After the end of this qualification window, 20 tickets remain. 15 will go to UEFA nations, 3 to CONCACAF nations and 2 from the inter-confederation play-offs. Let's take a look at the status of everyone.
UEFA
Group A
is guaranteed to make the second round thanks to its performance from the Nations League, but will look to qualify outright in November. They'll have what should be an easy match against then facing off against who grabbed a shocking 2-0 win in their first meeting. Can they repeat that performance again? Before that they'll have to face who is still in the mix. That match is more critical for Slovakia as Northern Ireland could fall on to its Nations League performance and reach the second round regardless of these results.
Group B
is guaranteed to make the second round and is the big favourite to qualify directly. is in a good position to make the next round, but their match against will be critical. A draw is all they need, but a loss gives the opportunity to steal second place on the final day. has a chance to finish second in the group, but even if they don't they'll likely qualify to the second round thanks to their Nations League performance.
Group C
and are guaranteed to make the second round. The direct qualifier will likely be decided on the final day as the two teams face off against each other. Denmark currently has the better goal differential so it'll probably be up to Scotland to push for the win.
Group D
is guaranteed to make the second round thanks to its performance from the Nations League, but would need everything to go against them to make at least top 2 in the group. The match between France and is very important to decide the group winner. If Ukraine fails to win then their final match against will decide who makes it to round 2. is technically alive, but would require everything to go their way, including scoring double digit goals in their last two games to reach the second round.
Group E
is guaranteed to finish top 2 in the group. While they may have to wait until their final match against to qualify, they are in a very good position. At this point they would have to lose by 6 goals or more to not qualify, assuming they defeat . Georgia still has a chance to make the second round, but needs a lot to go their way.
Group F
is guaranteed to finish top 2 in the group and is the huge favourite to finish top and qualify directly. Second place is more open with in the driver's seat as they face both and . If Hungary gets a single win then it forces Ireland/Armenia to get a result against Portugal. Of course, it is entirely possible for Hungary to only get 0 or 1 point in the final two games.
Group G
is guaranteed to finish top 2. Their match against may qualify them with a win, but even a loss would still put them in a good position thanks to have 13 higher goal differential over Poland. Poland is in a very good position for at least second in the group. They would have to loss both of their final games (which includes Malta) while would have to defeat Malta and make up the goal differential.
Group H
Lots to play for in this group as three nations fight for the top 2. plays both and meaning those two matches will have huge implications on who qualifies. Bosnia likely needs to win both matches to finish first as Austria and Romania have much easier opponents. A single victory will allow them to reach the second round. Despite being in third, Romania will likely make the second round regardless due to the Nations League performance. Speaking of Nations League performances, has a chance at advancing to the second round if things go their way (including Romania finishing in top 2).
Group I
and are guaranteed to finish in the top 2. The two face off in the final match, but unless Italy beats by 10 goals the goal differential might be too much. Speaking of Moldova, they also have a chance to advance to the second round via Nations League performance if other results go their way.
Group J
is in an excellent position to win the group, all they need is a single victory against the bottom two teams. is currently guaranteed to make the second round via Nations League performance. They have two remaining matches, including against on the final day. There's a goal differential, but it's definitely coverable. If Wales does manage to win and move into second place, North Macedonia would then be in a good position to still make the second round via Nations League performance.
Group K
is already qualified to the World Cup. Second place is between and . Albania has a 1 point advantage which means Serbia needs to get a result against England to have a chance. It might even have to be a victory as goal differential isn't on Serbia's side.
Group L
is guaranteed to finish top 2 and only needs a single point to qualify to the World Cup. is currently guaranteed to make the second round via Nations League performance, but with Gibraltar as their final opponent, they should finish in second. Should they somehow fail then would need a result against Croatia to sneak into second.
CONCACAF
Group A
This is a very chaotic group, with all four nations still well alive. play for their final two matches. Given 4/8 matches so far were draws, any win would be a massive boost. Due to being slightly behind El Salvador will need to grab at least 1 win and a draw.
Group B
leads the group, but has already faced off against bottom level Bermuda. This likely means they will need to defeat on the final day, which they failed to do last time. is also relevant and may make the World Cup directly if they can grab the win over Jamaica.
Group C
leads the group, but may need a result against rivals to qualify directly to the World Cup. may make it interesting if they can score the upset against Costa Rica, but would need to have things go their way to win the group.
Inter-confederation Playoffs
So far 2/6 teams have qualified, (ranked: 77th) and (ranked: 150th)
The African representative will be between (ranked: 52nd), (ranked: 60th), (ranked: 79th), and (ranked: 45th)
The Asian representative will be between (ranked: 58th) and (ranked: 67th)
CONCACAF will have 2 representatives with 11 nations having a chance to be here.
The two highest ranked nations will receive a bye and will get to compete directly for the quota while the other four nations will have to face each other first. New Caledonia will obviously not be getting a bye while Bolivia will either need to greatly improve their ranking or hope Gabon and two low ranked CONCACAF nations qualify to the playoffs. Looking at the CONCACAF options, (ranked: 29th), (ranked: 47th), (ranked: 65th), or (ranked: 69th) might be seeded should they qualify to the playoffs, while the others would not and we would then likely see Africa and Asia as the two seeded teams.