Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

[Rafa Maciel 1,737]

6 minutes ago, Dragon said:

I have serious doubts whether Adam Peaty will be as good as he was in 2016 and 2021.

But for  I have a good feeling about Zoe Backstedt winning a medal in either the road time trial or the mountain biking.

Mountain biking? Has she even taken part in a mountain biking race this year?

 

Backstedt may struggle to make the GB road squad - Anna Henderson will double up (and may feature for minor medal), Pfeiffer Georgi and Anna Shackley almost certain to be selected for road race Lizzie Deignan and Claire Steels likely to fight it out for last spot. 

[Dragon 2,082]

26 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

Mountain biking? Has she even taken part in a mountain biking race this year?

 

Backstedt may struggle to make the GB road squad - Anna Henderson will double up (and may feature for minor medal), Pfeiffer Georgi and Anna Shackley almost certain to be selected for road race Lizzie Deignan and Claire Steels likely to fight it out for last spot. 

Three points.

1 - I owe you a grovelling apology. In my mind Zoe was a world junior champion champion at mountain biking when, of course, she was a champion in cyclo cross

2 - However, I think she could be world class in mountain biking if she put her mind to it,

3 - Disagree, Henderson, as good as she is, is not in the same class as Zoe as a time trialist. Zoe will be a world or Olympic champion in the future. The question is really if that happens in Paris or will she have to wait for LA 2028?

[MagyarBabu 153]

I played this game with a friend for the whole last month, so why not share results here.
 

 

DAY - 1
 

 

DIVING - Women's Syncro 3m Springboard

1.  China
2.  USA

3.  Great Britain

 

FENCING - Women's Ind. Epee

1.  A. Louis Marie
2.  M. Candassamy

3.  A. Kun

 

FENCING - Men's Ind. Sabre

 

1.  S. Bazadze

2.  B. Apithy
3.  Á. Szilágyi

JUDO - Women's -48kg

1.  S. Boukli

2.  W. Koga

3.  A. Scutto  A. Abuzhakynova

 

JUDO - Men's -60kg

 

1.  G. Sardalashvili

2.  H. Lee

3.  E. Ariunbold  D. Baratov

RUGBY 7

1.  New Zealand
2.  FIji
3.  Argentina

ROAD CYCLING - Women's Time Trial

1.  G.Brown

2.  D. Vollering

3.  A. Markus

 

ROAD CYCLING - Men's Time Trial

 

1.  R.Evenpoel

2.  S. Küng

3.  F. Ganna

 

SHOOTING - Air Rifle Mixed Team

 

1.  China 1
2.  China 2

3.  Iran

 

SKATEBOARDING - Men's Street

 

1.  A. Giraud

2.  N. Huston

3.  V. Milou

 

SWIMMING - Men's 400m Freestyle

 

1.  A. Hafnaoui

2.  S. Short

3.  E. Winnington

 

SWIMMING - Women's 400m Freestyle

 

1.  A. Titmus

2.  K. Ledecky
3.  S. McIntosh

 

SWIMMING - Women's 4x100 Freestyle

 

1.  Australia

2.  USA

3.  China

 

SWIMMING - Men's 4x100 Freestyle

1.  Great Britain

2.  Australia

3.  USA

 

 

 

 

[Rafa Maciel 1,737]

29 minutes ago, Dragon said:

Three points.

1 - I owe you a grovelling apology. In my mind Zoe was a world junior champion champion at mountain biking when, of course, she was a champion in cyclo cross

2 - However, I think she could be world class in mountain biking if she put her mind to it,

3 - Disagree, Henderson, as good as she is, is not in the same class as Zoe as a time trialist. Zoe will be a world or Olympic champion in the future. The question is really if that happens in Paris or will she have to wait for LA 2028?

No apology required - in my mind I had thought Backstedt's background was on the track. 

 

The reason I believe that Backstedt will struggle to make the road team is that outside of this week's European Championships, she hasn't achieved that much on the roads this year - and that is a key criteria in the GB selection policy. That being said, the policy is sufficiently vague that she could well be selected but ultimately, I think Paris will come round too early for her.

 

On the question of Henderson, I don't make a comparison against Backstedt - I simply think that she will be selected for both road race and the time trial, and that she could sneak a medal. She was 4th at the worlds and 2nd at the Europeans so she has shown good form this year. 

 

 

[phelps 8,766]

1 hour ago, MagyarBabu said:

I played this game with a friend for the whole last month, so why not share results here.
 

 

DAY - 1
 

 

DIVING - Women's Syncro 3m Springboard

1.  China
2.  USA

3.  Great Britain

 

FENCING - Women's Ind. Epee

1.  A. Louis Marie
2.  M. Candassamy

3.  A. Kun

 

FENCING - Men's Ind. Sabre

 

1.  S. Bazadze

2.  B. Apithy
3.  Á. Szilágyi

JUDO - Women's -48kg

1.  S. Boukli

2.  W. Koga

3.  A. Scutto  A. Abuzhakynova

 

JUDO - Men's -60kg

 

1.  G. Sardalashvili

2.  H. Lee

3.  E. Ariunbold  D. Baratov

RUGBY 7

1.  New Zealand
2.  FIji
3.  Argentina

ROAD CYCLING - Women's Time Trial

1.  G.Brown

2.  D. Vollering

3.  A. Markus

 

ROAD CYCLING - Men's Time Trial

 

1.  R.Evenpoel

2.  S. Küng

3.  F. Ganna

 

SHOOTING - Air Rifle Mixed Team

 

1.  China 1
2.  China 2

3.  Iran

 

SKATEBOARDING - Men's Street

 

1.  A. Giraud

2.  N. Huston

3.  V. Milou

 

SWIMMING - Men's 400m Freestyle

 

1.  A. Hafnaoui

2.  S. Short

3.  E. Winnington

 

SWIMMING - Women's 400m Freestyle

 

1.  A. Titmus

2.  K. Ledecky
3.  S. McIntosh

 

SWIMMING - Women's 4x100 Freestyle

 

1.  Australia

2.  USA

3.  China

 

SWIMMING - Men's 4x100 Freestyle

1.  Great Britain

2.  Australia

3.  USA

 

 

 

 

 Koga it's (almost) impossible...Tsunoda has been already selected (unless she gets injured before the Games, of course)

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Day 2, Sun 28.07

 

15. ARCHERY - W Team

 

1. Korea Rep.

2. Germany

3. China

 

Korea back to where they belong.

 

16. CANOE SLALOM - W K1

 

1. Jessica Fox AUS

2. Klaudia Zwolińska POL

3. Eliska Mintalova SVK

 

First Polish medal in Paris. Jessica Fox is well ahead of the rest, but Klaudia gets her silver with a small time differences between other 5 athletes.

 

17. FENCING - M Epee Ind

 

1. Mate Tamas Koch HUN

2. Davide Di Veroli ITA

3. Romain Cannone FRA

 

First gold for Hungary, 2023 WCH results once again.

 

18. FENCING - W Foil Ind

 

1. Alice Volpi ITA

2. Lee Kiefer USA

3. Arianna Errigo ITA

 

Volpi gets a first gold in Italy but after much closer contest in the final vs Kiefer than expected.

 

19. JUDO - W -52kg

 

1. Uta Abe JPN

2. Amandine Buchard FRA

3. Diyora Keldiyorova UZB

3. Distria Krasniqi KOS

 

Uta Abe defends her olympic crown quite easily.

 

20. JUDO - M -66kg

 

1. Hifumi Abe JPN

2. Denis Vieru MDA

3. Walide Khyar FRA

3. An Ba-ul KOR

 

Abe family gets two golds one day yet again.

 

21. MOUNTAIN BIKE - W Cross-country

 

1. Pauline Ferrand-Prevot FRA

2. Puck Pieterse NED

3. Mona Mitterwallner AUT

 

Ferrand-Prevot gets gold only after great final lap for her.

 

22. SHOOTING - M Air Pistol

 

1. Damir Mikec SRB

2. Zhan Boweng CHN

3. Ismail Keles TUR

 

WCH 2023 1-2 reversed this time.

 

23. SHOOTING - W Air Pistol

 

1. Jiang Ranxin CHN

2. Anna Korakaki GRE

3. Olena Kostevych UKR

 

A first medal for Ukraine here!!! Klaudia Breś sadly 6th.

 

24. SKATEBOARDING - W Street

 

1. Rayssa Leal BRA

2. Momji Nisihiya JPN

3. Chloe Covell AUS

 

Brazil gets gold for one of their nicest athletes these days.

 

25. SWIMMING - M 400m IM

 

1. Leon Marchand FRA

2. Carson Foster USA

3. Daiya Seto JPN

 

French go mad as Marchand gets his 1st gold here.

 

26. SWIMMING - W 100m Fly

 

1. Torri Huske USA

2. Zhang Yufei CHN

3. Margaret Macneil CAN

 

All 3 medalists within 0.1 sec here. Last stroke is decisive, that's butterfly you know...

 

27. SWIMMING - M 100m Breast

 

1. Qin Haiyang CHN

2. Nicolo Martinenghi ITA

3. Arno Kamminga NED

 

Chinese well ahead.

Edited October 1, 2023 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,821]

My medal table after Day 2 (27 events)

 

4-2-2---8

4-1-3---8

4-1-2---7

4-1-1---6

2-6-1---9

1-4-3---8

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-1---2

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-2-1---3

0-2-1---3

0-1-1---2

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

 

 

Edited September 30, 2023 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Day 3, Mon, 29.07

 

28. ARCHERY - M Team

29. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - M Team

30. CANOE SLALOM - M C1

31. DIVING - M Synchro 10m Platform

32. EQUESTRIAN - Eventing Team

33. EQUESTRIAN - Eventing Individual

34. FENCING - M Foil Ind

35. FENCING - W Sabre Ind

36. JUDO - W -57kg

37. JUDO - M -73kg

38. MOUNTAIN BIKE - M Cross-country

39. SHOOTING - M Air Rifle

40. SHOOTING - W Air Rifle

41. SWIMMING - W 400m IM
42. SWIMMING - M 200m Free

43. SWIMMING - M 100m Back

44. SWIMMING - W 100m Breast

45. SWIMMING - W 200m Free

[rafalgorka 1,821]

@Josh any thoughts on Day 3?

 

@MagyarBabu any thoughts on Days 2 & 3???

[hckošice 16,641]

On 9/30/2023 at 4:55 PM, rafalgorka said:

16. CANOE SLALOM - W K1

 

1. Jessica Fox AUS

2. Klaudia Zwolińska POL

3. Eliska Mintalova SVK

 

First Polish medal in Paris. Jessica Fox is well ahead of the rest, but Klaudia gets her silver with a small time differences between other 5 athletes.

 

I would sign for that anytime obviously, but this sport is so even currently, results are within second(s) that any mistake, any stronger wind while crossing a gate, any stronger or smaller change of water literally at any part of the piste during the run can make the difference, the track setting for the semifinals and finals itself may be a big factor as it can be more favorable for one or another type of paddlers (more technical type, more strength paddler, left handed, right handed especially in Cannoe events) + home advantage is and always will be a advantageous factor for local paddlers who will have more chances to learn about the water specifications.

 

So all in all, predict anything in Canoe Slalom is a bit courageous, bold and highly .. let say speculative (but, yeah I would sign anytime for your prediction to happen )