How many medals do you expect from your Nation at the 2020 Olympics? (2021 "A" version)

[Vektor 3,326]

10 hours ago, IoNuTzZ said:

Well for Romania realistic i expect 5-6 medals maybe 1-2 golds)

Rowing - we have the best chances to win some medals (2-3 medals) (1-2 golds)

Tennis - we have Simona Halep, women's doubles and mixed doubles 

Fencing - Ana Maria Popescu in women's epee

Shooting - Laura Coman

Wrestling - Alina Vuc

Gymnastics - If Larisa Iordache will qualify she will have a chance in women's all around and beam

Swimmining - Robert Glinta in 100 m backstroke

Looking at your predictions, it saddens me that you are not back to your former glory. I miss the times when people here made a big deal out of Hungary v Romania at the Games because both of us were expected to collect close to 10 gold medals or maybe even more. That rivalry was a lot of fun (as long as some didn't take it too seriously). 

[Triplecast 156]

1 hour ago, Jinzha said:

I definitely see you winning women's football as well, though team sports are always hard to consider a guarantee. And why not M basketball? Isn't that a lock-in for the US every games?

 

Must be a special experience following the Olympics from an American perspective (or Chinese for that matter). Medal candidates in virtually every sports and so many athletes to follow.

W Football will be favored, for sure, but USWNT was tied 1-1 with Sweden yesterday.   And Sweden eliminated US in Rio in QFs.  Plus, I heard that USWNT did not look impressive.  I think  UK is going to be a tough opponent. 

 

M BB, will also be favored, of course,  but the make-up of the  team matters and US Men Basketball was 7th in 2019 FIBA World Cup.

 

After what has happened this weekend, I should add Swim W 200 FS and 400 FS to the almost certain list.      

[Triplecast 156]

1 hour ago, Makedonas said:

Softball is probably also a sure gold for the US, no?

I'm hesitant only because US lost to Japan in 2008 gold medal game, and of course, Japan will be highly motivated at home and there will only be Japanese fans in the stands.  But US should be in the gold medal game.  

  

[RiSeGwangFan 13]

1-2 Taekwondo

2-4 Diving

Men's football

MAX 7 medals: one gold in Taekwondo, maybe... 

MIN: 3 medals

 

Honestly, it  looks like other typical Mexican performance at the Olympics. 

 

 

[Dragon 1,844]

So let's break down what I expect  to do in Tokyo.

 

First thing to say is that it will be the worst GBR performance since 2004 but a lot better than anything in the last half of the 20th century.

 

Athletics 4 medals including 1 gold. Heavily favouring the women's events

Boxing    3 medals including 1 gold.

Canoeing 3 medals incuding 1 gold

Cycling - down a lot on previous Olympics but still 5 medals including 2 golds (women's distance races on the track will still be hard to beat)

Equestrian - 4 medals (2 gold) , I expect GBR to win both eventing golds. Also would not be shocked if Charlotte Dujardin wins a 3rd dressage gold (her horse is young and improving whilst the best German horses are getting old)

Gymnastics - 3 medals inc 1 gold. Whitlock to retain pommel horse title

Judo - 1 medal

Modern Pentathlon - 2 medals inc 1 gold

Rowing - 3 medals inc 1 gold

Rugby - 1 medal

Shooting - 2 medals inc 1 gold (both in shotgun classes)

Skateboarding - 1 medal

Swimming - 5 medals inc 2 gold (Peatty will repeat)

Triathlon - 2 medals

Football - 1 medal

Taekwondo - 4 medals inc 2 gold

 

Total 44 medals 15 gold

Down from 67 medals 27 gold in Rio

 

Edit -I forgot Sailing .

3 medals 1 gold

 

Revised total 47 and 16

[Monzanator 4,503]

Poland won 11 medals each of the last three SOG.

 

I'll say they can win 11 fourth time in a row. 3 golds (most likely from Anita Wlodarczyk in W Hammer, Pawel Fajdek in M Hammer, Men's coxless fours in rowing).

 

Count in Men's volleyball but we always screw the joint at the Olympics. Maybe it will change here.

 

Biggest potential gold medal surprise that won't be a total upset is Katarzyna Niewiadoma in women's elite road race.

 

Minor medal hopes: Marta Walczykiewicz in canoeing, women's 4x400 relay, Marcin Lewandowski 1500m in athletics and maybe someone from judo/wrestling with a rare run that usually tends to happen to us quite frequently.

 

 

 

 

[Benolympique 2,398]

France

 

Athletics - 2

Basket 3x3 Women's - 1

Boxing - 2

Canoeing Slalom - 2

Canoeing Sprint - 1

Cycling Road - 1

Cycling Track - 2 (1 Gold)

Cycling V.T.T - 1 (1 Gold)

Cycling B.M.X - 1

Equestrian - 1

Fencing - 5 (3 Gold)

Football - 1

Gymnastics Artistics - 1

Hand-Ball - 1

Judo - 6 (3 Gold)

Karaté - 1 (1 Gold)

Modern Pentathlon - 1

Rowing - 1

Sailing - 2 (1 Gold)

Shooting - 1

Swimming - 1

Swimming Marathon - 1

Taekwondo - 1

Triathlon - 2 (2 Gold)

Wrestling - 1

 

Total 40

Gold 12

[thiago_simoes 1,423]

5 hours ago, mrv86 said:

0-3 medals for Mexico, none of them gold like in Rio.

 

Most likely to succed: Tae kwon do, Diving, Football

Outside chance: Archery, Athletics, Gymnastics (artistic)

Oh, I totally forgot about Alexa Moreno! It will be interesting to see what she can do. 

[thiago_simoes 1,423]

Brazil:

Athletics - 0-2
Boxing - 1
Canoeing Slalom - 0-1
Canoeing Sprint - 1-2
Cycling - 0-1
Fencing - 0-1
Football - 0-2
Artistic Gymnastics - 1-3
Judo - 1-2
Sailing - 1
Shooting - 0-1
Skateboarding - 2-3
Surfing - 2-3
Swimming - 1-2
Open water swimming - 1
Taekwondo - 0-1
Tennis - 0-1
Volleyball and Beach Volleyball - 0-2
Weightlifting - 0-1

So, worst case scenario is 10, best case scenario is around 30. Judo, volleyball and artistic gymnastics could realistically provide more medals, but it would be far too optimistic to expect more than what I'm already expecting from these sports. There are also very long shots in table tennis and archery; chances are like 5% in these sports.

I'd say 15 is a solid number -- a little bit conservative, but solid nevertheless. 

[Vic Liu 1,682]

 China 

 

• Archery - 2
• Artistic Swimming - 2
• Athletics - 8 (2 Gold)
• Badminton - 6 (1 Gold)
• Basket 3x3 - 1
• Boxing - 3 (1 Gold)
• Canoeing Sprint - 3 (1 Gold)
• Cycling Track - 1
• Diving - 10 (7 Gold)
• Fencing - 1 (1 Gold)
• Gymnastics Artistic - 8 (3 Gold)
• Gymnastics Trampoline - 3 (1 Gold) 
• Karaté - 2 (1 Gold)
• Rowing - 3 (1 Gold)
• Sailing - 1
• Shooting - 5 (2 Gold)
• Swimming - 8 (2 Gold)
• Swimming Marathon - 1
• Table Tenis - 7 (5 Gold)
• Taekwondo - 3 (1 Gold)
• Volleyball - 1 (1 Gold)
• Weightlifting - 8 (7 Gold)
• Wrestling - 2

 

Total 89 (ranging 80-98)

Gold 36 (ranging 32-40)