Vic Liu

Generally Team China performs normally as what I expected in terms of medals and golds numbers, not underperforming or beyond expectation. But some specific matches are way too drama and it almost made me heart attacks like Shooting women's 10m air rifle, swimming men's 100m breast and gymnastics men's team. Still until now, it's meeting my expectation and I am glad to see Asian neighbors like Korea and Japan well performed in Europe.

I hate BWF computer draw and I think every badminton powerhouse does so. The draw is always full of drama.

@Griff88 Do you know when will draw lots for mixed double knockout stage? By computer or by hand? Chinese fans are worried about it after Huang/Feng lost to Chen/Toh.

Zhang Yufei, Qin Haiyang, Chen Jun'er and Wang Changhao are in the same group. They are not on their best status during Olympic trials as they didn't change their training schedule to adapt the Trials. It's reported that it was the reason why they underperform on trials. From recent interview, they are on better status right now so I still have confidence on them. Still I admit that Walsh and USA are favorites on these two events, while China is challenger.

update my final prediction on medals, only some minor changes from previous early prediction 1. Diving - 7 golds 12 medals - usually losing 1 gold just not sure which one yet 2. Table Tennis - 5 golds 7 medals - facing many challenges on men's single but still unlikely to drop the gold 3. Weightlifting - 5 golds 6 medals - men's 73kg Shi Zhiyong is not the favorite while other weights should be safe 4. Swimming - 4 golds 11 medals - chances from men's 100/200 breast, 200 IM, 100 free, women's 100 fly, 100 breast, men and mixed medley relay for golds 5. Shooting - 4 golds 10 medals - many chances for pistols and rifles events and some of them will get golds 6. Artistic Gymnastics - 4 golds 8 medals - almost sure men's rings and PB + one of women's BB/UB + one of men's AA/team 7. Badminton - 3 golds 6 medals - bigger chances for mixed double and women's double + maybe one of men's single/women's single/men's double 8. Boxing - 1 gold 4 medals - some random women's weights or men's 80kg may get one gold 9. Sprint Canoeing - 1 gold 3 medals - big chance for WC2 get gold and medal chances for WC1 and MC2 10. Trampoline - 1 gold 3 medals - equal chances for men‘s and women's to get gold but also high chance to make error 11. Artistic Swimming - 1 gold 2 medals - big chance for both golds but also high probability to make some error on some random routine 12. Taekwondo - 1 gold 2 medals - bigger chances for women's 57kg and also some slim chances for other weights 13. Athletics - 4 medals - medal chances for women's shot put/discus/hammer throw/race walking, men's long jump/triple jump but none of these are favorites 14. Wrestling - 3 medals - some medal chances for all participating women's weights and men's freestyle 57/125, greco 60/130 15. Sport Climbing - 2 medals - medals chances for men's and women's speed sport climbing but very unpredictable 16. BMX freestyle - 2 medals - big medal chances for women's BMX freestyle but not favorite to win the gold 17. Breaking - 1 medal - big medal chance for women also some probability to win the gold 18. Track Cycling - 1 medal - medal chance for women's team sprint 19. Fencing - 1 medal - some chance for women's team/individual epee and very slim chance for women's individual foil 20. Rowing - 1 medal - medal chance for W4x also some gold probability 21. Rhythmic Gymnastics -1 medal - medal chance for group AATo 22. Sailing - 1 medal - slim medal chances for men and women's windsurfing and kite but very unpredictable 23. Basketball - 1 medal - medal chance for women's team or women's 3*3 24. Archery -1 medal - medal chance for women's team Total 37 golds 93 medals (37 golds 91 medals on previous prediction)

draw updated. Garcia(17) replaced Rybakina and Zheng(6) will face Saville instead.

men's team Sun Wei got injured during vault podium training and Su Weide (already in France) will replace him.

Just as everyone expected

Ma Long (table tennis) and Feng Yu (artistic swimming)

Japanese media reported the the depth of swimming pool is around 2.2m which is less than 2.5m standard required by FINA and if will affect start and turn.

https://myinfo.paris2024.org/ is open to registered media, but not to public yet.

BWF is bullshit

published official delegation list. It includes 388 official athletes, 17 Ap athletes, total up to 405 athletes. Archery 6 Artistic Swimming 8 Athletics 54 Badminton 16 Basketball 12 Basketball 3x3 8 Beach Volleyball 2 Boxing 8 Breaking 3 Canoeing Slalom 3 Canoeing Sprint 15 Cycling BMX 2 Cycling Mountain Bike 2 Cycling Road 2 Cycling Track 7 Diving 10 Equestrian 2 Fencing 12 Field Hockey 16 Golf 4 Gymnastics Artistic 10 Gymnastics Rhythmic 6 Gymnastics Trampoline 4 Judo 6 Modern Pentathlon 3 Rowing 14 Rugby Seven 12 Sailing 13 Shooting 21 Skateboarding 4 Sport Climbing 7 Surfing 1 Swimming(including Marathon Swimming) 32 Table Tennis 6 Taekwondo 6 Tennis 7 Triathlon 1 Volleyball 12 Water Polo 13 Weightlifting 6 Wrestling 12 Total 388 Official athletes list: https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/27613-中国奥运资格-chinese-olympic-qualification/#comment-642264 Official Source:http://sports.news.cn/20240713/65a1ee43dd3548bcb7ecb6801100ff0f/c.html

final list updated according to Chinese official delegation list https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1804447385040640784

Maybe my calculation is not updated.

will pair Zhang Zhizhen/Zheng Qinwen, their combined ranking is on the edge (Reserve no.1) so we have to wait other NOC's pairing result.

China rejected one women's javelin quota due to injury, OG defending champion Liu Shiying will miss the game. So will be 388 athletes (excluding Ap athletes) if no more last minute reallocation.

Athletics updated and team size finalized if no more last minute reallocation https://xhimg.sports.cn/Image/soft/240704/99-240F42101201T.pdf

黄色就是还没官宣的，李诗婷改好了

Only if last minute reallocation. Tennis men's single Shang Juncheng is quite possible, he is currently reserve no.1 or no.2 given the high rejection rate of this sport. Other events are not quite possible even some of them are reserve no.3 or no.4.

Team China confirmed 388 team size Archery 6 Artistic Swimming 8 Athletics 54 Badminton 16 Basketball 12 Basketball 3x3 8 Beach Volleyball 2 Boxing 8 Breaking 3 Canoeing Slalom 3 Canoeing Sprint 15 Cycling BMX 2 Cycling Mountain Bike 2 Cycling Road 2 Cycling Track 7 Diving 10 Equestrian 2 Fencing 12 Field Hockey 16 Golf 4 Gymnastics Artistic 10 Gymnastics Rhythmic 6 Gymnastics Trampoline 4 Judo 6 Modern Pentathlon 3 Rowing 14 Rugby Seven 12 Sailing 13 Shooting 21 Skateboarding 4 Sport Climbing 7 Surfing 1 Swimming(including Marathon Swimming) 32 Table Tennis 6 Taekwondo 6 Tennis 7 Triathlon 1 Volleyball 12 Water Polo 13 Weightlifting 6 Wrestling 12 Total 388 To see full list of 388 athletes(in Chinese language), please refer to https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/27613-中国奥运资格-chinese-olympic-qualification/#comment-642264

Athletics updated according to WA final Race to Paris ranking, but unconfirmed by NOC yet

shooting updated http://www.shooting.org.cn/notice/2024/0628/606991.html

Wrestling updated https://www.sport.gov.cn/jsrzx/n5218/c27867581/content.html

Volleyball updated 2034.06.29 http://www.volleychina.org/b/2024-06-29/doc-incaktwf3568436.shtml