Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[erw 101]

https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/jeux-olympiques/tableau-des-medailles/

 

Gracenote updated their projection. Although the things are still very unrealistic, they erased some players not competing in this olympic.

 

[JoshMartini007 2,871]

8 hours ago, Siddhartha Talukdar said:

Haven't they seen the Badminton draw. They predict Akane Yamaguchi to win gold and An Se Young to win silver, but they are expected to meet each other in the quarters

I'd give them a pass on that. If they can't figure out who is attending then they definitely aren't looking at the draws.

[Benolympique 2,451]

projection medal l'equipe

https://www.lequipe.fr/stories/85

[rafalgorka 1,821]

Today's L'Equipe says 3-3-5---11 for Poland. We'll see.

 

G - W team epee (fencing), Świątek (tennis, W singles), Mirosław (sport climbing, W speed)

S - Nowicki (athletics, M hammer), M team (volleyball), M quadruple sculls (rowing)

B - Kaczmarek (athletics, W 400), W K2 500 (canoe sprint), W K4 500 (canoe sprint), Rudyk (cycling track, M sprint), Tarnowski (sailing, M iQFoil)

 

Interesting predictions overall. But not accurate as well, e.g. they forgot there are TWO bronze medals in each wrestling event...

[Vektor 3,326]

The Hungarian national sportsnewspaper is far more hopeful for than I am or L'Equipe.

 

My prediction: 5 gold and 16 total medals.

L'Equipe's prediction: 5 gold, 5 silver, 4 bronze

 

Hungarian national sportnewspaper: 8 gold, 8 silver, 9 bronze

 

 

Gold medalists:

• Hungarian men's epee team, Fencing
• Csipes / Gazsó, women's K2 500m, Canoe Sprint
• Mária Érdi, women's ILCA6, Sailing
• Bálint Kopasz, men's K1 1000m, Canoe Sprint
• Hubert Kós, men's 200m backstroke, Swimming
• Dávid Losonczi, men's 87kg GR, Wrestling
• Omar Gergely Salim, men's 58kg, Taekwondo
• Gergely Siklósi, men's epee, Fencing

 

Silver medalists:

• Dávid Betlehem, men's 10km open water, Swimming
• Csaba Böhm, men's individual, Modern Pentathlon
• Hungarian men's water polo team, Water Polo
• Michelle Gulyás, women's individual, Modern Pentathlon
• Bence Halász, men's hammer throw, Athletics
• Nádas / Tótka, men's K2 500m, Canoe Sprint
• István Péni, men's 50m rifle 3 pos, Shooting
• Hunharian women's K4 boat, Canoe Sprint

 

Bronze medalists:

• Hungarian women's sabre team, Fencing
• Tamara Csipes, women's K1 500m, Canoe Sprint
• Hungarian men's sabre team, Fencing
• Áron Szilágyi, men's sabre, Fencing
• Veronika Major, women's 25m pistol, Shooting
• Iszmail Muszukajev, men's 65kg freestyle, Wrestling
• Hungarian women's water polo team, Water Polo
• Kristóf Rasovszky, men's 10km open water, Swimming
• Krisztián Tóth, men's 90kg, Judo
• Ádám Varga, men's K1 1000m, Canoe Sprint

 

This is very close to a best case scenario for Hungary. But for some reason they aren't predicting any medals for Milák. 

[Vic Liu 1,701]

update my final prediction on  medals, only some minor changes from previous early prediction

 

1. Diving - 7 golds 12 medals - usually losing 1 gold just not sure which one yet

2. Table Tennis - 5 golds 7 medals - facing many challenges on men's single but still unlikely to drop the gold

3. Weightlifting - 5 golds 6 medals - men's 73kg Shi Zhiyong is not the favorite while other weights should be safe

4. Swimming - 4 golds 11 medals - chances from men's 100/200 breast, 200 IM, 100 free, women's 100 fly, 100 breast, men and mixed medley relay for golds

5. Shooting - 4 golds 10 medals - many chances for pistols and rifles events and some of them will get golds

6. Artistic Gymnastics - 4 golds 8 medals - almost sure men's rings and PB + one of women's BB/UB + one of men's AA/team

7. Badminton - 3 golds 6 medals - bigger chances for mixed double and women's double + maybe one of men's single/women's single/men's double

8. Boxing - 1 gold 4 medals - some random women's weights or men's 80kg may get one gold

9. Sprint Canoeing - 1 gold 3 medals - big chance for WC2 get gold and medal chances for WC1 and MC2

10. Trampoline - 1 gold 3 medals - equal chances for men‘s and women's to get gold but also high chance to make error

11. Artistic Swimming - 1 gold 2 medals - big chance for both golds but also high probability to make some error on some random routine

12. Taekwondo - 1 gold 2 medals - bigger chances for women's 57kg and also some slim chances for other weights

13. Athletics - 4 medals - medal chances for women's shot put/discus/hammer throw/race walking, men's long jump/triple jump but none of these are favorites

14. Wrestling - 3 medals - some medal chances for all participating women's weights and men's freestyle 57/125, greco 60/130

15. Sport Climbing - 2 medals - medals chances for men's and women's speed sport climbing but very unpredictable 

16. BMX freestyle - 2 medals - big medal chances for women's BMX freestyle but not favorite to win the gold

17. Breaking - 1 medal - big medal chance for women also some probability to win the gold

18. Track Cycling - 1 medal - medal chance for women's team sprint

19. Fencing - 1 medal - some chance for women's team/individual epee and very slim chance for women's individual foil

20. Rowing - 1 medal - medal chance for W4x also some gold probability

21. Rhythmic Gymnastics -1 medal - medal chance for group AATo

22. Sailing - 1 medal -  slim medal chances for men and women's windsurfing and kite but very unpredictable 

23. Basketball - 1 medal - medal chance for women's team or women's 3*3

24. Archery -1 medal - medal chance for women's team

 

Total 37 golds 93 medals (37 golds 91 medals on previous prediction)

[Josh 13,631]

8 minutes ago, Vic Liu said:

update my final prediction on  medals, only some minor changes from previous early prediction

 

4. Swimming - 4 golds 11 medals - chances from men's 100/200 breast, 200 IM, 100 free, women's 100 fly, 100 breast, men and mixed medley relay for golds

It’s hard to see how Walsh will handle the pressure, but given that she’s produced the two fastest times in history last month by a couple of tenths, don’t think Yufei has a gold medal chance here. Same for the men’s 4x100m medley relay, the gap between them and US is too much 

[Vic Liu 1,701]

9 minutes ago, Josh said:

It’s hard to see how Walsh will handle the pressure, but given that she’s produced the two fastest times in history last month by a couple of tenths, don’t think Yufei has a gold medal chance here. Same for the men’s 4x100m medley relay, the gap between them and US is too much 

Zhang Yufei, Qin Haiyang, Chen Jun'er and Wang Changhao are in the same group. They are not on their best status during Olympic trials as they didn't change their training schedule to adapt the Trials. It's reported that it was the reason why they underperform on trials. From recent interview, they are on better status right now so I still have confidence on them. Still I admit that Walsh and USA are favorites on these two events, while China is challenger. 

[cjsavory 45]

Go on then, final prediction on Team  medals:

 

1. Athletics - 10 Medals, 3 Gold (Keeley, either Kerr or MHS, either Caudery or a relay)

2. Cycling (Track) - 9M, 4G (Finucane, Women's Team Pursuit, Men's Madison, + 1 other)

3. Rowing - 7M, 4G (Women's Pair, Four, Lightweight Double Sculls, Men's Pair)

4. Swimming - 7M, 3G (Proud, Peaty, Men's 4x200m Free)

5. Canoe Kayak - 5M, 2G (Clarke, either Woods or Franklin)

6. Sailing - 4M, 1G (Wilson), Triathlon - 4M, 1G (Yee)

7. Diving - 4M, 0G

8. Equestrian (Eventing) - 3M, 2G (Individual, Team)

9. Gymnastics (Artistic) - 3M, 1G (Whitlock)

10. Modern Pentathlon - 2M, 1G (Choong), Cycling (BMX) - 2M, 1G (Reilly), Cycling (MB) - 2M, 1G (Pidcock)

11. Boxing, Equestrian (Dressage), Equestrian (Jumping), Taekwondo, Judo - 2M, 0G

12. Gymnastics (Trampolining) - 1M, 1G (Page)

13. Artistic Swimming, Cycling (Road), Golf, Hockey, Shooting, Skateboarding, Sport Climbing, Weightlifting - 1M, 0G

 

 

25 Gold

27 Silver

29 Bronze

 

81 Medals - seems too high, tbh, and I may come to regret being so bullish when we limp in at 14 golds and 57 medals overall, but if you can't summon a bit of optimism with 2 hours to go till the Opening Ceremony, when can you?!

[MagyarBabu 153]

6 hours ago, Vektor said:

The Hungarian national sportsnewspaper is far more hopeful for than I am or L'Equipe.

 

My prediction: 5 gold and 16 total medals.

L'Equipe's prediction: 5 gold, 5 silver, 4 bronze

 

Hungarian national sportnewspaper: 8 gold, 8 silver, 9 bronze

 

 

Gold medalists:

• Hungarian men's epee team, Fencing
• Csipes / Gazsó, women's K2 500m, Canoe Sprint
• Mária Érdi, women's ILCA6, Sailing
• Bálint Kopasz, men's K1 1000m, Canoe Sprint
• Hubert Kós, men's 200m backstroke, Swimming
• Dávid Losonczi, men's 87kg GR, Wrestling
• Omar Gergely Salim, men's 58kg, Taekwondo
• Gergely Siklósi, men's epee, Fencing

 

Silver medalists:

• Dávid Betlehem, men's 10km open water, Swimming
• Csaba Böhm, men's individual, Modern Pentathlon
• Hungarian men's water polo team, Water Polo
• Michelle Gulyás, women's individual, Modern Pentathlon
• Bence Halász, men's hammer throw, Athletics
• Nádas / Tótka, men's K2 500m, Canoe Sprint
• István Péni, men's 50m rifle 3 pos, Shooting
• Hunharian women's K4 boat, Canoe Sprint

 

Bronze medalists:

• Hungarian women's sabre team, Fencing
• Tamara Csipes, women's K1 500m, Canoe Sprint
• Hungarian men's sabre team, Fencing
• Áron Szilágyi, men's sabre, Fencing
• Veronika Major, women's 25m pistol, Shooting
• Iszmail Muszukajev, men's 65kg freestyle, Wrestling
• Hungarian women's water polo team, Water Polo
• Kristóf Rasovszky, men's 10km open water, Swimming
• Krisztián Tóth, men's 90kg, Judo
• Ádám Varga, men's K1 1000m, Canoe Sprint

 

This is very close to a best case scenario for Hungary. But for some reason they aren't predicting any medals for Milák. 

I respond with my humble prediction:

GOLD (3):

• CANOEING: Bálint Kopasz, men's K1 1000
• CANOEING: Nádas/ Tótka, men's k2 500m
• SWIMMING: Hubert Kós, men's 200m backstroke
   

SILVER (6):

• FENCING: Gergely Siklósi, men's Ind. epée, Fencing
• FENCING: Hungarian women's Sabre Team
• M. PENTATHLON: Csaba Bőhm, Men's Individual
• SAILING: Mária Érdi, women's Dinghy
• SWIMMING: Kristóf Milák, men's 200m butterfly
• CANOEING: Ádám Varga, men's K1 1000m

 

BRONZE (7):

• M. PENTATHLON: Michelle Gulyás, women's individual
• TRIATHLON: Csongor Lehmann, men's individual
• CANOEING: Kiss/Nagy, women's C2 500m
• WRESTLING: Dávid Losonczi, men's 87kg G-R
• WRESTLING: Iszmail Muszukajev, men's 65kg freestyle
• WATER POLO: Women's
• ATHLETICS: Bence Halász, men's Hammer Throw