Preview: 2022 Commonwealth Games
Talent from around the Commonwealth has descended to Birmingham, England to compete in various sports. While COVID has caused a crowded sport schedule for 2022 where athletes have prioritized other events, Canada is still sending a relatively strong team to compete. Here’s a breakdown of each sport and the chances Canada has in each of them.
3x3 Basketball
Sadly, Canada is not sending its best 3x3 teams where they would have been favourites for gold, particularly the women. With that said, despite the lack of information, I feel Canada will have a decent chance to medal in both events.
3x3 Wheelchair will be making its world debut at the Commonwealth Games. In the 5v5 format, Australia, Canada and England are leagues better than the other nations so I’m inclined to believe the same will be true in 3x3.
Athletics
Due to the proximity of the World Championships, Canada will be missing some key athletes at the Commonwealth Games. As of this writing the only medalist competing is Camryn Rogers in women’s hammer throw where she and Jillian Weir could medal. The men’s side will also be favoured to win a medal or two along with a possibility for Evan Dunfee in the men’s 10,000m walk. Para athletes Josh Cassidy and Alex Dupont will be looking to add medals in the 1500m T54 with Cassidy also competing the marathon.
The women will have more opportunities to medal with women’s pole vault (Anicka Newell), shot put (Sarah Mitton), javelin throw (Elizabeth Gleadle) and the women’s 4x400m relay being our best opportunities.
Badminton
Canada’s best chance will come in the women’s singles while the women’s doubles will have an outside chance. A relatively easy draw would help us immensely. I’d keep an eye out for the mixed team event. We are underdogs, but we do have a chance against England for bronze. On the flip side we could lose in the quarterfinals to Singapore should we meet.
Beach Volleyball
On paper, our biggest competition in both events will be against Australia. With two of our best teams, I’d consider it a disaster if we fail to medal in either event.
Boxing
While the sport can be quite unpredictable, the one predictable thing is that Canada seems to struggle to meet our expectation. Our team is led by 2022 world champion Tammara Thibeault in the women’s middleweight. The draw will be very important as any of them can potentially medal. I’d say 3-4 medals would be considered a good haul.
Cycling
Historically, cycling at the last few games have been one of those good enough to compete, but not good enough to medal consistently. The strength of Australia, England and New Zealand along with Scotland and Wales means Canada has to be on top of their game if they want to medal.
Lucky for us this is probably our best track cycling team in a long time. Led by the women’s sprint crew we have the potential to win multiple medals. With that said it will be tough, but I am hopeful.
The road team’s chances are not as high with our best hope likely coming from Alison Jackson and Leah Kirchmann in the time trial or road race.
Diving
Despite the loss of many of our top divers we still have a pretty good team. In 2018 we won six medals and I think we are quite capable of beating that performance, thanks to two new events being added. The team will be led by two-time 2022 World Championship medalist Mia Vallee who alone will be looking for three medals. On the men’s side Rylan Wiens will be looking to accomplish the same feat.
Field Hockey
Given the strength of the field it will be unlikely for Canada to reach the semi-finals. I’m hoping at least one of our teams advances to the 5th/6th place match which is doable given the teams in our groups.
Gymnastics
Our artistic team is quite a bit weaker this time around which likely means England will dominate the medals for both the men and women. The team all-around medals are still possible, but we can just as easily finish fourth or fifth. I still expect a few individual medals, but nothing close to the nine won in 2018.
On paper, our rhythmic team is a bit better, but that’s about all I can tell you. The level of competition is quite low at the Commonwealth Games so you don’t need to be anything special to win medals. We only ended up two in 2018 so I hope we can at least surpass that.
Judo
The sport returns after taking a break in 2018. Eight years later, our team is better. We are led by Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard and have very solid chances with Francois Gauthier-Drapeau, Shady El Nahas and the Deguchi sisters. The draw will matter quite a bit if we want to reach the finals.
Lawn Bowls
I sadly do not know much about this sport, especially since top level play has been so sporadic since COVID. With that said, if Ryan Bester has maintained his form he will challenge for a medal while Jordan Kos from what I heard is an up and comer.
Rugby Sevens
Both of our teams are in rebuilding mode. The women have a better chance at a medal, but they are in a tough group and with the rise in play from Fiji, things are a lot more competitive than they were four years ago where we failed to medal.
Squash
This is another example of the level of play being too high for Canada to compete. Our highest ranked athlete is Hollie Naughton who would need probably a couple of upsets in order to win a medal in any of the three events she’s competing in.
Swimming
Despite the withdrawal of a few of our top swimmers, Canada will be sending a relatively strong team with many medal opportunities. Of course, with Australia and England prioritizing the Commonwealth Games over the World Championships, medals will be hard earned.
On the men’s side the team is led by Joshua Liendo who will be looking to win multiple medals which will be more than what Canada had in 2018. The men’s 4x100m relay will also be a medal threat. I’d also keep an eye on Finlay Knox and Javier Acevedo.
The women’s side will be led by 15 year old Summer McIntosh who will compete in four individual events. While the loss of Penny Oleksiak, Taylor Ruck, Kayla Sanchez (citizenship change) and Sydney Pickrem hurts, we still have a decent team with the likes of McIntosh, Kylie Masse and Maggie MacNeil along with our relay teams. Additionally, we could see some medals from Mary-Sophie Harvey or Tessa Cieplucha.
On the para swimming side, we have medal chances from Nicholas Bennett and Aurelie Rivard.
Table Tennis
Our hopes will be on Eugene Wang and Mo Zhang, but while the level of quality is a bit lower relative to the World Championships, there is still enough talent from England, India, Nigeria and Singapore to be more than enough of a match against Canada.
Triathlon
This is another sport where Commonwealth nations perform well. Our best chance will likely be in the mixed relay, but we would have to beat one of Australia, England or New Zealand to win. On the individual side, our top athlete will be Tyler Mislawchuk.
Weightlifting
Canada has the potential to do quite well in this sport, though the lack of international results due to COVID makes things a bit more difficult to predict. We should probably finish with more medals than what we had in 2018 (five). A really good meet could see us break 10 medals though a more sensible prediction would be 7-8.
Wrestling
While Canada may have dropped off a bit in wrestling, the good news is the level of competition at the Commonwealth Games is pretty low. India and Nigeria will be our top rivals with other nations only having decent individuals. I don’t think we will medal in all 12 events and winning gold might be a bit more difficult, but we should still end up with a good medal haul.
Overall
Canada seems to be on the path for around 75 medals. This is lower than what we had in 2018 (82 medals), but our relatively weaker athletics, gymnastics and swimming teams hold us back and the other sports won’t compensate it. Our main medal rival will be India where we may end up in a situation where we finish with more medals, but they win more gold. If gold medals become an issue like they were in 2018 we could realistically finish behind New Zealand on the medal table.