MHSN 3,597 Posted May 9, 2021 #251 Share Posted May 9, 2021 we still don't have the start list for the event in Colombia, but I assume we won't see lots of Oceania athletes there, and since there will be no more event for Oceania athletes, we probably can guess who is going to qualify. none of these guys is registered for the World Juniors. but still nothing is final, for example if Baru just participates at the Colombia event at 67kg he can qualify for the Olympics in that weight because of his 61kg points ! Wakeling is also leading the ranking in both 73 and 81 but he never really participated at 81kg. just registered. so I believe he will participate at 73kg. if nobody from Oceania participates in Colombia event, these guys are going to qualify 61kg: Baru 67kg: Ioane 73kg: Wakeling 81kg: McTaggart 96kg: D. Opeloge 109kg: Lydement +109kg: Liti * weightlifters in bold are 100% safe to qualify (unless their NOC reject the quota) on paper only 61kg and +109kg can qualify in top 8 (very unlikely though) in that case the next athlete from Oceania qualifies. ----------------------------------- and this is the list of all eligible Oceania weightlifters in the men's ranking with a realistic chance to qualify 61kg: 18. Baru - 3001 67kg: 41. Ioane - 2549 44. Katoatau - 2473 60. Moses - 1513 73kg: 46. Wakeling - 2234 48. Tabaroua - 2149 52. Doguape - 1934 61. Aliklik - 1728 81kg: 50. Wakeling - 2234 52. McTaggart - 2133 60. Aliklik - 1728 70. Detudamo - 1434 96kg: 33. D. Opeloge - 3010 63. Baru - 2030 (3 events) 33. Hanai - 1733 (3 events) 102kg: (no result in Olympic weights) D. Katoatau - 1718 109kg: 44. Lydement - 1869 45. Jungblut - 1808 46. Mao - 1754 (4 events but one of them is a zero) 48. Pomelile - 1640 51. Roberts-Young - 1377 (4 events but one of them is a zero) +109kg: 24. Liti - 2797 37. Pomelile - 1640 thiago_simoes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshMartini007 2,532 Posted May 9, 2021 #252 Share Posted May 9, 2021 That's the Marshall Islands flag, the flag for Nauru is MHSN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHSN 3,597 Posted May 9, 2021 #253 Share Posted May 9, 2021 and for women if Toua (49kg) finishes in top 8 which is possible. there is nobody else from Oceania eligible to qualify. there is a girl from Guam but with only 2 events so far she can't complete her 4 events. unless of those 55kg girls cut weight and just participate in Colombia event at 49kg. if nobody from Oceania participates in Colombia event, these guys are going to qualify Yamasaki is leading in two weights but her recent results are at 55kg. 49kg: Toua 55kg: Yamasaki 59kg: Wini 64kg: Elliott 76kg: Signal 87kg: Andrews-Nahu +87kg: Stowers and Hubbard let's see if NZL accepts all these quotas. Hubbard for sure but what about the rest !? -------------- 49kg: 22. Toua - 2603 55kg: 44. Yamasaki - 2015 53. Lifu - 1522 59. Sumagaysay - 1323 59kg: 49. Yamasaki - 2015 51. Wini - 2006 61. Sumagaysay - 1323 63. Lee - 1214 (3 events) 64kg: 36. Elliott - 2546 42. Cochrane - 2300 44. Signal - 2180 72. Abouke - 1265 (4 events but one of them is a zero) 71kg: (no result in Olympic weights) Bakaekiri - 1179 76kg: 30. Signal - 2180 47. Andrews-Nahu - 1643 50. Gorincu - 1584 62. Davies - 1124 (4 events but one of them is a zero) 87kg: 36. Andrews-Nahu - 1643 37. Fassina - 1626 55. Detenamo - 574 +87kg: 12. Stowers - 2225 (most probably in top 8) 17. Hubbard - 1993 18. Sipaia - 1975 19. Amoe Tarrant - 1903 thiago_simoes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rybak 3,167 Posted May 9, 2021 #254 Share Posted May 9, 2021 Thanks for the news @MHSN, I hope that Adamus will make it. What about Michalski after those changes in qualification system, is he still safe to be qualified? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHSN 3,597 Posted May 9, 2021 #255 Share Posted May 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, rybak said: Thanks for the news @MHSN, I hope that Adamus will make it. What about Michalski after those changes in qualification system, is he still safe to be qualified? Yes I think he is, he is currently 9th. in fact 8th because two Russians are above him. (and we know at least China will be removed from this weight, probably more) on paper it's still possible if bunch of guys lift extraordinary weights in Colombia and surpass him but in reality that's almost impossible. I can say he is 100% safe. rybak 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fly_like_a_don 1,077 Posted May 10, 2021 #256 Share Posted May 10, 2021 10 hours ago, MHSN said: Mao - 1754 (4 events but one of them is a zero) This is absolutely heartbreaking. Mostly he won't go to tokyo with this change. His best lift this year was 410kg and he wanted to do 425kg at Tokyo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHSN 3,597 Posted May 10, 2021 #257 Share Posted May 10, 2021 startlist for the Colombia event https://www.iwf.net/wp-content/uploads/downloads/2021/05/START_BOOK_VERIFICACIÓN_FINAL.pdf I have to say this list is NOT final, for example Iran has only one weightlifter traveling to Colombia while 4 are listed here. there is NOBODY from Oceania in the list. so those guys I listed before are qualified for Tokyo if they don't reject the quota thiago_simoes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHSN 3,597 Posted May 10, 2021 #258 Share Posted May 10, 2021 considering the Colombia event and World Juniors start list. by my count these athletes are 100% qualified. 61kg: Irawan Mishvelidze Baru (Oceania) 67kg: Ergashev Zanni Matam Munoz (Pan-America) Ioane (Oceania) 73kg: Cummings Mayora Calja Ben Hnia Wakeling (Oceania) 81kg: Pizzolato Bonnat Rejepov Maurus Suharevs Muller Mata (Europe) McTaggart (Oceania) 96kg: El-Bakh Pliesnoi Santavy Opeloge (Oceania) 109kg: Djuraev Chumak Michalski Plesnieks (at least Europe) Kitts (Pan America) Lydement (Oceania) +109kg: Talakhadze Davoudi Reis Assad Toychyyev Bidani Wilkes (Pan America) Liti (Oceania) ------------------- has to pick 4 from 61, 67, 73, 81, 96 and 109 (no chance for 109) has to pick 2 from 96, 109 and +109 (sure thing). they want 96 but not this guy currently in top 8. has to pick 2 from 61, 73, 109 (and maybe 81) may qualify in 6 weights (all except 81) 61, 73 and 96 are more likely to qualify still alive in all 7 weights! 61, 67 and 73 are almost guaranteed. 96 is more likely to get the last one has to pick 1 from 109 and +109. they have guys high in ranking in other weights too but no chance for them has to pick 1 from 61, 96, 109 and +109. (probably no chance for 61) has to pick 1 from 73, 96, 109 and +109. most likely 109 has to pick 2 and I assumed that will be 67 and 109 since both of them are medal contender thiago_simoes and dcro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MHSN 3,597 Posted May 11, 2021 #259 Share Posted May 11, 2021 Colombia event didn't make a change in the ranking for 61kg. we had two weightlifters here trying to improve their rankings (from CUB and ESP) but they both failed. from what I saw the African Championships won't make a difference and the only weightlifter in the World Juniors who can make a change is Ruiu (ITA). still it's impossible to make a list of qualified weightlifters, so many variables. but these guys are 100% safe Irawan (Top 8) Mishvelidze (Top 8) Baru (Oceania) Garcia (Pan America) Andriantsitohaina (Africa) I believe these guys will be selected as well Li Itokazu the remaining 6 quotas will be between these countries @Federer91 do you have any idea about two Bulgarian weightlifters in Tokyo ? I see 3 or maybe 4 guys eligible to qualify. Grozdev (61), Andreev (67), Hristov (109) and maybe Beytula (73) ? thiago_simoes and Laraja 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laraja 1,488 Posted May 11, 2021 #260 Share Posted May 11, 2021 10 minutes ago, MHSN said: Colombia event didn't make a change in the ranking for 61kg. we had two weightlifters here trying to improve their rankings (from CUB and ESP) but they both failed. from what I saw the African Championships won't make a difference and the only weightlifter in the World Juniors who can make a change is Ruiu (ITA). still it's impossible to make a list of qualified weightlifters, so many variables. but these guys are 100% safe Irawan (Top 8) Mishvelidze (Top 8) Baru (Oceania) Garcia (Pan America) Andriantsitohaina (Africa) I believe these guys will be selected as well Li Itokazu the remaining 6 quotas will be between these countries @Federer91 do you have any idea about two Bulgarian weightlifters in Tokyo ? I see 3 or maybe 4 guys eligible to qualify. Grozdev (61), Andreev (67), Hristov (109) and maybe Beytula (73) ? Dude, the selection is made exclusively from each NOC (using that criteria of max 4 per NOC and regarding doping violation) or there is another criteria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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