james89

35 minutes ago, mrv86 said:

It’s the qualification round, not the semi finals

 

 

Even if contradicts the hierarchy of events, as either NZL or AUS would get a quota from the World Cup rankings, it cancels the quota trough continental championships.

 

 

Thanks for explaining - my brain was getting tripped up because the World Cup Rankings number is wrong on wikipedia. 

12 minutes ago, mrv86 said:

If I understood qualification process correctly, New Zealand will likely qualify from World Cup.

Even so I think it would be Spain who gets the reallocation since they were the highest ranked from the semi-finals.

I'm also a bit confused about the World Cup Ranking - can Australia qualify a second athlete if their winner of the continental quota is also in the World Cup Ranking? 

8 hours ago, mrv86 said:

Unless @thiago_simoes says different here’s the quota simulation for Men’s after today’s qualification round

 

FROM 2019 WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS

         

 

FROM CONTINENTAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

  + Pan Am qualifier

 

FROM WORLD CUP

              
 

HOST & TRIPARTITE REALLOCATION

   (from 2019 WCh qualification round)

Would the reallocation not go to USA and NZL? Those are the two top placed who didn't make the final from the 2019 World Championships? 

28 minutes ago, NearPup said:

It doesn't include China. I think 7-9 teams is realistically what we could have expected anyway. Teams who are currently in position to qualify for team aerials are . The big missing piece other than China is Australia since they currently have no elite male jumper.

 

Canada currently has four athletes in qualifying position in all freestyle events, so as usual internal qualification will be brutal. Luckily the max number of athletes per country is 32 (up from 30 in 2018) so we are only looking at giving up eight quotas.

I’m assuming some of the Slopestyle athletes can also compete in Big Air too. 

2 hours ago, intoronto said:

So Athletics Canada has made the boneheaded decision to remove events from Nationals without athletes ranked in the Road to Tokyo rankings (at a maximum 20 spots from last qualifying position). This will exclude the men's hammer for ex. Adam Keenan was injured and is only coming back June 5 and can't go to nationals now. Dumb!

This seems so stupid....

Another 2016 medalist attempting a comeback - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/kamloops-mountain-biker-olympian-motherhood-1.6037325

It seems like a pretty big challenge for her to be able to be named to the team, but impressive that she's trying.

40 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Here are Canadian athletes that are currently not with a qualifying time/distance or ranked high enough to qualify for Tokyo atm (note this list is not exhaustive). I did not include anyone in the women's 400m or Men's 100 as the top 5 in each distance is likely headed to Tokyo due to relays. I have also not included any event with 3 or more Canadians already qualified.

 

Men's 400m - Philip Osei and Austin Cole are likely going to be added to the mixed relay. Myles Misener-Daley is aiming for the individual race, but has had no recent results, so not sure. If we put the top 4 Canadian men in the 4x400 relay, I think they could hit a good time, but I think its too late for Tokyo.

 

Men's 1500m - Another solid result in the mid 3:30's will get Charles Philibert-Thiboutot into a ranking position to qualify. Kieran Lumb and William Paulson need a couple more results in the mid 3:30's to also make into a ranking spot. Lumb I think will end up qualifying in the 5000 as I do not expect Hughes to compete in this event in Tokyo. 

 

Men's 3000m steeplechase - Ryan Smeeton is going to need two times under 8:30 to qualify via the rankings.

 

Men's 110m hurdles - Joseph Daniels is not shown in the rankings, but he should be there shortly, as he has 5 races to be ranked. By my calculation he will be in a qualification position, but doesn't hurt to get a PB below 13:50 or less

 

Men's high jump - Django Lovett and Derek Drouin will both need the 2.33 standard to qualify this late. 

 

Men's pole vault - This is a mystery as I do not know what the latest is with Shawncy Barber. 

 

Men's discus - Jordan Young will need 4 more performances of 64.84+ metres to qualify. He had that earlier this year. 

 

Men's hammer - Adam Keenan has a PB of  74.71 in 2019. 5 of those performances would qualify him for Tokyo. He has not competed this season

 

Men's decathlon - 2010 World Junior bronze medalist in the Long Jump, Taylor Erhardt is aiming to qualify, and would be a third entrant in this event for Canada.

 

 

Women's 100m - A repeat performance from 2019 nationals at the 2021 edition for Leya Buchanan will see her qualify via rankings

 

Women's 400m hurdles - Noelle Montcalm, needs a top 2 finish at nationals + a good time (under 57 seconds) to qualify via rankings

 

Women's 3000m steeplechase - Alycia Butterworth would qualify via rankings with a repeat performance at nationals. Charlotte Prouse needs another sub 9:38 race to qualify.

 

Women's long jump - Christabel Netty is one spot out of the rankings qualification. A repeat performance at nations will jump her back into qualification. Hopefully she can find her form from a few years back, when she hit 6.99.

 

Women's triple jump - Caroline Ehrhardt will need the standard (14.32) to qualify, which is quite a distance from her PB.

 

Women's discus - Rachel Andres will need a repeat performance at nationals and at least another big throw to qualify. 

 

Women's heptathlon - Both Georgia Ellenwood and Niki Oudenaarden need a PB at Nationals (not sure if this event will be at nationals however)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thanks for putting this together. Super interesting to see how things are coming together for this team. Did Jonathan Cabral retire in the m100mH?

Derek Drouin posted on Instagram that he did a makeshift competition on his home track and got 2.24. I’m so curious to see how he’ll do when he does return to competition. 

21 minutes ago, Laraja said:

So, Men's Park semifinal finished, I could make the counts again, and I believe those are the qualified Skateboarders:

 

1- Heimana Reynolds 

2- Luiz Francisco 

3- Cory Juneau 

4- Pedro Barros 

5- Keegan Palmer 

6- Pedro Quintas 

7- Ivan Federico 

8- Oskar Rozenberg 

9- Steven Piniero 

10- Alessandro Mazzara 

11- Vicent Matheron 

12- Jaime Mateu 

13- Kieran Wooley 

14- Ayumu Hirano 

15- Tyler Edtmayer 

16- Danny Leon 

17- Andy Anderson 

18- Rune Glifberg 

19- Dallas Oberholtzer 

 

There's still one quota to be decided at final among americans Jagger Eaton, Thomas Schaar and Tate Carew.

 

It's important to mention here that the Japanese Kensuke Sasaoka, the first under the line, still can overtake Rune Glifberg if the Japanese Skateboarding Federation organizes another national championship and if Kensuke get second position or better.

I'm a bit confused by the qualification. According to wikipedia there are 3 spots up for grabs at the World Championship - are we just assuming that those will come from the 19 you posted?

5 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Yea, but they are working the ICF overtime for the extra spot. In theory they could name LVL in the kayak event and ask the ICF to compete in the C2 (not sure if that is even possible), because they have 5 athlete spots for 4 athletes (their k2 athletes are not going to qualify). 

LOL! She would need to compete in the Kayak event though then, right? That would be some work around of the rules.

On another note after the last chance qualifier I'm feeling rather optimistic about the rowing team surprising in the summer. They seemed to have trained very well for this last meet.

59 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Here is my team size predictions for Canada:

Sports Canada will not compete in: Handball, modern pentathlon. Still possible for no qualifiers in surfing and karate.

 

Artistic swimming: 8 (confirmed)

Diving: 9 (Could be 8, but I predict 9, 4 men and 5 women)

Swimming: 26-30 (hard to tell, due to the nature of the trials). 
Water polo: 12 (confirmed)

Archery 4 (I predict the men's team will qualify)

Athletics: 50 (47 have qualified at the moment, 25 women and 22 men). 50 is a conservative estimate

Badminton: 8 (confirmed, 1 entry in each event)

Basketball: 12 (women's team confirmed)

Boxing: 4 (3 women, qualified, one man is on the ranking list, does not include Mandy Bujold)

Canoeing: 18-19 (4 in slalom and 14-15 in sprint, depending if LVL gets a quota)

Cycling: 21-22 (Road:5, track: 13, mountain biking: 3, 1 in bmx tbc)

Equestrian: 6 (confirmed)

Fencing: 9 (confirmed)

Field hockey: 16 (confirmed)

Football: 18 (confirmed)

Golf: 4 (all but confirmed)

Gymnastics: 6 (5 in artistic + 1 in trampoline, not expecting anymore)

Judo: 6-7 (73kg, 81 kg, 90kg and 100 kg for men and 52, 57 and 63 for women; right now 90kg is out, but if 52kg does well at the worlds, he would be in). 

Karate: 0-3 (3 athletes in contention for spots at the final qualifier)
Rowing: 29 (confirmed)

Rugby: 24 (confirmed)

Sailing: 9 (confirmed)

Shooting: 1 (confirmed)

Skateboarding: 0-2 (2 currently in qualification, just barely). 

Softball: 15 (confirmed)

Sport climbing: 2 (confirmed)

Surfing: 0-1 (final qualifiers tbc)

Table tennis: 3 (confirmed)

Taekwondo: 1-2 (still awaiting confirmation on reallocation for 49kg)

Tennis: 6 (Raonic. Shapovalov, Auger-Alliasiame, Andrescu, Dabrowski and Fichman), hoping for more, but I think this is it

Triathlon: 3 (1 women, 2 men)

Volleyball: 18 (men's indoor, 2 pairs in women's and 1 in men's for beach)

Weightlifting: 3 (2 women and 1 man)

Wrestling: 4 (confirmed)

 

At a minimum: 361 qualified, could be as high as 375, either number would be national record in a non-home/boycotted games, not to mention below, which with luck can bring the team size into the 400's!

 

 

TBD:

Men's basketball (12 athletes)

Men's baseball (24 athletes)

Men's 3x3 (4 athletes)

Thanks for putting this together! This is really fantastic and great showing for Canadian athletes. I share your optimism about the archery team.

I'm assuming that it'll be a no on LVL's quota in canoe?

Good job on the Canadians for only bringing crews that would qualify. Fantastic results!

1 minute ago, Mecki83 said:

is there a live stream today?

There is - it starts when the finals start at 10:05 CEST.

51 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Named it men's kayak team

 

Mark De Jonge, Nick Matveev, Pierre-Luc Poulin, and Simon McTavish (Men's K4 500m) 

Brian Malfesi and Vincent Jourdenais (Men’s K2 1000m)

Do we know if Canada is participating in the final Olympic qualification World Cup or if any of these athletes will participate in the K1 events?

4 minutes ago, zob79 said:

What happens if Ana is disqualified? I heard she's on the McLaren/Ferrari list

What is said list?

2 minutes ago, MHSN said:

that was a heart breaking defeat for Canada but on the other hand that was a great attack right at the end for Romania.

What happens if/when North Korea rejects their quota earned from the 2019 World Championship?

11 minutes ago, NearPup said:

So Canada is going to miss out on a likely gold medal because of a BS doping case that didn’t go anywhere? Very cool.

I feel like this is the type of thing that happens to Canadian athletes often....

On 06/03/2021 at 11:29, intoronto said:

lol Canada missing the C2 women..... win all the world titles and then miss the biggest event lol

So there is no chance for Canada to qualify now?

13 minutes ago, intoronto said:

has a difficult decision to make in men's canoe if both boats qualify. C2 broke the national record here (time wise), while Oldershaw had a disappointing  result here, he is a former Olympic medalist. Who do you pick!?

I don't understand the qualification in this event, haha. Why would Canada need to choose between the two?

I'm still a bit confused with the continental quotas. All of Europe, Asia, Oceania and the Americas need to be represented, right? 

Just now, Vektor said:

 

3 non-European boats has to qualify. So 1 Asian and 1 American boat will win quotas in the B final. 

is it the same for the K4 M?

Just now, Vektor said:

One European boat or Australia in the A final won't win a quota in women's K4. 

aren't there 10 quotas in the K4?

Just now, intoronto said:

Canada did beat the USA last year, so small hope of winning gold.

Maybe Argentina will beat the US just for Canada to lose to Argentina in another sport. 

Just now, ofan said:

Man, I thought field hockey was easy to understand. After watching it, it may be the most complicated sport. There seems to be a foul called every five seconds, and they keep re-taking penalty shots. I don't get it

This is the first time I've ever watched it and it's very difficult to understand without commentary.

Just now, JoshMartini007 said:

I think she's been DQ'd

Of course, Canada's luck here.