JoshMartini007 2,241 Posted January 31 #91 Share Posted January 31 1 hour ago, Federer91 said: Usually 7-8 golds are enough for top 10 in the medal table, but with Russia having almost no participation, the threshold could rise to 10 golds. Perhaps, but there's a considerable drop from the top 9. The tenth rank nation could have 10+ fewer total medals than the 9th rank. Unless they get lucky with golds they will struggle to break double digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rafa Maciel 1,357 Posted January 31 #92 Share Posted January 31 3 hours ago, mpjmcevoy said: My bad!! Tony Roberts. Climber Yeah I wouldn't have got that any time soon - and unfortunately now all I keep hearing in my mind is the guy from Only Fools and Horses shouting "Gary!" (That reference will mean nothing to a lot of international posters) mpjmcevoy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antooo 28 Posted February 1 #93 Share Posted February 1 8 hours ago, TeamGB said: @Rafa Maciel Do you know where to find the specific medal breakdown? I remember that for the previous Olympics it was possible to see the details of the medals for each discipline so idk why now, gracenote doesnt publish it... Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rafa Maciel 1,357 Posted March 10 #94 Share Posted March 10 Was so distracted by random boxing federation Facebook pages that I missed the latest update to the Gracenote prediction. Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - February 2024 NOC Gold Silver Bronze Total Change Since Last Release 37 37 47 121 Drops 8 medals in total with 9 fewer silver medals being offset by 1 additional bronze. At 121, this is the lowest number of medals projected since the table was initiated. 37 28 22 85 No change in the total number of medals but it does include 2 additional gold medals. 27 14 11 52 Down 1 medal overall but Gold increase by 1 17 9 13 39 An increase of 4 medals in total including 1 gold and 3 Bronze medals. Sees NED moving up to 4th in the table from 6th last month. 16 24 25 65 Up 1 medal overall but total number of Gold drops by 1 which is offset by 2 additional Silver medals. 15 17 24 53 Drops 3 medals overall as few bronze medals are won. 2 Golds are downgraded to Silver. 14 16 17 47 No change in the overall number of medals but team projected to win 1 additional Gold and 4 Silver. 9 15 19 43 Gains 4 medals in total but 1 Gold is downgraded to Silver. 9 2 7 18 Small overall volume (would be ranked 13th by volume) moves into the top 10 by virtue of the fact that half of their projected medals are Gold 8 21 17 46 The biggest shift in the projection this month - although the overall total is down just 2, It's 7 fewer Golds with 4 downgraded to Silver. Huge caveat here - I think it is safe to assume that the projection has been heavily impacted by the results of the Doha World Aquatic Championships hence the big drop in the Gold volume which is unlikely to be the case when we get to Paris. Josh and dullard 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LuizGuilherme 202 Posted March 10 #95 Share Posted March 10 17 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said: Was so distracted by random boxing federation Facebook pages that I missed the latest update to the Gracenote prediction. Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - February 2024 NOC Gold Silver Bronze Total Change Since Last Release 37 37 47 121 Drops 8 medals in total with 9 fewer silver medals being offset by 1 additional bronze. At 121, this is the lowest number of medals projected since the table was initiated. 37 28 22 85 No change in the total number of medals but it does include 2 additional gold medals. 27 14 11 52 Down 1 medal overall but Gold increase by 1 17 9 13 39 An increase of 4 medals in total including 1 gold and 3 Bronze medals. Sees NED moving up to 4th in the table from 6th last month. 16 24 25 65 Up 1 medal overall but total number of Gold drops by 1 which is offset by 2 additional Silver medals. 15 17 24 53 Drops 3 medals overall as few bronze medals are won. 2 Golds are downgraded to Silver. 14 16 17 47 No change in the overall number of medals but team projected to win 1 additional Gold and 4 Silver. 9 15 19 43 Gains 4 medals in total but 1 Gold is downgraded to Silver. 9 2 7 18 Small overall volume (would be ranked 13th by volume) moves into the top 10 by virtue of the fact that half of their projected medals are Gold 8 21 17 46 The biggest shift in the projection this month - although the overall total is down just 2, It's 7 fewer Golds with 4 downgraded to Silver. Huge caveat here - I think it is safe to assume that the projection has been heavily impacted by the results of the Doha World Aquatic Championships hence the big drop in the Gold volume which is unlikely to be the case when we get to Paris. At the moment i think Brazil gonna win onle one or two Gold medals, our chance. We have a lot of good shots for medals, but no one of them (maybe surdina?) looks favourite for a Gold medal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 5,983 Posted March 10 #96 Share Posted March 10 (edited) 24 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said: Was so distracted by random boxing federation Facebook pages that I missed the latest update to the Gracenote prediction. Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - February 2024 NOC Gold Silver Bronze Total Change Since Last Release 37 37 47 121 Drops 8 medals in total with 9 fewer silver medals being offset by 1 additional bronze. At 121, this is the lowest number of medals projected since the table was initiated. 37 28 22 85 No change in the total number of medals but it does include 2 additional gold medals. 27 14 11 52 Down 1 medal overall but Gold increase by 1 17 9 13 39 An increase of 4 medals in total including 1 gold and 3 Bronze medals. Sees NED moving up to 4th in the table from 6th last month. 16 24 25 65 Up 1 medal overall but total number of Gold drops by 1 which is offset by 2 additional Silver medals. 15 17 24 53 Drops 3 medals overall as few bronze medals are won. 2 Golds are downgraded to Silver. 14 16 17 47 No change in the overall number of medals but team projected to win 1 additional Gold and 4 Silver. 9 15 19 43 Gains 4 medals in total but 1 Gold is downgraded to Silver. 9 2 7 18 Small overall volume (would be ranked 13th by volume) moves into the top 10 by virtue of the fact that half of their projected medals are Gold 8 21 17 46 The biggest shift in the projection this month - although the overall total is down just 2, It's 7 fewer Golds with 4 downgraded to Silver. Huge caveat here - I think it is safe to assume that the projection has been heavily impacted by the results of the Doha World Aquatic Championships hence the big drop in the Gold volume which is unlikely to be the case when we get to Paris. is only projected to finish with 4 golds and 20 total, but I’m assuming it’s also because of the inflated results of the Doha World Aquatic Championships. Edited March 10 by Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshi 91 Posted March 10 #97 Share Posted March 10 On 2/1/2024 at 1:41 AM, Rafa Maciel said: Gracenote's gold medal projections for seem uncontroversial (although the keirin is always a bit of a lottery): Men's Rugby 7's Team Women's Rugby 7's Team Women's Keirin: Ellesse Andrews Canoe Sprint - Women's K1 500m: Lisa Carrington I doubt the NZ Mens 7s team will be winning gold or even medalling. But I can however see Lisa Carrington contributing to 3 gold medals however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rafa Maciel 1,357 Posted March 10 #98 Share Posted March 10 3 minutes ago, Joshi said: I doubt the NZ Mens 7s team will be winning gold or even medalling. But I can however see Lisa Carrington contributing to 3 gold medals however. I'd be surprised if they didn't medal - they won 5 of the HSBC 7's events in the '22/'23 season (which I assume was the results used for Gracenote's prediction). Granted their form hasn't been as dominant this season, but they have still managed to medal in 2 out of the 5 rounds so far. Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinipereira 3,060 Posted March 10 #99 Share Posted March 10 51 minutes ago, LuizGuilherme said: At the moment i think Brazil gonna win onle one or two Gold medals, our chance. We have a lot of good shots for medals, but no one of them (maybe surdina?) looks favourite for a Gold medal. I agree but I hope for at least 4 gold medals, which would be better than the 3 of 2008/2012. No way we can repeat the 7 golds of 2016/2020. Don't know what names/teams Gracenote is predicting for gold but maybe they were considering another one in Football which won't happen since the team didn't even qualify. Rebeca will only win a gold if Biles somehow fails in Vault. Isaquias, Ana Marcela, Martine/Kahena are not as regular as before and probably will contend for bronze. I guess Beach Volleyball/Surfing/Skateboarding are our best chances but nothing too sure. Maybe another surprising gold in Boxing or even Judo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rafa Maciel 1,357 Posted April 8 #100 Share Posted April 8 With the Swimming Champs done, I've got time to look at some of the reporting ahead of the Olympics as media outlets begin to consider medal prospects. These are the predicted athletics medalists (track only) from Pulse Sports - a Kenyan media outlet. Please don't shoot the messenger - this isn't an endorsement of their prediction. I share it purely for information and discussion. Men's 100m: Noah Lyles Ferdinand Omanyala Letsile Tebogo Men's 200m: Noah Lyles Letsile Tebogo Zharnel Hughes Men's 400m: Steven Gardiner Antonio Watson Muzala Samukonga Men's 800m: Emmanuel Wanyonyi Marco Arop Emmanuel Korir Men's 1500m: Jakob Ingebrigtsen Josh Kerr Yared Nuguse Men's 5000m: Jakob Ingebrigtsen Jacob Krop Yomif Kejelcha Men's 10000m: Joshua Cheptegei Jacob Kiplimo Daniel Simiu Men's 3000m Steeple: Soufiane El Bakkali Lamecha Girma Simon Koech Men's 110m Hurdles: Grant Holloway Hansle Parchment Rasheed Broadbell Men's 400m Hurdles: Karsten Warholm Rai Benjamin Alison Dos Santos Men's Marathon: Benson Kipruto Sisay Lemma Eliud Kipchoge Women's 100m: Sha'Carri Richardson Elaine Thompson-Herah Shelly-Anne Fraser-Pryce Women's 200m: Shericka Jackson Elaine Thompson-Herah Gabby Thomas Women's 400m: Shaunae Miller-Uibo Marileidy Paulino Salwa Eid Naser Women's 800m: Mary Moraa Aithing Mu Keely Hodgkinson Women's 1500m: Faith Kipyegon Women's 5000m: Faith Kipyegon Beatrice Chebet Letesenbet Gidey Women's 10000m: Gudaf Tsegay Letesenbet Gidey Sifan Hassan Women's 3000m Steeple: Beatrice Chepkoech Winifred Yavi Faith Cherotich Men's 110m Hurdles: Tobi Amusan Deveyne Charlton Cyrena Samba-Mayela Men's 400m Hurdles: Femke Bol Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone Rushell Clayton Women's Marathon: Tigst Assefa Peres Jepchirchir Amane Beriso Benolympique, Josh and Jinzha 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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