Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[LDOG 2,468]

These projections are always inflated for the big european nations. 

[Vektor 3,326]

The funny thing is... 4 gold, 6 silver and 6 bronze isn't a terrible projection for . I mean, it does seem like a repeat of Tokyo with slightly less medals, but that's plausible IF they assume that Milák will return. 

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

 20th Place on Table with 13 Medals

 

 

Medal Predictions:

 

Gold: 4

Natalie Thiam - Athletics: Heptathlon

Remco Evenepoel - Road Cycling: Men's Time Trial

Lotte Kopecky - Road Cycling: Women's Road Race

Lotte Kopecky/Shari Bossuyt - Track Cycling: Women's Madison (NB Bossuyt currently suspended on doping violation)

 

Silver: 5

Men's Hockey Team

Nina Derwael - Artistic Gymnastics: Women's Uneven Bars

Matthias Casse - Judo: Men's -81Kg

Men's Relay - Athletics: 4x400m Relay

Emma Plasschaert - Sailing: Laser Radial

 

Bronze: 4

Wout van Aert - Cycling: Men's Road Race

Eventing Team

Show Jumping Team

Sarah Chaari - Taekwondo: Women's -67Kg

Edited July 27, 2023 by Rafa Maciel

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

 5th Place on Table with 54 Medals

 

Gold: 12

Hifume Abe - Judo: Men's -66Kg

Uta Abe - Judo: Women's -52Kg

Saki Niizoe - Judo: Women's -70Kg

Judo Team Event

Ami Yuasa - Breaking: Women's Breaking

Daiki Hashimoto - Artistic Gymnastics: Men's Individual All Around

Daiki Hashimoto - Artistic Gymnastics: Men's Horizontal Bar

Rim Nakamura - BMX Cycling: Men's Freestyle

Toshikazu Yamanishi - Athletics: Men's 20km Racewalk

Yui Susaki - Wrestling: Women's Freestyle 50Kg

 

Silver: 21

 

Bronze: 21

Ayumi Fukushima - Breaking: Women's

Shigeyuki Nakarai - Breaking: Men's

Edited July 30, 2023 by Rafa Maciel

[Josh 11,510]

10 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

 20th Place on Table with 13 Medals

 

 

Medal Predictions:

 

Gold: 4

Natalie Thiam - Athletics: Heptathlon

Remco Evenepoel - Road Cycling: Men's Time Trial

Lotte Kopecky - Road Cycling: Women's Road Race

Lotte Kopecky/Shari Bossuyt - Track Cycling: Women's Madison (NB Bossuyt currently suspended on doping violation)

 

Silver: 5

Men's Hockey Team

Nina Derwael - Artistic Gymnastics: Women's Uneven Bars

Matthias Casse - Judo: Men's -81Kg

Men's Relay - Athletics: 4x400m Relay

Emma Plasschaert - Sailing: Laser Radial

 

Bronze: 4

Wout van Aert - Cycling: Men's Road Race

Eventing Team

Show Jumping Team

Sarah Chaari - Taekwondo: Women's -67Kg

It's actually Nafi* 

[LDOG 2,468]

Are those your own predictions or what? 

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

4 minutes ago, Josh said:

It's actually Nafi* 

I go with the font of athletics knowledge in the UK - the BBC talking heads and they called her Natalie 

[Rafa Maciel 1,658]

4 minutes ago, LDOG said:

Are those your own predictions or what? 

Definitely not mine - they are from Gracenote Nielsen. They release a virtual medal table for every Olympic and with it being a year until Paris, this is their initial projections. Normally they will release a new version each month in the run up to the games. 

[PatyOlympic 43]

The battle for the 10th spot at the medal table will be wild between South Korea, Canada, Brazil, Spain (and maybeee Hungary or Turkey?). But I think Canada, South Korea and Brazil are the favorites to achieve this achievement. 

 

According to Grace Note projection:

 

 9 Gold - 6 Silver - 9 Bronze - 24 Total

 8 Gold - 7 Silver - 14 Bronze - 29 Total

 7 Gold - 4 Silver - 15 Bronze - 26 Total

 4 Gold - 7 Silver - 10 Bronze - 21 Total

 

But honestly, I don't see 29 medals coming for maybe somewhere between 20 and 25 medals.

Edited July 27, 2023 by PatyOlympic

[JoshMartini007 2,765]

4 hours ago, LDOG said:

These projections are always inflated for the big european nations. 

Their predictions are based on previous results, richer nations tend to compete more often in world cups/series events so their rankings are inflated.