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2024 Canadian Olympic Swim Trials Road to Paris 2024


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2024 Canadian Olympic Swimming Trials: Day 2 Preview

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Image sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 

An epic showdown awaits in the women's 100m breaststroke

 

Day 2 of Canadian trials may very well be the most exciting day on the program. Chances of qualifiers in every event plus two of the races I'm most looking forward to with the women's 200m freestyle and women's 100m breaststroke.

 

Men's 400m Individual Medley

 

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Despite the difficult OQT, it’s very possible that Canada will have a representative in this event in Paris.

 

Lorne Wigginton made waves last year when he went 4:16.14 at Canadian Trials to qualify for his first senior team. He would then smash that time at Worlds by almost 3 seconds in 4:13.75 to just miss the final. Finally, he wound bring that time down again by almost a second to win bronze at the World Junior Championships in 4:12.81. He most recently went 4:14.54 at the 2024 World Championships, a decent time 3 months from Olympic Trials.

 

Also breaking out last year was Collyn Gagne. Like Wigginton, he also set a PB of 4:17.44 at 2023 Canadian Trials to qualify for his first senior team. He would set another PB at World Championships of 4:16.08 at World Chamionships and also had a good time of 4:17.05 at the Pan American Games to win the silver medal. More recently, he went 4:18.74 at the 2024 World Championships. He’ll still have to drop a bit of time to reach Olympic Qualification territory though.

 

The breakout swimmer of this year could very well be Tristan Jankovics. In 2023, he had times of 4:17.40 at the Canadian Championships and 4:17.70 at the US Open. He hasn’t swum a long course time in 2024 yet but had a good NCAA season finishing 4th in the 400 yard IM at the Big Ten Championships and 8th at the NCAA championships.

 

Eric Brown will also try to improve on his 4:18.90 PB he set at the 2023 US Open.

 

Predicted Qualifiers:

1. Lorne Wigginton

 

Women's 200m Freestyle

 

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This event has all the makings of a bloodbath. There are 10-12 women who all have realistic chances of qualifying for the 4x200m freestyle relay. I am going to cover all the top 10 athletes because they all have a legitimate shot at making the relay. Buckle up, this is going to be a long preview.

 

If there’s any guarantees, it’s that Summer McIntosh should win with ease. The World Junior record holder has the fastest entry time by over 3 seconds. She first broke the 1:54 barrier for the first time last year at Canadian trials to win in 1:54.13. Then she lowered that mark to 1:53.65 to win bronze at the 2023 World Championships. This year, she has already been 1:54.21 at the Canadian Open, her 4th fastest time ever and one of the fastest in season 200m freestyle performances ever. Expect her to easily get under the OQT and perhaps even challenge the 1:53 barrier if she decides to go all out.

 

The clear favourite for 2nd place is Mary-Sophie Harvey. She has improved in this event so much this year. After setting a PB of 1:57.70 at the 2023 US Open, she’s lowered that to 1:57.26 at the Quebec Cup, 1:57.06 at the Camille Muffat Meeting and finally 1:56.76 at the Canadian Open in which she negative that race. She’ll be a favourite to get an individual and relay spot.

 

After that, the entry list gets a bit messy with a whole bunch of 1:58s. Rebecca Smith comes in with the next fastest time. Her time of 1:58.08 comes from the 2024 World Championship where she was able to advance to the semifinal. She also has recorded a 1:58.68 from the Canadian Championships along with some other 1:59 performances. Based on her 1:55 split from the 2020 Olympics along with her 1:57.43 PB, we all know she’s capable of much better times.

 

This event will also be another great chance for Ella Jansen to get herself on the Olympic Team. Her best time of 1:58.09 comes from the Mare Nostrum tour last year. However, she struggled at Worlds where the Canadian coaches opted not to use her in the relay finals at both the 2023 and 2024 editions. She also had a showing of 1:59.12 from the World Junior Championships. This year her best result is 1:58.88 from the Canadian Open so she is trending in the right direction.

 

Someone who did have a good showing a the World Junior Championships was Julie Brousseau. After going 1:59.05 at 2023 Canadian Trials, she brought that down to 1:58.60 at the Ontario Summer Championships before delivering a silver medal swim of 1:58.10 at World Juniors. This year, she was just off that time in 1:58.40 at the Canadian Open. This is her best chance of making the Olympic Team so she’s right on track to drop her PB down even further.

 

Brooklyn Douthwright had a solid showing last year to make her first world championship team. Despite only going 2:01.16 at Canadian trials, she improved on that mark considerably at the Mare Nostrum going 1:58.58 at the Mare Nostrum tour before splitting 1:58.25 on the 4x200m freestyle relay at 2023 World Championships. Last year she was the runner up at the NCAA yards version of this event but this year she didn’t make the final so hopefully that’s not a sign of regression.

 

Last year, Emma O’Croinin had her best season since 2019 when she won 3 world junior medals and one world championship medal. Her 1:58.94 from Canadian trials qualified her for the world championship team where she went on to have a 1:58.10 in the relay prelims. She recently went 1:59.48 at the Canadian Open.

Katerine Savard has been a long time relay contributer for Canada and she has a career best time of 1:57.13. However, she has yet to break the 1:59 barrier since the start of 2023 with her best time in that span being 1:59.44 at the 2023 Canadian trials. She’s failed to break 2 minutes in the other events she’s swam in. I think she’ll have a better shot of being on the 4x100m freestyle relay. But she usually saves her best swims for Canadian trials so you never know.

 

Penny Oleksiak will be the hardest swimmer to predict here. Although she’s been as fast as 1:54.70, her times since she got injured have not been close to that time. However, after she went 2:03.27 in March at the Pro Swim Series, she followed that up with a 1:59.75 swim at the Canadian Open so she’s definitely trending the right direction. At her trajectory, she has a great chance of finishing in the top 6.

 

Julia Strojnowska will also be looking to build off the 2:00.45 PB swim that she set at the Western Canadian Championships this year.

 

There’s two other swimmers not in the top 10 list that I think are also worth mentioning. Taylor Ruck, like Oleksiak is capable of going 1:54 when at her best. But since her injury, she hasn’t swum the 200m freestyle all that often with her only notable result being a 1:59.59 split on the 4x200m freestyle relay at 2024 World Championships. However, we can’t judge her form on this race since she spent the first part of the race catching up to the lead teams before dying on the last 50m. If she does swim this race, you would imagine she’ll also be a factor.

 

Then there’s Sienna Angove. Her best time is recorded as 2:00.50 but based on her 1:58.26 split at the 2024 World Championships, she should be capable of a much faster time than that.

 

Predicted Qualifiers:

1. Summer McIntosh (I am predicting she won’t swim this individually)

2. Mary-Sophie Harvey (individual + relay)

3. Julie Brousseau (individual + relay)

4. Penny Oleksiak (relay)

5. Rebecca Smith (relay)

6. Ella Jansen (relay)

 

You can never count Penny out in an Olympic year.

 

Men's 100m Backstroke

 

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Blake Tierney heads into the men’s 100m backstroke as the top seed. He had his first 54 second outing at the 2023 Canadian Trials in 54.49 before lowering that to 54.13 at the Canadian Championships. However, he had a breakthrough meet at the 2024 World Championships where he lead off the medley relay in times of 53.98 and 53.65 with the later getting him under the OQT. At the Canadian Open, he went 55.41 which is right around his previous in season times.

 

Javier Acevedo is a veteran on the Canadian men’s team. While many thought his 2020 Olympic selection was questionable, he’s had a big resurgence in his times since then and now is firmly in position to make another Olympic team. This event is his best chance of getting an individual swim. Last year at Canadian trials, he clocked his best time (53.83) since 2017. While he hasn’t swam under 54 seconds since then, he tends to swim his best on home soil so the OQT should be in his sights.

 

Raben Dommann is another swimmer that’s improved since last years trials. After swimming 55.06, he clocked 54.71 at the Canadian championships and then had a 55.09 relay leadoff at the Pan American Games. Recently he went 55.16 at the Canadian Open.

 

If there is a swimmer who’s capable of a breakout at Olympic trials, it’s Aiden Norman. The 2006 born swimmer is ranked 2nd in Canada this season with his time of 54.77 at the World Junior Championships. He recently swam 55.13 at the Provincial Championships and 55.13 at the Fran Crippen Memorial Meet. If we compare that to his times from last year at this point in time, he could be on track for a 54-low swim.

 

A couple of other names to monitor. Hugh McNeill did set PB in this event recently at the U-Sports Championships at 55.34. This could be a good sign for his 200m backstroke where he has the best chance to qualify for the Olympics. Cole Pratt was on track to become a world class backstroker back in 2021 before a shoulder injury in the ISL set him back. It showed last year when he only went 58.01 at Canadian trials and 59.21 at the Mare Nostrum. However, this year he’s already been as fast as 55.54 at the Canadian Open. Could be a sign of good things to come.

 

Predicted Qualifiers:

1. Blake Tierney

2. Javier Acevedo

 

Women's 100m Breaststroke

 

 

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This has all the potential to be the best race of the meet. It was just a year ago that Canadian swim fans were desperate for a breaststroker and since then, 5 women have gone under 1:08. We had a sneak preview at the Canadian Open with Shona Branton beating out Kelsey Wog, Alexanne Lepage, and Sophie Angus.

 

I’m not sure if anyone expected Alexanne Lepage to come into Olympic trials as the top seed. She was only 1:09.66 at trials last year and  1:09.07 at the Canadian Championships. Then she came out of nowhere to win gold at the World Junior Championships in 1:06.58 knocking more than 2 seconds off her previous PB. She also went 1:07.60 in the semifinal as well. This year, she has been as fast as 1:07.72.

 

Another swimmer that’s made significant improvements is Shona Branton. After being only 1:08.77 at Canadian trials last year, she broke the 1:08 barrier for the first time at the Summer Ontario Championships going 1:07.95. Her breakout meet happened at the Euro Meet this year in January first going 1:07.10 in the heats and then 1:06.59 in the final to finish 0.01 below Lepage’s PB. She also had an impressive showing at the U-SPORTS championships where she beat Lepage in the individual event before splitting 1:06.24 on the medley relay. She recently went 1:07.40 at the Canadian Open to beat a very talented field of swimmers.

 

Sophie Angus has won each of the last two Canadian titles in this event. She won in times of 1:07.60 and 1:07.47. After lowering her PB to 1:07.34 at the World Aquatics Championships, she had established a monster PB of 1:06.66 at the 2024 World Aquatics Championships. However, her most impressive swims have arguably come in the medley relays. Since the beginning of 2023, she has always been in the 1:06 range with her best times being 1:06.21 and 1:06.24 from the 2023 and 2024 World Championships.

 

Although her entry time is a ways behind, it would be unwise to count Kelsey Wog out of the picture. She still has the fastest PB in the field at 1:06.44 and recently set a short course PB at 1:04.22. She’s recently been 1:07.35 at the Western Canadian Championships and 1:07.52 at the Canadian Open to just finish behind Branton.

 

Despite being 26 years old, Sydney Pickrem might be swimming the best she ever has now. Although her entry time is only 1:07.84, she recorded the fastest breakstroke split in her career at the 2024 World Championships in 1:06.14 showing she can swim in the 1:06 range.

 

Predicted Qualifiers:

1.      Shona Branton

2.      Sophie Angus

 

Branton has been swimming the best of any sprint breaststroker this season and Angus has shown she can get it done in the high pressure events.

Edited by Topicmaster1010
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Summer McIntosh is listed in:

 

400m Freestyle

200m Freestyle

100m Backstroke

400m Individual Medley

100m Freestyle

200m Butterfly

200m Individual Medley

 

I assume she's doing the 100m events as practice. I don't think she needs to do the free to be considered for the relay.

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Just now, intoronto said:

any names missing?

Not seeing Gaziev or Bellio on the list.

Dergousoff but that was to be expected

 

 

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I have compiled a list of swimmers that have over 800 AQUA points in an event along with all their events they're swimming at trials (ordered by last name):

 

Men:

 

  • Javier Acevedo - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back
  • Alexander Axon - 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 1500 Free
  • Jeremy Bagshaw - 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free
  • Timothe Barbeau - 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 1500 Free, 200 Fly, 200 IM
  • Eric Brown - 400 Free, 800 Free, 1500 Free, 400 IM
  • Stephen Calkins - 50 Free, 100 Free, 100 Fly
  • Paul Dardis - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Raben Dommann - 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Ethan Ekk - 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Edouard Fullum-Huot - 50 Free, 100 Free
  • Collyn Gagne - 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Hayden Ghufran - 50 Free, 100 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Fly
  • Andrew Herman - 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Patrick Hussey - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Fly, 200 IM
  • Tristan Jankovics - 200 Free, 200 Back, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Ilya Kharun - 50 Free, 100 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Fly
  • Laon Kim - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 1500 Free, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Yuri Kisil - 50 Free, 100 Free
  • Finlay Knox - 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 100 Breast, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Josh Liendo - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly
  • Benjamin Loewen - 100 Back, 100 Fly, 200 Fly, 200 IM
  • Gabe Mastromatteo - 100 Breast, 200 Breast, 100 Fly
  • Hugh McNeill - 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Justice Migneault - 100 Free, 100 Breast, 200 Breast, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Aiden Norman - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Sebastian Paulins - 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 1500 Free
  • Cole Pratt - 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Antoine Sauve - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free
  • Filip Senc-Samardzic - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly
  • Brayden Taivassalo - 100 Breast, 200 Breast
  • Blake Tierney - 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back, 200 IM
  • Jordi Vilchez - 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Lorne Wigginton - 200 Free, 400 Free, 100 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM

 

Women:

 

  • Bailey Andison - 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Sienna Angove - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Sophie Angus - 100 Breast, 200 Breast
  • Shona Branton - 100 Breast, 200 Breast
  • Julie Brousseau - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 200 Breast, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Bridget Burton - 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Kamryn Cannings - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Fly
  • Tessa Cieplucha - 100 Breast, 200 Breast, 200 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Maxine Clark - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 200 Back, 100 Fly, 200 Fly, 200 IM
  • Ella Cosgrove - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Brooklyn Douthwright - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Sarah Fournier - 50 Free, 100 Free
  • Emma Finlin - 800 Free, 1500 Free
  • Katie Forrester - 100 Fly, 200 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Madelyn Gatrall - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Jordan Greber - 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back, 200 Breast, 200 IM
  • Danielle Hanus - 50 Free, 100 Free, 100 Back, 100 Breast, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Kathryn Hazle - 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 400 IM
  • Mary-Sophie Harvey - 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Kathryn Ivanov - 100 Breast, 200 Breast
  • Ella Jansen - 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 200 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Madison Kryger - 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back, 100 Fly, 200 IM
  • Nina Kucheran - 100 Breast, 200 Breast, 200 IM
  • Alexanne Lepage - 100 Breast, 200 Breast, 200 IM
  • Delia Lloyd - 50 Free, 100 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Maggie MacNeil - 100 Free, 100 Fly
  • Kylie Masse - 100 Back, 200 Back, 100 Fly
  • Summer McIntosh - 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 100 Back, 200 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Ashley McMillan - 100 Free, 100 Back, 100 Breast, 200 IM
  • Ainsley McMurray - 50 Free, 100 Free
  • Emma O'Croinin - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 200 IM
  • Penny Oleksiak - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free
  • Amaris Peng - 100 Breast, 200 Breast
  • Sydney Pickrem - 100 Breast, 200 Breast, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Regan Rathwell - 50 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Victoria Raymond - 50 Free, 100 Back, 200 Back, 100 Fly, 200 Fly
  • Taylor Ruck - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Back
  • Katerine Savard - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly
  • Katelyn Schroeder - 100 Back, 200 Back, 200 IM
  • Rebecca Smith - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly
  • Julia Strojnowska - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 1500 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
  • Jenna Walters - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 200 Back
  • Mia West - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 100 Fly, 200 Fly
  • Megan Willar - 50 Free, 100 Free, 200 Free, 400 Free, 800 Free, 1500 Free
  • Ingrid Wilm - 100 Back, 200 Back
  • Avery Wiseman - 100 Breast, 200 Breast
  • Kelsey Wog - 100 Breast, 200 Breast
  • Mabel Zavaros - 400 Free, 800 Free, 200 Fly, 200 IM, 400 IM
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