Who is a lock to win a Gold Medal at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Road to Paris 2024

[Timezone 3]

With the next edition of the Summer Olympics less then 6 months and yes nothing is 100% assured but as this current moment who seems to be winning gold guaranteed in Paris. 

 

Swimming 

Australia Woman 4x100m 

They smashed the world record at world championships last year in Japan. To put in perspective the fastest split form the USA team which came second was only 0.01 faster then the slowest split Australia had. An Australia B team probably wins gold. 

 

Womans 1500m Katie Ledecky 

 

No on is within 15 seconds of her enough said. 

 

Mondo Duplanits 

Sydney Mclaughlin 

China Team Table Tennis 

Extremely likely 

USA womans basketball 

Australia 4x200m Woman Relay 

 

 

 

Edited March 6 by Sindo

[heywoodu 13,560]

1 hour ago, Timezone said:

Sydney Mclaughlin 

I highly doubt she is as much of a 'lock' (if locks really exist of course) as for example the Australian 4x100m women

 

It probably all depends on how we define a 'lock'...say, 95% chance at least? In that case I'd absolutely not put McLaughlin there  

[IoNuTzZ 289]

Simona Radis and Ancuta Bodnar in rowing

[Belle 722]

And now watch Mondo not to win gold. 

[Dkats 11]

I would say US Men’s basketball team assuming that they actually bring a full strength team 

[Jinzha 529]

I really want to believe McLaughlin is not a lock for gold, because Bol is still continuously improving and McLaughlin rarely ever competes. Feels like there is a real chance she can be beaten. I would hate to see someone run 3 races per year and then sweep into the most important race of the year and destroy the competition.

 

Two other contenders for a 'locked gold':

•  Field hockey women's team
•  Archery women's team (despite the upset in the 2023 World championship)

[phelps 6,872]

just to name a few...

 

 Leon Marchand (swimming, men's 200m and 400 IM at least)

Track Cycling,  men's Team Sprint and Harrie Lavreysen (Individual Sprint)

 Karlos May Nasar (weightlifting, men's -89kg)

 all the table tennis, weightlifting and diving competitions in which they compete

[intoronto 4,244]

Is anything really guaranteed in sport? 

[mpjmcevoy 202]

Obviously nothing is ever a 100% lock because you can get hit by a bus.

 

So leaving that aside : I don't see McLaughlin as a lock AT ALL. She's the favourite, but no more. I frankly have a hunch it will be Bol.

 

Just had to get that off the chest.

[phelps 6,872]

3 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Is anything really guaranteed in sport? 

no, of course...

 

but, provided anything unthinkable under normal circumtances happens, there are some competitions that have an already designated winner

 

and we can't ignore this