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OlympicsFan

Totallympics Superstar
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  1. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from mrv86 in [OFF TOPIC] Russia-Ukraine War   
    The logic of the countries abstaining makes me rather angry. In a time of conflict you have to chose sides. Not chosing sides means siding with the aggressor. Their voting behavior clearly shows that they don't take the west very seriously. I am sure that most/all of those countries are more dependant on western than russian business, but they think that Russia is far more likely to cut ties with them over their vote. I think if the west would sanction all countries that abstain, the vote would look very differently.
  2. Haha
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from prso1000 in Biathlon IBU Junior & Youth World Championships 2022   
    I SPECIFICALLY SAID THAT I FEEL THE SAME WAY WHEN GERMANY IS PROFITING FROM IT, because i knew that someone like you wouldn't even bother trying to lead a discussion and would rather try to play the "but X did Y" card. I am amazed that there are people out there with such limited mental capabilities*.
     
    AGAIN: I absolutely am not in favor or eastern/southern european people coming to Germany to do the shit that german people don't want to do (and then of course in turn for example ukrainian people will go to Poland and fill the holes of the polish people that left for Germany, which of course then creates holes in Ukraine and so on ...)
  3. Haha
    OlympicsFan reacted to Illya in [OFF TOPIC] Russia-Ukraine War   
    Hungary, pleeeeeeeeeeeeease support disconnection from SWIFT Russia
  4. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from NearPup in [OFF TOPIC] Russia-Ukraine War   
    Some more thoughts:
    1) To me it looks as if Putin is (very) ill. Maybe he knows that he won't have a lot more time, so nothing is off the table.
    2) I don't think that this will end after Ukraine and i am not sure how afraid Putin is of attacking a NATO/EU state. Moldova sadly seems like a likely victim.
    3) Whatever sanctions the west will impose on Russia, the same sanctions have to be imposed on Belarus as well.
  5. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from mrv86 in [OFF TOPIC] Russia-Ukraine War   
    Some more thoughts:
    1) To me it looks as if Putin is (very) ill. Maybe he knows that he won't have a lot more time, so nothing is off the table.
    2) I don't think that this will end after Ukraine and i am not sure how afraid Putin is of attacking a NATO/EU state. Moldova sadly seems like a likely victim.
    3) Whatever sanctions the west will impose on Russia, the same sanctions have to be imposed on Belarus as well.
  6. Thanks
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Ted in Biathlon IBU Junior & Youth World Championships 2022   
    Some things i noticed while looking through past results:
    - I would say roughly one third of the medalists at youth level become good at senior level
    - Unsurprisingly (for people who follow biathlon) it usually takes many years (5+ years) for medalists at youth/junior level to become good at senior level, although of course there are exemptions (for example Davidova, Dahlmeier* or Öberg)
    - Looking at the 2009 junior women's results is almost surreal and shows what an historic talent Miriam Gössner was: She finished 2nd in the sprint with 5 misses (8 seconds behind first place, the first and third placed athlete both had only 1 miss) and first in the pursuit with 8 misses (the second and third placed athlete had 7 misses combined)
    - Looking at the result of men's junior sprint in 2009 is pretty crazy, the following athletes all finished top 16:
    Hofer, Windisch, Weger, T. Boe, Schempp, Doll, Lesser, Beatrix, Semenov, Lapshin (pretty insane group for Germany)
     
    * Looking at her junior results it had to be pretty clear that she was a special talent. She won a bronze at junior worlds in 2011 (roughly half a year after turning 17), the equivalent this year would be a girl born in August of 2004 winning a medal at junior level (while in reality the youngest medalist at youth level so far was born in August 2004). Of all the girls competing this year, Tannheimer from Germany is probably the closest, she had the 2nd fastest skiing speed in the individual and was born in August 2005.
  7. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from De_Gambassi in Biathlon IBU Junior & Youth World Championships 2022   
    Some things i noticed while looking through past results:
    - I would say roughly one third of the medalists at youth level become good at senior level
    - Unsurprisingly (for people who follow biathlon) it usually takes many years (5+ years) for medalists at youth/junior level to become good at senior level, although of course there are exemptions (for example Davidova, Dahlmeier* or Öberg)
    - Looking at the 2009 junior women's results is almost surreal and shows what an historic talent Miriam Gössner was: She finished 2nd in the sprint with 5 misses (8 seconds behind first place, the first and third placed athlete both had only 1 miss) and first in the pursuit with 8 misses (the second and third placed athlete had 7 misses combined)
    - Looking at the result of men's junior sprint in 2009 is pretty crazy, the following athletes all finished top 16:
    Hofer, Windisch, Weger, T. Boe, Schempp, Doll, Lesser, Beatrix, Semenov, Lapshin (pretty insane group for Germany)
     
    * Looking at her junior results it had to be pretty clear that she was a special talent. She won a bronze at junior worlds in 2011 (roughly half a year after turning 17), the equivalent this year would be a girl born in August of 2004 winning a medal at junior level (while in reality the youngest medalist at youth level so far was born in August 2004). Of all the girls competing this year, Tannheimer from Germany is probably the closest, she had the 2nd fastest skiing speed in the individual and was born in August 2005.
  8. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Ted in Biathlon IBU Junior & Youth World Championships 2022   
    Horrible performance by the german men today, the women were ok. Not sure who the best talent on the men's side is, but on the women's side it clearly is Michelon (who will be able to compete at junior level for two more years and already is at the top when it comes to skiing speed).
  9. Love
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Adriano in [OFF TOPIC] Russia-Ukraine War   
    I feel really sorry for the ukrainian people who did nothing to cause this. It might be justifiable for other countries not to get involved in the fight, but it makes me lose trust in our system even more when i see that western countries can't even agree on sanctions. I don't believe that this is the will of the normal people. I absolutely don't see why western nations can't just ban Russia from everything. Why still allow russian people to enter western nations? Why still allow russian companies to do business here? I understand that countries are somewhat dependant on russian gas, but this absolutely doesn't explain why they can't agree on sanctions that would barely be felt by their own people. It's not as if Russia is a super important market (considering that the russian GDP is just marginally bigger than the one of Australia).
  10. Love
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from konig in [OFF TOPIC] Russia-Ukraine War   
    I feel really sorry for the ukrainian people who did nothing to cause this. It might be justifiable for other countries not to get involved in the fight, but it makes me lose trust in our system even more when i see that western countries can't even agree on sanctions. I don't believe that this is the will of the normal people. I absolutely don't see why western nations can't just ban Russia from everything. Why still allow russian people to enter western nations? Why still allow russian companies to do business here? I understand that countries are somewhat dependant on russian gas, but this absolutely doesn't explain why they can't agree on sanctions that would barely be felt by their own people. It's not as if Russia is a super important market (considering that the russian GDP is just marginally bigger than the one of Australia).
  11. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from maestro in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Replay Videos   
    Thanks. I criticize IOC a lot, but in my opinion they are doing a good job at making the olympics more of a 24/7 thing. Personally i would really like if they would accompany as many athletes as possible in their preparation for the next olympic games. I think if you want people to get more interested in athletes, you have to give people the chance to get to know those athletes better and not just at the olympics. Also i would like them to make documentaries about sports in different countries. For example about speed skating in the Netherlands or fencing in Italy. Another interesting thing might be a weekly/monthly show about how the preparations of the host city are going (what happened in the last week/month).
  12. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Dennis in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    I think their first spot is safe. I don't see any chance for the US, but maybe Russia can do it. Russia has a lot of potential to improve on their gold medal count in speed skating, biathlon and women's cross-country skiing. The norwegian dominance in women's cross-country skiing might end, but i think they have a very bright future in speed skating (especially on the men's side), nordic combined, alpine skiing (especially on the men's side) and of course biathlon. No other nation than Germany has won more than 11 golds at the last 3 olympics and i think Germany doesn't have the potential to win many more golds, while Norway will probably win 12+ golds even if they completely flop. I think climate change will lead to their dominance in sports like biathlon, cross-country skiing or alpine skiing becoming even bigger. The exciting part is that noone can really make any solid predictions about what will happen in 4 years. 4 years ago absolutely noone would have predicted Schouten and Roeiseland to become this dominant.
  13. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from maestro in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    Overall a better than expected result for Germany, although some sports (mainly snowboard and ski jumping) still underperformed. Cross-country skiing and skeleton were probably the biggest overperformers. I think this is pretty much the ceiling for Germany for now and it is almost incredible for Germany to be doing this good while being pretty much nonexistant in the sports with the most medals (alpine skiing, cross-country skiing, biathlon, short track, speed skating, freestyle skiing, snowboard)*. There is some hope in some of those sports (as always), but i don't expect the german medal tally in those sports to be much better in 4 years so the german success probably will again mainly depend on the material in sliding events.
     
    Some medal statistics:
    Number of different sports countries medalled in:
    Russia: 10
    Canada/Norway/Germany: 9
    Italy/USA: 8
    Japan: 7
    France/Austria/Sweden/China: 6
     
    Number of different sports countries won a gold medal in:
    Norway/Germany/Sweden: 6
    USA/China: 5
    Canada: 4
    Austria/France/Japan: 3
    Russia/Netherlands/Switzerland/Italy/Finland/New Zealand: 2
     
    Athletes with the most golds:
    J. Boe 4
    Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Schouten/Johaug 3
    (17 athletes had 2 golds)
     
    Athletes with the most medals:
    J. Boe/Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Fillon Maillet 5
    Schouten/T. Boe/Klaebo/Schulting/Takagi 4
    Johaug/Latypov/Dahlqvist/Shaogang Liu/Weidemann/Sundling/I. Niskanen/Nepryaeva/Eckhoff/Dubois/E. Öberg/Fontana/Minjeong Choi/Strolz/Gu/Grabaak
     
    Interesting that:
    a) Two dutch athletes won 4 medals while no german/american/swiss athlete won more than 2 medals
    b) An athlete from Hungary won more medals than the most successful german/american athlete
     
     
    Edit*: I just looked at the distribution of german (gold) medals:
    Number of medal events in alpine skiing + biathlon + cross-country skiing + freestyle skiing + short track + snowboard + speed skating: 81
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 6 (2)
     
    Number of medals events in all other sports: 27
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 21 (10)
  14. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Ted in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    1) I think your trend in speed skating at the olympics is negative (2014 -> 2018 -> 2022). The Netherlands should remain dominant, but not sure by how much.
    2) A medal in a 4th sport (snowboard) wasn't impossible and your prospects there look good. Not sure about skeleton though. So again winning medals in at least 3 different sports in 2026 looks definitely realistic.
  15. Thanks
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Ted in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    I think their first spot is safe. I don't see any chance for the US, but maybe Russia can do it. Russia has a lot of potential to improve on their gold medal count in speed skating, biathlon and women's cross-country skiing. The norwegian dominance in women's cross-country skiing might end, but i think they have a very bright future in speed skating (especially on the men's side), nordic combined, alpine skiing (especially on the men's side) and of course biathlon. No other nation than Germany has won more than 11 golds at the last 3 olympics and i think Germany doesn't have the potential to win many more golds, while Norway will probably win 12+ golds even if they completely flop. I think climate change will lead to their dominance in sports like biathlon, cross-country skiing or alpine skiing becoming even bigger. The exciting part is that noone can really make any solid predictions about what will happen in 4 years. 4 years ago absolutely noone would have predicted Schouten and Roeiseland to become this dominant.
  16. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Styrka in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    Overall a better than expected result for Germany, although some sports (mainly snowboard and ski jumping) still underperformed. Cross-country skiing and skeleton were probably the biggest overperformers. I think this is pretty much the ceiling for Germany for now and it is almost incredible for Germany to be doing this good while being pretty much nonexistant in the sports with the most medals (alpine skiing, cross-country skiing, biathlon, short track, speed skating, freestyle skiing, snowboard)*. There is some hope in some of those sports (as always), but i don't expect the german medal tally in those sports to be much better in 4 years so the german success probably will again mainly depend on the material in sliding events.
     
    Some medal statistics:
    Number of different sports countries medalled in:
    Russia: 10
    Canada/Norway/Germany: 9
    Italy/USA: 8
    Japan: 7
    France/Austria/Sweden/China: 6
     
    Number of different sports countries won a gold medal in:
    Norway/Germany/Sweden: 6
    USA/China: 5
    Canada: 4
    Austria/France/Japan: 3
    Russia/Netherlands/Switzerland/Italy/Finland/New Zealand: 2
     
    Athletes with the most golds:
    J. Boe 4
    Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Schouten/Johaug 3
    (17 athletes had 2 golds)
     
    Athletes with the most medals:
    J. Boe/Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Fillon Maillet 5
    Schouten/T. Boe/Klaebo/Schulting/Takagi 4
    Johaug/Latypov/Dahlqvist/Shaogang Liu/Weidemann/Sundling/I. Niskanen/Nepryaeva/Eckhoff/Dubois/E. Öberg/Fontana/Minjeong Choi/Strolz/Gu/Grabaak
     
    Interesting that:
    a) Two dutch athletes won 4 medals while no german/american/swiss athlete won more than 2 medals
    b) An athlete from Hungary won more medals than the most successful german/american athlete
     
     
    Edit*: I just looked at the distribution of german (gold) medals:
    Number of medal events in alpine skiing + biathlon + cross-country skiing + freestyle skiing + short track + snowboard + speed skating: 81
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 6 (2)
     
    Number of medals events in all other sports: 27
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 21 (10)
  17. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Henry_Leon in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    Overall a better than expected result for Germany, although some sports (mainly snowboard and ski jumping) still underperformed. Cross-country skiing and skeleton were probably the biggest overperformers. I think this is pretty much the ceiling for Germany for now and it is almost incredible for Germany to be doing this good while being pretty much nonexistant in the sports with the most medals (alpine skiing, cross-country skiing, biathlon, short track, speed skating, freestyle skiing, snowboard)*. There is some hope in some of those sports (as always), but i don't expect the german medal tally in those sports to be much better in 4 years so the german success probably will again mainly depend on the material in sliding events.
     
    Some medal statistics:
    Number of different sports countries medalled in:
    Russia: 10
    Canada/Norway/Germany: 9
    Italy/USA: 8
    Japan: 7
    France/Austria/Sweden/China: 6
     
    Number of different sports countries won a gold medal in:
    Norway/Germany/Sweden: 6
    USA/China: 5
    Canada: 4
    Austria/France/Japan: 3
    Russia/Netherlands/Switzerland/Italy/Finland/New Zealand: 2
     
    Athletes with the most golds:
    J. Boe 4
    Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Schouten/Johaug 3
    (17 athletes had 2 golds)
     
    Athletes with the most medals:
    J. Boe/Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Fillon Maillet 5
    Schouten/T. Boe/Klaebo/Schulting/Takagi 4
    Johaug/Latypov/Dahlqvist/Shaogang Liu/Weidemann/Sundling/I. Niskanen/Nepryaeva/Eckhoff/Dubois/E. Öberg/Fontana/Minjeong Choi/Strolz/Gu/Grabaak
     
    Interesting that:
    a) Two dutch athletes won 4 medals while no german/american/swiss athlete won more than 2 medals
    b) An athlete from Hungary won more medals than the most successful german/american athlete
     
     
    Edit*: I just looked at the distribution of german (gold) medals:
    Number of medal events in alpine skiing + biathlon + cross-country skiing + freestyle skiing + short track + snowboard + speed skating: 81
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 6 (2)
     
    Number of medals events in all other sports: 27
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 21 (10)
  18. Thanks
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Ted in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    Overall a better than expected result for Germany, although some sports (mainly snowboard and ski jumping) still underperformed. Cross-country skiing and skeleton were probably the biggest overperformers. I think this is pretty much the ceiling for Germany for now and it is almost incredible for Germany to be doing this good while being pretty much nonexistant in the sports with the most medals (alpine skiing, cross-country skiing, biathlon, short track, speed skating, freestyle skiing, snowboard)*. There is some hope in some of those sports (as always), but i don't expect the german medal tally in those sports to be much better in 4 years so the german success probably will again mainly depend on the material in sliding events.
     
    Some medal statistics:
    Number of different sports countries medalled in:
    Russia: 10
    Canada/Norway/Germany: 9
    Italy/USA: 8
    Japan: 7
    France/Austria/Sweden/China: 6
     
    Number of different sports countries won a gold medal in:
    Norway/Germany/Sweden: 6
    USA/China: 5
    Canada: 4
    Austria/France/Japan: 3
    Russia/Netherlands/Switzerland/Italy/Finland/New Zealand: 2
     
    Athletes with the most golds:
    J. Boe 4
    Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Schouten/Johaug 3
    (17 athletes had 2 golds)
     
    Athletes with the most medals:
    J. Boe/Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Fillon Maillet 5
    Schouten/T. Boe/Klaebo/Schulting/Takagi 4
    Johaug/Latypov/Dahlqvist/Shaogang Liu/Weidemann/Sundling/I. Niskanen/Nepryaeva/Eckhoff/Dubois/E. Öberg/Fontana/Minjeong Choi/Strolz/Gu/Grabaak
     
    Interesting that:
    a) Two dutch athletes won 4 medals while no german/american/swiss athlete won more than 2 medals
    b) An athlete from Hungary won more medals than the most successful german/american athlete
     
     
    Edit*: I just looked at the distribution of german (gold) medals:
    Number of medal events in alpine skiing + biathlon + cross-country skiing + freestyle skiing + short track + snowboard + speed skating: 81
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 6 (2)
     
    Number of medals events in all other sports: 27
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 21 (10)
  19. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from De_Gambassi in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    Overall a better than expected result for Germany, although some sports (mainly snowboard and ski jumping) still underperformed. Cross-country skiing and skeleton were probably the biggest overperformers. I think this is pretty much the ceiling for Germany for now and it is almost incredible for Germany to be doing this good while being pretty much nonexistant in the sports with the most medals (alpine skiing, cross-country skiing, biathlon, short track, speed skating, freestyle skiing, snowboard)*. There is some hope in some of those sports (as always), but i don't expect the german medal tally in those sports to be much better in 4 years so the german success probably will again mainly depend on the material in sliding events.
     
    Some medal statistics:
    Number of different sports countries medalled in:
    Russia: 10
    Canada/Norway/Germany: 9
    Italy/USA: 8
    Japan: 7
    France/Austria/Sweden/China: 6
     
    Number of different sports countries won a gold medal in:
    Norway/Germany/Sweden: 6
    USA/China: 5
    Canada: 4
    Austria/France/Japan: 3
    Russia/Netherlands/Switzerland/Italy/Finland/New Zealand: 2
     
    Athletes with the most golds:
    J. Boe 4
    Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Schouten/Johaug 3
    (17 athletes had 2 golds)
     
    Athletes with the most medals:
    J. Boe/Bolshunov/Roeiseland/Fillon Maillet 5
    Schouten/T. Boe/Klaebo/Schulting/Takagi 4
    Johaug/Latypov/Dahlqvist/Shaogang Liu/Weidemann/Sundling/I. Niskanen/Nepryaeva/Eckhoff/Dubois/E. Öberg/Fontana/Minjeong Choi/Strolz/Gu/Grabaak
     
    Interesting that:
    a) Two dutch athletes won 4 medals while no german/american/swiss athlete won more than 2 medals
    b) An athlete from Hungary won more medals than the most successful german/american athlete
     
     
    Edit*: I just looked at the distribution of german (gold) medals:
    Number of medal events in alpine skiing + biathlon + cross-country skiing + freestyle skiing + short track + snowboard + speed skating: 81
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 6 (2)
     
    Number of medals events in all other sports: 27
    Number of german (gold) medals in those events: 21 (10)
  20. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Dennis in Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Medal Count   
    Pretty interesting to look at the number of different sports nations won medals in. The following nations won medals in 3 different sports:
    Australia
    Slovenia
    Netherlands
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    ...
    Switzerland (and without Scherrer's bronze in men's snowboard halfpipe, they only would have won medals in 2 different sports)
     
    Also here is the list of nations that have won medals in more different sports than Italy: Norway, Russia, Canada
  21. Wow!
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from maestro in Cross-Country Skiing at the Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022   
    Pretty crazy that the 3 same nations won the medals in all women's biathlon/cross-country team events and that Norway wasn't one of those nations:
    Cross-country skiing relay: Russia - Germany - Sweden
    Cross-country skiing team sprint: Germany - Sweden - Russia
    Biathlon relay: Sweden - Russia - Germany
     
    All those nations have the exact same medal tally. Who would have thought that Germany would win 3 more medals than Norway in those events?
     
    Edit: Also pretty surprising that 3 female cross-country skiers (Sundling, Dahlqvist, Nepryayeva) will end the games with at least as many medals as Johaug. If Johaug doesn't win a medal in her last race (unlikely), she will end the olympics with the same number of medals as Victoria Carl and Katharina Hennig.
  22. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from maestro in Bobsleigh at the Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022   
    I am all for it, but only if they do the same in all other sports where the material is decisive (track cycling, cross-country skiing, biathlon, ski jumping, speed skating and so on).
  23. Like
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from NearPup in Bobsleigh at the Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022   
    I am all for it, but only if they do the same in all other sports where the material is decisive (track cycling, cross-country skiing, biathlon, ski jumping, speed skating and so on).
  24. Wow!
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Ted in Cross-Country Skiing at the Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022   
    Pretty crazy that the 3 same nations won the medals in all women's biathlon/cross-country team events and that Norway wasn't one of those nations:
    Cross-country skiing relay: Russia - Germany - Sweden
    Cross-country skiing team sprint: Germany - Sweden - Russia
    Biathlon relay: Sweden - Russia - Germany
     
    All those nations have the exact same medal tally. Who would have thought that Germany would win 3 more medals than Norway in those events?
     
    Edit: Also pretty surprising that 3 female cross-country skiers (Sundling, Dahlqvist, Nepryayeva) will end the games with at least as many medals as Johaug. If Johaug doesn't win a medal in her last race (unlikely), she will end the olympics with the same number of medals as Victoria Carl and Katharina Hennig.
  25. Haha
    OlympicsFan got a reaction from Ted in Freestyle Skiing at the Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022   
    Might have been one of the most predictable golds. Quite shocking that Smith didn’t win gold yesterday. Alpine skiing has shown that Switzerland has superior material. If you put a retarded toddler on swiss skis, he/she would probably still medal.
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