I was doing some research on which nations might be eligible for Tripartite invitation places for Paris 2024 should the same criteria be used this time round as previously.
The tripartite eligibility criteria for Tokyo 2020 was such that invitation places would only be allocated to NOCs with an average of 8 or fewer athletes in individual sports / disciplines in the previous 2 editions of the Olympics (London and Rio). This means 92 NOCs in total were eligible for tripartite invitation quotas.
So if we use the same criteria this time, a total of 94 NOCs would be eligible.
Botswana, Kosovo and Pakistan would no longer be eligible in this Olympic cycle as they have gone above the average of 8 individual athletes at the previous 2 editions.
On the otherhand, 5 nations that were ineligible last time would now be eligible in this Olympic cycle: Congo, Cook Islands, El Salvador, Iceland, Lebanon.
Obviously this isn't anything official, I am just speculating based on previous criteria but it's fun to look at such things, right?
NOCs that remain eligible for Tripartite Invitations for Paris 2024
* denotes that athletes from team sports were discounted from the total
Nation
2016
Athletes
2020
Athletes
Average
Athletes
Afghanistan
3
5
4
Albania
6
9
7.5
American Samoa
4
6
5
Andorra
5
2
3.5
Antigua and Barbuda
9
6
7.5
Aruba
7
3
5
Bangladesh
7
6
6.5
Belize
3
3
3
Benin
6
7
6.5
Bermuda
8
2
5
Bhutan
2
4
3
British Virgin Islands
4
3
3.5
Brunei Darussalam
3
2
2.5
Burkina Faso
5
7
6
Burundi
9
6
7.5
Cambodia
6
3
4.5
Cape Verde
5
6
5.5
Cayman Islands
5
5
5
Central African Republic
6
2
4
Chad
2
3
2.5
Comoros
4
3
3.5
Democratic Republic of the Congo
4
7
5.5
Djibouti
7
4
5.5
Dominica
2
2
2
Timor-Leste
3
3
3
Equatorial Guinea
2
3
2.5
Eswatini
2
4
3
Federated States of Micronesia
5
3
4
Gabon
6
5
5.5
Gambia
4
4
4
Grenada
7
6
6.5
Guam
5
5
5
Guinea
5
5
5
Guinea-Bissau
5
4
4.5
Guyana
6
7
6.5
Haiti
10
6
8
Honduras
7*
5*
6*
Iraq
5*
3
4*
Kiribati
3
3
3
Kuwait
0
10
5
Laos
6
4
5
Lesotho
8
2
5
Liberia
2
3
2.5
Libya
7
4
5.5
Liechtenstein
3
5
4
Madagascar
6
6
6
Malawi
5
5
5
Maldives
4
4
4
Mali
6
4
5
Malta
7
6
6.5
Marshall Islands
5
2
3.5
Mauritania
2
2
2
Monaco
3
6
4.5
Montenegro
7*
7*
7*
Mozambique
6
10
8
Myanmar
7
2
4.5
Nauru
2
2
2
Nepal
7
5
6
Nicaragua
5
8
6.5
Niger
6
7
6.5
North Macedonia
6
8
7
Oman
4
5
4.5
Palau
5
3
4
Palestine
6
5
5.5
Papua New Guinea
8
8
8
Rwanda
7
5
6
Saint Kitts and Nevis
7
2
4.5
Saint Lucia
5
5
5
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4
3
3.5
Samoa
8
8
8
San Marino
4
5
4.5
Sao Tome and Principe
3
3
3
Seychelles
10
5
7.5
Sierra Leone
4
4
4
Solomon Islands
3
3
3
Somalia
2
2
2
South Sudan
3
2
2.5
Sri Lanka
9
9
9
Sudan
6
5
5.5
Suriname
6
3
4.5
Syria
7
6
6.5
Tanzania
7
3
5
Togo
5
4
4.5
Tonga
7
6
6.5
Tuvalu
1
2
1.5
US Virgin Islands
7
4
5.5
Vanuatu
4
3
3.5
Yemen
3
5
4
Zambia
7
8*
7.5*
NOCs that are no longer eligible for Tripartite Invitations for Paris 2024
Botswana
12
13
12.5
Kosovo
8
11
9.5
Pakistan
7
10
8.5
NOCs that have become eligible for Tripartite Invitations for Paris 2024
Congo
10
3
6.5
Cook Islands
9
6
7.5
El Salvador
8
5
6.5
Iceland
8
4
6
Lebanon
9
6
7.5