JoshMartini007

Olympic Quota Race - After Day 2
 
Men's RS:X
- 13
- 30
 
Women's RS:X
- 26
 
Men's Laser (Top 5)
- 9
- 12
- 36
- 47
- 50
 
Women's Laser Radial
- 18
- 24
- 34
- 37
- 53
 
Men's Finn
- 21
- 23
 
Men's 470
- 58
- 66
 
Women's 470
- 18

Still not fair, all teams should have a chance to qualify directly. Have the top 3-5 advance directly to the hex while the other teams fight for the remaining spots.

Olympic Quota Race - After Day 2
 
Men's RS:X
- 13
- 30
 
Women's RS:X
- 26
 
Men's Laser (Top 5)
- 9
- 12
- 36
- 47
- 50
 
Women's Laser Radial
- 18
- 24
- 34
- 37
- 53
 
Men's Finn
- 21
- 23
 
Men's 470
- 58
- 66
 
Women's 470
- 18

Yeah, I don't think anything will be done here. The events included international athletes so it's hard to argue the events shouldn't count.
 
Personally I dislike world rankings deciding who qualifies as a lot of them don't really determine who is the best, just who competes the most. With that said, I have no problem with the way those athletes qualified as everyone knew the rules long before Olympic qualification began.

Ignoring the whole "convincing the top leagues to release their players" I feel cricket has a better chance at being a permanent member on the Olympic program than Baseball/Softball. The sport actually has a base in Africa (South Africa/Zimbabwe) and it does a better job at adding more diversity. Baseball may add Venezuela/Panama/Nicaragua as nations which rarely compete in team sports, but cricket also has those options (Jamaica/Barbados/T&T/Guyana competing separately) and a more diverse selection in Asia (Afghanistan/Bangladesh/Sri Lanka) rather than the usual Japan/South Korea

Nice to wake up with Canada winning a couple of medals.

Looking at the current entry list for the Miami World Cup which will double as the North America & Caribbean qualifier.
 
Excluding the Laser/Laser Radial not too many eligible nations are competing in multiple events outside of .
 
is competing in the men's RS:X while is competing in the men's Finn (he has a good chance at winning the quota).
 
Currently are eligible in both Laser events while are eligible in the men's laser and are eligible in the women's laser radial.
 
Additionally, is the only eligible nation to compete in the women's 470 so it may obtain a free quota.

Looking at the current entry list for the Miami World Cup which will double as the North America & Caribbean qualifier.
 
Excluding the Laser/Laser Radial not too many eligible nations are competing in multiple events outside of .
 
is competing in the men's RS:X while is competing in the men's Finn (he has a good chance at winning the quota).
 
Currently are eligible in both Laser events while are eligible in the men's laser and are eligible in the women's laser radial.
 
Additionally, is the only eligible nation to compete in the women's 470 so it may obtain a free quota.

At this point, can they even call it a fleet race? It's essentially a match race...

Mozambique overtook Angola and now leads by 2 points. Against all odds.

While the schedule is suppose to get better for us, it's a shame we are still without a medal.

Is it such few quotas? In 470 we have 12 and 14 quotas for nations based on the 2018 and 2019 World Championships, not to mention that not all of the continent/host quotas are "wasted." At this point any nation of note should have qualified. The Olympics tries to achieve a balance between strength and diversity, it's the reason why we don't have a hundred Kenyans/Ethiopians running in the marathon or in sailing's case multiple entrants from the same country. In the end, the 19th/21st ranked nation and Angola have the same chance at winning a medal so I'd rather have the diversity.
 
Free quotas in some events are an unfortunate result and while I'm not entirely opposed to a rule that there must be at least 2-3 eligible nations competing, but in sailing it would be hard to implement. Canada/United States and Australia/New Zealand have enough pull to argue for diversity even though it also benefits them. Obviously Asia and Africa would be against it too and I doubt Europe will push too hard as to avoid being accused of making the Olympics "too Euro-centric"

Is it such few quotas? In 470 we have 12 and 14 quotas for nations based on the 2018 and 2019 World Championships, not to mention that not all of the continent/host quotas are "wasted." At this point any nation of note should have qualified. The Olympics tries to achieve a balance between strength and diversity, it's the reason why we don't have a hundred Kenyans/Ethiopians running in the marathon or in sailing's case multiple entrants from the same country. In the end, the 19th/21st ranked nation and Angola have the same chance at winning a medal so I'd rather have the diversity.
 
Free quotas in some events are an unfortunate result and while I'm not entirely opposed to a rule that there must be at least 2-3 eligible nations competing, but in sailing it would be hard to implement. Canada/United States and Australia/New Zealand have enough pull to argue for diversity even though it also benefits them. Obviously Asia and Africa would be against it too and I doubt Europe will push too hard as to avoid being accused of making the Olympics "too Euro-centric"

@JoshMartini007 just because I said that 
 
https://www.isasurf.org/el-salvador-selected-to-host-historic-edition-of-2020-isa-world-surfing-games/

There is no official information yet. But, I've already heard from different places that the ISA World Surfing Games 2020 will be in Japan, again.
 
here there's an indication of that.

Daily podcast: https://anchor.fm/twu/episodes/Bonjour-Lausanne-Day-3-ea509k

Given it's for the Pan American Games, we could see Super Smash Bros. Ultimate.

While I doubt Carboxy-THC gives riders (or athletes in general) an advantage, I can accept it being a banned substance in equestrian as it can pose a safety risk for horses if their rider is high.

Big victory for Tunisia over Egypt. The decider is tomorrow between Algeria and Tunisia. All Tunisia needs to do to qualify is to win a single set.

Here’s our first official episode of TWU (Totallympics Weekly Update): https://anchor.fm/twu/episodes/TWU-2-Ending-Out-The-Year-With-Our-Best-Episode-Yet-e9t9tj
 
@Vojthas and myself really enjoyed this one, so please give it a listen whenever you get the chance (on your way to work, in morning, before bed, when you’re bored, when there aren’t enough sports on, etc.) 
 
Again, we’d love any feedback you could give us. Also, any suggestions for what we should cover next week. Plus, any ideas for segments or episodes (or of you’d like to come on for an episode and talk with us about something).
 
Lastly, @Vojthas, @Dragon, and I cannot thank you enough for supporting us this year. Admittedly, it’s been a rocky start. However, with your support we’ve been able to build up an awesome website, and a great audio service. I’d also give thanks to @OlympicIRL and @mrv86 for their early contributions to Totallympics Media (and your both welcome back anytime ). Some more thanks are in order to users like @heywoodu @dcro @ChandlerMne @ahjfcshfghb @intoronto @Wumo @zob79 @TomJa @bmo @ofan @Griff88 @JoshMartini007 (and anyone else who I just unfortunately forgot) who give us constant feedback, consist support, and our the main reason we’ve made it this far. Of course, the man himself, @Sindo was deserves a massive, massive thanks for helping us accomplish all of this; without his work, none of us would have meant, we would have never had our own website, and we’d never have had a place to belong. 2019, was a fantastic, maddening, awesome, thrilling, joyously crazy, and thrill ride of a year. For all of us at Totallympics Media: Thank You all for your support and passion. We hope you have a wonderful, blessed, and sport-filled 2020.

Here are my medal projections for swimming. Unsurprisingly the United States and Australia are the top nations.

Yeah, it's pretty sad... Sadly, they aren't the first or last federation to make that mistake. I'm not sure if the people in the Brazilian Equestrian Federation are paid, but if they are then there should be some firings. You can argue that language may have been a barrier (the qualification documents are published in English and French), but Google Translate exists and as soon as you start seeing things like MER in the eligibility section then it would be time to start asking questions.

Now for the tough one, finding the results for the African Championships...

For anyone interested, here's what my prediction model suggests on medal chances for each event in athletics. I may have to change to a hybrid model for long distance (5000m, 10000m, walks and marathon) events as quite often the pace/strategy is different in each race. The low number of competitions for some athletes caused a couple of weird results so hopefully they continue to compete in 2020. Below are the athletes with a greater than 50% chance at winning the gold medal in an event.
 
Caster Semenya - Women's 800m - 99.21%
Katarina Johnson-Thompson - Women's Heptathlon - 81.91%
Daniel Stahl - Men's Discus Throw - 79.45%
Kenenisa Bekele - Men's Marathon - 74.30%
Yulimar Rojas - Women's Triple Jump - 69.93%
Shaunae Miller-Uibo - Women's 400m - 69.11%
United States - Men's 4x400m Relay - 64.21%
Pawel Fajdek - Men's Hammer Throw - 62.18%
United States - Women's 4x400m Relay - 57.65%
Will Claye - Men's Triple Jump - 55.80%
Malaika Mohambo - Women's Long Jump - 55.50%
Brigid Kosgei - Women's Marathon - 52.18%
Shaunae Miller-Uibo - Women's 200m - 51.51%
Karsten Warholm - Men's 400m Hurdles - 50.75%
 

For anyone interested, here's what my prediction model suggests on medal chances for each event in athletics. I may have to change to a hybrid model for long distance (5000m, 10000m, walks and marathon) events as quite often the pace/strategy is different in each race. The low number of competitions for some athletes caused a couple of weird results so hopefully they continue to compete in 2020. Below are the athletes with a greater than 50% chance at winning the gold medal in an event.
 
Caster Semenya - Women's 800m - 99.21%
Katarina Johnson-Thompson - Women's Heptathlon - 81.91%
Daniel Stahl - Men's Discus Throw - 79.45%
Kenenisa Bekele - Men's Marathon - 74.30%
Yulimar Rojas - Women's Triple Jump - 69.93%
Shaunae Miller-Uibo - Women's 400m - 69.11%
United States - Men's 4x400m Relay - 64.21%
Pawel Fajdek - Men's Hammer Throw - 62.18%
United States - Women's 4x400m Relay - 57.65%
Will Claye - Men's Triple Jump - 55.80%
Malaika Mohambo - Women's Long Jump - 55.50%
Brigid Kosgei - Women's Marathon - 52.18%
Shaunae Miller-Uibo - Women's 200m - 51.51%
Karsten Warholm - Men's 400m Hurdles - 50.75%