heywoodu

[hide] General (15) 1 - Pacific Island nations in Oceania (including New Zealand, not Australia) will win more medals than Caribbean nations. 1 2 - At least six south american nations will medal. 3 - At least two NOCs will win their first olympic medal. 10 4 - Mexico will finish higher than Colombia in the medal table. 5 - At least two of these NOCs (which haven't won a medal since Sydney 2000 or before) will medal again in Paris 2024: Barbados, Costa Rica, Guyana, Haiti, Iraq, Lebanon, Luxembourg, Mozambique, Pakistan, Peru, Sri Lanka, Suriname, Tanzania, Tonga, Uruguay, US Virgin Islands, Zambia. 1 6 - Will Italy and the Netherlands win more total gold medals than France. 7 - Will Ethiopia finish in the top 20 of the medal count? (Tie for 20th =Yes). 8 8 - At least one individual podium from Tokyo 2020 will be repeated (same people in the same positions). 11 9 - At least one individual medallist from Beijing 2008 will win an individual medal. 11 10 - Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) will win a combined total of 10 or more medals. 10 11 - Denmark will end with 5 (all-time best) or more Gold medals. 12 - Bosnia&Herzegovina or Albania will win their first Olympic medal. 9 13 - Hong Kong will finish above Chinese Taipei on the Medal Table. 9 14 - Indonesia and Thailand will be only two countries/NOCs from Southeast Asia that will win gold medals from this region. 15 - Top three Asian nations at the overall medal table placement: China, Japan, South Korea. 12 Aquatics - Diving (2) 16 - North Korea will win at least one medal. 2 17 - The four chinese synchronized teams will win with at least 172 points in total to their opponents in second places in the four synchronized events. For comparison the chinese synchronized teams have won with 173,58 points (WCH 2023) and 170,86 points (WCH 2024). 1 Aquatics - Swimming (8) 18 - Australia will win more gold medals than the USA. 4 19 - Summer McIntosh will win four or more medals. 7 20 - The winner of the women's 100m Backstroke will go under 57 seconds. 3 21 - Leon Marchand will win 2 or more gold medals. 9 22 - One of Caeleb Dressel, Kristof Milak or Adam Peaty will win an individual gold medal. 8 23 - An athlete will make a false start during one of the finals sessions. 12 24 - Australia will win a medal in all 7 relays. 10 25 - There will be a podium consisting of only junior swimmers (all born in 2006 or younger). 11 Aquatics - Synchronized Swimming (1) 26 - At least one NOC will win its first Olympic medal. 9 Aquatics - Water Polo (2) 27 - The USA women's team will lose a match. 4 28 - Only one nation will reach the semifinals in both competitions. Archery (2) 29 - At least one non-Asian country will win a gold medal in any event. 30 - South Korea will only win one gold medal. 11 Athletics (10) 31 - Men’s 100m- These three USA sprinters (N.Lyles/K.Bednarek/F.Kerley) will reach the final . 4 32 - Italy will win at least 5 medals. 33 - Canada will win both hammer throw events. 34 - Norway will be in the top 5 of medal table. 7 35 - Only one athlete will defend his/her Tokyo gold medal (relays excluded). 12 36 - Eritrea will win at least one medal. 11 37 - Ukraine will win more than one medal in women's high jump. 38 - At least one of the medal winners in any relay will later be disqualified due to a wrong exchange or crossing the line to another lane. 39 - France will win more gold medals than Great Britain . 5 40 - Finland will win more medals than Sweden. 12 Badminton (2) 41 - Three seeded players will be eliminated in the group stage. 42 - Gregoria Tunjung will win a medal. Basketball (2) 43 - Men's Tournament - United States will lose the gold medal match. 12 44 - Women's Tournament - Two different continents will be represented in the gold medal match. 12 Basketball 3x3 (2) 45 - Women's Tournament - The podium will consist of NOCs from three different continents. 46 - Men's Tournament - There will be one NOC who will win all its matches in the group stage. 7 Boxing (3) 47 - Ireland will be the NOC who will win most medals among European NOCs. 48 - Cuba will fail to win any medal. 12 49 - Australia will win more than 1 medal. 2 Breakdance (2) 50 - B-Girls event- D. Bancevic (LTU) (B-Girl Nicka) or A. Fukushima (JPN) (B-Girl Ayumi) will win the gold medal. 8 51 - B-Boys event- The final matchup will be P. Kim (CAN) (B-Boy Phil Wizard) vs. V. Montalvo (USA) (B-Boy Victor). 12 Canoeing - Slalom (2) 52 - At least 2 non-European NOCs will win a medal. 53 - In either women's W K1 & W C1, at least one winner of the qualification will fail to advance to the final from semifinal. 9 Canoeing - Sprint (2) 54 - In at least one of the K1-events for women or men, a NOC will win gold and silver. 10 55 - Germany will top the medal table. 10 Cycling - BMX (2) 56 - France will have all three male riders in the BMX racing Olympic final. 5 57 - United States will win 1 medal or less in the BMX freestyle events. 2 Cycling - Mountain Bike (2) 58 - Switzerland will win at least one gold and silver medal. 8 59 - A non-European NOC will win at least one medal. 7 Cycling - Road (2) 60 - Men's - The Benelux-countries (Belgium, Luxembourg and Netherlands) will win at least 3 medals. 6 61 - Women's - There will be 3 different NOCs on the podium in the women's road race. 10 Cycling - Track (3) 62 - Harrie Lavreysen will not lose a single race/heat (including qualification and knockout) in the individual spint. 63 - France will not win gold medal. 10 64 - European NOCs will win at least 9 out of the 12 medals in the sprint events for both men and women, individual and team. 5 Equestrian (2) 65 - At least two out of the three defending Olympic gold medallist in the three team events from Tokyo 2020 will defend their gold medals. 66 - The medalists in the individual dressage event will also win a medal in the team dressage event. 6 Fencing (3) 67 - Team events - At least one of the African NOC's will win its quarterfinal match and advance to a semfinal. 68- Individual events - At least 2 out of the 6 individual 2023 world champions will win gold. 8 69 - Either France, Hungary, Italy or fencers from these NOCs will be presented at every podium. 9 Field Hockey (2) 70 - The top scorer of the women's competition will be a dutch player. 6 71 - Great Britain will win a medal (men's or women's). Football (2) 72 - Spain will at least win either the women's or men's gold medal. 73 - At least one player born 2000 or before will receive a red card in the men's tournament. 7 Golf (1) 74 - USA will not win a medal in either women's or men's event. 1 Gymnastics - Artistic (3) 75 - At least two NOCs will win their first Olympic medal. 2 76 - Men's - Daiki Hashimoto will be the only male gymnasts to defend an olympic title in one of the individual events. 5 77 - Women's - Qiu Qiyuan will win at least two medals in the apparatus events. 3 Gymnastics - Rhythmic (1) 78 - Bulgaria will defend their Olympic title in the team event. 4 Gymnastics - Trampoline (1) 79 - China will win gold in both men's and women's event. 6 Handball (2) 80 - Men's - France will defend its Olympic gold from Tokyo 2020. 5 81 - Women's - France will not make the final. 4 Judo (3) 82 - At least one athlete will win gold by winning all fights by Ippon. 83 - France will win more gold medals than Japan. 11 84 - Japan will win the team event. Modern Pentathlon (2) 85 - Egypt will fail to win any medals in both men's and women's events. 2 86 - At least one of the two defending Olympic gold medallists (Joe Choong and Kate French) will defend their gold medal. Rowing (2) 87 - Romania will win at least 5 medals. 4 88 - Netherlands will top the medal table. 8 Rugby Sevens (2) 89 - The women's final will feature Australia and New Zealand. 6 90 - At least one medal match will be decided in extra-time. Sailing (3) 91 - France, Netherlands and Italy will be the top 3 NOCs in the medal table. 92 - Maximilian Maeder will win Singapore's first Olympic medal in Sailing. 11 93 - Great Britain will not win any medals in men's events. Shooting (3) 94 - China will win Gold in 50% or more (7+ Gold) of the total events. 9 95 - India will win at least 3 medals. 96 - At least one NOC will win more than one medal in a single mixed team event. 1 Skateboard (2) 97 - Teenagers (age 19 or younger) will win every gold medal in the skateboarding events. 12 98 - There will not be a medalists from the Tokyo 2020-podiums in skateboarding street events that will be at the podiums in Paris 2024. 1 Sport Climbing (2) 99 - The women’s lead semi final will have more tops than the final. 3 100 - Men's speed climbing podium will consist of only Asian NOCs. Surfing (2) 101 - A European NOC will win at least one medal. 102 - At least one medallist will have been through Round 2. Table Tennis (2) 103 - Wang/Sun (CHN) will lose maximum one set during the mixed double tournament. 9 104 - France will be only non-Asian NOC to win a medal. 4 Taekwondo (2) 105 - The NOC to win most medals will at maximum win 3 medals in total. 3 106 - There will not be a NOC who will win two or more gold medals. 2 Tennis (2) 107 - At least one player (man or woman) that has never advanced further than the round of 16 at the French Open singles tournament will win a singles medal in Paris 2024. 108 - An unseeded team will make final in women's doubles event. Triathlon (2) 109 - Mixed Relay event - The difference between the 1st-placed and 2nd-placed NOCs will be less than 12 seconds. 3 110 - France will win an individual medal in either men's or women's event. 11 Volleyball - Indoor (2) 111 - Men's - Poland will win at least a silver medal. 5 112 - A team from the Asian Volleyball Confederation will win a medal (men's or women's). Volleyball - Beach (2) 113 - Women’s event- A North American duo (USA/CAN) will win the gold medal. 6 114 - Men’s event- Bryl/Losiak (POL) will advance further in the tournament than Diaz/Alayo (CUB)? (If both are eliminated at the same stage e.g. Round of 16, then “No” will count). Weightlifting (2) 115 - United States will be placed 2nd in the medal table. 116 - At least two world records will be broken (snatch, clean and jerk or overall). 6 Wrestling (4) 117 - Kyrgyzstan will win at least one gold medal (first Olympic gold in their history). 118 - Freestyle - Albania will win a medal. 4 119 - Greco-Roman - At least 4 out 6 finals will be decided within a one point difference (Example: 2-1, 3-2... or 1-1, 2-2..etc.) . 1 120 - Women's - Japan will win medals in at least 5 classes. 3 [/hide]

If there's a breaking athlete (ok....B-boy or B-girl....) carrying the flag of any country, please let them at least make it cool by doing some sweet moves with the flag I know, not gonna happen, but at least that'd be fun.

Also keep in mind it was in La-Chaux-de-Fonds, which is kind of the European equivalent of Eugene and Cheboksary in terms of magical performances

Details, details

Sure, McLaughlin is definitely the favourite, but Bol has certainly increased her chances somewhat today. If she's able to go sub-51, McLaughlin can't have a mediocre day or something, she does need to be on top of her game.

It is on

Someone could shoot up the entire Congress and the president and the NRA will still have too much money and therefore power for sensible gun laws to have any chance to ever happen in that wild west country, so no, nothing is going to change in that regard

A country becomes a tripartite nation if in the previous two Olympics (with summer and winter being separated, I assume) they had an average of no more than 8 athletes, correct? Is there any drawback to becoming one, like for example Angola and Paraguay probably, or is the only negative side of that the fact that apparently you're able to send fewer and fewer athletes?

It's always going to be a conspiracy, apparently Pro-Biden people will say it was a Republican conspiracy. Pro-Trump people will say it was a Democrat conspiracy. Unable to accept that sometimes, big things don't have a state-like actor behind them. Luckily most people are probably not really believing that it was a conspiracy from one side or another, but most of these normal people aren't that active in yelling loudly on social media, so we don't really see them

Yeah, the conspiracy nonsense has been filling social media since like 2 minutes after the news broke, annoyingly. From bullshit like 'See? The Democrats were afraid and now they got to him!' to 'Republicans did it to secure his presidency!'. Ugh. No, most likely some idiot tried to shoot him, as we saw, not directed by either the Democrats or the Republicans in some massive behind-the-scenes conspiracy.

Yeah, same here. But that's what makes it annoying when people (like in so many countries) are pessimistic about the chances. "I don't think we'll win a lot of medals in rowing"....but, based on what? "Because it would be so typical Dutch to fail" People talk as if the results of, say, swimmers in 2012 would have an influence on the results of rowers in 2024, because they sure don't look at actual rowing results (with rowing just a random example of course)

Do people follow that many sports closely? Just asking because here lots of people see all the predictions and go "lol no way we will win that many medals", but when asked which other teams or athletes will be stronger, the answer is usually something like "no idea, I don't follow those sports".....I mean, come on

Main 'hypes' are around Euro (but that's obviously calmed down quite a bit ) and the Tour de France, although hype really is a big word for that. I mean, there's a few talk shows about it daily, but it's not really like everyone is all the time talking about it Olympics are mentioned in some commercials, as in 'watch the Olympics from 26 July!' (even though it really should say 24, but ok), but that's about it.

Oh and this is a nice one as well. The 2001 stage to Pla d'Adet was significantly harder and way longer, by the way (around 2 hours with lots more hard climbs in the final part). Two minutes faster than freaking Lance Armstrong.

Meanwhile:

When would that have been? If it was a real 'hunger knock', there's no way on earth he would have stayed anywhere near Vingegaard if it was that stage where Vingegaard outsprinted Pogacar (who by the looks of it also couldn't change gears in that sprint). With a classic hunger knock, the tank is just entirely empty and even the best among the superhumans would lose significant amounts of time even within a kilometer or two

Less promising is what a team doctor of another team just said on Belgian TV, where they were doing a bit of interviews on the COVID situation: "Yesterday Pidcock came up to me to say hi, and he was looking awful. Didn't need a test to see what was going to happen there..."

And therefore out of the Tour de France (not necessarily because of being positive, but because of not being 100% fit). Shouldn't be too much of a problem for the Olympics though.

Took me a little while to realize this is Nikola Jovic and not super star Nikola Jokic

Meanwhile, Amaury Capiot had to abandon today after about a kilometer. He caused a hard crash in yesterday's sprint and got hurt himself too, but one can assume Arkea wanted him to try it anyway today. No chance of getting anywhere though. Not the first time even this year Capiot was more or less forced by his team to ride despite being injured. And if Arkea wasn't shitty enough, they just let their rider go in the organizers van, because there was no place in their own team car....due to some guest being there. Now there is something Adam Hansen should look at.

Excellent, I generally prefer stories (To any broadcaster: I don't mean that you should be telling 'stories' during the live sports, show live sports during the live sports please)

I have absolutely zero doubt at least hundreds of athletes in every Olympics (if not more) are in some form or another on the spectrum of autism and/or ADHD related disorders, that by itself should definitely not be a problem to compete... If the whole Jade Jones situation is the way it was originally described, I do feel some sort of sympathy for her. One can understand being physically unable to pass urine when being far in a dehydration period to make weight (where one can of course wonder if dehydrating for days to make weight is healthy, which I guess it clearly isn't). I had honestly thought that missing a test due to being physically unable to pass urine counted as a missed test instead of a refused test.

I assume Wembanyama not being chosen is due to the basketball team having a match the day after, or would they simply prefer an athlete with a story over potentially the number one super star?

Of course not Just 150 years of history being interrupted for a bit, until we go back to presumably 2000 meters in 2032 (and the championships and World Cups around it). I'd have preferred to keep the same distance of course, but Olympic records don't really mean anything anyway in a sport like rowing (or any sport, honestly), but it really shouldn't have that much of an influence in the end. It's still a full four years to go, everyone has easily enough time to prepare for the slightly shorter distance and adjust their race plans accordingly. For some it will be slightly negative, for others slightly positive, for a lot it will probably make no real difference in terms of their chances.

Understandably so. Tough choice though....I think personally I'd have gone for Cosnefroy over either Laporte or Madouas.