Werloc

First day is not going to look good for Lithuania, perhaps Bertašius and Zarankaitė can do something, but their seasons have not been looking great.

Don't know if I'll be able to catch it live, but the women's 100m breaststroke final is going to be the first time in Lithuanian swimming history that more than 1 Lithuanian athlete is swimming in the same final Feels like a very good year for Lithuanian sport, especially after a disastrous Olympics. Hopefully we'll remain this strong till Paris 2024, although Meilutytė is still unsure if she is going to continue after the European Championships, because she doesn't want to plan ahead and she's starting university this Autumn.

Here's to hoping that Italy chills out a little bit and lets us take two medals in the women's 100m breaststroke, because they have a lot already and we need a top 10 to defend And I have high hopes to score in rowing today as well.

If Donata Karalienė takes a European Championship medal with a third different partner, then she's an unstoppable monster Hopefully they'll achieve it

What a brilliant start to the championships for Lithuania Andrius Šidlauskas had a very strong early career, but then faded a bit during the last 4 years. Very glad to see him with his first medal in senior competition and hopefully this motivates him to new heights. Very happy to see that Meilutytė and Teterevkova look on form as well, so the final question mark is how will Rapšys look in these championships.

Good performance from Šidlauskas, looks ready to at least attack for the bronze. Wishing the best for him tomorrow.

As a person that had 10% faith of Morauskaitė snatching a bronze, I was devastated by Bol's decision, especially subsequently seeing her run 400m under 50 seconds

The real problem with rankings is that some people that are qualified get injured and such, whilst some athletes that don't really have a chance to qualify anymore end their season, then get the invitation that they decline, because they are not prepared. That's how three of our athletes stayed at home.

Since @Bohemia commented before that the French women are not getting along, I hope that this attitude training is going to work out and they'll be friends again

No 4x100 freestyle men relay for us here, sad :/ Rūta Meilutytė 2nd in 50m Breaststroke and 5th in 100m Breaststroke by season bests. Kotryna Teterevkova 6th in 100m Breaststroke and 2nd in 200m Breaststroke Danas Rapšys 4th in 200m Freestyle and 6th in 400m Freestyle Andrius Šidlauskas 4th in 100m Breaststroke and 5th in 200m Breaststroke Medals could be abundant, but the margin for no medals is always very thin. I believe the most in Rūta, Rapšys was injured during Worlds, so perhaps he'll be strong here? Andrius tends to do well, but I think two finals without medals is the best that he can do here. As for Teterevkova, she has every chance to claim her very first senior medal, but only if the nerves don't get to her, she had this chance at Worlds too in 200m and didn't take it.

Welp, as I mentioned earlier, Šerkšnienė is skipping this due to injury. For some reason both Vaiciukevičiūtė and Meškauskaitė were not added to the team. Remigijus Kančys was added to the team to run the marathon even though he wasn't a qualified athlete? 19 athletes for Lithuania starting in the end and Žiūkas only doing the 20km Walk.

Going to be an interesting championships, Meilutytė, Teterevkova, Rapšys and Šidlauskas can contest for medals and top 8. Navikonis, Sungaila, Pancerevas, Savickas and Grigaitis to round up the Lithuanian team to 9 athletes. Most of them are here so that Lithuania could run the 4x100 and 4x200m Freestyle relays. It's crazy how the 200 free became the most contested discipline among Lithuanian men, because there are at least 4 more junior level athletes focusing on it, so it could become our primary relay. Don't know if we're doing 4x100m medley, somebody would have to be forced to do the butterfly, because we didn't send any butterfly specialist to this competition, but Rapšys, Šidlauskas or Pancerevas can do a passable enough butterfly, but repeating a top 8 is still unlikely. Next European championships we should have even more athletes and a larger women's team, we'll probably be able to run some women's relays as well. I'll re-update if Lithuania make any changes to our team, since they didn't officially approve it on their webpage.

Yeah, I saw she barely made it in triple jump, but no 14 metres this season doesn't look good for a final qualification :/

I'd say Lithuania is pretty good at balancing both rowing and canoeing and being competitive at both. Key difference is that in canoe sprints we were mostly all in on the sprint distances, so with the Olympic changes we are just getting back on our feet right now. One thing though, in Rowing we have good history in both men and women's events, but in canoeing sprint we've been sending men only to all of the major events for I don't know how many years now.

Perhaps Mykolas will bring more of a challenge in 2023 season, because this year I don't think Čeh is beatable. My best hopes are two medals again, but I think Stahl will be very angry after Worlds and Gudžius is done for this time for sure

What's up with Maja Askag? All of her PB's are from 2021, did she suffer from an injury? Thought she'd be competitive in senior competitions nowadays.

Our team is going to be down to twenty athletes as Šerkšnienė is not going to be taking part due to injury. As for the goals in Munich, well, would be nice to see Alekna and Gudžius repeat their medals from WCH, Liveta Jasiūnaitė could fight for a medal as well, especially since she's mad at herself with how the World Championships turned out. Then, I'd expect finals from Morauskaitė in 400m, Karinauskaitė in 3000m SC, Baikštytė in High Jump, Petrokaitė in Long Jump, Kilty in Triple Jump, Zarankaitė in Discus Throw, Baikštys in High Jump and perhaps Truskauskas in 200m. Sounds ambitious, but if they're on their A game, it's easily achievable.

I've read the qualification system and yeah, seems that three can be registered, but only two allowed to compete in the same event. They definitely changed this rule recently, because that wasn't the case before apart from u18 category. Edit: Just looked up EU u20 in Tallinn, and you could register four, enter three there. So I guess world u20 just followed the u18 route, which I don't necessarily agree with. They really tried to limit the amount of participants by raising the qualifying marks substancially. Then we have such events like men's high jump with 16 participants, where three had an NM, so only one athlete with a height didn't qualify to the final and that qualifying mark was not as good as a PB from one of our u20 jumpers that is at home.

PAIN Paulina Stuglytė 2cm away from qualifying to the discus throw final. I think we can wrap it all up and call it a day, 13th place is the best that Lithuania gets in these championships now

I think we're going to have heaps of trouble with race walk, because a lot of our walkers retired and many are at the retirement age, we should still manage for Paris, but I don't know what's going to happen to the men's team after that, because no talented young men at all recently, only women are showing promise in all age categories.

Suffering from success, I see We had only three moments in history where Lithuania had overqualified in athletics. European U18 championships three girls had the high jump standard, 5 women with qualifying marks in 20km Race Walk 2016 Olympics and 5 women marathon runners in either 2012 or 2016 summer Olympics, I can't recall which

Super small team for Lithuania with no ambitions for semi-finals or finals, so I guess PB chasing is the game for our team here. Women: 100m - Andrė Ožechauskaitė (one of the more promising athletes, but recovering from an injury this season and far from her best times) 100m Hurdles - Gabija Klimukaitė (recovering from an injury as well, hasn't gone under 14s this season still) 400m Hurdles - Ema Sarafinaitė, Gerda Kirkytė (both don't have a full year of competitive experience running the hurdles, they have promise, it's just impossible to expect miracles here) Discus Throw - Paulina Stuglytė (she was also breaking every Lithuanian youth record, but this season she is going only backwards) Men: 400m - Lukas Sutkus (consistently breaking his PB, but still far away from the best here in these championships, going to be a threat next year in EU u20) Shot Put - Rokas Domanaitis (jumped into the qualification train at the very last qualifying event, throws very consistently, but not far enough for final qualification) Sarafinaitė, Kirkytė, Sutkus, Stuglytė should look good next year, this year I guess I can just be happy that they qualified and are gaining valuable experience. Kirkytė already had a long season, was not far off U18 final. Neda Lasickaitė (100m Hurdles) and Aurėja Beniušytė (Triple Jump) both landed qualifications just after the qualification process was over.

Why is this even a discussion when they could've sent all three? Two quota limiter per event is only in u18 level. Perhaps Dimitriadou couldn't be selected, because she's unvaccinated? That's how we had to keep some of ours at home.

Voldemort is entertaining the idea of trying to qualify to Olympics again? Not gonna lie, I'm just writing off events that we have no history in and equestrian is one of those sports, where I haven't seen us do that well. Plus this sport is one angry German coach away from being a human obstacle course race

Okay, I'll have a shot at this, barring injuries, retirements and disasters, perhaps I might get very accurate. In Tokyo we had a very unsuccessful Olympics with 42 athletes and only a single medal, I think it shouldn't be too difficult to better this performance, but let's see sport by sport. We had 0 in archery and artistic swimming and we'll continue to have 0 in both. In athletics we had 11 athletes: Truskauskas, Žiūkas, Mastianica, Gudžius, Matusevičius and Jasiūnaitė should make it. Šerkšnienė and Virbalytė probably gonna be retired. Palšytė, Zagainova and Glebauskas are question marks. I have high hopes for Morauskaitė, Galvydytė, Karinauskaitė, Baikštys, Baikštytė, two marathon runners, one additional race walker at least, Petrokaitė, Kilty, Mykolas Alekna, Martynas Alekna, Zarankaitė and Benkunskas. This would up our athletes in athletics to 20 and if things go well, the number could even rise to 24. Badminton - probably 0 Basketball - one of the most unpredictable sports with so little spots to qualify, the results have not been looking so stellar, so I'll go with won't qualify again. Basketball 3x3 - both the men's and women's teams are showing brilliant results right now, I'd assume they should be able to qualify both. Beach Volleyball - we have some very capable teams and two female teams qualified to the European Championship, but qualification in this event is super tough, so I'd say 0 this time too. Boxing - we have strong men and women, but when it comes to qualifying, it's always a struggle, so I'll settle for a confident 1 (either man, or woman) Breaking - I think we have one girl that's been taking titles left and right, so 1 Canoeing Slalom - Just no Canoeing Sprint - in Tokyo we suffered a major disaster with only 1 athlete qualifying. Nearly everybody had to change disciplines and it affected all of our sprinters. This time everyone will feel more secure during the qualification period, so it would be safe to guess three boats - one single, one double, one four. It's likely we could qualify more, doubt that our women have any chance. Cycling BMX/Cycling Mountain Bike - 0 in Tokyo, could hope for 1-2 athletes in Paris. Cycling Road - we had 2 athletes in Tokyo, I'm going to go with a bold guess we'll qualify 3 somehow. Cycling Track - 3 athletes in Tokyo, though without Krupeckaitė, no chance to qualify a team. The men are forming a sprint team, but too much work there to fix in so little time. Lendel, Marozaitė, Baleišytė could qualify in their individual events. Diving, Equestrian, Fencing, Field Hockey, Football, Golf, Rhythmic Gymnastics - SKIP Gymnastics Artistic - two men are possible Judo - we had 1 in Tokyo, 1 in Paris should be doable. Modern Pentathlon - 3 in Tokyo, 3 in Paris probably as well. Rowing - we had an amazing team of 9 in Tokyo, 9-10 could be possible for Paris as well, but everyone will need to step up in the next two years. Sailing - probably not better than 2 just like in Tokyo Shooting, Skateboarding, Sport-climbing, Surfing - NOPE Swimming - this one is the most interesting and tough to predict, because we have a huge amount of talent, but it's uncertain if there's enough time for them to grow into Olympic level. We had 6 swimmers in Tokyo, but I think we should be capable to beat this number. Rapšys, Šidlauskas, Savickas, Pancerevas, Navikonis, Pavlidi, Grigaitis, Teterevkova, Meilutytė, Plytnykaitė, Margevičius, Statkevičius. Yes, it's a very very brave prediction, I'm even dreaming about a women's freestyle relay, but a season and a half might not be enough. Still, let's say a very questionable 12 for now Add 1 more to tennis and two more to wrestling, and I think you have my final prediction: Projected amount of Lithuanian athletes in Paris - 77 , could go up to 89 if we qualify men's basketball. Projected amount of medals for Lithuanian athletes in Paris - 1 in athletics, 1 in swimming, 1 in modern pentathlon, 1 in rowing would be my guess, with possibilities of another 1-2 in athletics, 1 in swimming, 1-2 in rowing, 1 in canoeing sprint, 1 in boxing, 1-2 in basketball 3x3