OlympicsFan

Another (expected) gold + silver (Tannheimer + Kink) for Germany in women's youth sprint. Tannheimer and Kink are clearly superior at this age level. If Grotian would have competed, then Germany very likely would have swept the podium and probably would have won the relay by 3+ minutes. Surprisingly Tannheimer (who is a great talent) doesn't look like the best talent in this age group. Tanglander from Sweden (born in 2007, 2 years younger than Tannheimer) looks like an even bigger talent + russian/french women are missing. (Somewhat) Bold prediction: Tanglander will make the 2026 olympics (as an 18 year old). Sweden doesn't have to worry about the future thanks to 2 x Öberg + Tanglander.

Crazy that Germany has to feel dissatisfied with the results so far despite winning 5 golds already. They threw away 3 golds in mixed youth relay, men’s youth relay and men’s junior relay. With those 3 golds they already would have been at 8 golds and I am not sure if there ever was a nation that won more than 8 golds at youth/junior world championships. With 8 races to go they might still get there. Unless Grotian wins gold and another medal in her two remaining races, this competition will be seen as a disappointment for her (given how far ahead she is of all her competitors). Tannheimer and Kink should also combine for at least 1 gold + 2 more medals in their remaining 2 races and Engelmann should also aim at winning at least 1 gold. In the remaining two junior competitions on the men’s side I don’t expect anything from the German guys, Norway seems to have multiple guys who could all win gold in the two remaining races.

His father is german. Too bad we aren't Italy, otherwise we would have bought him and Germany would be a speed skating powerhouse again. We might have a similar case in swimming in the near future: Kaii Winkler's father is from Germany as well and Kaii might become really good in the 100 free.

German dominance continues. 7 races so far, Germany won 4 golds already. Of course it has to be mentioned that France doesn’t compete at youth level and Russia doesn’t compete at all. Still the gap between Germany and Italy (finished 2nd) in today’s youth women’s relay was insane. Almost 2 minutes despite the fact that only 3 athletes compete in youth relays. Not sure if we ever had such a huge gap before. Really nice to see that Germany finally reached skiing speed superiority, i always thought that this was the key. Tannheimer (Women’s youth individual), Engelmann (Mens youth individual) and Grotian (Women’s junior individual) all had the fastest skiing time + Menz (Men’s junior individual) had the 2nd fastest skiing time.

Not sure if the 200 fly gold will really be more difficult for her to win (than the 400 IM gold). I think 2021 was the only year where Zhang Yufei went sub 2:05 + she is 8 years older than McIntosh. Also like i said before: I think McIntosh has the potential to break Phelps' records (number of medals at a single olympics + overall medals at the olympics) + Paris might very well be her peak (when you look at the trajectory of other teen phenoms in the past). I don't know what her goals are, but if she wants to become the greatest swimmer of all times, it would be wise to go for as many medals as possible in Paris. Unlike Phelps she won't win 3 safe relay medals at every olympics (thanks to canadian women not being on the same level as american men), so a lot will depend on the quality of her teammates going forward. I hope that Canada will a) find an elite breaststroker (for their chances in the medley relays) and b) use her in all 3 of their relays on the women's side.

It is interesting to see that often the countries that are good in one endurance sport are good in many/all endurance sports. Norway: Biathlon, speed skating, cross-country skiing, running, cycling Netherlands: Speed skating, cycling, rowing, running Italy: Rowing, cycling, swimming, running/speed skating to some degree GB: Rowing, cycling, swimming, running, triathlon Also there have been many athletes who were good in multiple of those sports (mainly 2 out of speed skating/cross-country/cycling/rowing/running).

My guess: Day 1: 400 free prelim 400 free final 4 x 100 free final Day 2: 200 free prelim 200 free semifinal Day 3: 400 IM prelim 400 IM final 200 free final Day 4: - Day 5: 200 fly prelim 200 fly semifinal Day 6: 200 fly final 4 x 200 free final Day 7: 200 IM heat 200 IM semifinal Day 8: Maybe 4 x 100 medley relay prelim 200 IM final It (almost) looks as if the schedule was designed for her. I think whenever there are multiple of her "favorite" events in the same final session, the one where she has better medal chances is first, so competing in both isn't much of a risk. The only "problem" for her is that the 800 free and the 200 IM overlap and it seems impossible to do both. If the organizers would have split those two events up, she could have gone for 6 individual medals. I think the older athletes get, the longer they usually need to recover, so this might be her best chance (unless more nonsensical events will be added in the future) to go for the all-time record of medals won at a single olympics. Anything between 3 medals (400 IM, 200 fly, 400 free) and 7 medals (200 IM, 200 free, 4 x 200 free, 4 x 100 free) seems possible. If Canada would use her in the medley relay prelim, she could mabye go for 8 medals to tie Michael Phelps' record.

The last couple of days have been disappointing for Germany. Men's ski jumping large hill, men's nordic combined large hill, women's cross-country skiing 30 km classic, women's snowboard big air, women's freestyle skiing big air and snowboard cross mixed team all had disappointing results.

Obviously GB officials listened to me ... Overall insane winter sport results for GB this season. I think they might have won more medals than Finland for example?

Interesting result, the swedish women are dominating the sprint, but 5 km already seems like too much for some of them. Finland and the US don't have four good athletes. Germany has a good chance to win more relay medals in the next half 5-10 years. The finish/american women don't look too promising, but of course Russia could spoil the party.

British officials apparently have drawn the right conclusions from their failure at the last olympics. Much better performances in snowboarding, freestlye skiing, bob and skeleton. Those + curling those are their "traditional" winter sports. I think they could also do much better in short-track and speed skating (+ maybe luge, snowboard slalom and ski cross) if they would focus on it. Maybe they will win one or two more medals this week, Brookes could certainly win one in the big air event (given that the american women + Sadowski won't compete).

Is there any information why some people aren't allowed to change their "nation setting" in this forum, while others are allowed to do so?

We are talking about snowboard slopestyle, not athletics or swimming. Doesn't have much to do with genetics.

The Serena Williams of ski cross. Physically just too dominant.

Both „neutral“ countries. There are many countries that would be happy to be mistaken for Switzerland.

Yes, but not sure how that relates. The issue is whether World Athletics itself should (demand organizers of competitions sanctioned by them to) reward Mondo‘s performances with far more money than the performances of Rojas for example. I am not sure by how much those two have improved the world record in their disciplines (percentually). Triple jump certainly doesn’t allow Rojas to „control“ the world record the same way as Mondo does in pole vault. I don’t think that the Prize Money Rojas received adequately represents the impressiveness of her performances compared to those of Mondo.

There aren‘t many disciplines were Athletes can Control World records like that. I think Isinbaeva used to do the Same. Seems a Bit unfair that the potential to earn prize money is directly related to that. Maybe it would be better if the prize money would depend on the percentage of world record improvement. What Kipchoge did over the years has been at least as impressive, but of course he never had the chance to do what Duplantis regularly does.

Pretty much the expected order. I think Norway, Germany, Slovenia and Austria all have the Potential to win. Japan winning a medal would be a bit surprising to me. Slovenia being closer to Japan than to Germany is surprising to me. On the other hand Germany and Austria are the only nations with no „weak gender“, Slovenia/Norway/Japan all have a bit of a problem on the men‘s side currently. Poland is missing World-class women and Canada is missing World-class men, a combined Team of those two nations could win gold.

I feel a bit sad for the US. The number of medals they lost to other countries keeps growing. First Vic Wild, then Aileen Gu, AJ Ginnis and now Avital Carroll. Probably there are others i forgot about.

Personally i find it very surprising that the best ukrainian athlete finished higher than any athlete from Japan/Finland/Italy/France/USA. Not surprising that a sport that requires very expansive infrastructure has less competition. Obviously winter sports in general has less competition than summer sports. Still you also have summer sports with not much variety, for example slalom canoeing.

Now we have seen it all. I guess Greece winning a medal is not that crazy, considering that Croatia and Slovakia have won medals before. Even Belgium, GB and Albania have good athletes nowadays. I wonder why Guinness doesn't compete for the US? The american men are really weak right now, so he easily could have made their team.

Surprising results, another proof that parallel slalom (and cross) are unnecessary events. Parallel slalom without Russia is on a much lower level. The fact that even most of the countries that have great training conditions (Canada, USA, Norway, Sweden, France) don't care about parallel slalom, tells you all you need to know.

Great so see Sweden, coached by Johannes Lukas from Germany, winning so many medals. The fact that german officials didn't bother to give him a job in Germany is proof that he is a special coach. Obviously the german officials couldn't allow someone like him to become head coach in Germany, he might have actually changed the system and that of course would have been completely unacceptable. The fact that the german men didn't win a single medal and that Germany wouldn't have won a single medal without Denise Herrmann, a cross-country skier who absolutely wasn't a product of the german system, tells you all you need to know about the quality of the german system.

I think so far Austria and France can't really be happy. Austria with one silver medal and two bronze medals in olympic events, France with only one bronze (Same as Germany). Also Sweden without any medals. USA also used to be more competitive, at the moment Shiffrin is keeping them alive. Apart from the historic overperformance by Canada (3 different individual medalists, same as Germany/Sweden/USA/France combined) the norwegian women's team is the biggest overperformer for me. I never thought that Norway would have two individual medalists on the women's side. I think in the future we will have a big four (Switzerland, Austria, Italy, Norway) and then the rest.