On which day will your nation win their first medal of the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games?

[OlympicIRL 5,532]

It's always interesting to look at the Olympic schedule and forecast when your nation's big medal chances will be. Will they be early in the program, in the final days, or will they be spread out over the course of the 16 days of medal winning action (the dream scenario )?

 

Here is the link to the day-to-day schedule to help with your forecast:

 

https://totallympics.com/qualification-tracker/tokyo2020/tokyo-2020-schedule_by_day/

 

 

When is the first realistic medal chance of the Games for your nation?

 

When do you think your nation will get their first medal and in which event?

 

Is there a bumper day for your nation where you expect more than one or a few medals to come? If so, what day?

 

Is there a day when you expect to have not so much competitors from your nation competing or no chances for medals?

 

[dcro 10,210]

Optimistic - Day 1 (Saturday, July 24) - taekwondo/shooting

Realistic - Day 3 (Monday, July 26) - taekwondo

'Pessimistic' - Day 5 (Wednesday, July 28) - rowing

[NearPup 3,067]

 Normally that would be an easy day 1, but looking at the schedule it might be possible for the US to not get a medal until day 2. Depends mostly on how the day 1 shooting and fencing events go.

Winning medals on day 2 is a lock.

 

 Day 2 will most likely be the first medal, and the best chance is the women’s synchronized 3m springboard.

[LDOG 2,418]

Optimistic: day 1

 

Realistic: something in last 3 days.

 

Pessimistic: August xx 2024...

[CCB 565]

When is the first realistic medal chance of the Games for your nation? When do you think your nation will get their first medal and in which event?

 

Day 2, when the women's cycling road race take place. But as always, nothing is sure, definitely not the road races. Still I expect the first medal here for Netherlands (with Vos, Van der Breggen, Vollering or Van Vleuten).

 

Is there a bumper day for your nation where you expect more than one or a few medals to come? If so, what day?

 

Day 5 with the women's time trial (although I expect gold for Chloe Dygert), some rowing finals (M2x, W4-) and the biggest chance on a medal at the judo tournament (women's -70, men's -90)

 

Is there a day when you expect to have not so much competitors from your nation competing or no chances for medals?

 

Not a particular day, but at the end of the competition, most of the Dutch teams will be eliminated (e.g. handball, football, waterpolo).

[heywoodu 15,173]

Possible: day 1 (assuming the first day with medals is day 1)

 

Anything later than day 2 would be highly disappointing from a national point of view  I know nothing is a given, especially in road races, but no Dutch medal at all would be very disappointing for the team.

[phelps 7,703]

14 minutes ago, OlympicIRL said:

It's always interesting to look at the Olympic schedule and forecast when your nation's big medal chances will be. Will they be early in the program, in the final days, or will they be spread out over the course of the 16 days of medal winning action (the dream scenario )?

normally, Italy in the last 5 or 6 Olympics have been stronger in the first week/10 days of the games rather than in the final 5/6 days...

and I think it's gonna be the same also this year...

 

14 minutes ago, OlympicIRL said:

 

Here is the link to the day-to-day schedule to help with your forecast:

 

https://totallympics.com/qualification-tracker/tokyo2020/tokyo-2020-schedule_by_day/

 

 

When is the first realistic medal chance of the Games for your nation?

on day #1...

 

14 minutes ago, OlympicIRL said:

 

When do you think your nation will get their first medal and in which event?

being very optimistic, we have Sofia Ceccarello in the very first medal event of the Games (women's 10m Air Rifle), but more rationally we will have to wait the afternoon/early evening when we have quite a good number of true medal chances (Fencing, men's Sabre and women's Epee; Cycling, men's Road Race; Taekwondo, men's -58kg and maybe even the Archery, mixed team event, but this is another optimistic hope, rather than an expected medal)...

 

14 minutes ago, OlympicIRL said:

 

Is there a bumper day for your nation where you expect more than one or a few medals to come? If so, what day?

I think we have more than one medal chances almost every day...

but we're likely to really get that in some days of the first week of the Games, when Shotgun Shooting, Swimming and Fencing are scheduled all together...

 

14 minutes ago, OlympicIRL said:

 

Is there a day when you expect to have not so much competitors from your nation competing or no chances for medals?

 

maybe some days in the middle of the second week, but I haven't checked carefully enough the schedule to be accurate with this answer...

[thepharoah 2,405]

at someday i guess 

[hckošice 14,875]

well...

 

Let say it this way, any medal would be a fantastic achievement for us. We are currently in a situation that we can get even 6 (super optimistic scenario) but we will not be also surprised at all if we will return home empty handed (Pessimistic scenario).

 

 

But, ok, let play the game.

Our biggest chance are...

 

Day 3 - M C1 Canoe Slalom Finals

Day 6 - M & W Trap Shooting Finals

Day 8 - Mixed Trap Shooting Finals

Day 15 - M K4-500m Canoeing Sprint

 

If we not medal in any of them, then we will nowhere

[OlympicIRL 5,532]

1 minute ago, hckošice said:

well...

 

Let say it this way, any medal would be a fantastic achievement for us. We are currently in a situation that we can get even 6 (super optimistic scenario) but we will not be also surprised at all if we will return home empty handed (Pessimistic scenario).

 

 

But, ok, let play the game.

Our biggest chnce are

 

Day 3 - M C1 Canoe Slalom Finals

Day 6 - M & W Trap Shooting Finals

Day 8 - Mixed Trap Shooting Finals

Day 15 - M K4-500m Canoeing Sprint

 

If not medal in any of them, then we will nowhere

 

What about Matej Toth?