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The main reason I'm hoping for her not to win Nothing against her personally, but I do like to see champions not avoid every possible competition...

At the ACC time trial today, Chris Guiliano swam a 47.49 100m freestyle. That checks in as the 5th fastest American performer of all time. US 4x100m relay in good shape heading into this summer.

No way Favourite? Of course. Lock...in a sport like climbing where a single slip can end it? No way

@heywoodu has a point there. This thread should be closed, cause there is no such thing as "lock". 😄

And show must go on. russians filed 3(!) appeals to CAS (from ROC, national skating federation and all the team mebers including Valieva). Their demand: ROC team must be awarded with gold medals... including Kamila Valieva.

Third day of competitions ended earlier due to bad weather. Just Repechage 1 in the water for men and women. No big surprises, apart of Kaspar Hamminga already out. And Bryan Perez who looks didn't compete at this event for some unknown reason. At women's side, I was expecting to see more from Nala Lee . Tomorrow we may have the Repechage 2 and perhaps Round 3 at main round. It'll be interesting to watch, we have some cutthroat heats at this point already.

Stage 36 in Palisades Tahoe (USA) Men´s Slalom: 1. Manuel Feller 1:42.08 2. Clement Noel 1:42.36 3. Linus Strasser 1:42.46 Full Final Results HERE

Draw for both the men’s and women’s tournaments will take place on March 20 at 20:00 CET on the FIFA YouTube channel. Can’t seem to find anything regarding pots/seeding. https://www.fifa.com/about-fifa/organisation/news/paris-to-host-olympic-football-tournaments-draw-on-20-march https://m.youtube.com/@fifa/streams

Women’s team wins bronze at the HSBC Vancouver SVNS after defeating Australia 19-14! Might be in with a shot at a medal at the Olympics if they continue with this form.

I’m willing to bet my life savings that at least one of the “locks” mentioned in this thread won’t win gold xD

End of the second day, those are the closer countries to quotas Men (x3) (x2) (x1) Women (x3) (x2) (x1)

Can't wait for them to send Daddy Calzone next year

Entry lists have been released. By event, ranked by season's best By country

With the next edition of the Summer Olympics less then 6 months and yes nothing is 100% assured but as this current moment who seems to be winning gold guaranteed in Paris. Swimming Australia Woman 4x100m They smashed the world record at world championships last year in Japan. To put in perspective the fastest split form the USA team which came second was only 0.01 faster then the slowest split Australia had. An Australia B team probably wins gold. Womans 1500m Katie Ledecky No on is within 15 seconds of her enough said. Mondo Duplanits Sydney Mclaughlin China Team Table Tennis Extremely likely USA womans basketball Australia 4x200m Woman Relay

If Sky Brown does qualify she'll be the first in two different sports since 1992. And, if you discount Fencing/Modern Pentathlon and Swimming/Water Polo doubles, the first to compete in completely different sports since a member of the Greek basketball also threw the javelin in 1952

I wonder what they are smoking in Russia

I don't agree it should be closed because literal locks not existing, of course we can still discuss those who are genuinely seen as 95%+ favourites, because a few of those do exist (didn't synchronised swimming have some of those in the past years, before the Russians got banned, where the result really was basically set in stone?)

Ragnhild Mowinckel posted on IG she will retire at the end of the season.

Janja Garnbret in Sport Climbing

Danish legend Jon Dahl Tomasson is the new Head Coach for Sweden’s Men’s National Team. Good luck.

Halfway done, please bear with me

I would tend to agree that 2 & 1 would probably be a fair representation of where GB is in the sport. I do find it surprising that we don't have more female riders in the discipline though - I remember there was a lot of excitement about the event back in 2012 but it doesn't seem to have fed through into increased number of riders at the elite level.

Number of gold/silver/bronze

Argentina is proving again to be the best team in the series. Head and shoulders above the rest. Fiji is still not finding the mojo, they will be strong in Paris no doubt but I feel they will struggle to make the threepeat. For France Dupont will definitely be a X-factor. He already managed to play 14 minutes in the 6th game while being very impacteful both on defensive and offensive ends.

But there is just no way they are anywhere near a 'lock' for gold, with the rise back to the top of the Australians, the Brits who always have something extra at the Olympics and Hoogland who is going down rather than up.

Biathlon from Stockholm Olympic Stadium tonight! 1. Norge Juni Arnekleiv Vetle Sjåstad Christiansen 2. Frankrike Émilien Jacquelin Justine Braisaz-Bouchet 3. Sverige 1 Elvira Öberg Martin Ponsiluoma 4. Sverige 2 Mona Brorsson Sebastian Samuelsson 5. Tyskland Philipp Nawrath Janina Hettich-Walz 6. Österrike Simon Eder Lisa Theresa Hauser 7. Schweiz Lena Häcki-Gross Niklas Hartweg 8. Tjeckien Markéta Davidová Jonáš Mareček With VPN available on svtplay.se . Search for Skidskyttekampen

I totally forgot you could qualify a second pair through NORCECA, so +2 there for beach volleyball. Rowing is crazy but optimistic they can do it.

Think he's the oldest man. But Yekaterina Podkopayeva was 44 when she competed in 1997

Just realized Pro boxer Alexis Barrière will compete in the heavyweight event at the qualifiers. He is 11-0 at the Pro level according to this: https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/fighters/288642-alexis-barriere

Dare I say Faith Kipyegon

10/10 on architectural planning. I spent a solid hour just looking at the ruins under the museum. Who knew Ancient Greek sewage design could be so interesting? I would threaten the national supply of "Gemista" if I ever immigrated to Greece.

Even at full strength USA not the juggernaut they once were

Anne Sauer holt den Quotenplatz im Florett-Fechten...heißt aber leider auch, dass es damit gewiss ist, dass die deutschen Florett-Damen um 6 Punkte die Qualifikation für den Team-Wettbewerb verpasst hat. Bis zur Verletzung von Leonie Ebert lagen sie da eigentlich auf Kurs und danach hat es einfach nicht gereicht, um die Polinnen hinter sich zu halten. Im Säbelfechten der Männer sieht es leider auch nicht gut aus...hier sind zwar noch zwei Weltcups offen, aber sie müssten entweder die Italiener oder die Franzosen hinter sich lassen und beides ist nicht wirklich realistisch.

I don't think so. They didn't win a medal at the World Championships last year, and this year they won gold but had a few narrow wins.

2024 Winter Open Swimming Championships 2024 - Sabadell (ESP) February 21st - February 25th 2024 Meet Results The following new OQTs were achieved Men's 100m Freestyle Sergio de Celis Women's 400m Individual Medley Emma Carrasco

in the women's Foil, the Individual spots should go to: Anne Sauer (Europe) Flora Pasztor (Europe) Amita Berthier (Asia & Oceania) Maxine Isabel Esteban (Africa) Daphne Chan Nok Sze (Asia & Oceania) Arantza Inostroza (Americas)

Ireland house tickets are available- use code "TEAMIRL" for the presale. I booked the night before opening ceremonies, to watch the rugby including Ireland and then go over to Moulin Rouge next door for the late show. https://olympics.ie/team-ireland-house/

Men's Team Foil Final OQR (Discard included) 384 Q by Ranking 360 Q by Ranking 354 Q by Ranking 280 Q by Ranking _____________ 272 Q by Continental Quota (Asia) 256 220 Q by Continental Quota (Africa) 220 Q by Continental Quota (Europe) 218 185 170 168 163 152 Q by Continental Quota (Pan-America) 133 126 122

And now watch Mondo not to win gold.

The annual tends to be more "samey" with the songs, but this year does feel incredibly similar. There's maybe half dozen or a few more songs that stand out to me. Everything else is pretty much a blob.

Already voted: & * Days to vote: -9 National Jury Voting Window is Open Send your vote (via private message) at Henry_Leon @vinipereira @Federer91 @ManuCHIL @Vic Liu @Makedonas @maestro @dcro @Agger @Wanderer @Werloc @Wumo @Cobi @justony @Cinnamon Bun @Bohemia @Hipooo @OlympicIRL @Olympian1010 @Griff88 @Glen@heywoodu@Ruslan @mrv86@Roamingrover86@hckošice @NikolaB @catgamer @dezbee2008 @owenp_23 @Ionoutz24 @rybak @IoNuTzZ

I mostly agree, but I think there’s some areas where you’re underestimatin Canada. Volleyball (-12) - Despite their momentum, I don’t see our women’s volleyball team qualifying. ALSO, it’d take a big upset for us to not qualify a second pairing in women’s beach volleyball, with it being either Pavan/McBain or Bukovec/Bansley at the NORCECA Qualifier. I’d also give a solid chance to Scachter/Dearing. We’d be rooting for Diaz/Alayo and a second American pairing to qualify through the World Rankings to be almost guaranteed, but even if both are there I wouldn’t write us off. Rowing (-10) - I think you’re crazy to think that Canada will qualify 30 (!) athletes in rowing. We’ve been on a decline ever since Tokyo, and I don’t see us coming back from it in time for the Final Qualification Regatta. I’m thinking we qualify in men’s eight and men’s single sculls. Sailing (+1) - ICLA 7 quota through the Final Qualification Regatta. Shooting (+1) - Not exactly sure in which event, but I do think one of our shooters can secure a quota through a Pan American Olympic Qualifier. Lindsay Boddez in women’s trap seems the most likely, but there’s a bunch of events where we’re on the outside looking in (just as easily could fail to win a quota) so I’m not too sure. Boxing (+2) - Way too pessimistic here, Cavanaugh and Delgado have good chances. Tennis (+?) - Not exactly sure how many athletes we’ll qualify, but 3 sounds pretty bleak, even with the state of Canadian tennis at the moment. Andresscu, Shapo, Raonic, Marino all have chances.

Here are my team size predictions as of today, will post Athletics and Swimming separately Archery, 2: 1 M + 1F (one male already qualified, expecting a female qualifier. Would love if the men's team could qualify as well. Artistic Swimming, 8: 8F (already qualified) Badminton, 7: 4 M + 3 F (MS, WS and MD should be safe, the other two are not in qualifying position, but I expect them to qualify. Note: Josephine Wu would qualify in two events) Basketball, 28: 12 M + 16 W (The traditional 5 a side teams have qualified and it would be a major shock if the women's 3x3 team did not qualify. The men have a longshot chance to qualify too. Boxing, 2: 1 M + 1 W Sanford and Thibeault have already qualified and I cannot foresee anyone qualifying. Breaking, 2: 1 M + 1 W Philip Kim has already qualified, and I expect one of the two women in the rankings to join him. Canoeing, 16: 7M + 9 W Right now in Sprint, we have 12 quotas (4 in MK, 5 in WK, and 3 in WC). I suspect we will likely qualify the C2 boat (with Connor Fitzpatrick in it) I also think our K-1 1000 athlete should qualify. Realistically getting the additional quota in MK and WK is unlikely (and probably not necessary. So 15 in Canoe Sprint (7 men and 8 women). For canoe slalom, using the 2023 PAG as a basis for results, Canada would likely only qualify the women's C-1 boat. Cycling, 25: 12M + 13 W In BMX race one woman should qualify, with an outside chance in men's freestyle. Road Cycling: 4 athletes (2 per gender have already qualified). Mountain biking: 1 per gender should qualify (unlikely to get to 2). In track I am expecting a full qualification of 14 athletes (7 per gender), although this is looking bleak atm. Diving, 5: 2 M + 3 W: What a disaster the team had worlds, this will be one of the smallest (if not the smallest) team we have sent. Equestrian, 9: Already qualified max team size. Fencing, 12: 7M + 5 W MF, MS and WF teams should qualify. Expecting 12 athletes for now, with the three aforementioned teams and one qualifier in the other three weapons. Football (soccer), 18: The women have already qualified Golf, 4: 2M + 2 W As per tradition, Canada always qualifies 2 men and 2 women. Gymnastics, 12: 6M + 6W. Both artistic teams and one quota in women's trampoline have been secured. I think Remi Aubin will sneak in and grab a male trampoline quota. Judo, 7: 5M + 2 W: Right now quota tracker has 4 M and 2 W qualifying. However, I expect Julien Frascadore to get into a direct quota, bringing it up to 7 Rowing, 30: 11M + 19 W: Canada has 11 women's quotas right now. Boats that did not qualify and competed at Worlds: M8, MP, MQS, M1 (I think Trevor Jones will rebound and the M8 should qualify) WQS: Finished 10th (9 boats qualify) WDS: Finished 15th (13 boats qualify) WP: Finished 18th (13 boats qualify) WF: Finished 10th (9 boats qualify) Out of those 4, gonna be risky and say both fours boats will qualify, Rugby sevens, 12: 12 W, Cannot see the men qualifying, but on any given day they can surprise. Sailing 6: 2 M and 4 W Canada has 4 boats and 6 sailors qualified. I cannot see any other boats qualifying, though its certainly possible. Shooting 2: 1 M and 1 W quota already secured. Although there have been some promising results, the chances of additional quotas remain low Skateboarding 4: 3 M and 1 W. 4 athletes are currently in qualifying position. No one else is near qualifying. Sport climbing 0: Going to say no one qualifies (but not really familiar here). Surfing 3: 1 M 2 W. Expecting Olin to maintain her qualifying spot, and Young and Brooks to join her. Table tennis 4: 3 M 1 W: The men's team has already qualified and I expect Zhang Mo to join them. Taekwondo 1: 1 W: Skylar Park has already qualified and I don't think anyone else will join here. Tennis 3: 1M 2W. One of the harder sports to predict. Expecting LAF and FAA to qualify in singles, with Dabrowski qualifying in doubles (with LAF). Triathlon 4: 2 M 2 W. Currently projected to qualify 4 athletes, unlikely to qualify anymore. Volleyball 28: 14 M 14 W. Men's indoor team has qualified. The women have the momentum, and I think they will qualify as well. I also expect a men's beach pair to join Humana-Parades/Wilkerson through the NORCECA continental cup. Water polo 12: 12 W: The women's team has already qualified. Weightlifting 2: 1 M 1 W. Boady Santavy and Maude Charron should qualify. Its possible another athlete qualifies through reallocations. Wrestling 6: 2M 4 W. Going with a conservative number here. I think we will qualify the two heaviest weights in men's and four women's categories (the ones missing out being 50 and 57 kg). So the team without Athletics and Swimming = 274

Stage 36 in Palisades Tahoe (USA) Men´s Giant Slalom: 1. Marco Odermatt 2:11.69 2. Henrik Kristoffersen 2:11.81 3. River Radamus 2:13.06 Full Final Results HERE

Final Standing Rank User Nation Total 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 #PP #4 #3 #2 1 dullard 208 15 23 32 29** 21 14 32* 42* 2 20 15 6 2 Topicmaster1010 189 16 25* 16 21* 17 17* 38* 39* 3 19 6 9 3 Ogreman 189 16 30* 24* 23* 16 19 27 34** 2 21 13 6 4 Henry_Leon 183 22* 20* 27* 18 16 17 27* 36* 4 16 12 11 5 Surreal 179 19 18* 21* 31* 19 18* 20 33* 1 18 8 7 6 Erigert 178 19 19 18* 21 16 20 31*** 34* 1 17 13 9 7 Cinnamon Bun 175 16 13 21* 22 23** 14* 33* 33 4 16 8 14 8 ady48 173 14 22 33*** 20 11 13 35* 25* 3 19 8 4 9 Ufilov 172 14 20* 27** 26* 17* 9 27 32 3 20 10 6 10 valtellina 172 18* 13 29* 23* 16 10 21* 42* 2 17 4 8 11 Josh 172 18* 19 21** 24 21 15 20 34* 2 15 9 10 12 Pablita 169 19 18 21* 27* 13* 10 30** 31 1 17 9 12 13 maestro 166 20 15 20 24* 13 13* 28** 33* 2 18 6 4 14 africaboy 160 15 20* 17 18* 19* 11 32* 28* 2 17 5 6 15 MCMXC 160 16* 22* 15** 20 17 13 22 35* 18 1 10 16 Émile028293 145 17 16 17 19 23 9 17 27 1 16 13 6 17 vlad 134 17** 17 11* 15* 14 14 23* 23 12 10 7 18 Vinicius Vaz 132 17* 14 11 17 7* 16 27*** 23 12 6 4 19 pedja789 128 17 10* 10* 18* 15* 17* 16 25 1 13 9 5 20 PakoNatxo 118 8** 13 18** 9* 14 18 21 17 10 6 3 21 SteveParker 113 11** 5* 17* 10* 13 20 12 25 1 12 8 5 22 OlympicsFan 102 11 13 18 11 8 16 13 12 1 10 7 5 23 rybak 92 3 13 14** 12 4 12** 11 23* 7 5 6 01: February 11th - Day 1 02: February 12th - Day 2 03: February 13th - Day 3 04: February 14th - Day 4 05: February 15th - Day 5 06: February 16th - Day 6 07: February 17th - Day 7 08: February 18th - Day 8

Yamato Fukasawa with a 2:07.07 in the men’s 200m breaststroke at the Konami Open! That time would’ve been good enough for gold at Doha 2024!