Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[AsensioWillemsen 176]

55 minutes ago, De_Gambassi said:

From that list, the ones I see who are not going to make it are  &  and possibly  &  

Can’t see the Swiss take over 10 medals to be fair

[George_D 1,640]

On 7/15/2024 at 10:12 PM, phelps said:

Italian biggest sports website (OA) full predictions

 

https://www.oasport.it/2024/07/olimpiadi-parigi-2024-il-medagliere-di-oa-sport-tutti-i-podi-italia-ottava-francia-terza/

 

once again, imho,  and maybe even  and  have been underestimated, meanwhile  and, above all,  have been clearly overestimated

That page has some mistakes.  Some medalists don't even participate 

[Dkats 383]

5 hours ago, De_Gambassi said:

I was trying to find out what were the 'official' medals/placing target of likely top ranked countries set by sports officials. Here they are, feel free to add any.

 

 

 "Top 5 of the medals table"

 

 "Better than in Tokyo"

 

 "Better than in Barcelona" (> 22 medals)

 

 "We don't do that kind of thing, piss off mate"

 

 "Between 13 and 18 medals"

 

 "Between 15 and 25 medals"

 

 "5 gold medals at least"

 

 "55 medals, including 20 golds"

 

 "Better than in Tokyo" (> 21 medals, >7 golds)

 

 "Keep our Top 9 from Tokyo"

 

 "Top 10 of the medals table"

 

 "Better than in Tokyo" (>7 medals)

 

 "Top 5 of the medals table, between 50-70 medals"

 

 "6 gold medals at least" (athletics only)

 

 "As good as Tokyo" (≥ 13 medals)

 

 

PS : I found nothing for , ,  or  

Funny thing about  is our Olympic committee used to set targets for London 2012 and Rio 2016 of finishing top 5 but we then massively underperformed, so then in Tokyo they set no target and we performed much better. So no target this time supposedly 

 

I guess it’s about not putting to much pressure on the Athletes 🧐

[Vektor 3,326]

My prediction for  is 5 gold medals and 16 total medals.

 

5 would be below average for us but that should be our realistic target. Under the right circumstances we can win up to 8-10 gold medals, but it wouldn't be realistic from this team. We don't have "A-list stars" anymore. 

[JoshMartini007 2,864]

I don't think Canada officially has a target (they don't want to pressure the athletes), but typically, it's finish in the top 12 in total medals.

[OlympicIRL 6,308]

Sport Ireland’s high performance strategy 2021-2032) outlines a target of 5-7 medals for this Olympics.

[TeamGB 216]

Here is an updatable excel spreadsheet with the current world champions in each olympic event. I didn't include swimming at the 2024 worlds and some of the 2024 worlds in some sports may be missing. 

 

I'll try to update it each day and post the projected medal tally but if you input the daily winners the medal standings should auto update.

 

 Pre-Olympics, the standings are.

 - 37

 - 35

 - 26

 - 20

 - 15

 - 14

 - 13

 - 12

 - 12

 - 9

 

If you think this is a good idea I might give it a go for the paralympics,

Medal Table.xlsx

[EselTheDonkey 838]

Having Dehning for Silver in Men's Javelin shows that they were just looking at the SBs. At least in some events. 

[HPSL 4]

1 hour ago, TeamGB said:

Here is an updatable excel spreadsheet with the current world champions in each olympic event. I didn't include swimming at the 2024 worlds and some of the 2024 worlds in some sports may be missing. 

 

I'll try to update it each day and post the projected medal tally but if you input the daily winners the medal standings should auto update.

 

 Pre-Olympics, the standings are.

 - 37

 - 35

 - 26

 - 20

 - 15

 - 14

 - 13

 - 12

 - 12

 - 9

 

If you think this is a good idea I might give it a go for the paralympics,

Medal Table.xlsx 148.03 kB · 43 downloads

Which tournament have you considered for Tennis? 

And yesss, please do this for Paralympics too..

[phelps 8,730]

9 hours ago, George_D said:

That page has some mistakes.  Some medalists don't even participate 

well, the whole job wasn't done in a day...most of those predictions were done quite a few days (if not weeks) ago, when the final entries were not established

 

also Gracenote and all the other sites that do this job have this kind of mistakes

 

in particular, OA's Wrestling and Boxing predictions are just beyond imagination, a joke...