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Who is a lock to win a Gold Medal at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024

Timezone

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dodge Collaborator

dodge   1,027

Posted
Posted

Some sports are more predictable than others. In rowing by the time the Olympics start we can guarantee about 8 of the gold medal winners 

 

Track cycling is similar. Effectively any of the “against the clock” events we’ll have a fair idea.

 

 

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Josh
Josh

I’m convinced that half of you don’t understand what a “lock” is    A lot of athletes/teams mentioned are favourites, but hardly locks. 

heywoodu
heywoodu

The main reason I'm hoping for her not to win   Nothing against her personally, but I do like to see champions not avoid every possible competition...

Makedonas
Makedonas

I don't think so. They didn't win a medal at the World Championships last year, and this year they won gold but had a few narrow wins.

Makedonas Community Regular

Makedonas   2,194

Posted
Posted
  On 2/25/2024 at 9:06 PM, rybak said:

I would say :USA women's water polo team.

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I don't think so. They didn't win a medal at the World Championships last year, and this year they won gold but had a few narrow wins.

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mpjmcevoy Collaborator

mpjmcevoy   362

Posted
Posted
  On 2/25/2024 at 8:59 PM, dodge said:

Some sports are more predictable than others. In rowing by the time the Olympics start we can guarantee about 8 of the gold medal winners 

 

Track cycling is similar. Effectively any of the “against the clock” events we’ll have a fair idea.

 

 

Expand  

 

It's VERY difficult to see past the Dutch male sprinters, even now, for example.

The women sprinters looks likely to be a straight showdown - Germany v Great Britain

Men's and Women's  team pursuit a bit more unpredictable.

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Topicmaster1010 Community Regular

Topicmaster1010   4,460

Posted
Posted

In swimming, :CAN Summer McIntosh should be a heavy favourite to win the women's 400m Individual Medley.

 

And if she doesn't swim the 800m freestyle (which seems very likely), then Ledecky should be a lock in that event too.

_

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mpjmcevoy Collaborator

mpjmcevoy   362

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  On 2/25/2024 at 8:57 PM, phelps said:

no, of course...

 

but, provided anything unthinkable under normal circumtances happens, there are some competitions that have an already designated winner

 

and we can't ignore this

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Not that many though.

 

Yes, some would be an almighty shock, but any one event can go askew.

 

The last four Olympics the Chinese have been red hot favourites for a clean sweep - and in every single games someone got them at least once. Mitcham, Boudia, Laugher & Mears, Daley & Lee - every four years, like clockwork, somebody has the best day of their lives at the expense of China - and its been 4 different events.

 

Maybe this will finally be their sweep. They ought to. But... you can trace a hint of the pattern all the way back to 1988. China dominate, someone spoils the perfect....

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CCB Collaborator

CCB   565

Posted
Posted

Dutch men's teamsprint track cycling definitely not a lock in. What about the strong team of Australia?

In the individual sprint I see two favorites: Matthew Richardson and Harrie Lavreysen.

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Olympian1010 Experienced

Olympian1010   8,068

Posted
Posted
  On 2/25/2024 at 8:52 PM, intoronto said:

Is anything really guaranteed in sport? 

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It'd be a lot more boring if that was the case.

“Sport has the power to change the world. It has the power to inspire. Sport can create hope where once there was only despair” - Nelson Mandela

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Timezone Apprentice

Timezone   27

Posted
Posted
  On 2/25/2024 at 6:12 PM, Dkats said:

I would say US Men’s basketball team assuming that they actually bring a full strength team 

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Even at full strength USA not the juggernaut they once were 

 

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Timezone Apprentice

Timezone   27

Posted
Posted
  On 2/25/2024 at 8:49 PM, phelps said:

just to name a few...

 

:FRA Leon Marchand (swimming, men's 200m and 400 IM at least)

Track Cycling, :NED men's Team Sprint and Harrie Lavreysen (Individual Sprint)

:BUL Karlos May Nasar (weightlifting, men's -89kg)

:CHN all the table tennis, weightlifting and diving competitions in which they compete

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I read somewhere a chinsese swimmer posted a time very close to Marchand in 200IM

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