james89

1 minute ago, intoronto said:

OMG!!

Raonic out of Rio!!!

Ugh. This is so annoying. 

4 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Overall I'm hoping for about 4 medals for Canada. Our performance at the World Champs was an almost best case scenario for Canada and I doubt we'll see it again here (if we do succeed we'll easily meet our target of 19 medals). We have bunch of athletes that will finish in the top 8, hopefully we won't fall into the 4th place curse.

Exactly! Generally this Canadian curse also comes from having so much pressure on a couple of athletes that they falter the Olympics. I really do wonder if having more athletes with that potential sees Canada do better overall. I guess we'll find out in a couple of weeks. I am expecting 3 medals from Athletics, but the 4-5 range is likely.

So COC is targetting 19 medals then... I think that is doable.

http://olympics.cbc.ca/news/article/canada-wants-least-medals-rio-olympics.html

I'm not a huge fan of this marketing campaign, but it is indeed well crafted. Getting pretty excited. 

1 minute ago, juddy96 said:

 

Why would she be pressured to pull herself out if Bingham and Hyacinthe weren't taking her spot anyway

True that. It seems like she was in it for a spot on the 4X100m team.

13 minutes ago, juddy96 said:

 

George makes sense, it was a big shock for her to finish top 2 in women's 100m, when she's been a hurdle specialist for years now. She was probably just getting more speed training and ended up 2nd. As for Bingham (and Hyacinthe!) not starting the 100m that is a more puzzling issue...

I wonder if George had pulled herself out or was pressured to pull herself out.

26 minutes ago, OlympicsFan said:

What are your expectations in Terms of medals? I see 3 pretty safe medals in decathlon, heptathlon and mens pole vault and 4 other decent medal chances in mens high jump, mens 100m, womens Long jump and womens 800m + some minor medal chances in mens 200m, mens 4x100m relay and mens 20km race Walking. Would you be satisfied with 5 medals and 0-1 of them in Gold?

I think the target is 4, but the expectation is that more than 4 is possible.

Did anyone notice any weird stuff on the team selection for the women's sprint. Bingham, is relay only. George is 100mH and relay? This doesn't quite make sense to me...

6 minutes ago, intoronto said:

 

Yup top 2 at trials (as long as they have the standard) + a 3rd discretionary pick by selectors. I didn't include Cliff's name because the IAAF has not confirmed her qualifying time as being official yet (it was a mixed gender race). 

Do you think Athletics Canada will be trying to send as many 3rd athletes as possible?

didn't know that about Cliff's race. Wikipedia and starting list showed she had met the standard. 

14 minutes ago, intoronto said:

First day of Canadian Trials

 

Men's 5000

Mohammed Ahmed 

Luc Bruchet 

Cam Levins 

 

Women's 5000m

Andrea Seccafien

Jessica O'Connell

 

Italics = Possible addition to team by selectors (not a top 2 finish at trials, but have the standard). 

Is it top 2 guaranteed as long as they hit the standard? Does Rachel Cliff have a shot as well given she reached the Olympic Standard? Or has Canada agreed to only send 2 people per event?

I full on expect to be using my second monitor on my desktop for the two weeks. Its a busy time at my work so I can only take a handful of flex days off during the games. 

From the sounds of it Jamaica allows for a medical exemption so he will go to the Olympics.

No Daniel Nestor?

Thanks!

Do you know where one can access the potential reallocation lists in other disciplines?

So the virtual medal table got updated and it knocked Canada down further to 15 medals. I can't remember which ones got dropped. I may be a tad optimistic here but I think that is on the low end. I think we may see more success in Swimming and Athletics than we have in the past, whether or not that leads to more medals though remains to be determined.

I also think its highly unlikely that Canada takes gold in the women's Team Pursuit, which we are predicted to.

I'm happy that Canada made it in, but this is one sport I really don't understand the qualification and how some competitors can fluctuate their performance so much. 

15 minutes ago, dcro said:

 

What a blow for Canada, but not over yet. Venezuela is 6th after snatch, 5 kilos behind 5th and in front of Mexico because of body mass (Mexican lifter is almost 60kg heavier so it's not exactly tight ). Anyhow, Venezuelan lifter also has a solid opening weight in c&j so it looks like VEN could indeed make it with only 5 lifters!

So what's the tiebreak if Canada and Chile tie?

4 minutes ago, mrv86 said:

Meanwhile, Venezuela is out of contention in the team's classification. So far 3 out of 8 of its competitors did not finish; still they have one athlete in the top 15 individual rankings, so they probably will use that place. Also one men from USA and Canada did not finish today, so their lifters must try to obtain a good result in the next few days.

Sorry, one more annoying question. How many scores count towards the top score.

23 minutes ago, james89 said:

 I don't totally understand how the nation qualifications work. If you qualify in a certain placement do you get a qualifications in all disciplines?

Ok. I think I got it now. 

8 minutes ago, intoronto said:

 

The countries that have qualified do not count for points. So if you finish fourth and are the first country not qualified you get the max 28 points. Second place gets 25, third gets 23, fourth 22 and so on. 

 I don't totally understand how the nation qualifications work. If you qualify in a certain placement do you get a qualifications in all disciplines?

Can someone do a quick recap on how qualification for this works. I've tried to follow along, but I just don't get it.

Canada Qualifies!!!

I've been such a bucket of nerves now lol. But its possible!

7 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Yeah, Canada doesn't have its fate in its own hands, they need Poland to win one more set than China against their respective opponents.

 Best case scenario is that Canada scores 3 points against China and Poland scores 3 points against Australia.

39 minutes ago, vinipereira said:

To Canada:

 

Canada's result is also impacted by the Australia vs. Poland game and if Poland even tries.