Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[Totallympics 83]

Edited July 28, 2023 by Sindo

[Rafa Maciel 1,701]

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

[De_Gambassi 1,368]

 

10 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

 

1 hour ago, hckošice said:

but the "potion magique" will be "interdite" I hope ! otherwise nobody else will stand a chance here

 

It seems that Gracenote is very much into the "potion" thing.

 

[Rafa Maciel 1,701]

20 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

List of  predicted medal winners

 

Keely Hodgkinson and Jessica Gadirova tipped for gold at Paris 2024 Olympics as Team GB medal rush looms - Eurosport

[De_Gambassi 1,368]

24 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

I believe Gracenote Nielsen have released their medal projections for Paris.

 

 43 Gold  -  43 Silver   -   42 Bronze

 32 Gold  -  30 Silver   -   11 Bronze

 26 Gold  -  20 Silver   -   22 Bronze

 20 Gold  -   13 Silver   -   12 Bronze

 15 Gold   -  23 Silver   -   24 Bronze

 

Not sure if anyone can share details of the individual sport breakdown. 

 

 

Wa are defintly not going to win 32 gold medals  But, I believe we will have a three european nations battle for the third place between ,  and 

[Vektor 3,326]

That projection seems insane for France. +22 gold medals compared to Tokyo. Not even Japan had that kind of increase (they had +15) and they got a bunch of favorable new events to perform stronger. I am not sure where French sport stands at the moment, but my guess would be in the range of 15-20 gold medals.

[De_Gambassi 1,368]

13 minutes ago, Vektor said:

That projection seems insane for France. +22 gold medals compared to Tokyo. Not even Japan had that kind of increase (they had +15) and they got a bunch of favorable new events to perform stronger. I am not sure where French sport stands at the moment, but my guess would be in the range of 15-20 gold medals.

That's my estimation as well (and 50-60 medals overall)

[Jinzha 702]

I always love those Gracenote predictions, but I wish I could see the data behind the medal tables. I guess we have to rely on media outlets purchasing the data for their country.

 

I wonder why they overestimate  so much again this year (13 golds, 41 medals). There's probably some oddities in there like Sifan Hassan winning in four distances or Annemiek van Vleuten (retiring this summer) winning both road cycling golds. I haven't done a sport by sport prediction yet, but I think 25-30 medals would be a great result already. I'm not even sure if 10 gold medals is realistic.

[Noorderling29 234]

According to AD newspaper, they indeed predict Van Vleuten winning two medals.apparently their policy is to only discard athletes that have actually quit, not those that have only announced they will do so.

 

41 medals is not impossible, but very very unlikely. Everything will have to go our way to achieve that goal.

Edited July 26, 2023 by Noorderling29

[hoversaBR 839]

26 medals for Brazil... Well, I think this is only possible if our volleyball repeats the performance of 2022 (We won two medals indoor and 3 in beach volleyball at the world championships) and boxing, gymnastics and skateboarding won together for the least 8 medals. I don't know if I'm confident for that to happen. It's possible, but optimistic.

 

7 golds I found a little more realistic.