JoshMartini007

It looked like if Iran was going to go for the upset against Montenegro early in the second half, but Montenegro was able to regain control of the match

Dressage Neustadt Dosse CDI3* Results The following have achieved 1/2 MER result Simone Pearce (Cadeau Noir) Hendrik Lochthowe (Bricco Barone) Nicole Wego-Engelmeyer (Citation 3) Felix Kneese (San Simeon) Dressage Basel CDI-W Results The following have achieved 1/2 MER result Jessica Bredow-Werndl (TSF Dalera BB) Isabell Werth (DSP Quantaz) Dinja Liere (Hartsuijker) Nanna Skodborg Merrald (Blue Hors Zepter) Benjamin Werndl (Daily Mirror 9) Patrik Kittel (Forever Young HRH) Dorothee Schneider (Showtime FRH) Florian Bacher (Fidertraum OLD) Corentin Pottier (Gotilas Du Feuillard) Thamar Zweistra (Hexagon's Double Dutch) Guillaume Lundy CNE (Tempo Ifce) Gilles Ngovan (Zigzag) Jorinde Verwimp (Charmer) Estelle Wettstein (Quarterboy) Dressage Wellington CDI-W Results The following have achieved 1/2 MER result Adrienne Lyle (Salvino) Sarah Tubman (First Apple) Caroline Darcourt (Lord Django) Anna Marek (Fire Fly) Tinne Vilhelmson Silfven (Devanto) Dressage Wellington CDI3* Results The following have achieved 1/2 MER result Frederic Wanders (Hot Hit OLD) Carrie Schopf (Saumur) Codi Harrison (Katholt's Bossco) Michael Klimke (Domino) Megan Lane (Zodiac MW) Chase Shipka (Gladstone Zee T) The first CDI-W event in Europe sees everyone that finished the Grand Prix grab an MER result. Looking at the calendar, I see there are seven weeks with events in Wellington from January to March. This make it a good place to farm ranking points without the stress of traveling and still have enough time to fly over to Europe (or stay and travel here). However, only Schopf (who's American-born) and Venezuela's Patricia Ferrando competed this week. Perhaps more will attend in two weeks.

This weekend's ranking and MER eligible events Dressage Neustadt Dosse - CDI3* Basel - CDI-W Wellington - CDI-W Wellington - CDI3* Jumping Abu Dhabi - CSI4*-W The first Eventing event will be next week.

This is women's rugby sevens, not men's. Samoa is a lot weaker on the women's side.

PNG tends to win that match more often than not.

I agree, now that Olympic quotas are on the line, I imagine the US teams will show up more often in the Pro Tour.

Assuming you believe that modern pentathlon is heading towards a triathlon like format then fencing would have to go

Jumping - Dannevirke CSI1*-W Results The following have achieved 1/3 MER results Phillip Steiner (Cassina Dior) Maurice Beatson (Central Park) Julie Davey (LT Holst Freda) Brooke Edgecombe (LT Holst Andrea) Tegan Fitzsimon (Windermere Cappuccino)

Dressage Exloo CDI3* Results The following have achieved 1/2 MER result Charlotte Fry (Dark Legend) Daniel Bachmann Andersen (Vayron) Charlotte Heering (Bufranco) Lynne Maas (Electra) Annabella Pidgley (Gio) Charlotte Fry (Don Joe) Charlotte Fry (Lars van de Hoenderheide) Helen Erbe (Carlos FRH) Lina Uzunhasan (Furst Fabelhaft UZN) Camille Cheret Judet (Herelja Higgins) Jazmin Yom Tov (Hexagon's Grandville) Dressage Thermal CDI3* Results The following have achieved 1/2 MER result Amy Miller (Encore) Dressage Thermal CDI-W Results The following have achieved 1/2 MER result Steffen Peters (Suppenkasper) Anna Buffini (FRH Davinia La Douce) Claire Darnell (Harrold S)

Just a reminder, for platinum level marathons, the top 5 are considered to reach the qualification standard, regardless of time

Is there a list of L4 judges anywhere? I'd like to keep track on whether a nation can fulfill their team/individual quota.

This is the first weekend where athletes/horses can obtain ranking points and the all important MER standard. The following events are scheduled: Dressage Exloo - CDI3* Thermal - CDI-W Thermal - CDI3* Jumping Dannevirk - CSI1*-W Eventing won't have its first event for another 2 weeks.

Looking at history, I wouldn't trust Russia to uphold an Olympic truce

I agree, it also helps that France is hosting and I imagine they will push hard at preventing nations from boycotting. If they can keep the United States on board then I doubt anyone outside of maybe Ukraine will end up boycotting.

I imagine the scenario would require Russia to no longer advance/attack outside of the eastern Oblasts to minimize those instances. Another option would be for the IOC to allow the sport federations to decide and hope a slow trickle effect would prevent it from causing a PR nightmare and then maybe reassess in June 2024. The question would be which sport federation will take the first hit? Tennis seems like the most likely option since the athletes are already competing. Judo is another option since they allowed athletes to compete before reversing their stance later in 2022.

I think there's enough support among sport officials (even those from Western nations) that the inclusion of Russia/Belarus to be possible. At least in some sports. It comes down to real politics and possibly the state of the war as we approach the end of 2023.

The top 19 for men and the top 21 for women.

As a reminder, the qualification/ranking period for the 10,000m, decathlon/heptathlon, race walks and relays began on Dec 31st 2022 and will continue until June 30th 2024. Additionally, marathon is also currently active (Nov. 1st 2022 to April 30th 2024). The other events will begin on July 1st 2023 and will end on June 30th 2024.

Part 2 El Salvador Archery: Men's Individual Athletics: Men's 100m Badminton: Men's Singles Breaking: B-Boys, B-Girls Judo: Men's -66kg, Men's -81kg Sailing: Men's Laser Shooting: Men's 50m Rifle 3 Positions, Men's 10m Air Rifle, Men's 25m Rapid Fire Pistol, Men's 10m Air Pistol, Women's 50m Rifle 3 Positions, Women's 10m Air Rifle, Women's 10m Air Pistol Surfing: Men's Shortboard Swimming: Men's 200m Freestyle, Women's 100m Freestyle, Women's 100m Butterfly Tennis: Men's Doubles Iceland Athletics: Men's 100m, Men's Discus Throw, Men's Hammer Throw, Women's 100m, Women's 800m, Women's Marathon, Women's Shot Put Cycling: Women's Road Race Handball: Men's Tournament Judo: Men's -81kg Shooting: Men's Skeet Swimming: Men's 100m Breaststroke, Men's 200m Breaststroke, Women's 100m Freestyle, Women's 200m Freestyle Triathlon: Women's Individual Weightlifting: Women's -59kg, Women's -71kg Kosovo Boxing: Women's Lightweight Judo: Men's -73kg, Women's -52kg, Women's -57kg, Women's -63kg, Women's -78kg Swimming: Men's 50m Freestyle, Men's 100m Freestyle, Women's 50m Freestyle, Women's 100m Freestyle Nicaragua Athletics: Men's 100m Judo: Women's +78kg Shooting: Men's 10m Air Pistol, Women's 10m Air Rifle Surfing: Men's Shortboard, Women's Shortboard Swimming: Women's 50m Freestyle, Women's 100m Butterfly, Women's 200m Butterfly Taekwondo: Men's -80kg Panama Athletics: Men's 100m, Women's 100m, Women's 400m Hurdles, Women's Long Jump Boxing: Women's Middleweight Cycling: Men's Road Race, Men's Time Trial Gymnastics: Women's Artistic Individual Events Judo: Men's -60kg, Women's -52kg, Women's -57kg Surfing: Men's Shortboard Swimming: Men's 100m Breaststroke, Men's 200m Breaststroke, Women's 100m Backstroke, Women's 200m Backstroke, Women's 100m Breaststroke, Women's 200m Breaststroke Taekwondo: Women's -49kg Uruguay Athletics: Men's 100m, Men's 1500m, Men's 5000m, Men's Marathon, Men's Long Jump, Women's 100m, Women's 800m, Women's 1500m Cycling: Men's Road Race, Women's Road Race Equestrian: Individual Dressage, Individual Eventing Football: Men's Tournament Judo: Men's -81kg Rowing: Men's Single Sculls, Men's Lightweight Double Sculls, Women's Lightweight Double Sculls Rugby Sevens: Men's Tournament Sailing: Men's 49er, Women's Laser Radial Swimming: Men's 100m Freestyle, Men's 200m Freestyle, Women's 100m Backstroke, Women's 200m Backstroke Tennis: Men's Doubles Venezuela Athletics: Men's 100m, Men's 400m, Men's 800m, Men's Marathon, Men's Triple Jump, Men's Decathlon, Women's 100m, Women's 200m, Women's 5000m, Women's 100m Hurdles, Women's Marathon, Women's 20km Walk, Women's Pole Vault, Women's Triple Jump Basketball: Men's Tournament Cycling: Men's Road Race, Men's Time Trial, Men's BMX Park, Women's Road Race, Women's BMX Park Diving: Men's 10m Platform, Women's 10m Platform Equestrian: Individual Dressage Fencing: Men's Individual Epee, Men's Team Epee, Women's Individual Sabre Golf: Men's Individual Judo: Women's -63kg, Women's -70kg, Women's -78kg, Women's +78kg Modern Pentathlon: Men's Individual Sailing: Women's Laser Radial Shooting: Men's Trap Swimming: Men's 50m Freestyle, Men's 400m Freestyle, Men's 800m Freestyle, Women's 100m Butterfly Taekwondo: Men's -58kg, Men's +80kg Weightlifting: Men's -61kg, Men's -89kg, Women's -49kg, Women's -59kg, Women's -71kg, Women's -81kg, Women's +81kg Wrestling: Men's Freestyle -125kg, Women's Freestyle -53kg, Women's Freestyle -68kg, Women's Freestyle -76kg

I'll post them as I have time. If you can think of any additional events let me know. Afghanistan Athletics: Men's 100m Judo: Men's -66kg Surfing: Men's Shortboard Swimming: Men's 50m Freestyle Taekwondo: Men's -58kg Albania Athletics: Women's 5000m, Women's 3000m Steeplechase Cycling: Men's Road Race Judo: Men's -66kg Shooting: Women's 25m Pistol, Women's 10m Air Pistol Swimming: Men's 100m Freestyle, Women's 50m Freestyle Weightlifting: Men's -73kg Wrestling: Men's Freestyle -57kg, Men's Freestyle -65kg Bosnia and Herzegovina Athletics: Men's 100m, Men's 800m, Men's Shot Put, Women's 100m, Women's 800m Basketball: Women's Tournament Judo: Women's -57kg, Women's -70kg, Women's +78kg Swimming: Men's 50m Freestyle, Women's 100m Butterfly, Women's 200m Butterfly Taekwondo: Men's -80kg Chile Archery: Men's Individual, Women's Individual, Mixed Team Athletics: Men's 100m, Men's 5000m, Men's Marathon, Men's Discus Throw, Men's Hammer Throw, Women's 100m, Women's 400m, Women's 800m, Women's Marathon, Women's Shot Put, Women's Discus Throw Boxing: Men's Super Heavyweight Canoeing: Women's C1 200m, Women's C2 500m Cycling: Men's Road Race, Men's Cross-Country, Women's Road Race, Women's Time Trial, Women's Cross-Country Diving: Men's 3m Springboard Equestrian: Individual Eventing, Individual Jumping Field Hockey: Women's Tournament Golf: Men's Individual Judo: Men's -100kg, Men's +100kg, Women's -48kg Rowing: Men's Single Sculls, Men's Lightweight Double Sculls, Women's Single Sculls, Women's Lightweight Double Sculls Rugby Sevens: Men's Tournament Sailing: Men's Laser, Men's 49er Shooting: Men's Skeet, Women's Skeet, Mixed Team Skeet Skateboarding: Women's Park Swimming: Men's 200m Backstroke, Men's 100m Butterfly, Men's 200m Butterfly, Women's 1500m Freestyle Table Tennis: Women's Singles Taekwondo: Men's -68kg, Women's -57kg, Women's -67kg Tennis: Men's Singles Triathlon: Men's Individual Volleyball: Men's Beach Volleyball, Women's Beach Volleyball Wrestling: Men's Greco-Roman -130kg Costa Rica Athletics: Men's 100m, Men's 400m Hurdles, Men's Marathon, Women's 100m Hurdles, Women's Marathon, Women's 20km Walk Cycling: Men's BMX Park, Women's Road Race Judo: Men's -60kg, Men's -66kg, Men's -73kg Surfing: Men's Shortboard, Women's Shortboard Swimming: Men's 200m Breaststroke, Women's 200m Butterfly Taekwondo: Women's -49kg Wrestling: Men's Freestyle -97kg Ecuador Athletics: Men's 100m, Men's 200m, Men's Marathon, Men's 20km Walk, Men's Discus Throw, Men's Decathlon, Women's 100m, Women's 200m, Women's 800m, Women's Marathon, Women's 20km Walk, Women's Long Jump, Women's Triple Jump, Women's Javelin Throw, Mixed Team Walk Boxing: Men's Flyweight, Men's Featherweight, Men's Welterweight, Men's Super Heavyweight, Women's Bantamweight Cycling: Men's Road Race, Men's Time Trial, Men's BMX Racing, Women's Road Race, Women's BMX Racing Equestrian: Individual Dressage, Individual Eventing Football: Men's Tournament Golf: Women's Individual Judo: Men's -60kg, Men's -66kg, Men's +100kg, Women's -48kg, Women's -63kg, Women's -70kg, Women's -78kg Modern Pentathlon: Men's Individual, Women's Individual Sailing: Men's Laser Shooting: Men's 10m Air Rifle, Men's 10m Air Pistol, Women's 10m Air Pistol, Mixed Team 10m Air Pistol Sport Climbing: Men's Speed, Women's Speed Surfing: Women's Shortboard Swimming: Men's 1500m Freestyle, Men's 10km Open Water, Women's 50m Freestyle, Women's 100m Freestyle, Women's 10km Open Water Table Tennis: Men's Singles Taekwondo: Women's -67kg Tennis: Men's Singles, Men's Doubles Triathlon: Men's Individual, Women's Individual Weightlifting: Men's -73kg, Women's -71kg, Women's -81kg, Women's +81kg Wrestling: Women's Freestyle -50kg, Women's Freestyle -53kg, Women's Freestyle -76kg

I only did it for the unqualified nations. It would have taken a much longer time than it already did to complete, especially when you consider many of the already qualified nations have many chances to qualify. Which unqualified nations are you interested in seeing?

I've updated the first post with the potential sports each nation may qualify in. I went through each event and wrote down which unqualified nations have a chance at qualifying (including wild cards/tripartites). This information is based on recent events and world rankings so as we get closer to the games and more athletes compete or nations fail to qualify in a sport I will continue to update the list. If anyone has any suggestions please let me know. Just remember, unlikely is okay, but not impossible. For Belarus and Russia I worked under the impression that they will return tomorrow (even though that's quite unlikely), but at the same time for other nations I worked under the impression that they will be fully banned. I am working under the similar ideals for North Korea for when/if they return. As we still have many middle size nations, I've only listed the sports to save space. If you want a full breakdown of a nation let me know and I can reply. I'll probably update the first post with events once most of those nations qualify. Here's the top 10 nations with the most events I gave them a chance at qualifying in. 1. Russia - 236 2. Hungary - 138 3. Mexico - 125 4. Kazakhstan - 123 5. Argentina - 110 6. Austria - 97 7. Portugal - 96 8. Belarus - 86 9. Finland - 79 9. Romania - 79 Unsurprising, the currently suspended Russia tops the list. If they were to be allowed back in tomorrow, there's really only a handful of events that they would have no chance at qualifying (mostly team sports), but would qualify at a normal games. That number will start to drop quite quickly in 2023 as they (and Belarus) continue to miss key qualifying events and ranking points. Hungary as number two is also not surprising, as besides the suspended Russia, they won the most medals in 2020 and had one of the largest teams out of the unqualified nations. After that you have the major continental powerhouses which benefit from continental quotas while also being a present at world qualifiers and then you have the remaining mid-sized European nations (Slovenia is 11th).

If it were up to World Athletics they would rather have athletes qualify through the rankings only. Not fair either.

So there will be more men than women competing in 2024? Sound the alarms!!!

The 50% rule is more of a suggestion. The hope is that the standards are so difficult that only around 50% of the quotas will be filled and the rest will be filled by the rankings. It's similar to the "Road to Budapest"