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Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

rafalgorka

By rafalgorka,
in Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024

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orangeman Community Regular

orangeman   1,989

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

Thanks for your comment! You are probably right.

 

My explaination for 2. Ledecky 3. McIntosh would be: Ledecky uses her experience in the final, not chasing Titmus too hard from the beginning and concentrating on beating the Canadian. And McIntosh will be nervous as hell, not as much as in the 2023 WCH final but still... Fortunately, this time she gets bronze. But no worries - SPOILERS ALERT - McIntosh will not leave my Imaginary Paris olympics without gold... :-)

 

Gold for AUS in 4x100m relay - because Chalmers won't be too far away when he starts the anchor leg and he will do his magic trick again...

 

Anyway, Aussies on the top of the medal table after Day One. Congrats!

 

Best result for POL - hmmm.. 5th place in Mixed 10m Air Rifle Shooting event...

As a biased Canadian, I think Summer uses Fukuoka as inspiration to be ready for the 400m in Paris. Also, she won't be peaking for the nationals like this year, she will be peaking for Paris. I will never underestimate Ledecky or Titmus and they can come out hard, too (as they did in Fukuoka) but I see Summer taking her WR back in this race, setting the tone for her domination over the week.  And if she wins the 400m, I see her helping Canada stay on the podium for the relay later that night. But that depends more on the state of Ruck (and to a lesser extent Oleksiak who always rises to the occasion).  

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Josh
Josh

All of my predictions are made under the assumption that Russia won’t be competing.   Day 1  (July 27, 2024)   Diving- Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard  Gold- Chen Yiwen/Chang Y

Josh
Josh

Day 2 (July 28, 2024)   Archery- Women’s Team Gold-  South Korea Silver-  Germany  Bronze-  Japan   Canoe Slalom- Women’s K1 Gold-  Ricarda Funk Silver-  J

rafalgorka
rafalgorka

Thanks everyone for joining the thread. Feel free to make your complete predictions like @Josh  but when you want to do it in certain sports only, that would be great as well!!!

dullard Collaborator

dullard   699

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, orangeman said:

As a biased Canadian, I think Summer uses Fukuoka as inspiration to be ready for the 400m in Paris. Also, she won't be peaking for the nationals like this year, she will be peaking for Paris. I will never underestimate Ledecky or Titmus and they can come out hard, too (as they did in Fukuoka) but I see Summer taking her WR back in this race, setting the tone for her domination over the week.  And if she wins the 400m, I see her helping Canada stay on the podium for the relay later that night. But that depends more on the state of Ruck (and to a lesser extent Oleksiak who always rises to the occasion).  

Wouldn't be surprised to see Ruck get back close to her best now it looks like she's training at ASU.

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Josh Proficient

Josh   10,495

Posted
Posted (edited)

All of my predictions are made under the assumption that Russia won’t be competing.
 

Day 1  (July 27, 2024)

 

Diving- Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard 
Gold- :CHN Chen Yiwen/Chang Yani

Silver- :USA Sarah Bacon/Kassidy Cook

Bronze- :CAN Pamela Ware/Mia Valee

 

Fencing- Women’s Individual Epee

Gold- :FRA Marie Florence Candassamy

Silver- :CHN Sun Yiwen

Bronze- :KOR Song Se-ra

 

Fencing- Men’s Individual Sabre

Gold- :HUN Áron Szilágyi

Silver- :GEO Sandro Bazade

Bronze- :USA Eli Dershwitz

 

If there’s a surprise medalist here, I’m going with :GER Szabo. 

 

Judo- Women’s -48kg

Gold- :JPN Natsumi Tsunoda

Silver- :SRB Milica Nikolić

Bronze- :FRA Shirine Boukli

Bronze- :KAZ Abiba Azuzhakynova

 

Judo- Men’s -60kg

Gold- :JPN Naohiso Takato

Silver- :ESP Francisco Garrigos

Bronze- :KOR Lee Ha-rim

Bronze- :UKR Dilshot Khalmatov (Surprise medalist)

 

Road Cycling- Men’s Time Trial

Gold- :BEL Remco Evenepoel

Silver- :ITA Filippo Ganna

Bronze- :GBR Josh Tarling

 

Road Cycling- Women’s Time Trial

Gold- :USA Chloe Dygert

Silver- :SUI Marlen Reusser

Bronze- :NED Ellen Van Dijk

 

Rugby Sevens- Men’s Tournament

Gold- :NZL New Zealand

Silver- :FIJ Fiji

Bronze- :AUS Australia


Shooting- Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

Gold- :CHN China

Silver- :KOR Korea

Bronze- :IND India

 

Skatebording- Men’s Street

Gold- :USA Nyjah Huston

Silver- :FRA Aurelien Giraud

Bronze- :JPN Yuto Horigome

 

Swimming- Men’s 400m Freestyle

Gold- :AUS Sam Short

Silver- :TUN Ahmed Hafnaoui

Bronze- :GER Lukas Märtens

 

Swimming- Women’s 400m Freestyle

 

Let’s try this again. 

 

Gold- :CAN Summer McIntosh

Silver- :AUS Ariarne Titmus

Bronze- :USA Katie Ledecky

 

Swimming- Women’s 4x100m Freestyle Relay

 

Gold- :AUS Australia

Silver- :USA United States

Bronze- :CAN Canada

 

Assuming Ruck and Oleksiak are fully healthy. 
 

Swimming- Men’s 4x100m Freestyle Relay

 

Gold- :USA United States, with a massive split by Caleb Dressel

Silver- :AUS Australia

Bronze- :ITA Italy

 

Medal Table After Day 1

:USA 3-2-2– 7

:AUS 2-2-1– 5

:CHN 2-1-0– 3

:JPN 2-0-1– 3

:FRA 1-1-1– 3

:CAN 1-0-2– 3

:NZL 1-0-0– 1

:HUN 1-0-0– 1

:BEL 1-0-0– 1

:KOR 0-1-2– 3

:ITA 0-1-1– 2

:SRB 0-1-0– 1

:SUI 0-1-0– 1

:GEO 0-1-0– 1

:ESP 0-1-0– 1

:TUN 0-1-0– 1

:FIJ 0-1-0– 1

:GBR 0-0-1– 1

:NED 0-0-1– 1

:GER 0-0-1– 1

:IND 0-0-1– 1

:KAZ 0-0-1– 1

:UKR 0-0-1– 1

Edited by Josh
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Josh Proficient

Josh   10,495

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, orangeman said:

As a biased Canadian, I think Summer uses Fukuoka as inspiration to be ready for the 400m in Paris. Also, she won't be peaking for the nationals like this year, she will be peaking for Paris. I will never underestimate Ledecky or Titmus and they can come out hard, too (as they did in Fukuoka) but I see Summer taking her WR back in this race, setting the tone for her domination over the week.  And if she wins the 400m, I see her helping Canada stay on the podium for the relay later that night. But that depends more on the state of Ruck (and to a lesser extent Oleksiak who always rises to the occasion).  

Don’t see McIntosh making that particular relay (at least for finals) if Ruck and Oleksiak are fully healthy, her split wasn’t very good at this years World Championships. Wouldn’t be surprised to see her competing in only one relay (4x200m freestyle) at the Olympics. 

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Josh Proficient

Josh   10,495

Posted
Posted (edited)

Day 2 (July 28, 2024)

 

Archery- Women’s Team

Gold- :KOR South Korea

Silver- :GER Germany 

Bronze- :JPN Japan

 

Canoe Slalom- Women’s K1

Gold- :GER Ricarda Funk

Silver- :AUS Jessica Fox

Bronze- :GBR Mallory Franklin

 

Former Olympic Champion :ESP Chourraut finishes in fourth.
 

Fencing- Men’s Individual Epee

Gold- :HUN Gergely Siklósi

Silver- :ITA Davide Di Veroli

Bronze- :FRA Romaine Cannone

 

Fencing- Women’s Foil

Gold- :ITA Alice Volpi

Silver- :USA Lee Kiefer

Bronze- :ITA Arriana Errigo

 

Judo- Women’s -52kg

Gold- :JPN Uta Abe

Silver- :KOS Distria Krasniqi

Bronze- :UZB Diyora Keldiyorova

Bronze- :FRA Amandine Buchard

 

Judo- Men’s -66kg

Gold- :JPN Hifumi Abe

Silver- :MGL Yondoperenlein Baskhüü

Bronze- :KOR An Ba-ul

Bronze- :GEO Varga Margvelashvili

 

Mountain Biking- Women’s Cross Country

Gold- :FRA Pauline Ferrand-Prevot

Silver- :NED Puck Pieterse

Bronze- :SUI Alessandra Keller

 

Shooting- Men’s 10m Air Pistol

Gold-  :CHN Zhang Bowen

Silver- :SRB Damir Milic

Bronze- :TUR Ismail Keles

 

Shooting- Women’s 10m Air Pistol

Gold- :CHN Ranxin Xiang

Silver- :GRE Anna Korakaki

Bronze- :POL Klaudia Breś

 

Skateboarding- Women’s Street

Gold- :BRA Rayssa Leal

Silver- :JPN Momiji Nishiya

Bronze- :AUS Chloe Covell

 

Swimming- Men’s 400m Individual Medley

Gold- :FRA Leon Marchand

Silver- :USA Chase Kalisz

Bronze- :USA Carson Foster

 

Swimming- Women’s 100m Butterfly

Gold- :CAN Maggie MacNeil

Silver- :USA Torri Huske

Bronze- :CHN Zhang Yufei

 

MacNeil always performs at major Championships, which is why I have her defending her Olympic gold. Coincidentally, this would be the same podium as last year, only change being Huske for second ahead of Yufei. 
 

Swimming- Men’s 100m Breastroke

Gold- :GBR Adam Peaty

Silver- :CHN Qin Haiyang

Bronze- :USA Nic Fink

 

Assuming Peaty is healthy, he should take this one. Wouldn’t count out Haiyang though. 

 

Medal Table After Day 2

:CHN 4-2-1– 7

:JPN 4-1-2– 7

:USA 3-5-4– 12

:FRA 3-1-3– 7

:AUS 2-3-2– 7

:CAN 2-0-2– 4

:HUN 2-0-0– 2

:ITA 1-2-2– 5

:KOR 1-1-3– 5

:GER 1-1-1– 3

:GBR 1-0-2– 3

:BRA 1-0-0– 1

:NZL 1-0-0– 1

:BEL 1-0-0– 1

:SRB 0-2-0– 2

:NED 0-1-1– 2

:GEO 0-1-1– 2

:SUI 0-1-1– 2

:GRE 0-1-0– 1

:MGL 0-1-0– 1

:ESP 0-1-0– 1

:TUN 0-1-0– 1

:KOS 0-1-0– 1

:FIJ 0-1-0– 1

:TUR 0-0-1– 1

:IND 0-0-1– 1

:KAZ 0-0-1– 1

:UKR 0-0-1– 1

:UZB 0-0-1– 1

:POL 0-0-1– 1

Edited by Josh
Japan instead of Mexico in women’s team archery
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james89 Collaborator

james89   847

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Josh said:

Don’t see McIntosh making that particular relay (at least for finals) if Ruck and Oleksiak are fully healthy, her split wasn’t very good at this years World Championships. Wouldn’t be surprised to see her competing in only one relay (4x200m freestyle) at the Olympics. 

I feel like she has a decent shot at being in the 4x100m relay based off her split in the 4x100m medley at this year's World's it was comporable to Rebecca Smith's time from Tokyo 2020 and at this point I'm not sure we have a 4th who can go under 54 seconds although Smith, Harvey and maybe even Jansen could do so.

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