How many medals do you expect from your Nation at the 2020 Olympics? (2021 "A" version)

[pdr4332 218]

19 hours ago, MagyarBabu said:

I Predicted the entire Games and assuming the lack of accuracy (caused by ignorance ) in some sports, these are my results (or my gambles ) for us:

Gold: 8
Silver: 7
Bronze: 7 
Total: 22

It is certainly an optimistic result, but not too much. I tried to balance the "surprises" with the "disappointments" (plus ONE BIG DREAM with the Gold in Men's Water Polo )

-Athletics: 1 (optimistic)
-Canoeing: 5 (2 golds; realistic/underwhelming)
-Fencing: 3 (1 gold; realistic/optimistic)
-Judo: 1 (realistic)
-Modern Pentathlon: 1(optimistic)

-Sailing: 1 (realistic)

-Shooting: 1 (realistic but so difficult to predict)
-Swimming: 6 (3 golds; realistic)
-Water Polo: 1 gold (optimistic)

-Wrestling: 2 (1 gold; realistic)


 

I would add a bronze in Women's water polo (optimistic/even upset but they would deserve it finally :D)

Who would be the gold medallist in wrestling (I have 0 clue about that sport) and where does the 3rd gold in swimming come from (1 Milak, 1 Hosszu ok)?

[OlympicsFan 858]

20 hours ago, MagyarBabu said:

I Predicted the entire Games and assuming the lack of accuracy (caused by ignorance ) in some sports, these are my results (or my gambles ) for us:

Gold: 8
Silver: 7
Bronze: 7 
Total: 22

It is certainly an optimistic result, but not too much. I tried to balance the "surprises" with the "disappointments" (plus ONE BIG DREAM with the Gold in Men's Water Polo )

-Athletics: 1 (optimistic)
-Canoeing: 5 (2 golds; realistic/underwhelming)
-Fencing: 3 (1 gold; realistic/optimistic)
-Judo: 1 (realistic)
-Modern Pentathlon: 1(optimistic)

-Sailing: 1 (realistic)

-Shooting: 1 (realistic but so difficult to predict)
-Swimming: 6 (3 golds; realistic)
-Water Polo: 1 gold (optimistic)

-Wrestling: 2 (1 gold; realistic)


 

6 medals in swimming is pretty much the best case for Hungary (+1 in open water).

[MagyarBabu 153]

38 minutes ago, dharang said:

I would add a bronze in Women's water polo (optimistic/even upset but they would deserve it finally :D)

Who would be the gold medallist in wrestling (I have 0 clue about that sport) and where does the 3rd gold in swimming come from (1 Milak, 1 Hosszu ok)?

It would be fantastic, but unlike Men, a medal from girls would be a real surprise and a result above expectation. But my whole prediction is above expectation, so why not :D ?

Gold to Lőrincz Tamás in Greco-Roman 77kg, He is the current world champion and he dominated the last European Championships in April.

Regarding swimming, I'll have to correct you : 2 Milák , 1 Hosszú, Silver for Kapás, Bronze for Hosszú in 200 I.M. and Razovszky in Open Waters
 

[Vektor 3,326]

I still think that we will win more medals compared to Rio, but less gold medals. Right now I would predict 4 gold medals for Hungary, 2 in canoe sprint, 1 in swimming and 1 in wrestling. But I expected around 5 gold medals from both London and Rio, so what do I know. 

[MagyarBabu 153]

22 minutes ago, Vektor said:

I still think that we will win more medals compared to Rio, but less gold medals. Right now I would predict 4 gold medals for Hungary, 2 in canoe sprint, 1 in swimming and 1 in wrestling. But I expected around 5 gold medals from both London and Rio, so what do I know. 

The soul of Hungarian Fencing Tradition is crying in the corner 

[Vektor 3,326]

15 minutes ago, MagyarBabu said:

The soul of Hungarian Fencing Tradition is crying in the corner 

I am just not confident in any of our fencers to go all the way. i mean, we have 5 fencers who can win gold medals (Szilágyi, Szatmári, Márton, Pusztai, Siklósi), but I just can't predict a third consecutive Hungarian gold medal in men's sabre, that feels too good to be true. Men's epée can be a mess as always, and our girls in women's sabre haven't won a single WCh medal in the past 5 years, let alone a gold. And we are obviously not the frontrunners in any of the team events. 

[EselTheDonkey 824]

Let's try this again:

 

Germany  

 

Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4

Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3

Athletics: 2-7

Diving: 0-2

Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5

Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7

Fencing: 0-1

Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7

Equestrian: 4-7

Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5

Gymnastics: 0-1

Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 

Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11

Rowing: 2-4

Rest: 0

 

Worst Case: 19

Best Case: 67

 

67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals.

[intoronto 5,641]

2 minutes ago, EselTheDonkey said:

Let's try this again:

 

Germany  

 

Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4

Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3

Athletics: 2-7

Diving: 0-2

Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5

Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7

Fencing: 0-1

Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7

Equestrian: 4-7

Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5

Gymnastics: 0-1

Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 

Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11

Rowing: 2-4

Rest: 0

 

Worst Case: 19

Best Case: 67

 

67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals.

That is an interesting formula

[DaniSRB 899]

18 minutes ago, EselTheDonkey said:

Let's try this again:

 

Germany  

 

Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4

Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3

Athletics: 2-7

Diving: 0-2

Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5

Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7

Fencing: 0-1

Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7

Equestrian: 4-7

Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5

Gymnastics: 0-1

Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 

Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11

Rowing: 2-4

Rest: 0

 

Worst Case: 19

Best Case: 67

 

67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals.

you forgot karate

but what has golf to do with table tennis/tennis? ?

[EselTheDonkey 824]

I didn't forget Karate, I counted it with Boxing etc. I just didn't mention it.  

 

Golf has only two events and basically everything is possible. So I wanted to combine it with some other sports. Tennis and Table Tennis seemed to fit, because all of them are sports involving balls but no team sports.