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Vic Liu

Totallympics Medallist
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Everything posted by Vic Liu

  1. For me, she is not that competitive as she was. I would say An 30% Marin 25% Chen and Yamaguchi 20% Tai 5%.
  2. I am happy to see your prediction coming true. But it's the optimistic scenario for me rather than realistic. Shi Yuqi is among top lists together with Axelsen and Jonatan Christie at this moment. Chen Yufei somehow benefits from An and Yamaguchi's injuries but they are still powerful together with Carolina Marin. For men's double, I think the Korean and Indian pairs share almost same chances with Wang/Liang. So any of the names I mentioned win the gold I will not be surprised. I give 1/3+1/3+1/3 chances =1 gold. Artistic Swimming is full of randomness because of the new scoring system and China just lost both golds in the nearest World Cup stage. So one gold is good for me. Trampoline can win 2 golds on paper but there usually some accident may happen on Olympics especially sports by scoring. So China never win both golds since 2008 home OG. I think Speed sport climbing women's gold will go for Poland. For men's side, China USA Indonesia all have chances. And China also likes false start. We have to wait and see. I hope that our gold point on paper will come true but past experience tells me it's extremely hard.
  3. China Prediction 1. Diving - 7 golds 12 medals - usually losing 1 gold just not sure which one yet 2. Table Tennis - 5 golds 7 medals - facing many challenges on men's single but still unlikely to drop the gold 3. Weightlifting - 5 golds 6 medals - men's 73kg Shi Zhiyong is not the favorite while other weights should be safe 4. Swimming - 4 golds 10 medals - chances from men's 100/200 breast, 200 IM, 100 free, women's 100 fly, 100 breast, men and mixed medley relay for golds 5. Shooting - 4 golds 10 medals - many chances for pistols and rifles events and some of them will get golds 6. Artistic Gymnastics - 4 golds 8 medals - almost sure men's rings and PB + one of women's BB/UB + one of men's AA/team 7. Badminton - 3 golds 6 medals - bigger chances for mixed double and women's double + maybe one of men's single/women's single/men's double 8. Boxing - 1 gold 3 medals - some random women's weights or men's 80kg may get one gold 9. Sprint Canoeing - 1 gold 3 medals - big chance for WC2 get gold and medal chances for WC1 and MC2 10. Trampoline - 1 gold 3 medals - equal chances for men‘s and women's to get gold but also high chance to make error 11. Artistic Swimming - 1 gold 2 medals - big chance for both golds but also high probability to make some error on some random routine 12. Taekwondo - 1 gold 2 medals - bigger chances for women's 57kg and also some slim chances for other weights 13. Athletics - 5 medals - medal chances for women's shot put/discus/hammer throw/race walking, men's long jump/triple jump but none of these are favorites 14. Wrestling - 3 medals - some medal chances for all participating women's weights and men's freestyle 57/125, greco 60/130 15. Sport Climbing - 2 medals - medals chances for men's and women's speed sport climbing but very unpredictable 16. BMX freestyle - 2 medals - big medal chances for women's BMX freestyle but not favorite to win the gold 17. Breaking - 1 medal - big medal chance for women also some probability to win the gold 18. Track Cycling - 1 medal - medal chance for women's team sprint 19. Fencing - 1 medal - some chance for women's team/individual epee and very slim chance for women's individual foil 20. Rowing - 1 medal - medal chance for W4x also some gold probability 21. Rhythmic Gymnastics -1 medal - medal chance for group AA 22. Sailing - 1 medal - slim medal chances for men and women's windsurfing and kite but very unpredictable 23. Basketball - 1 medal - medal chance for women's team Some other slim medal chances: Women's golf, Women's tennis single/double, Judo Women's 78/78+, Women's volleyball, Women's skateboarding street Total 37 golds 91 medals
  4. do you know the format of group for men's and women's single given the entry numbers?
  5. https://www.sport.gov.cn/jsrzx/n5218/c27710754/content.html It's published by sport administration of China
  6. China announced the list Women 49 Hou Zhihui 59 Luo Shifang 81+ Li Wenwen Men 61 Li Fabin 73 Shi Zhiyong 102 Liu Huanhua
  7. May I ask how come China can compete mixed team skeet? Is there any quota exchange because I don't see such news yet.
  8. China finished Chinese Nationals (OG trials stage 1), Women's Qiu Qiyuan, Zhou Yaqin and Men's Zou Jingyuan got first 3 tickets. rest will be decided after internal OG trials stage 2 in June, maybe without live-streaming. Below are their routines. Qiu Qiyuan UB 7.2+8.366=15.566 Zhou Yaqin BB 7.2+8.266=15.466 Zou Jingyuan PB 6.9+9.266=16.166
  9. I have no idea. It is also confusing for me to see the whole new list.
  10. No official update from the team. As far as I know the selection will be mainly decided by the World Cup result. So women's 49, 59, 81+ and Men's 61, 102 will be most likely selected. Men's 73 and 89 will fight for the last ticket in May depending on lifters' injury status.
  11. The yellow part are still pending either for swimmer's willingness or team's selection.
  12. men's 200m IM semi Wang Shun 1.57.24 Zhang Zhanshuo 2.00.64
  13. Zhang Zhanshuo is still possible to swim 400IM on Olympics as he qualifies in 400 free and is the only person meeting standard on 400IM. If he will swim or not is depending on his own willingness
  14. Is Olympic seeded by Olympic ranking or World ranking on July?
  15. Does anyone know why there is 3/4 final for some certain categories
  16. Some Chinese Olympic Trials link package: Schedule and Result:https://swm-info.ydfuture.com/ Prelims Start List:https://weibo.com/5277693139/5024583862453267 https://weibo.com/5277693139/5024584195638022 Livestream: CCTV5(only finals and not everyday) https://tv.cctv.com/live/cctv5/index.shtml?spm=C73465.PhvcG4VlqNFF.EyAwthc54FQC.16 CCTV app link(all prelims and finals may need to register) 4.20 prelims https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174944 4.20 finals https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600175006 4.21 p https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174947 4.21 f https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600175007 4.22 p https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174949 4 22 f https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600175031 4.23 p https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174948 4.23 f https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600175023 4.24 p https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174950 4.24 f https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600175027 4.25 p https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174951 4.25 f https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174259 4.26 p https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174955 4.26 f https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600175029 4.27 f https://www.yangshipin.cn/#/live/detail?pid=600174945
  17. Nice work. Just to notify that women’s 100m fly results are semifinal and I am really looking forward to Zhang Yufei’s final tomorrow.
  18. That's the only link I can find right now and it works on website also. It seems not mandatory to download app or China VPN but requires register and log in. @Topicmaster1010. If some final sessions live on TV, there should be some other link without requiring log in.
  19. Sure but all require China VPN I guess. mobile app: 央视频 Yangshipin https://yspapp.cn/23AM I can’t find the online link right now as I use mobile phone. I will share it later when I use laptop.
  20. Chinese Olympic trials begins tomorrow. The rules is to choose the any best result of 3 events to compare: 1: 2023 WCH individual event finals and meeting OG standard A 2: 2024 WCH individual event finals and meeting OG standard A 3: 2024 trials individual event finals and meeting OG standard A So based on the past 2023 and 2024 WCH, following swimmers already have eligible results and green parts are almost safe enough to guarantee the tickets before the trials. For relay swimmers, mainly considering trials results.
  21. With defending OG champion Lee/Wang defeated by pair, Liu/Ou secured the OG quota and making with full quotas in Paris. Chinese Team: Men's single: Shi Yuqi, Li Shifeng Women's single: Chen Yufei, He Bingjiao or Han Yue Men's double: Liang Weikeng/Wang Chang, Liu Yuchen/Ou Xuanyi Women's double: Chen Qingchen/Jia Yifan, Liu Shengshu/Tan Ning Mixed double: Zheng Siwei/Huang Yaqiong, Feng Yanzhe/Huang Dongping
  22. Since I am not aware how serious injured of each athlete and if they will recover before OG, my choice may differ from the team. But based on the result of the trials, I would pick 49 59 and 81+.
  23. I think so too. 49kg 59kg and 81kg+ would be safe choice now.
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