Canada's 2024 Olympics Qualification Discussion Road to Paris 2024

[Dragon 1,758]

On 5/21/2024 at 9:09 PM, NearPup said:

This is the second time Canada fails to qualify a male rower at a non-boycotted Olympics.

 

The first time? 1900.

Actually Toronto Argonaut Rowing Club did enter in 1900 but pulled out before the Games began

[Josh 7,401]

I’m bored, so I decided to take a crack at roster predictions for Canada in the team sports we’ve already qualified in. Let’s see how wrong I am in a month 

 

(This’ll be edited, as I dont want the content to get erased)
 

Women’s Rugby 7s

Olivia Apps

Krissy Scurfield

Olivia De Couvreur

Charity Williams
Alysha Corrigan

Fancy Bermudez

Chloe Daniels

Asia-Hogan Rochester

Keyara Wardley

Carissa Norsten

Piper Logan

Sophie de Goede

 

Florence Symonds/Breanna Nicholas out. 

 

Women’s Basketball

Kia Nurse

Bridget Carleton

Nirra Fields

Natalie Achonwa

Syla Swords

Laeticia Amihere

Kayla Alexander

Shay Colley

Aaliyah Edwards

Cassandre Prosper

Sami Hill

Yvonne Ejim

 

Women’s Waterpolo

Jessica Gaudreault

Axelle Crevier

Emma Wright

Verica Bakoc

Serena Browne
Shae La Roche

Hayley McKelvey

Kindred Paul

Elyse Lamay-Lavoie

Floranne Carroll

Maria Mimides

Clara Vulpisi (not sure if Claire Wright has retired…)

 

Women’s Football
Kailen Sheirdan

Sabrina D’Angelo

Adriana Leon
Janine Beckie

Cloe Lacasse

Vanessa Gilles
Nichelle Prince

Quinn
Jordyn Huitema
Kadeisha Buchanan

Ashley Lawrence
Jessie Fleming

Julia Grosso
Desirae Scott
Deanne Rose

Jayde Riviere 

Gabrielle Carle

Evelyn Viens
Jade Rose

 

Maybe Simi Awujo/Shelina Zadorsky as dark hors picks. 

Men’s Basketball

Jamal Murray

Zach Edey

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

RJ Barrett

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Wiggins

Kelly Olynk

Dillon Brooks

Nickel Alexander-Walker

Dwight Powell

Lu Dort

Shaedon Sharpe

No Benedict Mathurin (injury related reasoning, I would put him over Sharpe if healthy), Melvin Ejim, Chris Boucher, Corey Joseph or Trey Lyles. 

 

Men’s Volleyball

Stephen Maar

Arthur Szwarc

Eric Loeppky

Fynn McCarthy

Xander Ketrzynski

Jordan Schnitzer

Danny Demyanenko

Justin Lui

Landon Currie

Luke Herr

Nicholas Hoag

Lucas Van Berkel

 

Still can’t believe Sclater and Perrin have retired from the NT…

Edited June 4 by Josh

[intoronto 4,570]

With qualification wrapping up in most sports, I wanted to see the team size difference vs 2020 (for team sports, I went with the 'normal' size in 2020, instead of the covid increase). I also did not include sports which are not on the Paris program (or were not on the Tokyo program, like Breaking). For the sports not done yet, I have estimated the team size.

 

Sport / Discipline	2020	2024	Difference	Notes
Basketball	12	24	12
Volleyball - Indoor	12	24	12	Estimated
Gymnastics - Artistic	5	10	5
Swimming	24	28	4
Basketball 3x3	0	4	4
Equestrian	6	9	3
Shooting	1	3	2
Volleyball - Beach	4	6	2	Estimated
Wrestling	4	6	2
Cycling - Track	13	14	1
Fencing	11	12	1	2 substitutes competed in Tokyo
Surfing	0	1	1
Table tennis	3	4	1
Tennis	4	5	1	Estimated
Artistic Swimming	8	8	0
Water polo	12	12	0
Archery	2	2	0	Estimated
Cycling - BMX freestyle	0	0	0
Football	18	18	0
Golf	4	4	0	Estimated
Gymnastics - Rhythmic	0	0	0
Handball	0	0	0
Judo	6	6	0
Modern Pentathlon	0	0	0
Skateboarding	4	4	0	Estimated
Taekwondo	2	2	0
Marathon swimming	2	1	-1
Cycling - Mountain Biking	3	2	-1
Cycling - BMX racing	2	1	-1
Gymnastics - Trampoline	2	1	-1
Triathlon	4	3	-1
Canoeing - Slalom	4	2	-2
Cycling - Road	6	4	-2
Sport climbing	2	0	-2	Estimated
Boxing	5	2	-3
Canoeing - Sprint	16	13	-3
Sailing	9	6	-3
Badminton	8	4	-4
Weightlifting	5	1	-4
Diving	10	5	-5
Athletics	57	50	-7	Estimated
Rugby Sevens	24	12	-12	Estimated
Field hockey	16	0	-16
Rowing	29	11	-18
Total	359	324	-35

 

 

 

 

[JoshMartini007 2,336]

To be fair, 2020 was a high year for Canada. Even if we fail to qualify volleyball (a 50/50 chance IMO), we'll have a similar size to 2016 (which was also a high mark).

 

I'm hoping Rowing Canada figures itself out.

[Josh 7,401]

On 6/2/2024 at 8:04 AM, JoshMartini007 said:

To be fair, 2020 was a high year for Canada. Even if we fail to qualify volleyball (a 50/50 chance IMO), we'll have a similar size to 2016 (which was also a high mark).

 

I'm hoping Rowing Canada figures itself out.

Agreed, but at the same time there’s been many disappointments this Olympic qualification period. Wasn’t expecting 380, but thought 330-335 was doable. 

[Topicmaster1010 2,881]

Athletics Road to Paris 2024 Qualification Tracker (June 4th Update):

 

New Entry Standards: Audrey Leduc (200m), Lauren Gale, Grace Konrad, Savannah Sutherland

New Athletes via Rankings: None

Dropped Out: Julie-Anne Staehli, Briana Scott, Brooke Overholt, Grace Fetherstonhaugh, Kaila Butler

 

Change in rankings since last update are indicated in brackets

 

The news is mostly not great.

 

Women:

 

100m (56 quotas):

15. Audrey Leduc - ES (-1)

51. Khamica Bingham (-7)

 

200m (48 quotas):

14. Audrey Leduc - ES (NEW)

46. Jacqueline Madogo (+1)

 

400m (48 quotas):

15. Lauren Gale - ES (NEW)

25. Zoe Sherar - ES (+19) 

48. Grace Konrad (-5)

 

800m (48 quotas):

45. Jazz Shukla (-3)

 

1500m (45 quotas):

29. Lucia Stafford - ES (-1)

39. Simone Plourde (-3)

 

100m Hurdles (40 quotas):

22.  Mariam Abdul-Rashid - ES (-1)

31. Michelle Harrison (-1)

 

400m Hurdles (40 quotas):

20. Savannah Sutherland - ES (+6)

 

3000m Steeplechase (36 quotas):

22. Ceili McCabe - ES

26. Regan Yee

 

Pole Vault (32 quotas):

5. Alysha Newman - ES

26. Anicka Newell (-2)

 

Shot Put (32 quotas):

2. Sarah Mitton - ES

 

Hammer Throw (32 quotas):

3. Camryn Rogers - ES

 

Marathon (80 quotas):

35. Malindi Elmore - ES

 

Men:

 

100m (56 quotas):

23. Brendon Rodney - ES (-3)

31. Andre de Grasse (+6)

35. Aaron Brown (-5)

 

200m (48 quotas):

7. Andre de Grasse - ES

12. Aaron Brown - ES (-2)

22. Brendon Rodney - ES (-2)

 

400m (48 quotas):

3. Christopher Morales-Williams - ES

 

800m (48 quotas):

2. Marco Arop - ES

 

1500m (45 quotas):

26. Charles Philibert-Thiboutot - ES (-1)

36. Kieran Lumb (-6)

 

5000m (42 quotas):

12. Mohammed Ahmed - ES (-4)

34. Benjamin Flanagan - ES (-4)

 

10000m (27 quotas):

9. Mohammed Ahmed - ES (-3)

 

3000m Steeplechase (36 quotas):

21. Jean-Simon Desgagnes (-1)

 

Hammer Throw (32 quotas):

1. Ethan Katzberg - ES

15. Adam Keenan

21. Rowan Hamilton (-2)

 

Marathon (80 quotas):

18. Cameron Levins - ES

65. Rory Linkletter - ES

 

20km Race Walk (48 quotas):

13. Evan Dunfee - ES

 

Decathlon (24 quotas):

1. Pierce Lepage - ES

3. Damian Warner - ES

 

So overall that's 41 individual qualifiers (18 men + 19 women) + another woman for the mixed race walk event + relay quotas (2 M 4x100m + 3 W 4x100m + 2 W 4x400m). So that's roughly a team size of 45 athletes.