Rowing Qualification to Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympic Games

[intoronto 5,639]

If 2019 results are used, Canadian men would be first reserve in two events 

[Vic Liu 1,682]

If 2019 WCH results used, China women's eight and four will qualify. It means another 13 persons can participate. That's why I care.

Edited March 15, 2020 by Vic Liu

[Agger 1,663]

Man. Using the 2019 would be tough for us  But I wouldn't be surprised if others will end up doing the same.

 

At least I hope they'll change in case the Olympics are postponed.

[Jur 683]

Well, the spanish federation decided not to send several boats to the World Championships and have them focusing instead in the final qualification regatta......

[mrv86 3,138]

On 15/03/2020 at 09:24, Jur said:

Well, the spanish federation decided not to send several boats to the World Championships and have them focusing instead in the final qualification regatta......

 

 

Not only Spain, Mexico also did this to our LW 2x crew 

[mrv86 3,138]

After a brief message exchange with @intoronto, I did this small sim about what would happen if World Rowing uses last year World Championships results to fill the remaining spots.

 

I ranked the boats in the order in which they finished at the World Championships for each event. If World Rowing decides to take this placing to award the quotas, then:

 

EVENT

AMERICAS REGATTA

ASIA & OCEANIA REGATTA

EUROPE REGATTA

FINAL REGATTA

M 1x

MEX

USA

CUB

PUR

PAR

BER

*

KAZ

UZB

KOR

THA

IND

POL

GRE

AZE

BUL

GBR

ISR

SRB

FRA

SUI

M 2x

AUS

ARG

CAN

BLR

M 4x

NZL

UKR

RUS

EST

M 2-

GBR

USA

POL

DEN

M 4-

FRA

GER

SRB

RSA

M 8+

NZL

ROU

CAN

ITA

M LW 2x

CAN

USA

*

AUS

NZL

CHN

JPN

HKG

CZE

AUT

CHN

POR

USA

FRA

DEN

GBR

W 1x

TTO

PUR

MEX

PAR

*

*

TPE

KAZ

VIE

QAT

KOR

THA

SGP

*

*

DEN

CZE

UKR

GER

FRA

CZE

GER

SWE

GRE

BUL

KAZ

NOR

MEX

W 2x

BLR

POL

GBR

GER

W 4x

RUS

AUS

ROU

FRA

W 2-

CHI

UKR

POL

GER

W 4-

CHN

IRL

NZL

ITA

W 8+

ROU

CHN

RUS

NED

W LW 2x

CAN

USA

GUA

AUS

CHN

JPN

SUI

POL

GER

USA

RSA

POL

IRL

 

a) Crews in green will obtain a quota in their respective event.

 

b) Crews in orange are not elegible for a quota place, as according to the qualification document only the highest ranked crew may obtain a place for its NOC, the exception being if both finished in first place, as is the case for both  and  in lightweight double sculls.

 

c) Cells in blue with an asterisk indicate that the continental quota for that especific event was not filled, and therefore they're reallocated to the next boat at the Final Regatta. In the case of Asia, as  obtains a place in women's LW 2x, its host quota in women's 1x gets reallocated to the continental regatta; however only four crews from Asia competed at 2019 World Champs, two places are reallocated to the final regatta, which results in  gaining an additional spot.

 

d) Crews in lime green, namely  will have to choose between those three boats; in my opinion, since they are will qualify in women's LW 2x, the decision will come between the men crews; however, they likewise will obtain a place from a reallocated quota in men's lightweight double sculls, so if they plan to send as many boats as possible, they'll stick with their place in men's sculls. Those in lime green & italics will then benefit from the quotas USA discards.

 

e) Crews in yellow are the two first reserves in their respective events.

 

 

Finally I'd like to remind, that this is only a simulation, based on my interpretation of they rules in the scenario 2019 World Championships are used to select the boats.

Edited March 16, 2020 by mrv86

[MHSN 3,619]

well Iran didn't participate at the World Championship focusing on the continental events, and both Iranian single sculls rowers are Asian gold medalist, that will be a huge disappointment for them, as far as I know despite the situation those 2 + plus their coach put themselves in quarantine, (kind of a prison) to train full time for this.

 

I hope they consider continental championships

[Vic Liu 1,682]

1 hour ago, mrv86 said:

After a brief message exchange with @intoronto, I did this small sim about what would happen if World Rowing uses last year World Championships results to fill the remaining spots.

 

I ranked the boats in the order in which they finished at the World Championships for each event. If World Rowing decides to take this placing to award the quotas, then:

 

EVENT

AMERICAS REGATTA

ASIA & OCEANIA REGATTA

EUROPE REGATTA

FINAL REGATTA

M 1x

MEX

USA

CUB

PUR

PAR

BER

*

KAZ

UZB

KOR

THA

IND

POL

GRE

AZE

BUL

GBR

ISR

SRB

FRA

SUI

M 2x

AUS

ARG

CAN

BLR

M 4x

NZL

UKR

RUS

EST

M 2-

GBR

USA

POL

DEN

M 4-

FRA

GER

SRB

RSA

M 8+

NZL

ROU

CAN

ITA

M LW 2x

CAN

USA

*

AUS

NZL

CHN

JPN

HKG

CZE

AUT

CHN

POR

USA

FRA

DEN

GBR

W 1x

TTO

PUR

MEX

PAR

*

*

TPE

KAZ

VIE

QAT

KOR

THA

SGP

*

*

DEN

CZE

UKR

GER

FRA

CZE

GER

SWE

GRE

BUL

KAZ

NOR

MEX

W 2x

BLR

POL

GBR

GER

W 4x

RUS

AUS

ROU

FRA

W 2-

CHI

UKR

POL

GER

W 4-

CHN

IRL

NZL

ITA

W 8+

ROU

CHN

RUS

NED

W LW 2x

CAN

USA

GUA

AUS

CHN

JPN

SUI

POL

GER

USA

RSA

POL

IRL

 

a) Crews in green will obtain a quota in their respective event.

 

b) Crews in orange are not elegible for a quota place, as according to the qualification document only the highest ranked crew may obtain a place for its NOC, the exception being if both finished in first place, as is the case for both  and  in lightweight double sculls.

 

c) Cells in blue with an asterisk indicate that the continental quota for that especific event was not filled, and therefore they're reallocated to the next boat at the Final Regatta. In the case of Asia, as  obtains a place in women's LW 2x, its host quota in women's 1x gets reallocated to the continental regatta; however only four crews from Asia competed at 2019 World Champs, two places are reallocated to the final regatta, which results in  gaining an additional spot.

 

d) Crews in lime green, namely  will have to choose between those three boats; in my opinion, since they are will qualify in women's LW 2x, the decision will come between the men crews; however, they likewise will obtain a place from a reallocated quota in men's lightweight double sculls, so if they plan to send as many boats as possible, they'll stick with their place in men's sculls. Those in lime green & italics will then benefit from the quotas USA discards.

 

e) Crews in yellow are the two first reserves in their respective events.

 

 

Finally I'd like to remind, that this is only a simulation, based on my interpretation of they rules in the scenario 2019 World Championships are used to select the boats.

 

Very clear and presentable. Love your work. But still I have a question, I am not sure if this situation should be considered. Let me take CHN as an example, it's the team I am familiar with most.

 

Given CHN qualified 2+ women boats in 2019 WCH already, we don't have qualification to compete the continental quotas initially. We could only compete for final regatta. It seems the W LW 2x quota for CHN is an extra gift due to no more continental qualifiers. Maybe same situation for NZL. But I am not sure if am correct.

[mrv86 3,138]

36 minutes ago, Vic Liu said:

 

Very clear and presentable. Love your work. But still I have a question, I am not sure if this situation should be considered. Let me take CHN as an example, it's the team I am familiar with most.

 

Given CHN qualified 2+ women boats in 2019 WCH already, we don't have qualification to compete the continental quotas initially. We could only compete for final regatta. It seems the W LW 2x quota for CHN is an extra gift due to no more continental qualifiers. Maybe same situation for NZL. But I am not sure if am correct.

 

You're totally right. I need to rectify the document, as I added some countries that shouldn't qualify through continental quotas

 

Thanks a lot 

[mrv86 3,138]

Here's the new version of the qualification table, in case 2019 World Championship results are used by World Rowing

 

EVENT

"AMERICAS REGATTA"

"ASIA & OCEANIA REGATTA"

"EUROPE REGATTA"

"FINAL REGATTA"

M 1x

MEX

CUB

PUR

PAR

BER

*

KAZ

UZB

KOR

THA

IND

VAN

UAE

*

*

GRE

AZE

BUL

POL

GBR

ISR

SRB

FRA

SUI

TUR

USA

M 2x

AUS

ARG

CAN

BLR

M 4x

NZL

UKR

RUS

EST

M 2-

GBR

USA

POL

DEN

M 4-

FRA

GER

SRB

RSA

M 8+

NZL

ROU

CAN

ITA

M LW 2x

*

*

*

JPN

HKG

IND

AUT

POR

UKR

TUR

AUS

CAN

CZE

NZL

CHN

USA

FRA

W 1x

TTO

PUR

MEX

PAR

*

*

TPE

KAZ

VIE

QAT

KOR

THA

SGP

*

*

UKR

SWE

GRE

BUL

FIN

DEN

CZE

GER

FRA

GRE

BUL

KAZ

NOR

MEX

W 2x

BLR

POL

GBR

GER

W 4x

RUS

AUS

ROU

FRA

W 2-

CHI

UKR

POL

GER

W 4-

CHN

IRL

NZL

ITA

W 8+

ROU

CHN

RUS

NED

W LW 2x

GUA

*

*

JPN

KOR

THA

AUT

LAT

*

CAN

AUS

USA

SUI

RSA

CHN

POL

 

As you can see, for continental  regattas I only considered those NOCs that have either one or zero crews qualified from the Worlds. 

 

In this scenario,  would qualify both lightweight boats, thus a quota in both single sculls events was added to Asia & Oceania Quota, which means  would earn a quota in men's 1x.

 

All other blue cells with an asterisk are places that can't be filled by boats from that continent, so they're reallocated to the next best crews from the Worlds, also colored in blue.

 

Finally, both  &  would have to choose between their crews, as they finished in the exactly same; sadly for Austria, they were already qualified in women's single sculls, so they can only pick one boat from the continental quota.  In both cases, the NOC's benefiting from the exclusion of either boat are marked in lime and italics in their respective events.