I agree on Modern Pentathlon, both quotas should be easy to get. Same goes for Women's Seven's, although Spain will put up quite the challenge. I think Ireland pip the men to the quota, however this won't be too bad as we should get it via the world qualifier.
Llewellin and Coward-Holley will get their well deserved quotas, with Gowin and Heading also being in with a good shot (no pun intended).
Don't know too much about the boxing either but expect us to sweep up most, if not all, of the quotas with a mix of returning athletes from Tokyo and previous qualification cycles and some high quality newcomers.
Don't expect much from the divers as it's quite an inexperienced team, probably only get 2 quotas here. Artistic swimming will give it a go, but will ultimately fall short to the likes of Italy and Ukraine.
Despite matching your concerns, I do think the women will pull it together and get the quota. The same won't be said for the men and our b-boy in Breaking (can't remember if it's Brummit or Sunny).