Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

1 minute ago, Benolympique said:

do you have the detailed list?

No - trying to piece it together from various global media sources but it's a pain that nobody has published the full list

[De_Gambassi 1,267]

1 hour ago, Rafa Maciel said:

No - trying to piece it together from various global media sources but it's a pain that nobody has published the full list

Here is the full list of the 54 japanese medals

 

https://news.ntv.co.jp/category/sports/68bc9a23fe294799867c44d13e8bf7d6

 

 

By the magic of Google translate :

 

 

Spoiler

■ Gold medal predictions for Japan

・Athletics: Men's 20km race walk, Toshikazu Yamanishi
・Badminton: Women's singles, Akane Yamaguchi
・BMX Freestyle: Men's Park Rinmu
Nakamura・Breaking : Women's Ami Yuasa
・Fencing: Women's Misaki Emura Women's 52kg class Uta Abe /Judo Men's 66kg class Hifumi Abe /Judo Women's 70kg class Saki Niizoe /Judo Mixed team /Wrestling Women's 50kg class Yui Suzaki

■ Japan's silver medal predictions

・Athletics: Men's 20km Race Walk: Kouki Ikeda
・Athletics: Mixed Team Race Walk
・Badminton: Mixed Doubles: Arisa Higashino/Yuta Watanabe Pair
・Bicycle/Track : Keirin:
Mizuna Sato
Group
/Gymnastics Men's Group
/Trampoline Women's Hikaru Mori
/Judo Women's 48kg class Natsumi Tsunoda
/Judo Women's 57kg
class Haruka Funakubo/Judo Women's 63kg class Megumi Horikawa
/Judo Men's 90kg class Sanshiro Murao
/Skateboard Women's park Sakura Yosozumi
/Skateboard Women's Street
: Tomoe Nishiya, Surfing Men's Kanoa Igarashi
, Swimming Women's 100m Breaststroke Reo Aoki
, Swimming Men's 200m Butterfly Akari Honda,
Swimming Women's 200m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi,
Table Tennis Mixed Doubles
, Table Tennis Women's Team
, Wrestling Women's 62kg Ozakino Noka

■ Japan's bronze medal forecast

・Athletics Women's Javelin Throw Shinka Kitaguchi
・Basketball Women
・Breaking Men Shigeyuki Nakarai
・
Breaking Women Ayumi Fukushima
・Diving Men's High Diving Rikuto Tamai
Fencing Men's Kazuyasu Minobu
/Gymnastics Women's Balance Beam Hazuki Watanabe
/Judo Women's 78kg class Teru Sone
/Judo Men's 60kg class Naohisa Takafuji
/Judo Men's 81kg class Takanori
Nagase/Skateboarding Women's Park Kaishinna
/Skateboard Women's Street Nakayama Maple
Swimming Women's 400m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi Table Tennis Men 's
Singles Tomokazu Harimoto Table Tennis Women's
Singles Hina Hayata Table Tennis
Men's Team
Wrestling Women's 53kg Akari
Fujinami Wrestling Women's 57kg Tsugumi
Sakurai Wrestling Women's 68kg Ami Ishii
Men's wrestling Greco-Roman 60kg Kenichiro Fumita

 

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

12 minutes ago, De_Gambassi said:

Here is the full list of the 54 japanese medals

 

https://news.ntv.co.jp/category/sports/68bc9a23fe294799867c44d13e8bf7d6

 

 

By the magic of Google translate :

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

■ Gold medal predictions for Japan

・Athletics: Men's 20km race walk, Toshikazu Yamanishi
・Badminton: Women's singles, Akane Yamaguchi
・BMX Freestyle: Men's Park Rinmu
Nakamura・Breaking : Women's Ami Yuasa
・Fencing: Women's Misaki Emura Women's 52kg class Uta Abe /Judo Men's 66kg class Hifumi Abe /Judo Women's 70kg class Saki Niizoe /Judo Mixed team /Wrestling Women's 50kg class Yui Suzaki

■ Japan's silver medal predictions

・Athletics: Men's 20km Race Walk: Kouki Ikeda
・Athletics: Mixed Team Race Walk
・Badminton: Mixed Doubles: Arisa Higashino/Yuta Watanabe Pair
・Bicycle/Track : Keirin:
Mizuna Sato
Group
/Gymnastics Men's Group
/Trampoline Women's Hikaru Mori
/Judo Women's 48kg class Natsumi Tsunoda
/Judo Women's 57kg
class Haruka Funakubo/Judo Women's 63kg class Megumi Horikawa
/Judo Men's 90kg class Sanshiro Murao
/Skateboard Women's park Sakura Yosozumi
/Skateboard Women's Street
: Tomoe Nishiya, Surfing Men's Kanoa Igarashi
, Swimming Women's 100m Breaststroke Reo Aoki
, Swimming Men's 200m Butterfly Akari Honda,
Swimming Women's 200m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi,
Table Tennis Mixed Doubles
, Table Tennis Women's Team
, Wrestling Women's 62kg Ozakino Noka

■ Japan's bronze medal forecast

・Athletics Women's Javelin Throw Shinka Kitaguchi
・Basketball Women
・Breaking Men Shigeyuki Nakarai
・
Breaking Women Ayumi Fukushima
・Diving Men's High Diving Rikuto Tamai
Fencing Men's Kazuyasu Minobu
/Gymnastics Women's Balance Beam Hazuki Watanabe
/Judo Women's 78kg class Teru Sone
/Judo Men's 60kg class Naohisa Takafuji
/Judo Men's 81kg class Takanori
Nagase/Skateboarding Women's Park Kaishinna
/Skateboard Women's Street Nakayama Maple
Swimming Women's 400m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi Table Tennis Men 's
Singles Tomokazu Harimoto Table Tennis Women's
Singles Hina Hayata Table Tennis
Men's Team
Wrestling Women's 53kg Akari
Fujinami Wrestling Women's 57kg Tsugumi
Sakurai Wrestling Women's 68kg Ami Ishii
Men's wrestling Greco-Roman 60kg Kenichiro Fumita

 

So by my tally, we've got the full medal breakdowns for , ,  and gold medalists for 

[OlympicsFan 860]

2 hours ago, De_Gambassi said:

Here is the full list of the 54 japanese medals

 

https://news.ntv.co.jp/category/sports/68bc9a23fe294799867c44d13e8bf7d6

 

 

By the magic of Google translate :

 

 

  Hide contents

■ Gold medal predictions for Japan

・Athletics: Men's 20km race walk, Toshikazu Yamanishi
・Badminton: Women's singles, Akane Yamaguchi
・BMX Freestyle: Men's Park Rinmu
Nakamura・Breaking : Women's Ami Yuasa
・Fencing: Women's Misaki Emura Women's 52kg class Uta Abe /Judo Men's 66kg class Hifumi Abe /Judo Women's 70kg class Saki Niizoe /Judo Mixed team /Wrestling Women's 50kg class Yui Suzaki

■ Japan's silver medal predictions

・Athletics: Men's 20km Race Walk: Kouki Ikeda
・Athletics: Mixed Team Race Walk
・Badminton: Mixed Doubles: Arisa Higashino/Yuta Watanabe Pair
・Bicycle/Track : Keirin:
Mizuna Sato
Group
/Gymnastics Men's Group
/Trampoline Women's Hikaru Mori
/Judo Women's 48kg class Natsumi Tsunoda
/Judo Women's 57kg
class Haruka Funakubo/Judo Women's 63kg class Megumi Horikawa
/Judo Men's 90kg class Sanshiro Murao
/Skateboard Women's park Sakura Yosozumi
/Skateboard Women's Street
: Tomoe Nishiya, Surfing Men's Kanoa Igarashi
, Swimming Women's 100m Breaststroke Reo Aoki
, Swimming Men's 200m Butterfly Akari Honda,
Swimming Women's 200m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi,
Table Tennis Mixed Doubles
, Table Tennis Women's Team
, Wrestling Women's 62kg Ozakino Noka

■ Japan's bronze medal forecast

・Athletics Women's Javelin Throw Shinka Kitaguchi
・Basketball Women
・Breaking Men Shigeyuki Nakarai
・
Breaking Women Ayumi Fukushima
・Diving Men's High Diving Rikuto Tamai
Fencing Men's Kazuyasu Minobu
/Gymnastics Women's Balance Beam Hazuki Watanabe
/Judo Women's 78kg class Teru Sone
/Judo Men's 60kg class Naohisa Takafuji
/Judo Men's 81kg class Takanori
Nagase/Skateboarding Women's Park Kaishinna
/Skateboard Women's Street Nakayama Maple
Swimming Women's 400m Individual Medley Yui Ohashi Table Tennis Men 's
Singles Tomokazu Harimoto Table Tennis Women's
Singles Hina Hayata Table Tennis
Men's Team
Wrestling Women's 53kg Akari
Fujinami Wrestling Women's 57kg Tsugumi
Sakurai Wrestling Women's 68kg Ami Ishii
Men's wrestling Greco-Roman 60kg Kenichiro Fumita

 

Crazy swimming predictions ...

Silver for Aoki?

Silver and bronze for Ohashi?

At this point i don't really see them winning more than 1 medal, but we will see.

Edited July 30, 2023 by OlympicsFan

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

 Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - August 2023 

 

 

Gracenote have released their updated VMT for August:

 

NOC	Gold	Silver	Bronze	Total	Change Since July
	35	44	47	126	Down 2 medals overall with 8 less golds
	31	20	24	75	Up 7 medals overall with 5 more golds
	31	16	11	58	Down 5 medals overall with 1 less gold
	18	24	23	65	Up 3 medals overall with 3 extra golds
	16	18	15	49	Up 7 medals overall with 4 more golds
	14	18	16	48	Up 3 medals overall with 6 less golds
	14	10	14	38	Down 3 medals overall with 1 more gold
	12	15	28	55	1 more medal overall - no change in gold, 6 less silver and 7 more bronze
	10	4	9	23	Down 1 medal overall with 1 more gold
	9	12	11	32	3 less medals overall with 1 less gold

 

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

 Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - October 2023 

 

 

Gracenote have released their updated VMT as at the end of October:

 

NOC	Gold	Silver	Bronze	Total	Change Since Last Release
	38	44	45	127	Up 1 medal overall with 3 additional golds
	31	20	24	75	No change in total medal number. 2 additional golds with 2 less bronze
	27	17	11	53	Down 5 medals overall. Gold medals drop by 4. Silver medals are up 1 and bronze medals down by 2.
	17	22	26	65	Total remains the same, but gold medals drop by 1 and silvers drop by 2.
	16	9	13	38	No change to total medals but gold medals are up by 2.
	15	17	17	49	Total remains the same - gold and silver medals both down by 1.
	15	15	26	56	Gains 1 medal overall. Projected to win an additional 3 gold medals.
	13	15	20	48	No change to total medal total. Gold medals drop by 1 whilst silver drops by 3.
	10	14	13	37	Projected to win 5 additional medals overall including 1 additional gold medal and 2 silvers.
	7	7	9	23	No change to the overall number of medals but projection drops 3 gold medals down to silver

 

Since the initial release in July, both  and  have shed 5 gold medals, whilst  have picked up 5 golds.  are up 2 golds since July whilst  are up 3. 

 

Bracing myself for the potential backlash... but  gold medals are dwindling away - down 7 since July. 

 

[Fly_like_a_don 1,142]

Is there any conplete medal tally predictions of event by event one

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

3 hours ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

Is there any conplete medal tally predictions of event by event one

Not that I've been able to find.

 

Gracenote just publish the medal numbers. Some media outlets had published the full predictions for specific countries, but not many of them. Hopefully more details will be available next year as they get closer to the games.

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

 Nielsen's Gracenote Virtual Medal Table - November 2023 

 

 

Gracenote have released their updated VMT as at the end of November:

 

NOC	Gold	Silver	Bronze	Total	Change Since Last Release
	37	45	44	126	Down 1 medal overall
	35	25	18	78	Up 3 medals in total. 4 additional golds and 5 additional silvers offset by 6 fewer bronze medals
	27	15	9	51	Down 2 silver medals.
	17	24	25	66	Up 1 overall. Total silver increase to 24 whilst bronze total drops to 25.
	16	9	12	37	Down 1 bronze medal.
	15	17	18	50	Gain of 1 bronze medal.
	15	13	30	58	Gains 2 medals overall.
	13	14	22	49	Gains 1 medal overall.
	10	13	15	38	Gains 1 medal overall - dropping a silver and picking up 2 bronze.
	7	7	9	23	No change.

No major movement in the predictions this month.

[OlympicsFan 860]

My own predictions for Germany:

30-32 medals