LDOG 2,197 Posted March 21, 2023 #71 Share Posted March 21, 2023 10 hours ago, Josh said: Back in August 2022 I made predictions on which events Team Canada would qualify in (Totally unrealistic ), but since Olympic Qualification has really been ramping up recently I’ve decided to do an in-depth updated version. If any of you disagree with any of this, then please reply with changes you would make. Canada (T: 339-372 athletes) Archery (2) - Crispin Duenas hasn’t competed since the Tokyo Olympics. If he’s gonna make a run for Paris (Crazily enough his 5th straight Olympics if he can qualify) then I have him securing a quota, otherwise it’ll probably go to Eric Peters. Stephanie Barrett is a safe bet for a quota on the women’s side. Athletics (64) - Men’s Events (25) 100m - Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown, Jerome Blake 200m - Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown, Jerome Blake 800m - Marco Arop, Brandon McBride 1500m - William Paulson, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot, Cameron Proceviat 5000m - Justyn Knight, Mo Ahmed, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot 10000m - Mo Ahmed Marathon - Cam Levins, Rory Linkletter, Ben Priesner/Trevor Hofbauer 400m Hurdles - Malik Metivier 3000m Steeplechase - John Gay, Matthew Hughes, Ryan Smeeton High Jump - Django Lovett Hammer Throw - Adam Keenan, Ethan Katzburg, Rowan Hamilton 4x100m Relay - Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown, Brendon Rodney, Jerome Blake Decathlon - Pierce LePage, Damian Warner 20km Race Walk - Evan Dunfee Women’s Events (39) 100m - Khamica Bingham, Crystal Emmanuel 200m - Natassha McDonald, Lauren Gale 400m - Natassha McDonald, Kyra Constantine 800m - Lindsay Butterworth, Madeline Kelly, Savannah Sutherland/Jazz Shukla/Melissa Bishop-Nriagu 1500m - Gabriella De-Bues Stafford, Lucia Stafford 5000m - Julie-Ann Staehli, Kate Van Buskirk, Andrea Seccafien 10000m - Andrea Seccafien, Leslie Sexton 100m Hurdles - Michelle Harrison, Mariam Abdul-Rashid 400m Hurdles- Noelle Montcalm, Sage Watson 3000m Steeplechase- Regan Yee, Ceili McCabe, Genevieve Lalonde Marathon- Malindi Elmore, Natascha Wodak, Dayna Pidhoresky Pole Vault- Alysha Newman, Anicka Newell Long Jump- Christabel Nettey Triple Jump- Mikeisha Welcome Shot Put- Sarah Mitton, Brittany Crew Discus Throw- Trinity Tutti Hammer Throw- Camryn Rogers, Jillian Weir Javelin Throw- Elizabeth Gleadle Heptathlon- Georgia Ellenwood/Nicole Ostertag 4x400m Relay- Kyra Constantine, Sage Watson, Natassha McDonald, Aiyanna Stiverne (A few of Madeline Price, Micha Powell, Alicia Brown for heats) Artistic Swimming (8) - Unlike last Olympics I don’t have us securing qualification at the 2023 Pan-Am Games as United States have surpassed us in terms of recent success. Still I think we can qualify at the 2024 World Championships. Badminton (8) - Michelle Li in women’s singles. Brian Yang in men’s singles. Rachel Honderich/Kristen Tsai in women’s doubles. Adam Dong/Nyl Yakura in men’s doubles. Ty Lindeman/Josephine Wu in mixed doubles Given the tough selection criteria, top 16 (singles), top 8 (doubles) the only semi-realistic chance at qualifying a second berth would be Wendy Zhang. Don’t see it happening. Basketball (28) - With Argentina not qualifying for the 2023 FIBA World Cup, its highly likely that we’ll get the second Americas spot (Behind United States) for Paris 2024. Women’s 3x3 team was dominant last year, and is a safe bet to qualify. Our women’s team will probably qualify too. Beach Volleyball (4-6) - Brandie/Melissa and Pavan/Bukovec in the women’s tournament. Maybe Schacter/Dearing through the NORCECA Olympic Qualification Tournament?? It’s all dependant on whether United States qualifies their two pairs through the world rankings. Boxing (5) - Tammara Thibeault- Women’s 75kg Charlie Cavanaugh- Women’s 66kg Priyanka Dhillon- Women’s 50kg Scarlett Delgado- Women’s 54kg Caroline Veyre- Women’s 57kg I’m predicting no male athletes will qualify this time with Keoma-Ali Al-Ahmadieh (Men’s 57kg) and Wyatt Sanford (Men’s 63.5kg) just missing out. Breaking (1-2) - Phil Wizard is of the worlds best b-boys he should qualify. Tiffany Leung also has a chance, but her only chance will be through the Olympic Qualifier Series. Canoe: Sprint/Slalom (16) - Don’t know the boats situation, but I’ll try my best. Women’s Canoe Sprint Events (13) Katie Vincent - C-1 200m / C-2 500m Sophia Jensen - C-1 200m / C-2 500m Toshka Besharah-Hrebacka - K-2 500m / K-4 500m Adreanne Langlois - Women’s K-2 500m / K-4 500m Michelle Russell - Women’s K-1 500m Riley Melanson - Women’s K-4 500m Natalie Davidson - Women’s K-4 500m Nicholas Mateev - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m Simon McTavish - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m Pierre-Luc Poulin - Men’s K-4 500m Laurent Lavigne - Men’s K-4 500m Connor Fitzpatrick - Men’s C-1 1000m Roland Varga - Men’s C-1 1000m Canoe Slalom (3) Alex Baldoni - Men’s C-1, Men’s KX-1 Lois Betteridge- Women’s C-1 Florence Mateu - Women’s K-1 Cycling (19) - Track Cycling (15) Kelsey Mitchell- Women’s Sprint, Women’s Keirin, Women’s Team Sprint Lauriane Genest- Women’s Sprint, Women’s Keirin, Women’s Team Sprint Sarah Orban- Women’s Team Sprint Allison Beveridge- Women’s Omnium Maggie Coles-Lyster- Women’s Omnium, Women’s Madison Sarah Van Dam- Women’s Madison Women’s Team Pursuit Dylan Bibic- Men’s Omnium, Men’s Madison Nick Wammes- Men’s Sprint, Men’s Keirin, Men’s Team Sprint Ryan Dodyk- Men’s Sprint, Men’s Team Sprint James Hedgcock- Men’s Keirin, Men’s Team Sprint Mathias Guillemette- Men’s Madison Road Cycling (4) Leah Kirchmann - Women’s Time Trial Alison Jackson - Women’s Road Race/ Women’s Time Trial Michael Woods- Men’s Road Race Hugo Houle- Men’s Road Race/Men’s Time Trial Mountain Biking (2) Carter Woods- Men’s Cross-Country Emily Batty- Women’s Cross-Country BMX Racing (3) James Palmer- Men’s Race Molly Simpson- Women’s Race Drew Mechielsen/Teigen Pascual- Women’s Race BMX Freestyle (1) Maxime Chalifour- Men’s Park Diving (7-8) - Bryden Hattie/Cedric Fofana/Vincent Riendeau- Men’s 3m Springboard Nathan Zsombor-Murray- Men’s 10m Platform, Men’s 10m Syncronized Platform Rylan Wiens- Men’s 10m Platform, Men’s 10m Syncronized Platform Mia Valee- Women’s 3m Springboard, Women’s 10m Syncronized Springboard Margo Erlam- Women’s 3m Springboard (Women’s Syncronized 3m Springboard if Melissa isn’t aiming to make a run for Paris 2024) Melissa Citrini- Women’s Syncronized 3m Springboard (If she’s aiming to make a run for Paris 2024) Caeli McKay- Women’s 10m Platform, Women’s 10m Syncronized Platform Celina Toth- Women’s 10m Platform, Women’s 10m Syncronized Platform Notably, Pamela Ware misses out on qualification. Equestrian (9) - Should qualify a full team (Jumping, Eventing, Dressage) anything less will be a disappointment. Fencing (10) - Eleanor Harvey - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil Jessica Guo - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil Kelliegh Ryan - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil Sabrina Fang - Women’s Team Foil Alexandre Verett/Leonora MacKinnon - Women’s Epee Gabriella Page - Women’s Sabre Maximilien Van Haaster - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Blake Brozus - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Eli Schenkel - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Fares Arfa - Men’s Sabre Football (18) - All we have to do is beat Jamaica in a two legged playoff series and our women’s team is off to Paris. Should be doable. Men’s team has no chance, due to them blowing their only chance at the CONCACAF U20 Championships. Golf (4) - Brooke Henderson - Women’s Stroke Play Alena Sharp - Women’s Stroke Play Adam Svensson - Men’s Stroke Play Correy Conners - Men’s Stroke Play Artistic Gymnastics (14) - Women’s Team already secured qualification by virtue of their 3rd place finish at the 2022 Worlds. Men’s Team (Although not qualified yet) had a brilliant result last year, and could possibly qualify Artistic Gymnastics (11) Women’s Team- Ellie Black, Shallon Olsen, Emma Spence, Sydney Turner Ellie Black - Women’s Balance Beam, Women’s All-Around Brooklyn Moors - Women’s All Around, Women’s Floor Shallon Olsen - Women’s Vault Laurie Denoumee - Women’s Vault Denelle Pendrick misses out on qualification. Men’s Team - Felix Dolci, William Emard, Rene Cournoyer, Chris Kaji, Jason Rampersad. Idk I don’t follow Gymnastics very much Trampoline Gymnastics (3) Jermey Chartier - Men’s Event Sophiane Methot - Women’s Event Samantha Smith - Women’s Event Judo (7) - Kelly Deguchi - Women’s -52kg Jessica Klimkait - Women’s -57kg, Team Event Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard - Women’s -63kg, Team Event Coralie Godbout - Team Event Arthur Margelidon - Men’s -73kg, Team Event Francois Gauthier-Drapeau - Men’s -81kg, Team Event Kyle Reyes - Men’s -100kg, Team Event Notably, Christa Deguchi and Shady El Nahas miss out. Rowing (25-30) - Don’t know anything about the boating situation for Team Canada, so I’ll just use numbers from Tokyo/Rio and the recent WCHs to do my predictions. We should qualify a fair few amount of athletes here. Rugby 7s (13-26) - Considering United States is pretty much almost qualified through the World Series, nothing is stopping our women’s team from securing a quota at the RAN 7s Qualification Tournament, especially since we’re hosting it. Both Argentina, and United States have to qualify for Paris 2024 through the World Series for us to have a chance, and even then we’ll have to beat Uruguay. It’s possible, but we wouldn’t be the favourites. Sailing (6) - Sarah Douglas - Women’s Dinghy Georgia Lewin-Lafrance - Women’s Skiff Fillah Karim - Men’s Dinghy Arie Mofatt - Men’s Skiff Nataliya Leshko - Women’s Kite Tom Ramshaw - Men’s Dinghy Shooting (1-2) - We usually qualify a couple of athletes here, just don’t know who. Skateboarding (5) - Ryan Decenzo, Matt Berger and Micky Papa - Men’s Street Andy Anderson - Men’s Park Fay Ebert - Women’s Park Sport Climbing (2) - Alannah Yip - Women’s Combined Sean McColl - Men’s Combined Ethan Pitcher just misses out on Olympic Qualification. Surfing (2) - Casually optimistic that we can qualify two of the following female athletes (Erin Brooks, Mathea Olin, Sanoa Olin) Swimming (28) - Men (6) Hau-Li Fan - 10km Open Water Finlay Knox - 200m IM Josh Liendo - 50m Freestyle, 100m Freestyle, 100m Butterfly Ilya Kharun - 100m Butterfly, 200m Butterfly Javier Acevado - 100m Backstroke Gabe Mastromatteo - 100m Breastroke 4x100m Freestyle Relay 4x100m Medley Relay Women (14) Kylie Masse - 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke Maggie MacNeil - 100m Butterfly Penny Oleksiak - 100m Freestyle, 200m Freestyle Summer McIntosh - 200m Freestyle, 400m Freestyle, 200 IM, 400 IM, 200 Butterfly Mary Sophie-Harvey - 200m IM Katerine Savard - 100m Butterfly Kelsey Wog - 100m Breastroke, 200m Breastroke Taylor Ruck - 100m Freestyle, 200m Backstroke Ingrid Wilm - 100m Backstroke Tessa Cieplucha - 400m IM Ella Jansen - 400m Freestyle Katrina Bellio - 1500m Freestyle Sydney Pickrem - 200m Breastroke Sophie Angus - 100m Breastroke 4x100m Freestyle Relay 4x200m Freestyle Relay 4x100m Medley Relay Additional Relay Athletes: Rebecca Smith, Rachel Nicol, Yuri Kisil, Ruslan Gasiev, Markus Thornmeyer, Jermey Bagshaw, Stephen Calkins, James Dergousoff. Notably, IM specialist Bailey Andison misses out on Olympic qualification. Table Tennis (2) - Eugene Wang - Men’s Singles Mo Zhang - Women’s Singles Taekwondo (6) Skylar Park - Women’s -57kg Ashley Kraayeveld - Women’s -67kg Nicholas Hoefling - Men’s -58kg Marc Andre Bergeron - Men’s +80kg Jordan Stewart - Men’s -80kg Yvette Hui Hai Yong - Women’s -49kg Tennis (8) - Felix Auger-Aliassime - Men’s Singles, Mixed Doubles Denis Shapovalov - Men’s Singles, Men’s Doubles Leylah Fernandez - Women’s Singles Bianca Andresscu - Women’s Singles Rebecca Marino - Women’s Singles Vasek Pospisil - Men’s Doubles Sharon Fichman - Women’s Doubles Gabriela Dabrowski - Women’s Doubles, Mixed Doubles Triathlon (4) Amelie Kretz - Women’s Event, Team Event Emy Legault - Women’s Event, Team Event Tyler Mislawchuk - Men’s Event, Team Event Charles Paquet - Men’s Event, Team Event Waterpolo (12) - Women’s Team assuming United States qualifies through the World Championships. Weightlifting (2) - Maude Charron - Women’s 59kg Boady Santavy - Men’s 102kg Wrestling (7) - Ericka Weibe - Women’s 76kg Linda Morais - Women’s 68kg Ana Godinez - Women’s 62kg Madison Parks - Women’s 50kg Karla Godinez - Women’s 57kg Amar Dhesi - Men’s 125kg Lachlan McNeil - Men’s 65kg Justina Di Stasio, Olivia Di Bacco and Diana Wiecker all miss out due to stacked weightclasses. Rythmic Gymnastics, Modern Pentathlon, Handball are highly unlikely for Canada to qualify in. Field Hockey teams have been on a decline lately, but qualification is possible. Maybe we’ll qualify, maybe we won’t. Despite the brilliant performance of our women’s volleyball team at the 2022 Worlds, I have them JUST missing out. I think our men’s volleyball team is on a decline, and won’t back up their Tokyo 2020 qualification. If anyone can help think of shooting/rowing athletes/boats qualified. I have no clue lol. Maybe I made these predictions too optimistic Rugby is divided into south and north americas so whatever Argentina or Uruguay do is inconsequential for your qualification, unless you're thinking about the final world qualifier. Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 5,473 Posted June 25, 2023 #72 Share Posted June 25, 2023 (edited) Since qualification has been ramping up lately, decided to do another prediction for (Again, these may be a tad realistic) T: 354-392 (121-137 M / 190-205 F /17-19 TBD/26-31 Idk) Archery (2) - One of Crispin Duenas/Eric Peters in the men's event, and Stephanie Barrett in the women's event, therefore qualifying a mixed team. Artistic Swimming (8-10) - Our best chance at qualifying (Either a duet or team) would be the 2024 World Championships, as the United States and Mexico have both surpassed us this Olympic cycle and will take the quotas at Pan Ams. I'm gonna say we qualify a team, but just barely. Skip Athletics (57) Men (25) 100m- Aaron Brown, Andre DeGrasse, Jerome Blake 200m- Aaron Brown, Andre DeGrasse, Jerome Blake 800m- Marco Arop, Brandon McBride 1500m- William Paulson/Robert Heppenstall, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot, Cameron Proceviat 5000m- Justyn Knight, Mo Ahmed, Charles Philibert-Thiboutot 10000m- Mo Ahmed 400m Hurdles - Malik Metivier 3000m Steeplechase - John Gay, Matthew Hughes/Jean Simon Desgagnes, Ryan Smeeton 4x100m Relay- Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown, Brendon Rodney, Jerome Blake Marathon- Rory Linketter, Trevor Hofbauer/Ben Priesner, Cam Levins High Jump- Django Lovett Hammer Throw- Adam Keenan, Ethan Katzburg (Rowan Hamilton just misses out) Decathlon- Pierce LePage, Damian Warner 20km Race Walk- Evan Dunfee Women (32) 100m- Khamica Bingham, Crystal Emmanuel 200m- Crystal Emmanuel, Aiyanna Stiverne 400m- Kyra Constantine, Natasscha McDonald 800m- Jazz Shukla, Lindsay Butterworth 1500m- Gabriela DeBues-Stafford, Lucia Stafford 10000m- Natascha Wodak 100m Hurdles- Michelle Harrison 400m Hurdles- Sage Watson, Savannah Sutherland 3000m Steeplechase- Regan Yee, Celi McCabe 4x400m Relay- Kyra Constantine, Sage Watson, Natassha McDonald, Aiyanna Stiverne (And a few of Madeline Price, Micha Powell, Alicia Brown for heats) Pole Vault- Alysha Newman, Anicka Newell Shot Put- Sarah Mitton, Brittany Crew Long Jump- Christabel Nettey Javelin Throw- Liz Gleadle Hammer Throw- Camryn Rogers, Jillian Weir Triple Jump- Caroline Erdhardt, Mikeisha Welcome (I believe she's attempting to change nationalities to Canada, don't know if it'll be in time for Paris) Marathon- Leslie Sexton, Malindi Elmore, Natascha Wodak Heptathlon- Nicole Ostertag/Georgia Ellenwood Badminton (8) - Michelle Li in women's singles, Brian Yang in men's singles, Rachel Honderich/Kristen Tsai in women's doubles, Adam Dong/Nyl Yakura in men's doubles, and Ty Lindeman/Josephine Wu in mixed doubles. Basketball (28) - Women's 3x3 Team, Men's Team, and Women's Team. Beach Volleyball (4-6) - Pairings keep switching up, running out of time for CAN2 to make it through points. Brandie/Mel will most likely qualify through Olympic Ranking, and maybe a pairing through NORCECA? (Thinking one of Pavan/McBain, McNamara/McNamara, Bansley/Bukovec). Possibly Schacter/Dearing in the men's tournament also. Boxing (6) - Tammara Thibeault- Women’s 75kg Charlie Cavanaugh- Women’s 66kg Priyanka Dhillon- Women’s 50kg Scarlett Delgado- Women’s 54kg Caroline Veyre- Women’s 57kg Wyatt Sanford- Men’s 63.5kg Keoma-Ali Al-Ahmadieh (Men’s 57kg) just misses out. Breaking (1-2) - B-Boy Phil. Maybe B-Girl Tiff through the OQS. Canoe: Sprint/Slalom (16) - Just used my predictions from my previous post since I'm unsure Canoe Sprint (13) Katie Vincent - C-1 200m / C-2 500m Sophia Jensen - C-1 200m / C-2 500m Toshka Besharah-Hrebacka - K-2 500m / K-4 500m Adreanne Langlois - Women’s K-2 500m / K-4 500m Michelle Russell - Women’s K-1 500m Riley Melanson - Women’s K-4 500m Natalie Davidson - Women’s K-4 500m Nicholas Mateev - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m Simon McTavish - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m Pierre-Luc Poulin - Men’s K-4 500m Laurent Lavigne - Men’s K-4 500m Connor Fitzpatrick - Men’s C-1 1000m, Men's C-2 1000m Roland Varga - Men’s C-1 1000m, Men's C-2 1000m Canoe Slalom (3) Alex Baldoni - Men’s C-1, Men’s KX-1 Lois Betteridge- Women’s C-1 Florence Mateu - Women’s K-1 Cycling (19) - Track Cycling (15) Kelsey Mitchell- Women’s Sprint, Women’s Keirin, Women’s Team Sprint Lauriane Genest- Women’s Sprint, Women’s Keirin, Women’s Team Sprint Sarah Orban- Women’s Team Sprint Allison Beveridge- Women’s Omnium Maggie Coles-Lyster- Women’s Omnium, Women’s Madison Sarah Van Dam- Women’s Madison Women’s Team Pursuit Dylan Bibic- Men’s Omnium, Men’s Madison Nick Wammes- Men’s Sprint, Men’s Keirin, Men’s Team Sprint Ryan Dodyk- Men’s Sprint, Men’s Team Sprint James Hedgcock- Men’s Keirin, Men’s Team Sprint Mathias Guillemette- Men’s Madison Road Cycling (4) Leah Kirchmann - Women’s Time Trial Alison Jackson - Women’s Road Race/ Women’s Time Trial Michael Woods- Men’s Road Race Hugo Houle- Men’s Road Race/Men’s Time Trial Mountain Biking (2) Laurie Arsenault in the women's event, and Carter Woods in the men's event. BMX Racing (2) James Palmer in the men's event, and Molly Simpson in the women's event. Diving (7) - Bryden Hattie- Men’s 3m Springboard Nathan Zsombor-Murray- Men’s 10m Platform, Men’s 10m Synchronized Platform Rylan Wiens- Men’s 10m Platform, Men’s 10m Synchronized Platform Mia Valee- Women’s 3m Springboard, Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard Pamela Ware- Women’s 3m Springboard, Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard Caeli McKay- Women’s 10m Platform, Women’s 10m Synchronized Platform Celina Toth- Women’s 10m Platform, Women’s 10m Synchronized Platform Equestrian (9) - Should qualify a full team (Jumping, Eventing, Dressage) through Pan Ams. Fencing (12) - Eleanor Harvey - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil Jessica Guo - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil Kelliegh Ryan - Women’s Foil, Women’s Team Foil Sabrina Fang - Women’s Team Foil Alexandre Verett - Women’s Epee Gabriella Page - Women’s Sabre Maximilien Van Haaster - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Blake Brozus - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Eli Schenkel - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Francois Cauchon- Men's Team Sabre Shaul Gordon- Men's Team Sabre Fares Arfa - Men’s Sabre, Men's Team Sabre Field Hockey (13-26) - One quota in either the men's or women's tournament. (More likely in the men's tournament) Football (18) - Women's team should qualify. Golf (4) - Brooke Henderson and Maude Aimee Leblanc in the women's event, Corey Conners and Nick Taylor in the men's event. Artistic Gymnastics (14) - Women’s team has already secured qualification. If our men's team can replicate their performance from last year's World Championships, they'd qualify as well. Artistic Gymnastics (11) Women’s Team- Ellie Black, Shallon Olsen, Emma Spence, Sydney Turner Ellie Black - Women’s Balance Beam, Women’s All-Around Brooklyn Moors - Women’s All Around, Women’s Floor Shallon Olsen - Women’s Vault Laurie Denoumee - Women’s Vault Men’s Team - Felix Dolci, William Emard, Rene Cournoyer, Chris Kaji, Jason Rampersad. Don't know the event situation with these athletes. Trampoline Gymnastics (3) Jermey Chartier - Men’s Event Sophiane Methot - Women’s Event Samantha Smith - Women’s Event Judo (7) - Kelly Deguchi - Women’s -52kg Christa Deguchi - Women’s -57kg, Team Event Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard - Women’s -63kg, Team Event Coralie Godbout - Team Event Arthur Margelidon - Men’s -73kg, Team Event Francois Gauthier-Drapeau - Men’s -81kg, Team Event Kyle Reyes - Men’s -100kg, Team Event Rowing (25-30) - Used numbers from Tokyo/Rio and the recent WCHs to do my predictions. Rugby 7s (13-26) - Women's team should qualify through Ran 7s. Men's team is looking unlikely for a quota, now that USA failed to qualify through the WS. But home crowd advantage helps, and if you catch them on a bad day you could certainly pull off an upset. Sailing (6) - Sarah Douglas - Women’s Dinghy Georgia Lewin-Lafrance - Women’s Skiff Fillah Karim - Men’s Dinghy Arie Mofatt - Men’s Skiff Nataliya Leshko - Women’s Kite Tom Ramshaw - Men’s Dinghy Shooting (1) - Don't know who, but I think we'll qualify someone. Skateboarding (4) - Ryan Decenzo, Cordano Russell, Micky Papa/Matt Berger - Men’s Street Fay Ebert - Women’s Park Sport Climbing (2) - Alannah Yip/Madison Fisher in women’s combined, Sean McColl/Ethan Pitcher in men's combined/speed. Surfing (2-3) - Erin Brooks and one of the Olin sisters. Maybe we could qualify Cody Young. Swimming (29) - Men (12) Hau-Li Fan - 10km Open Water Finlay Knox - 200m IM Josh Liendo - 50m Freestyle, 100m Freestyle, 100m Butterfly Ilya Kharun - 100m Butterfly, 200m Butterfly Javier Acevado - 100m Backstroke Gabe Mastromatteo - 100m Breastroke 4x100m Freestyle Relay 4x100m Medley Relay Women (17) Kylie Masse - 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke Maggie MacNeil - 100m Butterfly Penny Oleksiak - 100m Freestyle, 200m Freestyle Summer McIntosh - 200m Freestyle, 400m Freestyle, 200 IM, 400 IM, 200 Butterfly Katerine Savard - 100m Butterfly Kelsey Wog - 100m Breastroke, 200m Breastroke Taylor Ruck - 100m Freestyle, 200m Backstroke Ingrid Wilm - 100m Backstroke Tessa Cieplucha - 400m IM Ella Jansen - 400m Freestyle Sydney Pickrem - 200m Breastroke, 200m IM Sophie Angus - 100m Breastroke 4x100m Freestyle Relay 4x200m Freestyle Relay 4x100m Medley Relay 1-2 in the W distance freestyles (800/1500) out of O'Cronin, Finlin, Bellio, and Dunford. Additional Relay Athletes: Rebecca Smith, Rachel Nicol, Yuri Kisil, Ruslan Gasiev, Markus Thornmeyer, Jeremy Bagshaw, Stephen Calkins, James Dergousoff, Mary Sophie Harvey Table Tennis (2) - Eugene Wang in men’s singles, and Mo Zhang in women’s singles. Taekwondo (6) Skylar Park - Women’s -57kg Ashley Kraayeveld - Women’s -67kg Tae Ku Park - Men’s -68kg Nicholas Hoefling/Braven Park - Men’s -58kg Marc Andre Bergeron - Men’s +80kg Yvette Hui Hai Yong - Women’s -49kg Tennis (8) - Felix Auger-Aliassime - Men’s Singles, Mixed Doubles Denis Shapovalov - Men’s Singles, Men’s Doubles Leylah Fernandez - Women’s Singles Bianca Andresscu - Women’s Singles Rebecca Marino - Women’s Singles Vasek Pospisil - Men’s Doubles Sharon Fichman - Women’s Doubles Gabriela Dabrowski - Women’s Doubles, Mixed Doubles Triathlon (4) Dominika Jamnicky - Women’s Event, Team Event Emy Legault - Women’s Event, Team Event Tyler Mislawchuk - Men’s Event, Team Event Charles Paquet - Men’s Event, Team Event Waterpolo (12) - Women’s team assuming USA qualifies through the World Championships. Men's team could qualify, but would need an upset over USA and possibly a victory over BRA to qualify. Don't see it happening. Weightlifting (2) - Maude Charron - Women’s 59kg Boady Santavy - Men’s 102kg Wrestling (7) - Erica Weibe - Women’s 76kg Linda Morais - Women’s 68kg Ana Godinez - Women’s 62kg Madison Parks - Women’s 50kg Karla Godinez - Women’s 57kg Amar Dhesi - Men’s 125kg Lachlan McNeil - Men’s 65kg Don't know how Canada will choose their team for Paris 2024s=, there's so much talent in our team. This would mean Justina Di Stasio, Olivia Di Bacco and Diana Wiecker all miss out, despite being good enough to qualify/potentially medal. Rhythmic Gymnastics, Modern Pentathlon, Handball, and Volleyball are sports I have Canada failing to qualify in. I hope I'm wrong though, really hoping at least one of our volleyball teams qualifies. Edited June 29, 2023 by Josh CCB and Benolympique 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckošice 13,216 Posted July 9, 2023 #73 Share Posted July 9, 2023 (edited) Exactly 1 year from now, our NOC will have it´s traditional pre-Games classical delegation nomination assembly The qualifiers are ongoing in several sports and more or less we can already imagine realistically the composition of our Paris 2024 Team S let see how it looks and how much wrong I will be Archery: Still not qualified, but it is one of those sports I really believe we will at the end grab that one spot. More likely among women than men. The highest chance to reach that holy grail shoul be for Baránková, so let see and pray - 1 Artistic Swimming: I guess not many chances here. At the beginning I thought we can qualify a duet, but now realistically I am affraid we will miss participation in this sport for the second consecutive time, our pair is regularly ranking 3-4 places behind the last European quota - 0 Athletics: A year before the games I already know that it will be Zero through Standard, but hopefully a bunch via Ranking. Volko (100 & 200), Viki Forster (W 100 Hurdles, maybe the 100 dash as well...), Gajanová (W 800) are the least worrying names to qualify. Then we have some which should qualify at the end as well, like Lomnický (Hammer), Kaňuchová (Hammer), Balúch (400 H) and I assume our Mixed-relay-Race Walking crap will qualify as well. and then there some names that are questionable, but not to be underestimated like the after injury returning slovak comet Emma Zapletalová in the 400H - Between 9 and 11, probably 10 Badminton: Slovakia competed 3 times in this sport always in the W singles and achieved in Tokyo its first won match, this time we should qualify again among women, the Košice born Katarína Vargová is purposefully constantly regularly participating in obscure tournaments in or to obtain enough points for Paris. I always said our Badminton federation is the smartest institution in our sport universe - 1 Basketball: Nothing changed since previous predictions, just the Women team is already out. M team was already out since the invention of the sport. Our M will qualify only if IOC expend the tournament to a 206 nations tourney - 0 Beach Volleyball: not enough sand... - 0 Boxing: Andrej "Bandi" Csemez is our sole realistic chance to qualify, he missed the EG because of illness he caught after returning from the preparation camp in Cuba... but I still do believe he will qualify next year. the rest no chance, is one of those countries, you know, even if we kill the opponent on the ring, the referees will call the opponent lying in coma at the hospital as winner - 0 Breaking: Pogo maybe, Breaking no - 0 Canoeing - Slalom: Copy/Paste since the late 90´s. Full team or fucking riots - 6 Canoeing - Sprint: I expected since the beginning the easy qualification of our famous K4, now I am not so sure, I mean, not sure at all, I am afraid we will experience a huge disaster in this. In case the catastroph scenario will seriously occur next month, we will probably qualify only 2 or 3 individuals - Hopefully it will be 7, afraid it will be only 2 Cycling - BMX: who the fuck invent those sports, seriously ? - 0 Cycling - Mountain Bike: Sagan apparently has a plan to retire from the sport in Paris in the MTB... Well, not very likely, we are not even near the qualifying position right now, so I do not see it realistic - Zero Cycling - Road: Nothing changed since last prediction. Still No idea, Maybe Peter Sagan will really have one final dance in Paris road race if he will not qualify in the MTB, but probably no. if we qualify one guy we will probably send Štoček or another younger prospect like Svrček - 1 Cycling - Track: Pavlendová is trying, but I guess at the end as always, in vain - 0 Diving: If Neymar will accept our citizenship... - 0 Equestrian: Bugan´s and his "For President" only chance to qualify is I guess if a lot of countries will decline quotas to steal probably the most unexpected and unbelievable quota in sports world entire history - 0 Fencing: more likely to meet a dinosaur than to see a slovak fencer at the Olympics in this century - 0 Field Hockey: Playing hockey on grass ! I swear, some people and their ideas ... - 0 Football: Both teams out for the surprise of nobody - 0 Golf: Our very own Boy from Durban, ehm, sorry, Bratislava Rory S. is actually out of the qualifying places, but I do believe he will manage to qualify anyway, if not, well, whatever - 1 Gymnastics - Artistic: Same as last year. Barbora Mokošová again our only hope to qualify, Hopefully she will manage to reach it, anyway it is far from being a sure thing - 1 Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Same as last year. Not in this millenium - 0 Gymnastics - Trampoline: Same as last year. Actually we have no registered competitors in this - 0 Handball: Both teams already out - 0 Judo: Márius Fizeľ in the +100kg is very well in the battle to qualify Slovakia back to the Olympic Tatami after 12 years, At least the European quota is really in the play. So hopefully there will be also some luck for Slovakia for once - 1 Modern Pentathlon: We do not punch horses here, so probably no - 0 Rowing: You will laugh, but we do have a 17 year prodigy kid who came last year out of nowhere, so who knows, declined quota here and there and he can go - 0 Rugby Sevens: Already out, well, never was really in ... neither to be honest - 0 Sailing: copy/paste from last one ! we have no sea - 0 Shooting: Our sole 3 qualified athletes so far: Patrik Jány (in both M Rifle events) Zuzan Rehák-Štefečeková 3 time olympic medalist and Tokyo reigning champion (Trap) and the young Vanesa Hocková (Skeet). Hopefully a couple of athletes will soon join them, 2 are leading the world ranking, our IOC member Danka Barteková (Skeet) & Juraj Tužinský (Air Pistol) should qualify at the end easily, some have chances as well, EG Silver medalist young Kamila Novotná (W Rifle), Špotáková (Trap) E. Varga or Drobný (M Trap) - 8 Skateboarding: Richard Tury is within the qualifying positions in M Street, I do really hope and wish him to fullfil his Olympic dream after missing Tokyo so nearly - 1 Sport Climbing: The young Martina Buršíková is seriously one huge talent and many projecting her as the biggest Slovak sport talent (outside the religious Hockey obviously) in last decades, The girl this year won everything she attended in the Juniors level, from next year she is expected to start competing among seniors, so Paris probably not yet, but LA28 ! better watch out, wi ar komin ! - 0 Surfing: Out by default, We do not have registered federation - 0 Swimming: 2 Tourists via universality quotas will try to not drown in Paris for sure, Podmaníková in the W Breakstroke and probably Halas in the Freestyle sprints - 2 Table Tennis: Last time we had 3, now I am pretty confident we can qualify even 4. Pištej and Wang Yang among M, Balážová and Kukuľková among W. Barbie B. and Pištej will compete in Mixed Doubles as well for sure, Slim chance for the W Team as well, but as history taught us, we usually lose those quotas at the end - 4 Taekwondo: Chances are somewhere below zero - 0 Tennis: We never missed the Olympics in this, I am sure thanks many future mandatory reallocations we will form even a doubles pair, maybe also among women, would be nice to return in the W field after missing Tokyo (Molčan, Gomboš, Schmiedlová and Hrunčáková-nee-Kužmová I guess are the most likely) - 4 Triathlon: W: RIvan Kuriačková is in qualifying position, but, there some promising youngsters behind like Vráblová or Michaličková, maybe even Romana Gajdošová who can menace her eventual quota, among M: It is less optimistic, Richard Varga is our sole chance, but lately completely out of form - 1 Volleyball: Both teams out, but be aware, W are progressing step by step - 0 Water Polo: Like last 2 Olympic cycles, Both teams still among the best 16 in Europe but still Too weak to qualify among the best in the world or at the Olympics - 0 Weightlifting: I guess none... as usual - 0 Wrestling: Not wanting to jinx it, but I firmly believe we will be in Paris 2024 in this sport. Salkazanov, Tsakulov, Makoev are among favorites for the quotas, Zsuzsanna Molnar with an outside chance among women as well, all in Freestyle, Zero chance in Greco-Roman though - 3 Total Sports: 15-16 Optimistic Total Athletes: 50 or even god forbid 51 Realistic Total Athletes: as last prediction: anything between 40-50 is basically realistic, In my predictions I counted 47 or 48 which would be kinda OK-ish Pessimistic Total Athletes: under 40 Edited July 9, 2023 by hckošice rafalgorka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rafa Maciel 1,220 Posted July 9, 2023 #74 Share Posted July 9, 2023 On 6/25/2023 at 2:54 PM, Josh said: Taekwondo (6) Skylar Park - Women’s -57kg Ashley Kraayeveld - Women’s -67kg Tae Ku Park - Men’s -68kg Nicholas Hoefling/Braven Park - Men’s -58kg Marc Andre Bergeron - Men’s +80kg Yvette Hui Hai Yong - Women’s -49kg Don't see a route to Canada qualifying 6 athletes in taekwondo - in fact, I don't think there will be many nations able to qualify more than 4 athletes with the exception of China (and they'll only do it because of the unbalanced nature of the Grand Slam Champions Series) At the moment, only Skylar Park is in a qualifying position, so Canada would be able to enter 2 men and 1 woman into the PanAm continental qualifier so at best I think Canada will field 4 athletes in Paris. Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agger 1,587 Posted July 9, 2023 #75 Share Posted July 9, 2023 I'll join in on updating the predictions for Denmark Archery: Still feels like we will have 0 participants, but the women are absolutely not out of contention - 0 Artistic Swimming: We have some participants internationally, but no! - 0 Athletics: It has been a tough year so far, but we do have a bunch of potential qualifiers. I don't think anybody will make the standards though Mette Graversgaard and Kathrine Koch do have a chance. Without injuries we still have a decent shot at a 4x100 relay or both. Several strong athletes are on the way back from injuries (Lobo Vedel, Karstoft, Ibler and Møller). Hopefully some of those are ready during the late summer. A decent amount with outside chances as well. I'm going a bit lower than originally, but we could very well end up higher - 11 Badminton: A good start for the mixed doubles make me feel decently comfortable that they will qualify. The women's doubles are still pretty uncertain, but I believe they will make it. Still strongly think we'll have 2 men's singles and one in each of women's singles and men's doubles - 9 Basketball: No chance - 0 Beach Volleyball: Seems very unlikely - 0 Boxing: Terteryan made it. I think he will be the only one, but there are chances for more. - 1 Breaking: The only chance for us is Rico Coker (Zoopreme) getting his Danish citizenship in time for the Qualifier series. I doubt it, but who knows? - 0 Canoeing - Slalom: No chance - 0 Canoeing - Sprint: Certainly feels like the women's K4 should make it again. If not we will see a K2 and K1. The men's K4 and K2 have outside chances. - 6 Cycling - BMX: Malene Kejlstrup is doing an amazing job that may end up giving us 2 spots in the women's race. The men's may get one spot, but it will most likely need a good result in the Worlds. - 2 Cycling - Mountain Bike: It feels very much like the women will get 2 spots while the men really need to find a higher level if we want 2 riders. I think we'll stay at the 3 - 3 Cycling - Road: There can't be much doubt that the men will get the maximum 4 quotas and I think they will secure a TT-spot no. 2 at the Worlds. The women are struggling, but with a good summer the 3rd quota is within reach. But it feels like they'll have to do with 2. - 6 Cycling - Track: Seems pretty certain that we will get the same as in Tokyo. - 7 Diving: Still far off. - 0 Equestrian: Dressage team qualified and we already seem certain to get a spot in the jumping. Good chance in eventing as well - 5 Fencing: Unlikely but you never know in the qualifying event - 0 Field Hockey: I think we still don’t have an outdoor national team. - 0 Football: The U-21 team is out and the Women needs to outperform themselves. Unlikely but not impossible - 0 Golf: Not much doubt that we will get 2 each - 4 Gymnastics - Artistic: Camille Rasmussen feels like a pretty likely qualifies - 1 Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Still no chance - 0 Gymnastics - Trampoline: Benjamin Salo Kjær had potential but a bad injury has taken him out of contention. Guess that means no Danes. - 0 Handball: Feels like we should qualify both teams this time. - 28 Judo: Mathias Madsen has done pretty well so far, but there's a long way to go. Lærke Olsen is in the fight as well. i think it will be one place, but it could be both 2 and 0 - 1 Modern Pentathlon: We have one serious athlete but the Olympics feels a bit too far away, especially without equestrian - 0 Rowing: Sverri Nielsen is back in great shape. The women’s four seems like a pretty safe bet as well and both pairs are strong. Some smaller chances in other classes. - 9 Rugby Sevens: Nah - 0 Sailing: ILCA 6, 49er and 49er FX feels pretty certain to qualify. We have a decent Nacra 17 and Lærke Buhl has a pretty good shot in IQ foil as well. Small chances in ILCA 7 and men’s IQ foil. We may see something in the men’s IQ foil, laser or kite, but all are questionable. - 8 Shooting: We have one rifle quota. I still expect at least one in men’s skeet and we have chances for more in women’s rifle, men’s air pistol and men’s skeet. - 3 Skateboarding: Sounds like Glifberg will not be going for the Olympics even though he is decently ranked so far. Solmunde is showing potential. There’s a decent shot, but I think we will be just outside. - 0 Sport Climbing: Very questionable - 0 Surfing: Not gonna happen - 0 Swimming: Pernille Blume stopped and we’re only sending 5 swimmers to the World Championships. A few others have a shot and I think the Olympic squad will be larger, but not by much - 7 Table Tennis: Anders Lind had a great start to the qualification and Jonathan Groth shows potential once again. We should at least qualify one, but 2 is not out of reach - 1 Taekwondo: We won’t be getting anything through the rankings, but both Hyttel and Hrnic have the potential to make it. It will be hard but certainly not impossible - 0 Tennis: Holger Rune seems pretty sure if he doesn’t get injured. I think Tauson will make it high enough as well. Wozniacki is the best chance for a 3rd player, but I have no idea whether she is back at the necessary level - 2 Triathlon: Alberte Kjær is pretty close to certain while Emil Holm also seems to be well on the way. Both Anne Holm and Oscar Gladney seems to be a bit outside and even very unsafe when it comes to the necessary ranking for a relay spot. - 2 Volleyball: We’re far away - 0 Water Polo: Ditto. - 0 Weightlifting: The European Championships didn’t seem like the success necessary to have a chance. It’s not gone, but I don’t think they’ll make it. - 0 Wrestling: Turpal Bisultanov finally got the citizenship but is injured meaning that he will miss the World Championships. There are still high hopes for his chances, but there’s no time to waste. - 1 Total Sports: 21 Optimistic Total Athletes: 130 Realistic Total Athletes: 117 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 75 rafalgorka and Josh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benolympique 1,584 Posted July 9, 2023 #76 Share Posted July 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, Agger said: I'll join in on updating the predictions for Denmark Archery: Still feels like we will have 0 participants, but the women are absolutely not out of contention - 0 Artistic Swimming: We have some participants internationally, but no! - 0 Athletics: It has been a tough year so far, but we do have a bunch of potential qualifiers. I don't think anybody will make the standards though Mette Graversgaard and Kathrine Koch do have a chance. Without injuries we still have a decent shot at a 4x100 relay or both. Several strong athletes are on the way back from injuries (Lobo Vedel, Karstoft, Ibler and Møller). Hopefully some of those are ready during the late summer. A decent amount with outside chances as well. I'm going a bit lower than originally, but we could very well end up higher - 11 Badminton: A good start for the mixed doubles make me feel decently comfortable that they will qualify. The women's doubles are still pretty uncertain, but I believe they will make it. Still strongly think we'll have 2 men's singles and one in each of women's singles and men's doubles - 9 Basketball: No chance - 0 Beach Volleyball: Seems very unlikely - 0 Boxing: Terteryan made it. I think he will be the only one, but there are chances for more. - 1 Breaking: The only chance for us is Rico Coker (Zoopreme) getting his Danish citizenship in time for the Qualifier series. I doubt it, but who knows? - 0 Canoeing - Slalom: No chance - 0 Canoeing - Sprint: Certainly feels like the women's K4 should make it again. If not we will see a K2 and K1. The men's K4 and K2 have outside chances. - 6 Cycling - BMX: Malene Kejlstrup is doing an amazing job that may end up giving us 2 spots in the women's race. The men's may get one spot, but it will most likely need a good result in the Worlds. - 2 Cycling - Mountain Bike: It feels very much like the women will get 2 spots while the men really need to find a higher level if we want 2 riders. I think we'll stay at the 3 - 3 Cycling - Road: There can't be much doubt that the men will get the maximum 4 quotas and I think they will secure a TT-spot no. 2 at the Worlds. The women are struggling, but with a good summer the 3rd quota is within reach. But it feels like they'll have to do with 2. - 6 Cycling - Track: Seems pretty certain that we will get the same as in Tokyo. - 7 Diving: Still far off. - 0 Equestrian: Dressage team qualified and we already seem certain to get a spot in the jumping. Good chance in eventing as well - 5 Fencing: Unlikely but you never know in the qualifying event - 0 Field Hockey: I think we still don’t have an outdoor national team. - 0 Football: The U-21 team is out and the Women needs to outperform themselves. Unlikely but not impossible - 0 Golf: Not much doubt that we will get 2 each - 4 Gymnastics - Artistic: Camille Rasmussen feels like a pretty likely qualifies - 1 Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Still no chance - 0 Gymnastics - Trampoline: Benjamin Salo Kjær had potential but a bad injury has taken him out of contention. Guess that means no Danes. - 0 Handball: Feels like we should qualify both teams this time. - 28 Judo: Mathias Madsen has done pretty well so far, but there's a long way to go. Lærke Olsen is in the fight as well. i think it will be one place, but it could be both 2 and 0 - 1 Modern Pentathlon: We have one serious athlete but the Olympics feels a bit too far away, especially without equestrian - 0 Rowing: Sverri Nielsen is back in great shape. The women’s four seems like a pretty safe bet as well and both pairs are strong. Some smaller chances in other classes. - 9 Rugby Sevens: Nah - 0 Sailing: ILCA 6, 49er and 49er FX feels pretty certain to qualify. We have a decent Nacra 17 and Lærke Buhl has a pretty good shot in IQ foil as well. Small chances in ILCA 7 and men’s IQ foil. We may see something in the men’s IQ foil, laser or kite, but all are questionable. - 8 Shooting: We have one rifle quota. I still expect at least one in men’s skeet and we have chances for more in women’s rifle, men’s air pistol and men’s skeet. - 3 Skateboarding: Sounds like Glifberg will not be going for the Olympics even though he is decently ranked so far. Solmunde is showing potential. There’s a decent shot, but I think we will be just outside. - 0 Sport Climbing: Very questionable - 0 Surfing: Not gonna happen - 0 Swimming: Pernille Blume stopped and we’re only sending 5 swimmers to the World Championships. A few others have a shot and I think the Olympic squad will be larger, but not by much - 7 Table Tennis: Anders Lind had a great start to the qualification and Jonathan Groth shows potential once again. We should at least qualify one, but 2 is not out of reach - 1 Taekwondo: We won’t be getting anything through the rankings, but both Hyttel and Hrnic have the potential to make it. It will be hard but certainly not impossible - 0 Tennis: Holger Rune seems pretty sure if he doesn’t get injured. I think Tauson will make it high enough as well. Wozniacki is the best chance for a 3rd player, but I have no idea whether she is back at the necessary level - 2 Triathlon: Alberte Kjær is pretty close to certain while Emil Holm also seems to be well on the way. Both Anne Holm and Oscar Gladney seems to be a bit outside and even very unsafe when it comes to the necessary ranking for a relay spot. - 2 Volleyball: We’re far away - 0 Water Polo: Ditto. - 0 Weightlifting: The European Championships didn’t seem like the success necessary to have a chance. It’s not gone, but I don’t think they’ll make it. - 0 Wrestling: Turpal Bisultanov finally got the citizenship but is injured meaning that he will miss the World Championships. There are still high hopes for his chances, but there’s no time to waste. - 1 Total Sports: 21 Optimistic Total Athletes: 130 Realistic Total Athletes: 117 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 75 i really hope that denmark qualify women in handball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Josh 5,473 Posted September 12, 2023 #77 Share Posted September 12, 2023 (edited) So I did this back in June, and since a lot has changed since then, I'll do an updated prediction for This is an extremely unrealistic prediction, and I expect our total to be much lower than this Archery (1-4) - Eric Peters, with his surprise silver medal at the 2023 World Archery Championships, has already secured us a quota in men's recurve. Crispin Duenas, and Kristen Esebua should be in contention for individual quotas at the Pan Am Games (depending on the draw), and our men's team (QFs at the Paris WC) should have a chance at the Pan Am Qualification Tournament next year. Artistic Swimming (8-10) - As we're no longer the top nation in the Pan American region, don't think we'll qualify either a team or duet through the Pan Am Games. However, I do think we'll be able to secure a team quota at the 2024 World Aquatic Championships, but just barely. Athletics (52) - As always, we should field between 50-60 athletes. Men's 100m - Brendon Rodney, Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown Men's 200m - Brendon Rodney, Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown Men's 4x100m - Brendon Rodney, Andre DeGrasse, Aaron Brown, Jerome Blake, Bojale Ajomale (heats only) Men's 800m - Marco Arop, Brandon McBride Men's 1500m - Charles Philibert-Thiboutot, Kieran Lumb, Cameron Proceviat Men's 5000m - Mo Ahmed, Justyn Knight Men's 10000m - Mo Ahmed Men's 110m Hurdles - Craig Thorne Men's 3000m Steeplechase - Jean Simon Desgagnes, Matthew Hughes Men's 20km Race Walk - Evan Dunfee Decathlon - Pierce LePage, Damian Warner Men's Marathon - Cam Levins, Trevor Hofbauer, Ben Priesner Men's Hammer Throw - Rowan Hamilton, Adam Keenan, Ethan Katzberg Men's High Jump - Django Lovett (although if he continues his bad stretch of form, he'll be out of contention for a WA ranking quota ) Women's 100m - Khamica Bingham Women's 400m - Sage Watson, Kyra Constantine, Natassha McDonald (if still competing), Women's 800m - Jazz Shukla, Madeline Kelly, Lindsay Butterworth Women's 1500m - Lucia Stafford, Gabriella De Bues Stafford Women's 3000m Steeplechase - Celi McCabe, Regan Yee Women's 100m Hurdles - Michelle Harrison, Mariam Abdul Rashid Women's 400m Hurdles - Savannah Sutherland, Brooke Overholt Women's Shot Put - Sarah Mitton Women's Pole Vault - Alysha Newman, Anicka Newell Women's Hammer Throw - Camryn Rogers, Jillian Weir Women's Javelin Throw - Liz Gleadle (don't know why she hasn't competed this season, maybe injured??) Women's Marathon - Natasha Wodak, Leslie Sexton, Malindi Elmore Women's 4x400m - Kyra Constantine, Sage Watson, Aiyanna Stiverne, Natassha McDonald, and a couple of Madeline Price, Micha Powell, and Alicia Brown (heats only) No athletes in women's long jump, Christabel Nettey hasn't been having the greatest last few years. I have no clue on if we'd qualify in the mixed-team race walk event but probably not. Badminton (4-8) - Michelle Li, and Brian Yang in women's and men's singles. Honderich/Tsai in women's doubles, and one of Dong/Yakura and Lindeman/Wu in men's doubles and mixed doubles. Basketball (28) - Men's 5x5 team already qualified through the 2023 FIBA World Cup. Women's 5x5 team should qualify through the OQT, and so should our women's 3x3 team. Beach Volleyball (4-6) - Mel/Brandie are almost a lock to qualify. For the second quota, it'll almost certainly be between Pavan/McBain and Bansley/Bukovec, but since both teams formed late in the qualifying period, don't see either one booking their ticket to Paris 2024 through the Olympic Ranking, but rather the NORCECA Olympic Qualifier, where they should steamroll through the field (assuming all their wins will be in straight sets, given the opponents). As for our men, Schacter/Dearing have a chance at qualification, but with the Cubans (Diaz/Alayo) and the Mexicans (don't know the pairings situation, but they should be in the mix) also expected to be there, it's far from a guarantee. Boxing (5) - Wyatt Sanford in men's 63.5kg, Tammara Thibeault in women's 75kg, Charlie Cavanaugh in women's 66kg, Caroline Veyre in women's 57kg, Scarlett Delgado in women's 54kg. Breaking (1-2) - Phillip Kim will probably qualify through the 2023 Breaking World Championships or the Pan Am Games. If not, he'll qualify through the OQS. Maybe Tiff Leung can as well. Frankly, I don't care though. Canoe Sprint/Slalom (14) - At the 2023 Canoe Sprint World Championships we qualified boats in women's K-1 500m, women's K-4 500m, women's C-1 200m, women's C-2 500m, and men's K-4 500m. Katie Vincent - Women's C-1 200m / C-2 500m Sophia Jensen - Women's C-1 200m / C-2 500m Michelle Russell - Women's K-1 500m Tosha Behak Hrebacka - Women's K-2 500m / K-4 500m Adreanne Langlois - Women’s K-2 500m / K-4 500m Riley Melanson - Women’s K-4 500m Natalie Davidson - Women’s K-4 500m Nicholas Mateev - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m Simon McTavish - Men’s K-4 500m, Men’s K-2 500m Pierre-Luc Poulin - Men’s K-4 500m Laurent Lavigne - Men’s K-4 500m Connor Fitzpatrick - Men’s C-1 1000m, Men's C-2 500m Roland Varga - Men’s C-1 1000m, Men's C-2 500m And 1-2 athletes out of Alex Baldoni (men's C1/K1/KX), Lois Betteridge (women's C1/K1), Lea Baldoni (women's K1), and Florence Mathieu (women's K1) in canoe slalom. Cycling (25) - Track Kelsey Mitchell - Women's Sprint, Women's Keirin, Women's Team Sprint Lauriane Genest - Women's Sprint, Women's Keirin, Women's Team Sprint Sarah Orban - Women's Team Sprint Allison Beveridge - Women's Omnium Sarah Van Dam - Women's Madison Women's Team Pursuit Nick Wammes - Men's Sprint, Men's Keirin, Men's Team Sprint Ryan Dodyk - Men's Sprint, Men's Team Sprint James Hedgcock - Men's Keirin, Men's Team Sprint Dylan Bibic- Men’s Omnium, Men’s Madison Mathias Guillemette- Men’s Madison Men's Team Pursuit Road Leah Kirchmann - Women's Road Race Alison Jackson - Women's Road Race, Women's Time Trial Hugo Houle - Men's Road Race, Men's Time Trial Michael Woods - Men's Road Race, Men's Time Trial Tough choice choosing Woods over Derek Gee. Mountain Biking Laurie Arsenault - Women's Cross Country Carter Woods - Men's Cross Country BMX Racing Molly Simpson - Women's Race Diving (8) - Bryden Hattie - Men's 3m Springboard Rylan Wiens - Men's 10m Platform, Men's Synchro 10m Platform (Already secured an individual quota at the 2023 FINA World Championships) Nathan Zsombor Murray - Men's 10m Platform, Men's Synchro 10m Platform Mia Valee- Women’s 3m Springboard, Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard Pamela Ware- Women’s 3m Springboard, Women’s 3m Synchronized Springboard (Already secured an individual quota at the 2023 FINA World Championships) Celina Toth - Women's 10m Platform Kate Miller (Melissa Citrini, if she hasn't retired yet) - Women's 10m Synchro Platform Caeli McKay - Women’s 10m Platform, Women’s 10m Synchronized Platform (Already secured an individual quota at the 2023 FINA World Championships) No Margo Erlam. Equestrian (9) - Assuming our dressage team got the funding needed to compete at Pan-Ams, we should qualify a full team of 9 athletes. Don't feel educated enough to predict which athletes would make the team. Fencing (14) - Jessica Guo - Women's Foil, Women's Team Foil Eleanor Harvey - Women's Foil, Women's Team Foil Sabrina Fang - Women's Foil, Women's Team Foil Ruixen Zhao - Women's Epee Pamela Brind'Amour - Women's Sabre Maximilien Van Haaster - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Blake Brozus - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Eli Schenkel - Men’s Foil, Men’s Team Foil Nicholas Zhang - Men's Epee, Men's Team Epee Dylan French - Men's Epee, Men's Team Epee Marc Antoine Blais Belanger - Men's Epee, Men's Team Epee Shaul Gordon - Men's Sabre, Men's Team Sabre Fares Arfa - Men's Sabre, Men's Team Sabre Francois Cachon - Men's Sabre, Men's Team Sabre Alexanne Verret won bronze at a 2023 WC stop, confused on how low she is in the OQR... Don't know if Gabriella Page has retired, can't seem to find her in the rankings. Field Hockey (0) - Both our men's and women's teams have been on a decline, don't see either qualifying. Football (18) - Men's team missed their only chance at qualification last year. Women's team has a playoff against Jamaica on Sep 22 and Sep 26, to decide if they'll qualify for Paris. With Jamaica's dream run at the 2023 FIFA World Cup, and Canada's lackluster performance (failing to make it out of the group stage yet again), I'm not as confident as I was a couple of months ago. Still think they can do it though. Golf (4) - Brooke Henderson and Maude Aimee Leblanc in the women's event, Corey Conners and Adam Svensson in the men's event. Gymnastics (13) - Women's team already qualified at the 2022 FIG Artistic Gymnastics World Championships Artistic Women’s Team - Ellie Black, Shallon Olsen, Emma Spence, Sydney Turner, and either Laurie Denoumee or Brooklyn Moors Men's Team - Men’s Team - Felix Dolci, William Emard, Rene Cournoyer, Chris Kaji, Jayon Rampersad Trampoline Sophiane Methot - Women's Event Sarah Milette - Women's Event Jermey Chartier or Remy Aubin - Men's Event Judo (7) - Kelly Deguchi - Women's -52kg, Team Event Christa Deguchi - Women's -57kg, Team Event Catherine Beauchemin Pinard - Women's -63kg, Team Event Arthur Margelidon - Men's -71kg, Team Event Francois Gauther-Drapeau - Men's -81kg, Team Event Kyle Reyes - Men's -100kg, Team Event Coralie Godbout - Team Event Notably, Jessica Klimkait and Shady El Nahas miss out. Rowing (20-24) - Women's eight, and women's lightweight double sculls have already qualified through the 2023 Rowing World Championships. But our performance there was otherwise pathetic, so I'd be surprised if we qualify more than 3 boats at the Final Qualification Regatta. Sailing (8) - Sarah Douglas already qualified Canada in laser radial through the 2023 Sailing World Championships. Sarah Douglas - Women’s Dinghy Georgia Lewin-Lafrance/Antonia Lewin-Lafrance- Women’s Skiff Fillah Karim - Men’s Dinghy Arie Moffat/Ryan Woods - Men’s Skiff Nataliya Leshko - Women’s Kite Tom Ramshaw - Men’s Dinghy Rugby Sevens (13) - Women's team qualified through the 2023 Ran Sevens Olympic Qualifier. Men's team lost to United States in the final, which pretty much ends their chances. Don't see them beating one (or two) of Great Britain and Spain at the Final Olympic Qualifying Tournament. Shooting (1-3) - One or more of Madeline Boyd (women's skeet), Jason Caswell (men's skeet), Madelene Scola (women's trap), Lydia Kiejko (women's 10m air pistol/25m pistol), and Greg Sych (men's 50m rifle prone/50m rifle 3 positions). Skateboarding (4-5) - Don't think many of my fellow Canadians know who Cordano Russell is, but he's an up-and-coming talent in men's street, right in the mix for a quota. Ryan Decenzo should also qualify (would be his first Olympics), with the final spot going down to Matt Berger or Micky Papa. 14 yo. (!!) Fay Ebert is also currently in a quota position in women's park. Maybe Samantha Secours in women's street as well? Sport Climbing (0-1) - Maybe Sean McColl in men's combined. Surfing (2-3) - Erin Brooks, one of the Olin sisters, and potentially Cody Young. Swimming (30) - Men (12) Lorne Wigginton - 400m IM James Dergousoff - 100m Breastroke Finlay Knox - 200m IM Josh Liendo - 50m Freestyle, 100m Freestyle, 100m Butterfly Ruslan Gasiev - 100m Freestyle Ilya Kharun - 100m Butterfly, 200m Butterfly Javier Acevado - 100m Backstroke Gabe Mastromatteo - 100m Breastroke 4x100m Freestyle Relay 4x100m Medley Relay Women (18) Kylie Masse - 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke Maggie MacNeil - 100m Butterfly Penny Oleksiak - 100m Freestyle, 200m Freestyle Summer McIntosh - 200m Freestyle, 400m Freestyle, 200 IM, 400 IM, 200 Butterfly Katerine Savard - 100m Butterfly Kelsey Wog - 100m Breastroke, 200m Breastroke Taylor Ruck - 100m Freestyle, 200m Backstroke Ingrid Wilm - 100m Backstroke Tessa Cieplucha - 400m IM Ella Jansen - 400m Freestyle Sydney Pickrem - 200m Breastroke, 200m IM Alexanne LePage - 100m Breastroke 4x100m Freestyle Relay 4x200m Freestyle Relay 4x100m Medley Relay One or two in the women's distance freestyles (800m/1500m) out of O'Cronin, Finlin, Bellio, and Dunford. Additional Relay Athletes: Rebecca Smith, Rachel Nicol, Yuri Kisil, Markus Thornmeyer, Jeremy Bagshaw, Stephen Calkins, Mary Sophie Harvey, Sophie Angus Table Tennis (2) - Eugene Wang in men’s singles, and Mo Zhang in women’s singles. Taekwondo (3) - Skylar Park - Women's -57kg (Through Olympic Rankings) Nicolas Hoefling - Men's -58kg (Through Americas Qualification Tournament) Along with one of Ashley Kraayeveld (women’s -67kg), or Vivian Tranquile through the Americas Qualification Tournament Tennis (9) - Milos Raonic - Men's Singles Felix Auger Aliassime - Men's Singles, Mixed Doubles Denis Shapovalov - Men's Singles, Men's Doubles Vasek Pospisil - Men's Doubles Leylah Fernandez - Women's Singles, Mixed Doubles Rebecca Marino - Women's Singles Bianca Andresscu - Women's Singles Gabriela Dabrowski - Women's Doubles Sharon Fichman - Women's Doubles (Assuming she's still injured, and hasn't secretly retired yet) Triathlon (4) - Dominka Jamnicky - Women’s Event, Team Event Emy Legault - Women’s Event, Team Event Tyler Mislawchuk - Men's Event, Team Event Charles Paquet - Men's Event, Team Event Waterpolo (12-24) - Think our women's team will beat Greece in a placement game for the final quota at the 2024 FINA World Championships. Stupid US not doing us any favors four years undefeated in international competition, only to be have that streak end at the 2023 FINA World Championships (Which also happened to be an Olympic Qualifier) and now we won't be able to qualify at the Pan Am Games. Men's team also has a chance, but if they can't do it at Pan Ams (where US will likely be their only opposition), then they likely won't qualify. Weightlifting (2-3) - Maude Charron should qualify in women's 59kg, and potentially one (or two) of Maya Laylor in women's 81kg and Boady Santavy in men's 96kg? Wrestling (6) - Madison Parks - Women's 50kg Karla Godinez - Women's 53kg Ana Godinez - Women's 62kg Linda Morais - Women's 68kg Justina Di Stasio - Women's 76kg Amar Dhesi - Men's 125kg Notably, Di Bacco, Wiecker, Stewart all miss out, due to the one quota limit per NOC. Volleyball (0-26) As much as I would love both volleyball teams to be at Paris, don't see either of them qualifying, as both are right on the cusp. As for rhythmic gymnastics, modern pentathlon and handball Total Sports: 35-36 Optimistic Total Athletes: 388 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 331 Realistic Total Athletes: 350 Edited September 25, 2023 by Josh Adriano, canadafan2024, Topicmaster1010 and 1 other 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rafa Maciel 1,220 Posted September 12, 2023 #78 Share Posted September 12, 2023 4 hours ago, Josh said: Road Leah Kirchmann - Women's Road Race, Women's Time Trial Alison Jackson - Women's Road Race, Women's Time Trial Hugo Houle - Men's Road Race, Men's Time Trial Michael Woods - Men's Road Race I think got a 2nd quota for the men's time trial with a top 10 finish at the world champs, but the women didn't so they should only have 1 spot in the TT. Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rybak 2,683 Posted September 12, 2023 #79 Share Posted September 12, 2023 If anybody is interested, I will try to post my predictions about Poland by end of this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulgaria87 30 Posted September 16, 2023 #80 Share Posted September 16, 2023 (edited) Bulgaria Athletics (4) Bozhidar Saraboyukov - Men's long jump Militsa Mircheva - Women's marathon Tihomir Ivanov - Men's high jump Plamena Mitkova - Women's long jump Badminton (2) Gabriela and Stefani Stoeva (Women's Doubles) Boxing (7) Javier Ibanez Diaz - Men's featherweight Stanimira Petrova - Women's bantamweight Svetlana Staneva - Women's featherweight Jordan Morejon - Men's super heavyweight Sevda Asenova - Women's flyweight Daniel Asenov - Men's flyweight Radoslav Rosenov - Men's lightweight Canoeing (1) Yoana Georigeva - Women's K1 500m Fencing (1) Yoana Ilieva - Women's sabre Gymnastics (8) Boryna Kaleyn - Rhytmic Gymnastics Individual Stiliyana Nikolova - Rhytmic Gymnastics Individual Women's Group all-around (5) Eddie Penev - Artistic Gymnastics Judo (3) Mark Hristov - Men's 73kg Ivaylo Ivanov - Men's 90 kg Ivelina Ilieva - Women's 57kg Rowing (2) Desislava Angelova - Women's Single sculls Kristian Vasilev - Men's single sculls Shooting (3) Antoaneta Kostadinova - Women's 25m pistol Kiril Kirov - Men's 10m air pistol Anton Rizov Swimming (4) Petar Mitsin - Men's 400m Freestyle, 800m Freestyle Josif Miladinov - Men's 100m Butterfly Lyubomir Epitropov Gabriela Georgieva Taekwondo (1) Kalina Boyadzhieva Tennis (1) Viktoriya Tomova - Women's singles Weightlifting (3) Karlos Nassar - Men's 89kg Bozhidar Andreev - Men's 73kg David Fisherov/Hristo Hristov - 102kg Wrestling (7) Ramazan Ramazanov - Men's freestyle 74kg Kiril Milov - Men's freestyle 97kg Edmond Nazaryan - Men's Greco Roman 60kg Semen Novikov - Men's Greco Roman 87kg Evelina Nikolova - Women's freestyle 57kg Bilyana Dudova - Women's freestyle 62kg Yuliyana Yaneva - Women's freestyle 68kg Total Sports: 14 Very Optimistic Number of Athletes: 55 Realistic Number of Athletes: 44-50 Athletes in above prediction - 47 Edited September 24, 2023 by Bulgaria87 Josh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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