Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

rafalgorka · October 11, 2023

Sure, nothing certain about Świątek. But I do hope you are wrong here.

This is W tennis anyway, so anything can happen.

Still I believe she can win this thing:

- it's on clay, she won RG 3 times before, we'll see how she plays in 2024 RG before the olympics,

- she will be focused on the olympics, she said many times before that this is an important tournament for her, her father was an olympian in Seoul in rowing (quadruple sculls) but they finished out of Final A (7th) and he was very dissapointed; when she lost to Badosa in Tokyo she was really disappointed, even crying on the court when the match ended.

But ofc:

- i believe this will be a tournament with majority of top players participating, i don't think many will skip it like it happened before, it's Paris, Roland Garros, maybe some players who are not good on clay will say no;

- even when she plays well at RG in June, it doesn't mean much - Radwańska was in Wimbledon final in 2012 and then she lost the 1st rd game against Julia Goerges; I love Aga, a big fan of her, probably I'm a bigger fan of Aga than Iga, but Aga seemed not to care about olympics too much, I still remember what she said in the interview after the match, she looked like she doesn't care;

- and sad thing is Iga refuses to play for Poland in the Fed Cup this season, which - if i remember correctly - is somehow mandatory when you want to play at the olympics (these rules are pretty complicated) but i hope she will be eligible to play in the end. She can be invited as the former Grand Slam champion, but i think it won't be necessary and Wozniacki will take this place.

Anyway, this is W tennis, this one can be won by a very random player.

Still, we don't have many bigger chances for gold in Paris than her (M volleyball, W speed sports climbing, M hammer throw (although it can be gold for CAN as you know)... so i hope you are wrong.

Edited October 11, 2023 by rafalgorka

rafalgorka · October 11, 2023

The same with M volleyball - nothing certain, even after such an awesome 2023 season for us. We can lose 6th QF in a row, obviously can happen, who knows.

W speed climbing - Ola Mirosław can beat WR after WR, but she can fail like in 2023 WCH SF.

M hammer throw - Nowicki will fight hard for a revenge after 2023 WCH loss, but Katzberg may be really strong again.

So we don't have anyone like Summer McIntosh, almost certain gold, in our team.

MagyarBabu · October 11, 2023

DAY 4 - July, 30th

ARTISTIC GYMNASTIC - Women's Team

1. :USA USA

2. :GBR Great Britain

3. :BRA Brazil

FENCING - Women's Team Epée

1. :FRA France

2. :POL Poland

3. :KOR R. of Korea

RUGBY SEVEN - Women

1. :FRA France

2. :NZL New Zealand

3. :AUS Australia

SHOOTING - Air Pistol Mixed Team

1. :GER Germany

2. :TUR Türkiye

2. :CHN China

JUDO - Women's -63kg

1. :FRA C. Agbegnenou

2. :HUN S. Özbas

3. :KOS L. Fazliu :JPN M. Horikawa

JUDO - Men's -81kg

1. :GEO T. Grigalashvili

2. :BEL M. Cassé

2. :AZE S. Mollaei :ISR S. Muki

SHOOTING - Men's Trap

1. :USA D.S. Mein

2. :ITA Any Italian athlete

2. :SLO R. Maček (biggest surprise of the Games)

TABLE TENNIS - Mixed Doubles

1. :CHN P.R. of China

2. :JPN Japan

3. :FRA France

SURFING - Women

1. :USA C. Moore

2. :FRA J. Defay

3. :AUS T. Wright

SURFING - Men

1. :BRA F. Toledo

2. :USA G. Colapinto

3. :PER L. Mesinas

SWIMMING - Women's 100m Backstroke

1. :AUS K. McKewon

2. :USA R. Smith

3. :USA K. Berkoff

SWIMMING - Men's 800m Freestyle

1. :TUN A. Hafnaoui

2. :AUS S. Short

3. :IRL D. Wiffen

SWIMMING - Men's 4x200 Freestyle

1. :USA USA

2. :GBR Great Britain

3. :FRA France

TRIATHLON - Men's Individual

1. :GBR A. Yee

2. :FRA L. Bergère

3. :POR V. Vilaça

Edited October 12, 2023 by MagyarBabu

MagyarBabu · October 11, 2023

MEDAL TABLE After DAY 4 (59/329)

:CHN CHN 9-4-3

:FRA FRA 8-6-6

:USA USA 6-11-6

:AUS AUS 5-5-4

:JPN JPN 5-5-1

:GBR GBR 3-4-5

:GEO GEO 3-0-0

:ITA ITA 2-2-5

:GER GER 2-2-2

:KOR KOR 2-1-1

:NZL NZL 2-1-0

:TUN TUN 2-0-0

:HUN HUN 1-3-2

:BRA BRA 1-1-2

:CAN CAN 1-1-2

:BEL BEL 1-1-0

:BUL BUL 1-0-1

:GRE GRE 1-0-1

:MGL MGL 1-0-1

:LTU LTU 1-0-0

:ROU ROU 1-0-0

:SVK SVK 1-0-0

:SUI SUI 0-2-0

:KOS KOS 0-1-2

:TUR TUR 0-1-2

:NED NED 0-1-1

:DEN DEN 0-1-0

:EGY EGY 0-1-0

:FIJ FIJ 0-1-0

:MEX MEX 0-1-0

:MDA MDA 0-1-0

:POL POL 0-1-0

:SRB SRB 0-1-0

:UZB UZB 0-0-3

:CZE CZE 0-0-2

:ISR ISR 0-0-2

:SLO SLO 0-0-2

:ARG ARG 0-0-1

:AZE AZE 0-0-1

:HKG HKG 0-0-1

:IND IND 0-0-1

:IRI IRI 0-0-1

:IRL IRL 0-0-1

:KAZ KAZ 0-0-1

:PER PER 0-0-1

:POR POR 0-0-1

:RSA RSA 0-0-1

:UKR UKR 0-0-1

rafalgorka · October 11, 2023

When we combine Josh, MagyarBabu and my Day 1 results together it may look like that (still hoping sb joins us here):

1st place - 3 pts, 2nd place - 2 pts, 3rd place - 1 pt.

Day 1 Sat 27.07

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

CHN - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

GBR - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

M Candassamy FRA - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 7

V Kong HKG - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

A Santuccio ITA - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

S Yiwen CHN - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

S Se-ra KOR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

A Louis Marie FRA - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Kun HUN - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

S Bazadze GEO - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

E Dershwitz USA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

A Szilagyi HUN - J 3 M 1 R 1 --- 5

B Apithy FRA - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

4. JUDO - W -48kg

N Tsunoda / W Koga JPN - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 8

A Scutto ITA - J 0 M 1 R 2 --- 3

S Boukli FRA - J 1 M 3 R 1 --- 5

M Nikolic SRB - J 2 M 0 R 1 --- 3

A Abuzhakynova KAZ - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

5. JUDO - M -60kg

R Nagayama / N Takato JPN - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

F Garrigos ESP - J 2 M 0 R 2 --- 4

D Baratov UZB - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

B Aghayev AZE - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

L Ha-rim KOR - J 1 M 2 R 0 --- 3

D Khalmatov UKR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

G Sardalashvili GEO - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Enkhtaivan MGL - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

R Evenepoel BEL - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

T Pogacar SLO - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

F Ganna ITA - J 2 M 1 R 1 --- 4

J Tarling GBR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

S Kung SUI - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

C Dygert USA - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

D Vollering NED - J 0 M 2 R 2 --- 4

G Brown AUS - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

M Reusser SUI - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

E van Dijk / A Markus NED - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

FIJ - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

NZL - J 3 M 3 R 2 --- 8

ARG - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

AUS - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

CHN 1 - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

IND - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

IRI - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

KOR - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

CHN 2 - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

A Giraud FRA - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

N Huston USA - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

G Ribeiro POR - J 0 M 0 R 1--- 1

Y Horigome JPN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

V Milou FRA - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

A Hafnaoui TUN - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S Short AUS - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

L Martens GER - J 1 M 0 R 1 --- 2

E Winnington AUS - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

A Titmus AUS - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S McIntosh CAN - J 3 M 1 R 2 --- 6

K Ledecky USA - J 1 M 2 R 1 --- 4

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

AUS - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

CHN - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

AUS - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

ITA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

GBR - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

USA - J 3 M 1 R 0 --- 4

Jinzha · October 11, 2023

5 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

@Jinzha good for you!!!

and what are the biggest Dutch medal chances on days 1-5???

I'd say the medal chances to look forward to so far for :NED are:

Day 1 - Ellen van Dijk and Demi Vollering (W individual time trial)

Day 2 - Puck Pieterse (W cross-country), Arno Kamminga (M 100m breast)

Day 3 - no big chances, but potentially Archery men team, Mathieu van der Poel (M cross-country), Maikel van der Vleuten (jumping), Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)

Day 4 - Joanne van Lieshout (Judo W -63 kg)

Day 5 - Sanne van Dijke (Judo W -70 kg), Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free), men & women quadruple sculls

MagyarBabu · October 12, 2023

DAY 5, July 31st

ARTISTIC GYMNASTIC - Men's Ind. All-Around

1. :CHN B. Zhang

2. :JPN D. Hashimoto

3. :UKR I. Kovtun

CANOE SLALOM - Women's C1

1. :CZE ???G. Satková???

2. :AUS J. Fox

3. :GER ???E. Lilik???

CYCLING BMX - Women's Freestyle

1. :USA H. Roberts

2. :CHN S. Sun

3. :CHN H. Zhou

CYCLING BMX - Men's Freestyle

1. :JPN R. Nakamura

2. :AUS L. Martin

3. :FRA A. Jeanjean

FENCING - Men's Team Sabre

1. :HUN Hungary

2. :KOR R. of Korea

3. :ITA Italy

DIVING - Women's 10m Syncro Platform

1. :CHN P.R. of China

2. :USA USA

3. :GBR Great Britain

JUDO - Women's -70kg

1. :CRO L. Cvjetko

2. :JPN S. Niizoe

3. :GER M. Butkereit :GRE E. Teltsidou

JUDO - Men's -90kg

1. :GEO L. Maisuradze

2. :UZB D. Bobonov

3. :BRA R. Macedo :AZE M. Fatiyev

SHOOTING - Women's Trap

1. :ESP F. Gálvez

2. :SVK Z. Rehák-Štefečeková

3. :TPE C. Lin Yi

TRIATHLON - Women's Individual

1. :GBR B. Potter

2. :GBR G. Taylor-Brown

3. :FRA C. Beaugrand

ROWING - Women's Quadruple Scull

1. :GBR Great Britain

2. :NED Netherlands

3. :SUI Switzerland

ROWING - Men's Quadruple Scull

1. :POL Poland

2. :NED Netherlands

3. :ITA Italy

SWIMMING - Women's 100m Freestyle

1. :AUS M. O'Callaghan

2. :SWE S. Sjöström

3. :HKG S. Haughey

SWIMMING - Men's 200m Butterfly

1. :HUN K. Milák

2. :FRA L. Marchand

3. :POL K. Chmielewski

SWIMMING - Men's 200m Breastroke

1. :CHN H. Qin

2. :AUS Z. Stubblety-Cook

3. :CHN Z. Dong

SWIMMING - Women's 1500m Freestyle

1. :USA K. Ledecky

2. :CHN B. Li

3. :ITA S. Quadarella

SWIMMING - Men's 100m Freestyle

1. :ROU D. Popovici

2. :USA J. Alexy

3. :GBR M. Richards

Edited October 12, 2023 by MagyarBabu

MagyarBabu · October 12, 2023

MEDAL TABLE After Day 5 (76/329)

:CHN CHN 12-6-3

:USA USA 8-13-6

:FRA FRA 8-7-8

:AUS AUS 6-8-4

:JPN JPN 6-7-1

:GBR GBR 5-5-7

:GEO GEO 4-0-0

:HUN HUN 3-3-2

:ITA ITA 2-2-8

:GER GER 2-2-4

:KOR KOR 2-2-1

:NZL NZL 2-1-0

:ROU ROU 2-0-0

:TUN TUN -

:BRA BRA 1-1-3

:CAN CAN 1-1-2

:POL POL 1-1-1

:BEL BEL 1-1-0

:SVK SVK -

:CZE CZE 1-0-2

:GRE GRE -

:BUL BUL 1-0-1

:MGL MGL -

:CRO CRO 1-0-0

:LTU LTU -

:ESP ESP -

:NED NED 0-3-1

:SUI SUI 0-2-1

:UZB UZB 0-1-3

:KOS KOS 0-1-2

:TUR TUR -

:DEN DEN 0-1-0

:EGY EGY -

:FIJ FIJ -

:MEX MEX -

:MDA MDA -

:SRB SRB -

:SWE SWE -

:AZE AZE 0-0-2

:HKG HKG -

:ISR ISR -

:SLO SLO -

:UKR UKR -

:ARG ARG 0-0-1

:TPE TPE -

:IND IND -

:IRI IRI -

:IRL IRL -

:KAZ KAZ -

:PER PER -

:POR POR -

:RSA RSA -

Prakash_k · October 12, 2023

20 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

When we combine Josh, MagyarBabu and my Day 1 results together it may look like that (still hoping sb joins us here):

1st place - 3 pts, 2nd place - 2 pts, 3rd place - 1 pt.

Day 1 Sat 27.07

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

CHN - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

GBR - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

M Candassamy FRA - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 7

V Kong HKG - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

A Santuccio ITA - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

S Yiwen CHN - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

S Se-ra KOR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

A Louis Marie FRA - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Kun HUN - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

S Bazadze GEO - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

E Dershwitz USA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

A Szilagyi HUN - J 3 M 1 R 1 --- 5

B Apithy FRA - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

4. JUDO - W -48kg

N Tsunoda / W Koga JPN - J 3 M 2 R 3 --- 8

A Scutto ITA - J 0 M 1 R 2 --- 3

S Boukli FRA - J 1 M 3 R 1 --- 5

M Nikolic SRB - J 2 M 0 R 1 --- 3

A Abuzhakynova KAZ - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

5. JUDO - M -60kg

R Nagayama / N Takato JPN - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

F Garrigos ESP - J 2 M 0 R 2 --- 4

D Baratov UZB - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

B Aghayev AZE - J 0 M 0 R 1 --- 1

L Ha-rim KOR - J 1 M 2 R 0 --- 3

D Khalmatov UKR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

G Sardalashvili GEO - J 0 M 3 R 0 --- 3

A Enkhtaivan MGL - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

R Evenepoel BEL - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

T Pogacar SLO - J 0 M 0 R 2 --- 2

F Ganna ITA - J 2 M 1 R 1 --- 4

J Tarling GBR - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

S Kung SUI - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

C Dygert USA - J 3 M 0 R 3 --- 6

D Vollering NED - J 0 M 2 R 2 --- 4

G Brown AUS - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

M Reusser SUI - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

E van Dijk / A Markus NED - J 1 M 1 R 0 --- 2

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

FIJ - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

NZL - J 3 M 3 R 2 --- 8

ARG - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

AUS - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

CHN 1 - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

IND - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

IRI - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

KOR - J 2 M 0 R 0 --- 2

CHN 2 - J 0 M 2 R 0 --- 2

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

A Giraud FRA - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

N Huston USA - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

G Ribeiro POR - J 0 M 0 R 1--- 1

Y Horigome JPN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

V Milou FRA - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

A Hafnaoui TUN - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S Short AUS - J 3 M 2 R 2 --- 7

L Martens GER - J 1 M 0 R 1 --- 2

E Winnington AUS - J 0 M 1 R 0 --- 1

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

A Titmus AUS - J 2 M 3 R 3 --- 8

S McIntosh CAN - J 3 M 1 R 2 --- 6

K Ledecky USA - J 1 M 2 R 1 --- 4

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

AUS - J 3 M 3 R 3 --- 9

USA - J 2 M 2 R 2 --- 6

CHN - J 0 M 1 R 1 --- 2

CAN - J 1 M 0 R 0 --- 1

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

AUS - J 2 M 2 R 3 --- 7

ITA - J 1 M 0 R 2 --- 3

GBR - J 0 M 3 R 1 --- 4

USA - J 3 M 1 R 0 --- 4

Hoping for overall 3-4 medal for india in shooting.

rafalgorka · October 12, 2023

@MagyarBabu a gold for Poland in M Quadruple Sculls would be nice but i don't know how much possible it is...

Tokyo olympics 1. NED 2. GBR 3. AUS 4. POL

ECH 2022 1. ITA 2. POL 3. ROU

WCH 2022 1. POL 2. GBR 3. ITA

ECH 2023 1. POL 2. NED 3. ITA

WCH 2023 1. NED 2. ITA 3. POL

We will see... Hope you are right and I have underestimated them predicting only bronze here

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