)
Track Cycling: M team sprint
 
Day 12 Wednesday 7 August (0-1 medals)
Sailing: Laila van der Meer / Bjarne Bouwer (mixed multihull)
 
Day 13 Thursday 8 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Femke Bol (W 400mH)
Hockey: Men’s team
Swimming: Sharon van Rouwendaal (W 10 km open water)
Track cycling: Hetty van der Wouw (W Keirin)
 
Day 14 Friday 9 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Lieke Klaver (W 400m)
Breaking: India Sardjoe (W breaking)
Hockey: Women’s team
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M sprint)
 
Day 15 Saturday 10 August (1-3 medals)
Athletics: Women’s 4x400m relay and Abdi Nageeye (M marathon)
Water polo: Women’s team
 
Day 16 Sunday 11 August (1-2 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W marathon??)
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M keirin)
 
Any day (0-2 medals)
Surprise medals: preferrably Niels Laros (M 1500m) and W handball or volleyball team (what can I say, the more surprising the better)
 
Total prediction (19-47 medals)
+/- 10 golds
+/- 11 silvers
+/- 12 bronze
 
I feel like the day-by-day version made the numbers too optimistic. Some names I'm thinking more like 'one out of these 4 judoka's will probably win a medal', but it shows as a medal chances on 4 days, instead of just 1 expected medal.
Overall I'm a bit more optimistic than the 25 medals I predicted last time, I'll say 30 medals this time!

Marrit Steenbergen improved her 200m medley PB and NR by 0,3s to 2.08,86 yesterday.
Also swam a 52,72 100 meter freestyle same day at the Eindhoven Qualification Meet.
 
 
Only new qualifiers from the Eindhoven Qualification Meet are Tessa Giele (100m butterfly) and Valerie van Roon (50m freestyle).
 
 

men's Cross-Country
 
Gold:  Christopher Blevins
Silver:  Victor Koretzky
Bronze:  Filippo Colombo
 
Full Results
https://ucimtbworldseries.com/results/raceCategory/uci-xco-world-cup-mairipora-brazil-men-elite

women's Cross-Country
 
Gold:  Jenny Rissveds
Silver:  Savilia Blunk
Bronze:  Haley Batten
 
Full Results
https://ucimtbworldseries.com/results/raceCategory/uci-xco-world-cup-mairipora-brazil-women-elite/2024