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Agger

Totallympics Superstar
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Everything posted by Agger

  1. In fact the same number as the state has senators and representatives (D.C. getting what they would have had were they a state) giving a slight edge to smaller states (compared to actual size)
  2. Kenosha good news. Wisconsin leaning strongly towards Biden
  3. He'll need to do well in Kenosha, but if it's mainly early voting, it's looking very good for Biden there.
  4. A small chance that Georgia could be in play as well as there are plenty of votes left in the Atlanta area (though I doubt that'll make it close enough)
  5. Still alive with plenty of early votes left in WI, MI and PA including major urban areas. But I think I draw the conclusion soon that I have to go to bed.
  6. But still plenty of votes to be counted in expected democratic counties
  7. Arizona and Colorado leaning blue in the senate races. Still some way to a senate majority.
  8. Biden outperforming Clinton massively in Ohio so far. Still just about 50 % counted (but still plenty of early votes), but good news giving him a good shot even when underperforming in Florida
  9. Meanwhile a broke water pipe will mean delays to vote counting in Georgia.
  10. Some interesting differences in the calls already. CNN calling Indiana, The Guardian calling Kentucky and Vermont while CBS hasn't called anything yet.
  11. Fayette County. One of the 2 that Clinton won. But some pretty good numbers for Biden there considering that only about 50 % counted.
  12. NC results will be delayed as 4 polling places will be open for 45 minutes more than planned as they opened later.
  13. The house elects the president and the senate elects the vice president. In the house each state would have 1 vote. At the moment it's 26 republican states, 23 democratic and a tied state while republicans are still favourites to keep the lead in this situation.
  14. Not much of a surprise that IHF go for the money, but that should have been Greenland's spot!
  15. I know that it's made for political reasons, but I really do like this cover:
  16. Not to mention the very clear focus on supporting Loomer.
  17. Nah. Shy Trumpers is a well known theory, not a fact. Really, the numbers from 2016 didn't really show that so much. (Trump was generally overestimated i blue states and underestimated in red) It was about late deciders. Trump won those by a landslide 4 years ago. But it doesn't look like they are as many this year. Polling generally has less undecided/3rd party voters (4-5% nationally compared to 12,5 % on election day 2016). Let us afterall look at the polling averages from 2016. They were generalle pretty correct when it came to Clinton. They underestimated Trump but didn't overestimate her (in fact she ended up higher in several states). Now Biden is generally higher in polling than Clinton, even being above 50 % in Michigan and Wisconsin. Unless people are suddenly saying that they will vote for Biden just to end up voting for Trump, there aren't much "shy Trumpers" to change the direction of the election. We have seen a few bigger misses in polling than what would be needed for Trump this year, but it would be pretty damn big. I'm not calling anything, but I'm having a hard time believing that you'll be right.
  18. Meanwhile in more local news. Yesterday my party had the first round of selections for the election in Aarhus next year. Here I was selected for 5th place meaning that I am set to be one of our main candidates for the election. And this is in what I would call our strongest field in my time where we had 9 candidates for the top 5 spots (including 2 for leading candidate)! On election night it's up to the voters who will be elected meaning that in many ways the position doesn't really matter that much, but the top 5 will be getting the most attention.
  19. No doubt that things are looking very good and even if polling is off by the same as 4 years ago, Biden would end up af 319 electoral votes. Except for Minnesota, Biden is looking better in all batleground states than Clinton did 4 years ago. That really depends on the counting. Florida will surely look more democratic and get tighter as election day votes start ticking in. Meanwhile Pennsylvania will by all means look more republican in the beginning as early voting is only proccesed on election night. Interesting. Who is she? The fact that election rules aren't clear long before the election really is one of the weirdest (and most worrying things) about US elections.
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