Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

[rafalgorka 1,567]

Day by Day predictions, probably all wrong.

[rafalgorka 1,567]

Day 1 Sat 27.07

 

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

4. JUDO - W -48kg

5. JUDO - M -60kg

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

 

 

[rafalgorka 1,567]

Any ideas, folks?

[rafalgorka 1,567]

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

 

1. China

2. United States

3. Great Britain

 

Similar results to 2023 WCH, but this time USA will be able to repeat their qualifying score in the final

 

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

 

1. Marie-Florence Candassamy FRA

2. Vivian Kong HKG

3. Alberta Santuccio ITA

 

Candassamy, current World Champion and no. 1 in world rankings, winning gold on home soil in style. Allez Les Bleus!

 

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

 

1. Sandro Bazadze GEO

2. Eli Dershwitz USA

3. Aron Szilagyi HUN

 

Bazadze making revenge for the 2023 WCH final

 

4. JUDO - W -48kg

 

1. Natsumi Tsunoda JPN

2. Assunta Scutto ITA

3. Shirine Boukli FRA

3. Milica Nikolic SRB

 

Tsunoda coming from behind with an ippon in the final seconds, a final for the ages

 

5. JUDO - M -60kg

 

1. Ryuju Nagayama JPN

2. Francisco Garrigos ESP

3. Dilshodbek Baratov UZB

3. Balabay Aghayev AZE

 

2nd gold for JPN, Nagayama instead of Takato in the olympic tournament turns out to be a good choice

 

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

 

1. Remco Evenepoel BEL

2. Tadej Pogacar SLO

3. Filippo Ganna ITA

 

Day 1 is pretty good for current World Champions, so Evenepoel gets gold as well. But it is very close race, all three medalists within 15 seconds

 

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

 

1. Chloe Dygert USA

2. Demi Vollering NED

3. Grace Brown AUS

 

First gold of the games for Team USA

 

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

 

1. Fiji

2. New Zealand

3. Argentina

 

Aaaaand Fiji wins again, never underestimate the heart of the champion, they say... Ireland 4th after last-minute try by Argentina

 

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

 

1. China

2. India

3. Iran

 

Iran hard-won bronze against hosts

 

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

 

1. Aurelien Giraud FRA

2. Nyjah Huston USA

3. Gustavo Ribeiro POR

 

And 2nd gold for France on Day 1, no surprise here as well

 

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

 

1. Ahmed Hafnaoui TUN

2. Samuel Short AUS

3. Lukas Martens GER

 

This time Tunisia gets gold from Lane 4, not 8

 

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

 

1. Ariarne Titmus AUS

2. Katie Ledecky USA

3. Summer McIntosh CAN

 

McIntosh gets her first medal here, much better race for her than 2023 WCH

 

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

 

1. Australia

2. United States

3. China

 

Aussies with WR, obviously

 

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

 

1. Australia

2. Italy

3. Great Britain

 

Chalmers denying Ceccon by 0,01 sec. GBR didn't get DSQ this time. But US did.

 

[dullard 702]

@rafalgorka I think the only way Australia wins the men's 4x100 again is if McEvoy translates his 50 success into  a 100 that's deep in the 47 zone and I don't see Ledecky beating McIntosh again.

[rafalgorka 1,567]

Medal table after Day 1 (14 events)

 

3-1-1---5

2-0-1---3

2-0-1---3

2-0-0---2

1-5-0---6

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-2-2---4

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

 

 

 

 

 

 

[rafalgorka 1,567]

Ok, so day 1 is done and dusted.

 

I am very interested in your comments, predictions, thoughts and critics.

 

 

But please remember:

 

1. i am doing this just for FUN, this is just a joke and i don't have much time for some research so it will be pretty random

2. i am obviously not an expert in any olympic sports and i don't know much about 75% of olympic sports, either so I will focus on the recent WCH results, world rankings and some personal sympathies

3. please please - don't be too harsh on other users in the comments here

 

Now i will wait if anyone wants to join this thing with his/her own predictions and i will do Day 2 when I find some free time

Edited September 24, 2023 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,567]

17 minutes ago, dullard said:

@rafalgorka I think the only way Australia wins the men's 4x100 again is if McEvoy translates his 50 success into  a 100 that's deep in the 47 zone and I don't see Ledecky beating McIntosh again.

Thanks for your comment! You are probably right.

 

My explaination for 2. Ledecky 3. McIntosh would be: Ledecky uses her experience in the final, not chasing Titmus too hard from the beginning and concentrating on beating the Canadian. And McIntosh will be nervous as hell, not as much as in the 2023 WCH final but still... Fortunately, this time she gets bronze. But no worries - SPOILERS ALERT - McIntosh will not leave my Imaginary Paris olympics without gold... :-)

 

Gold for AUS in 4x100m relay - because Chalmers won't be too far away when he starts the anchor leg and he will do his magic trick again...

 

Anyway, Aussies on the top of the medal table after Day One. Congrats!

 

Best result for POL - hmmm.. 5th place in Mixed 10m Air Rifle Shooting event...

Edited September 24, 2023 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,567]

Coming next on Day 2, Sun 28.07

 

15. ARCHERY - W Team

16. CANOE SLALOM - W K1

17. FENCING - M Epee Ind

18. FENCING - W Foil Ind

19. JUDO - W -52kg

20. JUDO - M -66kg

21. MOUNTAIN BIKE - W Cross-country

22. SHOOTING - M Air Pistol

23. SHOOTING - W Air Pistol

24. SKATEBOARDING - W Street

25. SWIMMING - M 400m IM

26. SWIMMING - W 100m Fly

27. SWIMMING - M 100m Breast

 

[rafalgorka 1,567]

@dullard can you please remind me this Italian swimming site with all the top lists and stats, I somehow lost it...