Dennis

On December 13th we should be 99,9% certain as the final World Cup that counts towards the Olympic Qualification Rankings will finish on December 12th. Everything will be official by December 24th when the ISU will publish it's final provisional quota list. NOCs have to confirm these quotas by January 16th.
 
However, on the 10k Van der Poel is already 100% certain as the qualification works as follows:
 
The top 8 in the combined World Cup standings over 5k and 10k after the first 4 World Cup weekends will qualify directly with a maximum of 2 per NOC  The remaining skaters can qualify by skating one of the 4 fastest times over 10k during one of the 4 first World Cup weekends (with no more than 2 quota in total through option 1 and 2 combined per NOC). Nils will most likely qualify through option 1. However, the only 10k skated during the first 4 World Cup weekends was skated last week and he obliterated the competition by finishing more than 17 seconds in front of #2. So if some miracle happens and he will fall outside of the top 8 in the World Cup standings, he will always qualify based on time.
 
On the 5k, he is 99,9% certain as the top 14 in the World Cup standings as of mid December will qualify. He is currently ranked #1 with 120 points. In previous seasons, somewhere between 105 - 115 points was sufficient to be in the top 14 after 4 World Cup weekends. If a miracle happens and he falls outside of the top 14, he can still qualify based on time. Besides the top 14, 6 additional skaters will qualify based on season best times skated during a World Cup. Nils currently leads that time ranking, but a 5k will be skated in both Salt Lake City and Calgary, which are the fastest 2 tracks in the world.

Yes, you are right. China just needs to finish and not get disqualified during any of the following World Cup events. Right now they’re not on the reserve list as they have 0 points and no valid best time. 

According to my calculations these are the provisional quota's per NOC after World Cup 1 out of 4:
 
Men:
 
NOC Max # of different skaters 500m 1.000m 1.500m 3.000m 5.000m Mass Start Team Pursuit
4     1 1 1 1   5 2 1 1     1   8 3 3 3 2 2 1 3 7 3 2 2       3 1           1   1           1   1 1             2 1 1           3       1   2   2   1 1         7 2 2 1 1 1 1   8 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 7 3 3 3 1   1 3 4   2 1     1   7 2 3 2     1 3 1           1   9 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 8 2 2 3 2 2 1 3 2     1     1   7 2 2 2     2   7 2 2 2 3 2 2   3     1 1       2       1 1     1 1             7 1 2 2 2   2 3 *10.000m ranking is purely based on current combined World Cup standings over 5.000m/10.000m. Next week, the only 10.000m will be skated.
 
Total maximum number of different skaters is now 114, though only 83 different skaters per gender may start.
 
Reserves per distance (in order):
 
500m:        
1.000m:        
1.500m:         
5.000m:          
Mass Start:        
Team Pursuit:    
 
 currently first reserve on two distances. As long as I can remember, they've always qualified multiple skaters, so it would be a pity to see them missing out. I'm also hoping for  Gabriel Odor to qualify on the men's 1.500m and/or mass start.  also just outside of the qualifying spots
 
 only 2 skaters currently ranked high enough for a direct quotum on the 500m, which is probably the biggest surprise. .

According to my calculations these are the provisional quota's per NOC after World Cup 1 out of 4:
 
Women:
 
NOC Max # of different skaters 500m 1.000m 1.500m 3.000m 5.000m Mass Start Team Pursuit
1 1            
3 1 1       1  
7 1 1   2 1 1 3 8 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 7 2 3 2 2 1 2   7   1 2 2 1 2   3 1 1 1         7 2 2 2     1   4     1 1 1 1   8 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 6 1 1 2 1   1   7 2 2 1     2   9 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 6 1 1 1 1 1   3 7 2 2 2     2 3 8 3 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 1 1           2   1       1   3 1 1 1         7 3 2 2 1   2 3 *5.000m ranking is purely based on current combined World Cup standings over 3.000m/5.000m. Next week, the only 5.000m will be skated.
 
Total maximum number of different skaters is now 112, though only 83 different skaters per gender may start. However, many countries will probably let several skaters skate multiple distances, i.e.  will use only Sablikova and Zdrahalova (and maybe Kursova) to fill their 7 quota. 
 
Reserves per distance (in order):
 
500m:      
1.000m:       
1.500m:    
3.000m:         
Mass Start:        
Team Pursuit:  
 
 is the biggest country missing as Vanessa Herzog is injured. Hopefully she'll return in December to secure her spot.
 

According to my calculations these are the provisional quota's per NOC after World Cup 1 out of 4:
 
Men:
 
NOC Max # of different skaters 500m 1.000m 1.500m 3.000m 5.000m Mass Start Team Pursuit
4     1 1 1 1   5 2 1 1     1   8 3 3 3 2 2 1 3 7 3 2 2       3 1           1   1           1   1 1             2 1 1           3       1   2   2   1 1         7 2 2 1 1 1 1   8 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 7 3 3 3 1   1 3 4   2 1     1   7 2 3 2     1 3 1           1   9 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 8 2 2 3 2 2 1 3 2     1     1   7 2 2 2     2   7 2 2 2 3 2 2   3     1 1       2       1 1     1 1             7 1 2 2 2   2 3 *10.000m ranking is purely based on current combined World Cup standings over 5.000m/10.000m. Next week, the only 10.000m will be skated.
 
Total maximum number of different skaters is now 114, though only 83 different skaters per gender may start.
 
Reserves per distance (in order):
 
500m:        
1.000m:        
1.500m:         
5.000m:          
Mass Start:        
Team Pursuit:    
 
 currently first reserve on two distances. As long as I can remember, they've always qualified multiple skaters, so it would be a pity to see them missing out. I'm also hoping for  Gabriel Odor to qualify on the men's 1.500m and/or mass start.  also just outside of the qualifying spots
 
 only 2 skaters currently ranked high enough for a direct quotum on the 500m, which is probably the biggest surprise. .

According to my calculations these are the provisional quota's per NOC after World Cup 1 out of 4:
 
Women:
 
NOC Max # of different skaters 500m 1.000m 1.500m 3.000m 5.000m Mass Start Team Pursuit
1 1            
3 1 1       1  
7 1 1   2 1 1 3 8 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 7 2 3 2 2 1 2   7   1 2 2 1 2   3 1 1 1         7 2 2 2     1   4     1 1 1 1   8 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 6 1 1 2 1   1   7 2 2 1     2   9 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 6 1 1 1 1 1   3 7 2 2 2     2 3 8 3 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 1 1           2   1       1   3 1 1 1         7 3 2 2 1   2 3 *5.000m ranking is purely based on current combined World Cup standings over 3.000m/5.000m. Next week, the only 5.000m will be skated.
 
Total maximum number of different skaters is now 112, though only 83 different skaters per gender may start. However, many countries will probably let several skaters skate multiple distances, i.e.  will use only Sablikova and Zdrahalova (and maybe Kursova) to fill their 7 quota. 
 
Reserves per distance (in order):
 
500m:      
1.000m:       
1.500m:    
3.000m:         
Mass Start:        
Team Pursuit:  
 
 is the biggest country missing as Vanessa Herzog is injured. Hopefully she'll return in December to secure her spot.
 

is currently 1st reserve on the men's mass start 
 
Still 2 more world cups to go though, but that would be amazing!

is currently 1st reserve on the men's mass start 
 
Still 2 more world cups to go though, but that would be amazing!

Fun fact                                      Karolina Erbanova bronze medalist in PC 2018 speed skating 500m scored today her first goal for Czech female ice hockey National Team  in the 4:0 win over Denmark during the Olympic qualifier test match.

Kjeld Nuis just finished 4th at the Dutch National Championships on the 1.000m in 1.07,88. With that time you would've won the world title last season on the same track. 

Amazing race from Kiesenhofer! This is why I love the Olympics. It makes for such great stories!

Korea gold, though An San is not looking that good, individually she could face tough competition.
 
3 mexicans in the podium if we count Gabriela Bayardo who was born in Tijuana, same city which I live in
 
Congrats to the medal winners!

This sport is nerve wracking to watch 
 
South Korea will annihilate the Dutch team in the final, I reckon.

No need to shoot the final, I'm already pleased! Good start to the Games

First medal of the Games, cool  

Congratulations Netherlands for your first medal 

Ik heb me de afgelopen avonden uitgeleefd in Excel om een tijdschema te maken van (bijna) alle Nederlandse sporters en een aantal andere sporten die ik wil volgen. 'Bijna' omdat ik diverse voorrondes van sporten die me weinig interesseren oversla (schoonspringen, synchroonzwemmen, boksen) en paardensport volledig negeer.
 

 
(28% zoom om alles in één 29'' scherm te krijgen)
 
Lichtoranje = alleen NL als ze kwalificeren (zoals kwartfinales, halve finales)
Oranje = NLse atleten (poulefase teamsporten, series, etc.)
Donkeroranje = medaille evenementen (in geval van zwemmen/atletiek/etc. is het hele tijdblok donker ook al is er maar één finale van een minuut. incl. opening en sluiting)
Grijs = geen NLse deelname, maar leuk om te volgen (triathlon, badminton, volleybal, sportklimmen, slalomkanoën)
Het groene lijntje is 07:00 uur 's ochtends.
 
 
Kortom: heerlijke voorpret gehad!

Lacruz made it. have their first olympic boxing quota

Congrats Latvia! 

Estonia replaces them

Damn, Julie Kepp is consistent on that 50m backstroke!

Kromowidjojo  
 
That was long ago.

https://nocnsf.nl/olympische-spelen/beijing-2022/kwalificatie-eisen
 
For every sport you'll find one link to a document with the international criteria and then directly below it a link to the criteria of the Dutch NOC (all in Dutch though). Section A2 of the documents include the national criteria. For some sports like biathlon and cross-country skiing, the national criteria just state that there is no athlete who has any chance of making the Olympics and therefore no further criteria were determined. 
 
As everything is in Dutch, let me know if you need any help with translations.

Yes, unless another skater achieves a total score of 186 points twice within the qualification period. The personal best of Niki Wories is 148 points, so that's highly unlikely.
 
But great to have a Dutch figure skater at the Olympics for the first time since 1976! 

Wow, Van Zundert has actually been picked for Beijing