website statistics
Jump to content

Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions


 Share

Recommended Posts

16 hours ago, vinipereira said:

That would be great but I think it's a bit on the optimistic side (especially Judo, Gymnastics and Boxing). I think Brazil will have a similar performance to London 2012.

 

Hey Vini,

 

Yeah, I mentioned very possible medals, but that's why I said I really believe in 05 golds and 22 in total (about 8 - 10 of these are will not confirmed, added to about three that were not expected) 

 

Your prediction of something like London is very realistic, but I confess I would be disappointed if happens (17 in total)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/virtual-medal-table-forecast-100-days/

 

Gracenote releases medal projection 100 days to go!

 

 

IMG_20240417_121549.jpg

If GB win only 13 Golds I will be shocked, and honestly same with Australia, I could see them near that target in just Swimming.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 4/14/2024 at 10:51 PM, Jinzha said:

With just over 100 days to go I decided to do another :NED medal prediction, but this time on a day to day basis. 

 

Day 1 Saturday 27 July (0-1 medals)

Road cycling: Ellen van Dijk (W time trial)

 

Day 2 Sunday 28 July (0-2 medals)

Mountain bike: Puck Pieterse (W cross country)

Swimming: Arno Kamminga or Caspar Corbeau (M 100m breast)

 

Day 3 Monday 29 July (0-1 medals)

Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)

 

Day 4 Tuesday 30 July (0-1 medals)

Judo: Joanne van Lieshout (W -63kg)

 

Day 5 Wednesday 31 July (3-5 medals)

Judo: Sanne van Dijke (W -70kg)

Rowing: M4x and W4x

Swimming: Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free) and Caspar Corbeau (M 200m breast)

 

Day 6 Thursday 1 August (4-7 medals)

Judo: Michael Korrel (M -100kg) and Guusje Steenhuis (W -78kg)

Rowing: M2x and W4-

Sailing: Duetz/Van Aanholt (W skiff) and Van de Werken/Lambriex (M skiff)

Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 200m breast)

 

Day 7 Friday 2 August (2-5 medals)

Archery: Mixed team

BMX racing: Niek Kimmann or Laura Smulders

Judo: Marit Kamps (W +78kg)

Rowing: W2-

Sailing: Luc van Opzeeland (M IQFoil)

 

Day 8 Saturday 3 August (3-5 medals)

Athletics: Mixed 4x400m relay

Road cycling: Mathieu van der Poel (M road race)

Rowing: W1x, M1x and M8-

 

Day 9 Sunday 4 August (0-2 medals)

Equestrian: Dinja van Liere (dressage)

Road cycling: Lorena Wiebes or Demi Vollering (W road race)

 

Day 10 Monday 5 August (0-1 medals)

Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W 5000m?)

 

Day 11 Tuesday 6 August (1-2 medals)

Sailing: Marit Bouwmeester (W dinghy)

Track Cycling: M team sprint

 

Day 12 Wednesday 7 August (0-1 medals)

Sailing: Laila van der Meer / Bjarne Bouwer (mixed multihull)

 

Day 13 Thursday 8 August (2-4 medals)

Athletics: Femke Bol (W 400mH)

Hockey: Men’s team

Swimming: Sharon van Rouwendaal (W 10 km open water)

Track cycling: Hetty van der Wouw (W Keirin)

 

Day 14 Friday 9 August (2-4 medals)

Athletics: Lieke Klaver (W 400m)

Breaking: India Sardjoe (W breaking)

Hockey: Women’s team

Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M sprint)

 

Day 15 Saturday 10 August (1-3 medals)

Athletics: Women’s 4x400m relay and Abdi Nageeye (M marathon)

Water polo: Women’s team

 

Day 16 Sunday 11 August (1-2 medals)

Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W marathon??)

Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M keirin)

 

Any day (0-2 medals)

Surprise medals: preferrably Niels Laros (M 1500m) and W handball or volleyball team (what can I say, the more surprising the better:p)

 

Total prediction (19-47 medals)

+/- 10 golds

+/- 11 silvers

+/- 12 bronze

 

I feel like the day-by-day version made the numbers too optimistic. Some names I'm thinking more like 'one out of these 4 judoka's will probably win a medal', but it shows as a medal chances on 4 days, instead of just 1 expected medal.

Overall I'm a bit more optimistic than the 25 medals I predicted last time, I'll say 30 medals this time!

Your prediction is much more accurate than Gracenote's, who still thinks Netherlands will win a silver medal at the 4x100 freestyle in swimming :lol: and a total of 18 golds :toast:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

:GBR Medal Projection from Nielson Gracenote 100 days out from Paris:

 

Gold Medalists:

Betheny Shriever - BMX Racing

Joe Choong - Modern Pentathlon

Joe Clarke - Kayak X

Kimberley Woods - Kayak X

Bradley Sinden - Taekwondo -68Kg

Bryony Page - Trampoline

Oliver Townend - Eventing Individual

Women's Madison

Women's Team Pursuit

Rowing Men's Pair

Rowing Men's Four

Rowing Men's Eight

Rowing Women's Lightweight Double Sculls

 

 

Silver Medalists:

Katarina Johnson-Thompson - Heptathlon

Josh Kerr - 1500m

Keiran Reilly - BMX Freestyle

Tom Pidcock - Mountain Bike

Tom Daley/Noah Williams - Diving 10m Synchro

Jack Laugher/Anthony Harding - Diving 3m Synchro

Sky Brown - Skateboard Park

Mallory Franklin - Canoe Slalom C1

Katie Archibald - Track Cycling Omnium

Emma Finucane - Track Cycling Individual Sprint

Track Cycling - Women's Team Sprint

Track Cycling - Men's Madison

Charlote Fry - Dressage Individual

Rowing - Women's Four

Rowing - Womens Quadruple Sculls

Michael Beckett - Sailing ILCA7

Emma Wilson - Sailing - iQFOiL

John Gimson/ Anna Burnet - Sailing Nacra 17

Shooting Team Skeet

Swimming - Men's 4x200m Freestyle Relay

Ben Proud - Swimming 50m Freestyle

Georgia Taylor-Brown - Triathlon

 

 

Bronze Medalists:

Jessica Gadirova - Gymnastics Floor :lol:

Dina Asher-Smith - 200m

Matthew Hudson Smith - 400m

Keely Hodgkinson - 800m

Laura Mui - 1500m

Athletics - Women's 4x100m Relay

Athletics - Men's 4x100m Relay

Athletics - Women's 4x400m Relay

Joe Clarke - Canoe Slalom K1

Ethan Hayter - Track Cycling Omnium

Track Cycling - Men's Team Pursuit

Track Cycling - Men's Team Sprint

Andrea Spendolini Sirieix - Diving 10m Platform

Andrea Spendolini Sirieix/Lois Toulson - Diving 10m Synchro

Equestrian Team Dressage

Equestrian Team Eventing

Laura Collett - Equestrian Eventing Individual

Charley Hull - Golf

Chelsie Giles - Judo -52Kg

Lucy Renshall - Judo -63Kg

Vita Heathcote/Chris Grube - Sailing 470

Eleanor Aldridge - Sailing Formula Kite

Freya Colbert - Swimming 400m Individual Medley

Jade Jones - Taekwondo -57Kg

Rebecca McGowan - Taekwondo +67Kg

Caden Cunningham - Taekwondo +80Kg

Alex Yee - Triathlon

Beth Potter - Triathlon

Triathlon Mixed Team Relay

Emily Campbell - Weightlifting +81Kg

 

The fact that they are still projecting Gadirova as an individual medalist on floor when she is still in post injury rehab kind of calls into question either their methodology, or their attention to detail when analysing the output of their methodology.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

:GBR Medal Projection from Nielson Gracenote 100 days out from Paris:

 

Gold Medalists:

Betheny Shriever - BMX Racing

Joe Choong - Modern Pentathlon

Joe Clarke - Kayak X

Kimberley Woods - Kayak X

Bradley Sinden - Taekwondo -68Kg

Bryony Page - Trampoline

Oliver Townend - Eventing Individual

Women's Madison

Women's Team Pursuit

Rowing Men's Pair

Rowing Men's Four

Rowing Men's Eight

Rowing Women's Lightweight Double Sculls

 

 

Silver Medalists:

Katarina Johnson-Thompson - Heptathlon

Josh Kerr - 1500m

Keiran Reilly - BMX Freestyle

Tom Pidcock - Mountain Bike

Tom Daley/Noah Williams - Diving 10m Synchro

Jack Laugher/Anthony Harding - Diving 3m Synchro

Sky Brown - Skateboard Park

Mallory Franklin - Canoe Slalom C1

Katie Archibald - Track Cycling Omnium

Emma Finucane - Track Cycling Individual Sprint

Track Cycling - Women's Team Sprint

Track Cycling - Men's Madison

Charlote Fry - Dressage Individual

Rowing - Women's Four

Rowing - Womens Quadruple Sculls

Michael Beckett - Sailing ILCA7

Emma Wilson - Sailing - iQFOiL

John Gimson/ Anna Burnet - Sailing Nacra 17

Shooting Team Skeet

Swimming - Men's 4x200m Freestyle Relay

Ben Proud - Swimming 50m Freestyle

Georgia Taylor-Brown - Triathlon

 

 

Bronze Medalists:

Jessica Gadirova - Gymnastics Floor :lol:

Dina Asher-Smith - 200m

Matthew Hudson Smith - 400m

Keely Hodgkinson - 800m

Laura Mui - 1500m

Athletics - Women's 4x100m Relay

Athletics - Men's 4x100m Relay

Athletics - Women's 4x400m Relay

Joe Clarke - Canoe Slalom K1

Ethan Hayter - Track Cycling Omnium

Track Cycling - Men's Team Pursuit

Track Cycling - Men's Team Sprint

Andrea Spendolini Sirieix - Diving 10m Platform

Andrea Spendolini Sirieix/Lois Toulson - Diving 10m Synchro

Equestrian Team Dressage

Equestrian Team Eventing

Laura Collett - Equestrian Eventing Individual

Charley Hull - Golf

Chelsie Giles - Judo -52Kg

Lucy Renshall - Judo -63Kg

Vita Heathcote/Chris Grube - Sailing 470

Eleanor Aldridge - Sailing Formula Kite

Freya Colbert - Swimming 400m Individual Medley

Jade Jones - Taekwondo -57Kg

Rebecca McGowan - Taekwondo +67Kg

Caden Cunningham - Taekwondo +80Kg

Alex Yee - Triathlon

Beth Potter - Triathlon

Triathlon Mixed Team Relay

Emily Campbell - Weightlifting +81Kg

 

The fact that they are still projecting Gadirova as an individual medalist on floor when she is still in post injury rehab kind of calls into question either their methodology, or their attention to detail when analysing the output of their methodology.  

do you have details of :FRA ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

:AUS Medal Projection from Gracenote Nielson 100 days out from Paris

 

 

Gold Medalists:

Logan Martin - BMX Freestyle

Jessica Fox - Canoe Slalom C1

Jessica Fox - Canoe Slalom K1

Grace Brown - Road Racing Individual Time Trial

Matthew Wearn - Sailing ILCA 7

Kaylee McKeown - Swimming 100m Backstroke

Kaylee McKeown - Swimming 200m Backstroke

Swimming - Women's 4x100m Freestyle Relay

Swimming - Women's 4x100m Medley Relay

Swimming - Women's 4x200m Freestyle Relay

Ariarne Titmus - Swimming 400m Freestyle

Cameron McEvoy - Swimming 50m Freestyle

 

 

Silver Medalists:

Nicola Olyslagers - High Jump

Kelsey-Lee Barber - Javelin

Nina Kennedy - Pole Vault

Saya Sakakibara - BMX Racing

Jessica Fox - Canoe Slalom Kayak X

Matthew Richardson - Track Cycling Individual Sprint

Track Cycling Men's Team Sprint

Anabelle Smith/Maddison Keeney - Diving 3m Synchro

Rowing Women's 8

Rowing Men's 4

Rowing Women's Pair

women's Rugby Sevens

Kyle Chalmers - Swimming 100m Freestyle

Mollie O'Callaghan - Swimming 100m Freestyle

Zac Stubblety-Cook - Swimming 200m Breaststroke

Ariarne Titmus - Swimming 200m Freestyle

Swimming - Mixed 4x100m Medley Relay

Tennis Men's Doubles

Tennis Mixed Doubles

 

 

Bronze Medalists:

Matthew Denny - Discus

Eleanor Patterson - High Jump

Women's 3x3 Basketball

Matthew Richardson - Track Cycling Keirin

Track Cycling - Women's Madison

Jean van der Westhuyzen/Tom Green - Canoe Sprint K2 500m

Cassiel Rousseau - Diving 10m Platform

Maddison Keeney - Diving 3m Springboard

Women's Field Hockey

Rowing - Men's Eight

Tara Rigney - Rowing Single Sculls

Kieran Woolley - Skateboarding Park

Chloe Covell - Skaetboarding Street

Mollie O'Callaghan - Swimming 200m Freestyle

Swimming - Men's 4x100m Freestyle Relay

Elijah Winnington - Swimming 400m Freestyle

Emma McKeon - Swimming 50m Freestyle

Tennis Women's Doubles 

Edited by Rafa Maciel
Link to comment
Share on other sites

:NZL Medal Projection 100 days out from Paris:

 

Gold Medalists:

Lisa Carrington - Canoe Sprint K1 500m

Ellesse Andrews - Track Cycling Keirin

Men's Rugby Sevens

Women's Rugby Sevens

 

 

Silver Medalists:

Canoe Sprint - Women's K4 500m 

Emma Twigg - Rowing Single Sculls

Erika Fairweather - Swimming 400m Freestyle

Lewis Clareburt - Swimming 400m Individual Medley

 

 

Bronze Medalists:

Tom Walsh - Shot Put

Track Cycling Women's Team Pursuit

Dylan Schmidt - Trampoline

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • Aliens technology        
    • Russia tested a new missile at ukraine , was empty but horrifying...looks like a dimentional door or teleportation     
    • 2024 World Cup Final Rankings   Women   1.  Ana Marcela Cunha, 2750 Pts 2.  Lea Boy, 2648 Pts 3.  Ginevra Taddeucci, 2200 Pts   Full Ranking https://www.worldaquatics.com/competitions/4735/world-aquatics-open-water-swimming-world-cup-2024/rankings?scoringId=a1b5b4b4-5c77-4ea2-9ffa-9783b4f543c7&eventCountry=   Men   1.  Marc-Antoine Olivier, 3100 Pts 2.  Dario Verani, 2850 Pts 3.  Marcello Guidi, 2558 Pts   Full Ranking https://www.worldaquatics.com/competitions/4735/world-aquatics-open-water-swimming-world-cup-2024/rankings?scoringId=46535cfe-3990-4604-ac16-53c4848afd4b&eventCountry=
    • Stage #5, Final ( Neom Bay)   Men's 10km   Gold:  Florian Wellbrock Silver:  Sacha Velly Bronze:  Marc-Antoine Olivier   Full Results https://www.worldaquatics.com/competitions/4735/world-aquatics-open-water-swimming-world-cup-2024/results?event=4e476ea1-3578-4eb3-b919-b5ecc3d3add1     Women's 10km   Gold:  Moesha Johnson Silver:  Lea Boy Bronze:  Ginevra Taddeucci   Full Results https://www.worldaquatics.com/competitions/4735/world-aquatics-open-water-swimming-world-cup-2024/results?event=2ca80334-ffba-40b0-9444-fcdc08e8d88f
    • 2 things...   first, for what concerns the cooperation between inline skating and speedskating federations...sorry to disppoint some of you, but there's a great cooperation between them   the point is that many "summer" skaters just don't want to try the ice because they have too much to give up for that   you name places like Collalbo or Baselga, but for the "summer skating" guys from centeral and southern regions it's not an option, it's not that they make it for a living with those disciplines, they have to focus on their studies and build a post-competitive sport career and they just can't place themselves into a hole in the mountains when they maybe are studying in some prestigious universities in the big cities   as I already posted more than once, the idea of covering one of those tracks in the mountains was something idiotic, a political concession impossible to be sustained   the one and only chance to build a true legacy and an efficient, attractive national training center was to build a permanent indoor oval in Milan, beside the Forum   that would have given all the "summer skaters" a true opportunity to try the ice experience and at the same time find the most useful, attractive, prestigious places to continue their studies and try and manage them together with their sports career   any other place wouldn't stand a chance   second...don't give Salvini any credit he doesn't deserve...actually, I think he doesn't even know that in Cortina there's a sliding sports track    it's not thanks to him that the Cortina track's building finally went underway 
    • c'mon, guys! relax! sciallatevi un po'!    you're making me sick...it's just the season start and this is a sport where only the world championship (and Olympic, in the specific years) medals count   don't get mad for a couple of races held thousend miles away from home after the team had already passed their first climax (the internal selection)...there are still 2 full seasons before the Olympics
    • Super Round Results   21/11    b.   2-0  b.   9-1   22/11    b.   8-2  b.   9-6   nothing is decided yet, all teams still have a thoretical chance to make the Gold Medal match   Tomorrow, the last day of the Super Round sees  facing the  at Noon local time (4 a.m. CET) and  facing  at 7 p.m. local time (11 a.m. CET)   the medal games are scheduled for Sunday, BMM at Noon local, GMM at 7 p.m. local
    • very poor performance by the US bullpen both Yesterday and Today    not very impressed by this US team for the entire tournament, also in the Mexican first group (Panama deserved to qualify more than them, but they were lucky with the draw and won the decisive direct matchup)   Venezuela confirmed themselves as a very strong team at bat, but with too many troubles on the mound   Today against Japan they had to make a pitching change already in the 1st inning and basically they had to go for a bullpen game, but it didn't come out like the Dodgers'   Japan always on top of their game, even when the pitching staff doesn't perform at best...frankly, they look more and more unbeatable when no MLB superstar is involved (like in this case), but also when it comes down to the top of the pops it's not that they look worse (see 2023 WBC)  there's a serious risk that their domination becomes even too easy, the gap between them and the rest of the world is widening year after year   Taiwan might look like a surprise, but after the 2023 fail, I was sure they were going to rebound and establish themselves among the top teams in the WBSC tournaments, as they are very good in each and every aspect of the game (batting, pitching...maybe a bit less on defense, but you can't have it all)
    • More information has been released on the first edition of the World Athletics Ultimate Championships in 2026, including the events. Mixed 4x100m relay will make its global debut.    https://x.com/worldathletics/status/1859915183071662442?s=46&t=_XjleMNZelg_AVmJy7FfWA
×
×
  • Create New...