JoshMartini007

I totally agree. What makes it even more laughable is that in the 1500m there are no lanes so adding a few more athletes does nothing to the logistics of the event.

Maybe a nation will select a hammer thrower to run the 100m to really hammer the absurdity of offering wildcard places in only 3 events (with most nations being defaulted to the 100m).

Without knowing anything I assume the old head coach wants to leave and this is part of the transition plan.

It looks like for some nations they are getting two athletics invitations. Probably to avoid from having only male athletes. Of the ones I listed ( ) now have a woman competing.

The other issue which is a lot harder to solve is that some events are more predictable than others. In reality, some events have a near-lock for gold while for others, the favourite may only have around 20% chance of actually winning gold, but in the end both nations are predicted to win 1 gold medal. This sometimes balances out in the overall medal list, but you do get situations where Great Britain is predicted to win six golds in rowing just because their model states they are the favourites even if slight in some events.

Yeah, that's my biggest gripe with GraceNote. They are selling a product with many errors. I understand athletes can withdraw right up to the last moment, but some of these errors are medals being awarded to nations without qualification or athletes who have withdrew months ago. Obviously, the lack of competition lets them get away with selling this and in the end if something doesn't come true the easy excuse is sports is too random

There's no drawback, it's just sad seeing nations sending fewer athletes

So unless there are some last minute roster changes here are the changes to tripartite eligibility. The following nations will no longer be eligible in 2028 to obtain a tripartite invitation: The following nations will now be eligible in 2028 to obtain a tripartite invitation: The number of tripartite nations will increase from 93 to 100. Obviously not a good trend. Mozambique and Zambia are one withdrawal away from retaining tripartite eligibility while Angola, North Korea and Paraguay need one more athlete to avoid becoming a tripartite nation.

So the following nation's delegations are 100% male (assuming no changes between now and the Olympics): 5/10 are nations with only a single athlete in their delegation. Both Iraq and South Sudan will compete in a team event. There are no female only nations.

Both teams are ranked in the top 8

That dream died when athletics decided nations can only have 1 universality quota. I wonder how many men only and women only teams we'll have.

Had some time to look deeper into the list. Overall, 691 athletes are listed, this does not include relay-only athletes (~161 additional athletes). 416 athletes obtained at least one OQT. 15 athletes were invited through OCT (and did not have OQT). gained 2 athletes while gained one athlete. 260 athletes qualified through the universality quotas (and don't have OQT/OCT). This was obtained by 151 nations. 108 nations qualified both a man and a women. Additionally, the refugee team has 2 men. 42 nations obtained a single quota (22 men, 20 women), though some nations obtained at least one quota in the opposite gender via OQT/OCT.

At first I was surprised to see 304 athletes listed as universality, but looking through the list I noticed some are not (or at the very least shouldn't have been invited as a universality because their nation had other OQT/OCT athletes).

Overall 200/206 NOCs (including the refugee team) will compete in athletics. will not. I can't find the final missing nation.

Weird, the list has Somalia in the men's 800m, but he isn't listed in the Road to Paris. Overall this means everyone is qualified.

Interestingly enough since North Korea missed 2020 and over half the qualification period for 2024, they could become a tripartite nation for 2028. Maybe the IOC will make an exception, but they didn't for Kuwait

Yeah, Lithuania will compete in the relay, it's just that they have to use their breaststroker.

Good for Poland, accepting everything given to them.

Things aren't looking good for there seems to be fighting between the NOC and the Sports Minister. If there isn't a resolution they may not compete.

I guess those nations/athletes give the road race a higher priority. How does the men's side look?

It's a way for sport federations to get around the athlete quota limit. Funny enough, for football the athletes don't even stay at the athlete's village so a team of 22 players vs. 18 won't make a difference.

Correct, the IOC created quotas places to give to unqualified refugees.

I feel 9/10 is pretty set unless the nation is completely snake-bitten and fails to win more than a few golds. At the very least, the nine should finish in the top 10 in terms of total medals. The tenth nation has a few options: maybe if they convert their chances into gold.

We are down to our final direct qualifier. It all started about two years ago when qualified in triathlon at the 2022 World Mixed Relay Championships. The final quota will be between and in men's basketball.

Spain has a nine point lead going into the final quarter