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Fencing Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Road to Paris 2024


Totallympics
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Summary for this weekend according to my, I hope correct, calculations.

 

 

Men's sabre:

 

-Qualified: :KOR:USA:HUN:FRA:EGY:CAN 

-Battling for the European quota: :ITA v :GER . Germany's last chance is to win and hope Italy finish 4th or worse.

-Battling for the Asian quota: :IRI v :JPN . Japan need to win (with Iran finishing 3rd or worse) or to finish 2nd (with iran 7th or worse).

 

 

 

Women's epee:

 

-Qualified: :KOR:ITA:POL:FRA:USA:EGY

-Battling for the European quota***: :UKR v :EST . Estonia's only chance is winning with Ukraine finishing 6th or worse.

-Battling for the Asian quota: :HKG v :CHN . China need to finish in top 4, or finish 5th (with HKG 11th or worse).

 

 

*** but if USA win, this might (also depending on POL and FRA's results) become the American quota and go to :CAN 

 

 

 

Men's epee:

 

-Qualified: :ITA:FRA:HUN:JPN:VEN:EGY 

-Battling for the Asian quota: :KAZ v :KOR . Korea need to win, or finish 2nd (with KAZ 6th or worse)

-Battling for the European quota****: :SUI v :CZE v :ESP v :GER . A big mess, anyway to have a chance GER must finish at least 2nd, ESP at least 3rd, CZE at least 6th. 

 

 

**** but if KAZ win and JPN also kick HUN out of the top4, this would become the Asian quota, so both KAZ and KOR would qualify

 

Edited by Faramir
updated after draws
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Last tournament for men's Epee in Tbilisi. So according to my counting. The possibility for Europe individual quota is like this: 

 

:ISR Freilich - 99% probability he gets it

 

:CZE Beran - others who purchase him are nearly 20 points behind. If :CZE jumps :SUI in team ranking, the next in the line might be :SUI Bayard

 

:NED Tulen, :FIN Vuorinen, :NED Van Nunen, :GER Brinkman are out early and they can't make it. They were the possible Europeans who could get the quota. 

 

 

:ESP Pereira, :POR Frazao or :BEL Loyola - would have to probably get a medal to possibly grab the spot. But because Beran was in TOP 64 even he lost in the first round to Loyola, there is a low possibility, but you never know. Currently, 2 are in TOP 32, Frazao still waiting for his 1st round game. 

 

 

 

 

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21 hours ago, Faramir said:

Women's epee:

 

-Qualified: :KOR:ITA:POL:FRA:USA:EGY

-Battling for the European quota***: :UKR v :EST . Estonia's only chance is winning with Ukraine finishing 6th or worse.

-Battling for the Asian quota: :HKG v :CHN . China need to win or finish 2nd (with HKG 3rd or worse) or finish 3rd (with HKG 6th or worse) or finish 4th (with HKG 8th or worse) or finish 5th (with HKG 11th or worse).

 

 

*** but if USA win, this might (also depending on POL and FRA's results) become the American quota and go to :CAN 

 

So, we have a draw:
https://www.fencingtimelive.com/tableaus/scores/1595A476EC794F83AF6B8C98A8CE7CAD/5841DF90EFCE4B16BF30652C0A4E3C63

 

Both Ukraine and Estonia start and at the 1/8

 

:UKR - :SUI - not an easy lot for us

:EST - :HUN and potentially :FRA in 1/4

Edited by avlar
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Loyola tied Beran in the Olympic ranking at 76 points but Beran is ahead beacause he has a win. So Loyola has to hope for a :CZE team qualification tomorrow in order to grab the 2nd European individual quota.

 

 

Edited by Faramir
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40 minutes ago, Illya said:

I don't think that Canada really needed this undeserved "free" place with weak squad, it would be not fair at all

Look, on one hand I do agree with you that Canada’s women’s epee team is weaker than (probably even a level down) Ukraine or Estonia and it’s probably better for the sport of fencing that a team of their caliber will be at the Olympics. On the other hand,  how would them qualifying be undeserved? It’s not like Canada cheated or anything, and they also had to put up results to be 12th in the Olympic Ranking. 

Edited by Josh

 

 

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