website statistics
Jump to content
  • Register/Login on Totallympics!

    Sign up to Totallympics to get full access to our website.

     

    Registration is free and allows you to participate in our community. You will then be able to reply to threads and access all pages.

     

    If you encounter any issues in the registration process, please send us a message in the Contact Us page.

     

    We are excited to see you on Totallympics, the home of Olympic Sports!

     

Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day


Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, rafalgorka said:

@dullard can you please remind me this Italian swimming site with all the top lists and stats, I somehow lost it...

All time - http://nuotomondiale.altervista.org/index.html

Annual - http://nuotomondiale.altervista.org/annual_lists.html

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583410
Share on other sites

56 minutes ago, rafalgorka said:

 

 

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

 

1. Remco Evenepoel BEL

2. Tadej Pogacar SLO

3. Filippo Ganna ITA

 

Day 1 is pretty good for current World Champions, so Evenepoel gets gold as well. But it is very close race, all three medalists within 15 seconds

 

 

I think the men's event could be decided on what happens at the Tour de France. Whether Evanepoel or Ganna take part and whether Pogacar has a  hard race or not. Also don't rule out Tarling GBR for a medal. World bronze medalist at 19, which is an age where you can improve huge amounts in a short time.

 

 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583414
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, Dragon said:

I think the men's event could be decided on what happens at the Tour de France. Whether Evanepoel or Ganna take part and whether Pogacar has a  hard race or not. Also don't rule out Tarling GBR for a medal. World bronze medalist at 19, which is an age where you can improve huge amounts in a short time.

 

 

True. You are 100% right.

 

And I didn't forget Turling surely. Let's say he is currently 4th in my predictions. He's the one to watch next season for sure.

If people get interested in this thread, when we finish day 16 I can come back to square one and update all these predictions according to all suggestions and comments we will hopefully see here

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583426
Share on other sites

35 minutes ago, dullard said:

Thanks a lot, this site rulez!!!

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583427
Share on other sites

I made similar thread before Tokyo and my predictions were total disaster :-))) we will see if this time i will be better in this thing

 

https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/#comments

 

Edited by rafalgorka

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583428
Share on other sites

While watching a nice game of rugby SCO vs TGA, I was thinking about your comments here and I guess you are absolutely right about McIntosh chances vs Ledecky in W 400m free.

3.56.08 vs 3.58.73 on 2023 LC world lists is a big difference.

 

So i have decided to upgrade McIntosh to silver and Ledecky gets bronze.

 

The rest stays the same. Turling is close 4th in M time trial. AUS still beat ITA in m relay by a smallest difference possible.

 

So it looks like that now:

 

Day 1 Sat 27.07

 

1. DIVING - W Synchro 3m Springboard

 

1. China

2. United States

3. Great Britain

 

Similar results to 2023 WCH, but this time USA will be able to repeat their qualifying score in the final

 

2. FENCING - W Epee Ind

 

1. Marie-Florence Candassamy FRA

2. Vivian Kong HKG

3. Alberta Santuccio ITA

 

Candassamy, current World Champion and no. 1 in world rankings, winning gold on home soil in style. Allez Les Bleus!

 

3. FENCING - M Sabre Ind

 

1. Sandro Bazadze GEO

2. Eli Dershwitz USA

3. Aron Szilagyi HUN

 

Bazadze making revenge for the 2023 WCH final

 

4. JUDO - W -48kg

 

1. Natsumi Tsunoda JPN

2. Assunta Scutto ITA

3. Shirine Boukli FRA

3. Milica Nikolic SRB

 

Tsunoda coming from behind with an ippon in the final seconds, a final for the ages

 

5. JUDO - M -60kg

 

1. Ryuju Nagayama JPN

2. Francisco Garrigos ESP

3. Dilshodbek Baratov UZB

3. Balabay Aghayev AZE

 

2nd gold for JPN, Nagayama instead of Takato in the olympic tournament turns out to be a good choice

 

6. ROAD CYCLING - M Ind Time Trial

 

1. Remco Evenepoel BEL

2. Tadej Pogacar SLO

3. Filippo Ganna ITA

 

Day 1 is pretty good for current World Champions, so Evenepoel gets gold as well. But it is very close race, all three medalists within 15 seconds

 

7. ROAD CYCLING - W Ind Time Trial

 

1. Chloe Dygert USA

2. Demi Vollering NED

3. Grace Brown AUS

 

First gold of the games for Team USA

 

8. RUGBY SEVENS - M Tournament

 

1. Fiji

2. New Zealand

3. Argentina

 

Aaaaand Fiji wins again, never underestimate the heart of the champion, they say... Ireland 4th after last-minute try by Argentina

 

9. SHOOTING - Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

 

1. China

2. India

3. Iran

 

Iran hard-won bronze against hosts

 

10. SKATEBOARDING - M Street

 

1. Aurelien Giraud FRA

2. Nyjah Huston USA

3. Gustavo Ribeiro POR

 

And 2nd gold for France on Day 1, no surprise here as well

 

11. SWIMMING - M 400m Free

 

1. Ahmed Hafnaoui TUN

2. Samuel Short AUS

3. Lukas Martens GER

 

This time Tunisia gets gold from Lane 4, not 8

 

12. SWIMMING - W 400m Free

 

1. Ariarne Titmus AUS

2. Summer McIntosh CAN

3. Katie Ledecky USA

 

McIntosh gets her first medal here, much better race for her than 2023 WCH (updated, because previously I thought it could be 2. Ledecky 3. McIntosh)

 

13. SWIMMING - W 4x100m Free Relay

 

1. Australia

2. United States

3. China

 

Aussies with WR, obviously

 

14. SWIMMING - M 4x100m Free Relay

 

1. Australia

2. Italy

3. Great Britain

 

Chalmers denying Ceccon by 0,01 sec. GBR didn't get DSQ this time. But US did.

 

Medal table after Day 1 (14 events)

 

:AUS 3-1-1---5

:CHN 2-0-1---3

:FRA 2-0-1---3

:JPN 2-0-0---2

:USA 1-4-1---6

:BEL 1-0-0---1

:FIJ 1-0-0---1

:GEO 1-0-0---1

:TUN 1-0-0---1

:ITA 0-2-2---4

:CAN 0-2-0---2

:ESP 0-1-0---1

:HKG 0-1-0---1

:IND 0-1-0---1

:NED 0-1-0---1

:NZL 0-1-0---1

:SLO 0-1-0---1

:GBR 0-0-2---2

:ARG 0-0-1---1

:AZE 0-0-1---1

:GER 0-0-1---1

:HUN 0-0-1---1

:IRI 0-0-1---1

:POR 0-0-1---1

:SRB 0-0-1---1

:UZB 0-0-1---1

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by rafalgorka

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583552
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

Thanks for your comment! You are probably right.

 

My explaination for 2. Ledecky 3. McIntosh would be: Ledecky uses her experience in the final, not chasing Titmus too hard from the beginning and concentrating on beating the Canadian. And McIntosh will be nervous as hell, not as much as in the 2023 WCH final but still... Fortunately, this time she gets bronze. But no worries - SPOILERS ALERT - McIntosh will not leave my Imaginary Paris olympics without gold... :-)

 

Gold for AUS in 4x100m relay - because Chalmers won't be too far away when he starts the anchor leg and he will do his magic trick again...

 

Anyway, Aussies on the top of the medal table after Day One. Congrats!

 

Best result for POL - hmmm.. 5th place in Mixed 10m Air Rifle Shooting event...

For the womens time trial I have a gut feeling Ellen van Dijk is going to do something special. She's currently pregnant and she'll be 37 years old in Paris, but a time trial medal at the Olympics is her final goal before retiring and I think she might be able to win one behind Dygert and Brown.

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583643
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Jinzha said:

For the womens time trial I have a gut feeling Ellen van Dijk is going to do something special. She's currently pregnant and she'll be 37 years old in Paris, but a time trial medal at the Olympics is her final goal before retiring and I think she might be able to win one behind Dygert and Brown.

And how about Vollering in the time trial?

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583649
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, rafalgorka said:

And how about Vollering in the time trial?

I think it will depend on the race calendar for her just like on the mens side, if there is a Tour de France femmes before the Games that will be her main focus and I wouldn't see her beating the specialists Dygert, Brown, Van Dijk or Reusser. But who know, she has been grown really strong this year and the last.

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583678
Share on other sites

I think Tarling wins gold in the men’s TT. Ganna silver and Remco bronze. 
 

I think Reusser wins gold in the women’s. Dygart silver and one of the Dutch women wins bronze 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/23918-paris-2024-early-predictions-day-by-day/page/2/#findComment-583697
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • 2028 Team Size Projection – Jan 2026 Update   Here’s an update to my 2028 Team Size Projection. While I touch upon major events changes may occur due to results in smaller events. Additionally, several sports released their qualification document so there may be cases where I have to update the projection. I will only include sports where there is an update.   Here is the link to the updated sheet.     Aquatics (Water Polo) The Men’s European Championships saw take gold. The victory moved Serbia up a few places between European nations. With that said, no one fell out of Olympic qualification with the likes of France and Romania still on the outside looking in. remains on the edge.   Athletics (Marathon) Both the Xiamen and Osaka marathons were held this month along with a few other smaller events. While there were a few changes in the rankings, in terms of Olympic projections gains an athlete in the men’s marathon at the expense of   Badminton Major tournaments include the Malaysia Open and India Open. New updates which affected projections include the women’s doubles where overtook . As Polina Buhrova is also scheduled to compete in the singles event, an additional spot has been open. Other changes in the women’s singles was loses one of their quotas. and benefit from those losses.   Indonesia’s loss on the women’s side is offset by gaining a second player in the men’s singles. This puts   on the outside.   Canoeing The qualification document for both Slalom and Sprint were released/updated. No significant changes were found in the Sprint update. Slalom had significant changes relative to 2024 where the initial quotas will be decided by rankings and kayak cross will now have significant quotas being allocated. After adjustment, the following nations lost a quota; Andorra, Chinese Taipei, Ireland, New Zealand, North Macedonia, Slovakia, and Sweden. The following nations gained a quota; Canada, China, France, Italy, South Africa, Spain, and Tunisia.   Cricket The Women’s T20 World Cup Qualifier was held. No changes to the projection.   Equestrian (Dressage & Jumping) Various World Cup events were held. No changes to the projections were made.   Fencing We had two Grand Prix this month, one for epee and the other for sabre. In men’s epee, overtakes . On the women’s side, the United States moved into the top 4 in the team ranking, pushing Estonia down to fifth. This pushed out of Olympic qualification while takes the Americas quota. This caused a downstream effect on the individual side as Ukraine takes an individual quota and Canada relinquishes their quota, additionally, gained a quota while lost one.   In men’s sabre, now takes the Asian team quota pushing down to just an individual quota. No changes were found in women’s sabre.   Handball Four men’s continental championships were held this month. finished top in Africa while a couple of upsets were saw in South America and Asia where and won over and respectively. Despite their wins, they currently haven’t leapfrogged into being projected to qualify. We’ll see how they perform at the World Championships.   Europe saw finish fourth. This was enough to push it into Olympic qualification projection. They pushed out.   Rowing The qualification document was released. There was a change in boat allocation relative to 2024 and the continental qualifier was slightly different than what I projected. Additionally, I assumed coastal rowing would allow 2 men and 2 women to compete in its three events, but the max is 1 man and 1 woman. This has caused significant changes to the projections.   Overall, the United States lost four quotas. Canada, France, Germany, Ireland, Lithuania, New Zealand, Norway, and Spain lost two quotas and Algeria, Argentina, Croatia, Cuba, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Netherlands, Portugal, Tunisia lost one quota.   The following nations have gained two athletes; Japan, Morocco while the following nations gained one athlete; Angola, Austria, Belgium, Chile, Chinese Taipei, Cote d’Ivoire, Denmark, Estonia, Kuwait, Latvia, Mexico, Romania, Philippines, Paraguay, Puerto Rico, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, Togo, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu   Rugby Sevens Fixing a couple of mistakes. First on the men, actually has the Asian quota over and in the women as is essentially shutting down the program, I think it is only right to remove them until they decide to compete again. This means is also projected to qualify.   As for new updates, we saw the third tier SVNS compete, which brought no new updates and the Singapore SVNS. I also didn’t add the Dubai or Cape Town SVNS in my calculations. For both, while there was some shuffling no one ultimately fell out.   Shooting The Asian Shotgun Championships were held this month. A few top shooters were missing. The only change to the projection is is set to qualify in women’s trap, pushing out   Squash The Tournament of Champions was held this month. Additionally, the qualification document was released. There was some restriction as to how many nations can send two players and this sport will offer universality quotas.   The following nations lost an athlete quota; Colombia, France, Great Britain, Hong Kong, Malaysia, and New Zealand. The following nations gained an athlete quota; Canada, Pakistan, Spain (x2), Switzerland, Ukraine   Triathlon The qualification document was released. There are a few changes relative to 2024. Projection changes include: Losses to Hong Kong and Slovenia and gains for Austria and China.   Weightlifting The qualification document was released. One change to be made was the reallocation process for host nation quotas. Due to this, El Salvador Iraq, Palau, Sri Lanka, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu lost quotas while Australia, China, Dominican Republic, Iran, and Samoa (x2) gained quotas.   Wrestling The qualification document was released. There were some significant changes to the qualification process including using the world rankings and the final qualifier only consisting of non-qualified nations. The projection changes are as follows; losses to Belarus, Bulgaria, China, Georgia, Germany, Hungary, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia, Russia, South Korea, Sweden, and Turkey.   Belgium and Lithuania gained 2 quotas while American Samoa, Austria, Estonia, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Latvia, Madagascar, Spain, and Turkmenistan gained 1 quota.
    • Looks like we in the Philippines are in the same situation. No news yet on whether we’ll be able to watch the Games 
    • Cricket is any day in a better position than Baseball, Modern Pentathlon or Rowing 8s globally
    • http://i.imgur.com/gLJZbix.jpg   Honestly football is just on another level. For other sports, an expanded field or creating multiple host cities likely only works with baseball, cricket and maybe basketball, and only in very specific countries.
    • No streaming for the games in India. I contacted IOC they just sent me a list where the games will be shown live.    Last games we had the Olympic channel and YouTube showing the live coverage for regions with no media rights. This time sadly no such schedule.   So much about making the games accessible to all...
    • What revealed those files of Epstein !!!! thousands of scandals , horrible diguisting things mixing politic criminalities , robbery , scam , manipulation...etc    all those celebrities of shht that you love   
    • I wonder if instead of having flexibility around what sport to add there should be one or two team sports per game with an expanded field (of 16 or 32 or w/e) where the host gets to pick which which team sports (if any) has an expanded field.
    • Dunno if this is geoblocked, but this is from our weekly comedy show Saturday Night Live  
    • I don't buy that she's doing this just to start the race if she thinks she won't be competitive.  We'll probably know more after the training run and far be it from me to know how that's going to work with a torn ACL, but if she knows she can't do it, she'll give that spot to another skier
×
×
  • Create New...