LDOG 2,227 Posted October 30, 2023 #11 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Good chances Women's Hockey Men's Rugby Sevens Outside chances Sailing Nacra 17 Men's BMX Freestyle Kayak 1000m Men Men's Hockey Men's Volleyball Good chances if qualified (+ assemble decent squad) Men's Football NMQ, rafalgorka and Josh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phelps 7,299 Posted October 30, 2023 #12 Share Posted October 30, 2023 2 hours ago, Belle said: Mondo and Equestrian Jumping both team and individual. Maybe Daniel Ståhl can get a medal in Discus throw. I think have a lot more chances than that...Sailing (2, maybe even 3 good chances), Swimming (Sjostrom mainly), Shooting (men's AR and Skeet), Judo (Marcus Nyman), the men's Handball team and maybe more Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phelps 7,299 Posted October 30, 2023 #13 Share Posted October 30, 2023 bare minimum target: 41 medals realistic target: 40-45 medals best case scenario: no idea, but well in excess of 50 medals (I think we're way beyond the 100 theoretical chances, some of them really remote and unlikey to happen, of course) personal thought: nothing of what written above will happen, like every other aspect in this Country, also our sport is going to die and therefore we're gonna have the worst Games ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,741 Posted October 30, 2023 #14 Share Posted October 30, 2023 A best case scenario? That's going to be fun, if we add all the numbers in this thread together we'll end up with double as many gold medals as actual events, I think But right, I'll take a bit of time as well tomorrow or so because I'm curious how the Netherlands is looking. As far as I can really say anything about most sports other than athletics and the various cycling disciplines Josh and mpjmcevoy 1 1 If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rafalgorka 1,424 Posted October 30, 2023 #15 Share Posted October 30, 2023 3 hours ago, FireRun said: From the top of my head 3: Garnbret - Climbing - Gold Čeh - Discus Throw - Gold or Silver Savšek - Canoe - Gold or Silver or Bronze No Pogacar/Roglic/Mohoric??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mpjmcevoy 246 Posted October 30, 2023 #16 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Serious hopes : W 400m Athletics Adeleke W 1500m Athletics Mageaan M 1500m free Aquatics Wiffen W 60kg Boxing Harrington W 66 kg Boxing Broadhurst W 75 kg Boxing O'Rourke M 92 kg Boxing Marley M 63.5 Boxing Clancy Team Jumping Equestrian Ireland Men's individual Golf McIlroy Pommel horse Gymnastics McClenehan LMX2 Rowing Ireland Men's sevens Rugby Ireland If 50% of these hit, it would be a great games Outside but still serious chance Michaela Walsh, boxing Wiffen M800 free Any individual showjumper Ben Healy in the Road Race M2x, M2- and top women's stroke boat in rowing Women's sevens team Woolley in TKD Puncher's chance - any other boxer who makes it 4x4 mixed relay if Adeleke runs. Mark English M 800 Corcoran M1500 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OlympicIRL 4,974 Posted October 31, 2023 #17 Share Posted October 31, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, mpjmcevoy said: Serious hopes : W 400m Athletics Adeleke W 1500m Athletics Mageaan M 1500m free Aquatics Wiffen W 60kg Boxing Harrington W 66 kg Boxing Broadhurst W 75 kg Boxing O'Rourke M 92 kg Boxing Marley M 63.5 Boxing Clancy Team Jumping Equestrian Ireland Men's individual Golf McIlroy Pommel horse Gymnastics McClenehan LMX2 Rowing Ireland Men's sevens Rugby Ireland If 50% of these hit, it would be a great games Outside but still serious chance Michaela Walsh, boxing Wiffen M800 free Any individual showjumper Ben Healy in the Road Race M2x, M2- and top women's stroke boat in rowing Women's sevens team Woolley in TKD Puncher's chance - any other boxer who makes it 4x4 mixed relay if Adeleke runs. Mark English M 800 Corcoran M1500 I would put the M2x and M2 as serious medal contenders given they won medals at this year's world championships and are on an upward trajectory. Definitely in with good chances. Also Mona McSharry in the women's 100m breaststroke was just inches away from a medal at this years world championships where she finished 5th. I'd put her in the outside chance category. Leona Maguire in women's golf definitely has an outside shot at a medal also. I'd be inclined to say Mark English and Andrew Coscoran would be off the list. For example, I think even our sailing team or even the eventing squad who I don't fancy at all could be more likely to sneak a medal than either of them. But it's not really on the cards. Edited October 31, 2023 by OlympicIRL Josh and mpjmcevoy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 7,365 Posted October 31, 2023 #18 Share Posted October 31, 2023 (edited) 5 hours ago, OlympicIRL said: I'd be inclined to say Mark English and Andrew Coscoran would be off the list. Agree. And Ben Healy in road cycling. Edited October 31, 2023 by Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heywoodu 13,741 Posted October 31, 2023 #19 Share Posted October 31, 2023 47 minutes ago, Josh said: Agree. And Ben Healy in road cycling. Hard to say. Ben Healy definitely has a serious medal chance given his incredible year and his riding style and such. But it's the road race on hilly terrain, there's always going to be at least 20-30 riders with a somewhat serious medal chance.... (and so individually, every single rider has a rather low percentage by himself, even the top favourites like Van der Poel don't have anywhere near 40% medal chance or something) mpjmcevoy 1 If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireRun 188 Posted October 31, 2023 #20 Share Posted October 31, 2023 11 hours ago, rafalgorka said: No Pogacar/Roglic/Mohoric??? I don't see it. Especially as it's very likely both Roglič and Pogačar will focus on the TDF. And the rest of the team is too weak to support someone like Mohorič. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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