MHSN

don't try to talk logic with this guy  he is doing this like a job. like someone is paying him to write these things.

summary of women's quotas
 
50:
53:
57:
62:
68:
76:
 
2 for
1 for
 
first quota in wrestling for France and Latvia
 
7 of 12 seeded wrestlers qualified. that's much better than just 1 from yesterday. to me that says women cut less weight. so they participate in more events therefore their ranking is more real.

summary of women's quotas
 
50:
53:
57:
62:
68:
76:
 
2 for
1 for
 
first quota in wrestling for France and Latvia
 
7 of 12 seeded wrestlers qualified. that's much better than just 1 from yesterday. to me that says women cut less weight. so they participate in more events therefore their ranking is more real.

summary of women's quotas
 
50:
53:
57:
62:
68:
76:
 
2 for
1 for
 
first quota in wrestling for France and Latvia
 
7 of 12 seeded wrestlers qualified. that's much better than just 1 from yesterday. to me that says women cut less weight. so they participate in more events therefore their ranking is more real.

I think it's about 50-50...
 
surely, there's a new policy by our NF (recently a new board has been elected, even if the federation's president is always the same man), but also they got a bit more money from our NOC than in the past...
 
as said, they manage also Judo and Karate, and all the success we had recently in those 2 sports (also at youth level, even in wrestling we got a few global junior and cadet medals, like Freni, Piroddu and some girls) led our NOC to give them more money...
 
meanwhile, those youth medals, convinced our federation to give those guys a few opportunities to see if they can translate that early success into senior medals one day or the other...
 
and of course we're also taking advantage from those foreign wrestlers often training in Italy that nowadays sometimes also decide to switch to our NF (like Conyedo, Kakhelashvili and others to come*)...
 
*Chamizo is a different story, as he got married with Dalma Caneva when still living between Cuba and New York after he was left out of the Cuban team in 2012 and so he decided to come and wrestle for our Country, even if the Cubans tried to get him back in their team (but it was too late and he's too proud to forget the 2012 disrespect they had for him)...
 
now we have to see how things develop after this pandemic, because our "small" sports have been hit hard and there's a chance we're going to lose many youngster among those practicing those disciplines (I mean, swimming pools and gyms are still closed here in Italy and "contact" sports are only authorized at olympic level, but they're still stopped for what concerns all the amateur and youth activity, which are the craddle where to find athletes for the future of our National teams)...

In Italy, Wrrestling federation is associated with Judo and Karate (strange think!), but not witch taekwondo that is indipendent.

In 2021, this federation use to send many atlhetes in competiotions, in reverse of 2020 and 2019. Why? I don't know..Distribution of money, i think

so at the end of the day
 
3
2
1
 
what a pleasant surprise at the end, Khramiankou just beat Sharipov by a last second takedown. good challenge from the Belarusian coach. and Sharipov himself knew he lost the match even before the final confirmation. I think Tedeev (Russian FS head coach who was absent here) is going to kill him right at the airport he better takes refugee in Hungary
 
and Azerbaijan lost another "supposed to be" easy quota. this time to Germany, grandpa Magomedov gassed after 30-40 seconds and the German guy pushed him out of the mat like 100 times.
 
interesting point, only 1 of 12 seeded wrestlers qualified for Tokyo (Vangelov) that says enough about the seeding system.
 
 
the best wrestler of the day: Khramiankou

so at the end of the day
 
3
2
1
 
what a pleasant surprise at the end, Khramiankou just beat Sharipov by a last second takedown. good challenge from the Belarusian coach. and Sharipov himself knew he lost the match even before the final confirmation. I think Tedeev (Russian FS head coach who was absent here) is going to kill him right at the airport he better takes refugee in Hungary
 
and Azerbaijan lost another "supposed to be" easy quota. this time to Germany, grandpa Magomedov gassed after 30-40 seconds and the German guy pushed him out of the mat like 100 times.
 
interesting point, only 1 of 12 seeded wrestlers qualified for Tokyo (Vangelov) that says enough about the seeding system.
 
 
the best wrestler of the day: Khramiankou

anddd in a very tough battle ENKHBAT Lkhagvasuren beat JARGALSAIKHAN Munkhzorig 4-0 to win the men's East Asian quota

anddd in a very tough battle ENKHBAT Lkhagvasuren beat JARGALSAIKHAN Munkhzorig 4-0 to win the men's East Asian quota

Semifinals (qualification wrestle-off) matches are scheduled for 18:00 local time
 
let's take a look at what happened today so far
 
57kg: Vangelov vs Bazarganov //// Harutyunyan vs Yatsenko
no surprise in this weight, these 4 were expected to be here. impressed by Harutyunyan, he had a tough draw, still has some cardio issues but I think he and Bazarganov qualify at the end. it was a terrible day for Ukraine, Yatsenko is their last chance.
 
65kg: Aliyev vs Sacultan //// Gadzhiev vs Tevanyan
only a miracle can deny Aliyev an Olympic quota. but the other semifinal will be close. the only surprise here was Khinchegashvili's defeat. but was that really a surprise?! Tevanyan won the world cup in December and proved himself. before the COVID he wrestled in an event in Iran and lost to everybody and after a year he came back someone different!! still he almost lost to Skriabin but somehow turned the table in the last minute. I think he surprised Khincheghasvhili early in the match otherwise the Olympic champion could find a way to beat him. it will be hard to predict his match vs Gadzhiev who wasn't in his best shape today. Gadzhiev was down 4-0 against Bucur and I think scored the winning point only in the last 5 seconds. I think Tevanyan is slightly the favorite here.
 
74kg: Gadzhiyev vs Vasilioglo //// Kentchadze vs Umarpashaev
no surprise for the first 3 quarters but wow, what a day for Umarpashaev, he was man of the day (or at least the morning session) with his throwing techniques ! after pinning Salkazanov, he also threw the tricky Russian/Belarusian for 4 at the start of the match and managed to get a 4-4 win. on paper Kentchadze is the favorite but he has to watch out for the Bulgarian, otherwise he will fly too! I remember Khadjiev made him fly at the Worlds in Nur-Sultan so that's not impossible at all. have to mention Demirtas who was very unlucky against BLR. he did all the works but his opponent won 8-7! on the top half the last hope of the host nation Kuramagomedov was leading the entire match against Gadzhiyev but lose the match in the last 3-4 seconds. Vasilioglo isn't completely without the chance against this guy who wasn't impressive at all.
 
86kg: Magamev vs Shabanov //// Gocen vs Makoev
apparently Makoev wrestles good once in 4 years! he did nothing special after his silver medal at the worlds in 2017 but then today he woke up a different wrestler! he dominated Aminashvili who just beat my favorite Polish guy! he will face Gocen who somehow beat Abakarov (was lucky to be honest) today morning I would say Gocen but based on what I saw Makoev is the favorite. on the top half I was expecting Magamaev to face Shabanov in the SF but he was much better than what I was expecting, on other hand Shabanov was just lucky to salvage a 1-1 win against Ianulov. I think this will be 50/50
 
97kg: Conyedo vs Hushtyn //// Thiele vs Karadeniz
Thiele was the only surprise semifinalist for me , but I knew he is tough to score on. he beat Baran and he has a chance in the SF. Karadeniz beat Saritov in the most important match of the morning (for this weight) I have to say Saritov was the better wrestler must of the match but I guess at the end he gassed because of his age. Hushtyn vs Conyedo will be interesting. Hushtyn almost lost his QF match but a very late pushout kept his hopes alive. they are two different types of wrestlers. really hard to predict.
 
125kg: Magomedov vs Cudinovic //// Khramiankov vs Sharipov
really really impressed by Khramiankou. if you watched his matches, he is half the size of his opponents but beat them by pure technique! I'm not sure if that works against Russia unfortuantely! Sharipov had a very hard time against Baran, I somehow feel sorry for the Polish guy, he deserved the quota much more than Magomedov on the top half and was leading 2-0 Sharipov for a long time but couldn't defend well in the crucial moments.

checking the rules I was right, they have to attend the second weigh-in and if they fail (to appear or be overweight) they will be disqualified.
 
unless they have a note from the UWW doctor confirming their injury! in this case they will just lose the remaining matches. but I assume faking an injury and getting that note won't be that hard.
 
will be a busy weekend for the UWW doctors in the arena

Greco now. I didn't really went deep into the draw to check head to head results etc. I promised to write something tonight. I try to be as accurate as I can.
 
60kg:
Kerem Kamal is the top seed and probably the favorite in the top half. but he has a tough draw. first GEO, then MDA/BLR and later HUN/BUL/NOR in the SF. if we don't count that Romanian guy (and GEO who is a bit new). 6 of them are accomplished wrestlers ! I like Ciobanu's style, I didn't notice him in the original entry list. I pick him but that will be close between all these guys. kind of interesting BUL is trusting the old guy Angelov. he won bronze in Ukraine recently and did good. does his body survive 2 tough matches ?
the bottom half is less "crowded" I think Lizatovic is the favorite to win the 3rd quarter but whoever comes from the last part will be the favorite. I think we will see another AZE/ARM battle in the QF. Gharibyan is the current European Champion so he is pick.
My prediction:
 
67kg:
Thoresen surprised everybody at the Euro, where he won the title. I think his first round match vs Korpasi is the real final for that part of the draw. Korpasi has to cut a lot to make weight, but HUN is the host and refs can do miracles in Greco from the rest 6 guys I only see Islamov as a threat .
bottom half is much harder with so many good (but no great) wrestlers. UKR, GEO, TUR, AZE, ARM, ROU they are capable of winning the quota but I want to go with Sahakyan. he has bye in the first round which will help him in the 2nd round too.
My prediction:
 
77kg:
well, today is Azerbaijan's lucky day Suleymanov has no big opponent in front of him but then this is Greco, one caution and your opponent can collect lots of points in parterre. nothing is guaranteed. I saw Gutu at the world cup , he is talented but still something like 18. can surprise AZE for sure, then Starcevic and Wolny, I think they are all in the same level. in the 2nd quarter I really don't know any of these guys I saw the French guy at Ukraine, he probably wins that part.
we were supposed to see Vlasov vs Nemes here. but Russia had a late minute change, it's Chekhirkin now. he has a very tough draw with Eisele and Bolkvadze, if he survives, that's most probably Nemes ! can he survive 3 tough matches in a row without much time to recover? I have hard time to pick between RUS and SRB here. I think it will get into the hands of the refs. I think Cengiz will win the 3rd quarter but lose the SF.
My prediction:
 
87kg:
poor Huklek. what a reward for being the top seed! Shahinyan, then Gobadze/Basar! and then Russia! both Basar and Gobadze won the world title before. it's just hard to pick between those 3 guys but whoever wins will be underdog against Russia. sorry it's impossible to not pick Russia in this sport but Alirzaev is new to this weight and his first match against Datunishvili won't be easy at all.
and when AZE had to be in bottom half because of the seedings, all big guys fell in the top half just luck? it's just getting hard to believe it.
I know almost all European Greco wrestlers are tough and you can't underestimate anybody but Abbasov couldn't ask for an easier draw. the fact he has a bye in the first round will help him in the 2nd round too. Aleksandrov is probably his only serious obstacle.
My prediction:
 
97kg:
not a lucky draw for Nikoloz Kakh. he has Ukraine and then former European Champion from Norway. (or Belarus) all these 4 guys are good enough to beat each other. and I think in heavier weights we will have so many lucky 1-1 wins. FRA, GER and FIN are also good in the 2nd quarter. I don't know much about the Swedish guy. I really like that Finnish wrestler. I think he will meet our Georgian/Italian friend in the SF.
Azerbaijan is still in the easier half, but this time it's not that easy. Milov (BUL) has an easier first round. I think he will survive the QF as well (which is not easy at all) Lokyaev is a world junior bronze medalist from Russia. I think Milov can handle him.
My prediction:
 
130kg:
do I need to say AZE is in the easier half ? I think most matches will finish 1-1 and will be decided by "luck" I think AZE and ROU will wrestle in the SF. but anything can happen. none of these guys are "unbeatable" the Romanian guy won a very surprising gold medal in the last Euro.
Semenov was the one nobody wanted to face. unlike most of super heavy weight guys he can throw and he does it very well.
My prediction:
 

Greco now. I didn't really went deep into the draw to check head to head results etc. I promised to write something tonight. I try to be as accurate as I can.
 
60kg:
Kerem Kamal is the top seed and probably the favorite in the top half. but he has a tough draw. first GEO, then MDA/BLR and later HUN/BUL/NOR in the SF. if we don't count that Romanian guy (and GEO who is a bit new). 6 of them are accomplished wrestlers ! I like Ciobanu's style, I didn't notice him in the original entry list. I pick him but that will be close between all these guys. kind of interesting BUL is trusting the old guy Angelov. he won bronze in Ukraine recently and did good. does his body survive 2 tough matches ?
the bottom half is less "crowded" I think Lizatovic is the favorite to win the 3rd quarter but whoever comes from the last part will be the favorite. I think we will see another AZE/ARM battle in the QF. Gharibyan is the current European Champion so he is pick.
My prediction:
 
67kg:
Thoresen surprised everybody at the Euro, where he won the title. I think his first round match vs Korpasi is the real final for that part of the draw. Korpasi has to cut a lot to make weight, but HUN is the host and refs can do miracles in Greco from the rest 6 guys I only see Islamov as a threat .
bottom half is much harder with so many good (but no great) wrestlers. UKR, GEO, TUR, AZE, ARM, ROU they are capable of winning the quota but I want to go with Sahakyan. he has bye in the first round which will help him in the 2nd round too.
My prediction:
 
77kg:
well, today is Azerbaijan's lucky day Suleymanov has no big opponent in front of him but then this is Greco, one caution and your opponent can collect lots of points in parterre. nothing is guaranteed. I saw Gutu at the world cup , he is talented but still something like 18. can surprise AZE for sure, then Starcevic and Wolny, I think they are all in the same level. in the 2nd quarter I really don't know any of these guys I saw the French guy at Ukraine, he probably wins that part.
we were supposed to see Vlasov vs Nemes here. but Russia had a late minute change, it's Chekhirkin now. he has a very tough draw with Eisele and Bolkvadze, if he survives, that's most probably Nemes ! can he survive 3 tough matches in a row without much time to recover? I have hard time to pick between RUS and SRB here. I think it will get into the hands of the refs. I think Cengiz will win the 3rd quarter but lose the SF.
My prediction:
 
87kg:
poor Huklek. what a reward for being the top seed! Shahinyan, then Gobadze/Basar! and then Russia! both Basar and Gobadze won the world title before. it's just hard to pick between those 3 guys but whoever wins will be underdog against Russia. sorry it's impossible to not pick Russia in this sport but Alirzaev is new to this weight and his first match against Datunishvili won't be easy at all.
and when AZE had to be in bottom half because of the seedings, all big guys fell in the top half just luck? it's just getting hard to believe it.
I know almost all European Greco wrestlers are tough and you can't underestimate anybody but Abbasov couldn't ask for an easier draw. the fact he has a bye in the first round will help him in the 2nd round too. Aleksandrov is probably his only serious obstacle.
My prediction:
 
97kg:
not a lucky draw for Nikoloz Kakh. he has Ukraine and then former European Champion from Norway. (or Belarus) all these 4 guys are good enough to beat each other. and I think in heavier weights we will have so many lucky 1-1 wins. FRA, GER and FIN are also good in the 2nd quarter. I don't know much about the Swedish guy. I really like that Finnish wrestler. I think he will meet our Georgian/Italian friend in the SF.
Azerbaijan is still in the easier half, but this time it's not that easy. Milov (BUL) has an easier first round. I think he will survive the QF as well (which is not easy at all) Lokyaev is a world junior bronze medalist from Russia. I think Milov can handle him.
My prediction:
 
130kg:
do I need to say AZE is in the easier half ? I think most matches will finish 1-1 and will be decided by "luck" I think AZE and ROU will wrestle in the SF. but anything can happen. none of these guys are "unbeatable" the Romanian guy won a very surprising gold medal in the last Euro.
Semenov was the one nobody wanted to face. unlike most of super heavy weight guys he can throw and he does it very well.
My prediction:
 

I will write something detailed about it later tonight. a bit busy right now
 
I wanted to leave Greco for tomorrow night but I do that tonight too

this is like any other normal wrestling competition. two finalists qualify
 
we will have the repechage to determine the bronze medalists which worth nothing! (unless someone fails a doping test later)
 
kind of funny that we will have the repechage and the finals on the next day, and these wrestlers have to cut weight AGAIN to have another round of weight-in to wrestle for what ?!
 
  
the Technical conference (including the draw) is scheduled for 5-6 pm local time. so still early, in 3 hours or so

we will have full brackets in few hours for all 18 weights, but before that UWW apparently is showing top 2 seed in each weight in its website. these 2 guys will be seeded and won't meet each other before the final. (for some stupid reasons they removed the 2020 ranking from their website, 2021 ranking is useless)
 
these guys most probably will get a bye in the first round unless there are exactly 8 or 16 wrestlers in their bracket. in case of less than 7 wrestlers it will be two groups of 3 or 4 wrestlers
 
57: Vangelov Yatsenko
65: Killicsallayan Skriabin
74: Kuramagomedov Demirtas
86: Dudarov Makoev
97: Conyedo Saritov
125: Magomedov Baran
----
60: Kamal Gharibyan
67: Thoresen Sahakyan
77: Suleymanov Galkinas
87: Huklek Abbasov
97: Kakhelashvili Omarov
130: Alexuc-C. Kuchmii
----
50: Demirhan Selishka
53: Kaladzinskaya Blaszka
57: Bullen Hrushyna
62: Cherdivara Omelchenko
68: Larroque Velieva
76: Marzaliuk Adar

@MHSN @Federer91 Zbigniew Baranowski (freestyle -86kg) will not compete in those qualfications, so you can change your predictions.

this is just a mistake, he can't qualify in another weight per rules

oh man, what a drama. I'm happy for Portugal but that was a VERY cruel way for Croatia to lose the quota. France had 3 goals lead in last 4-5 minutes ...

I think Canada qualified only 1 player for the singles competition. the other guy in mixed doubles doesn't count.

Historic quota for us. Bhavani Devi is India’s first ever Olympic fencer. 
 
Special shout out to @Prashanth for believing in Bhavani Devi and tracking her for past 4 years. 

Day #2
 
Men's Individual Kata
Gold Medal Match: Damian Hugo Quintero Capdevila vs Alì Sofuoglu
Bronze Medal Match #1: Ariel Torres Gutierrez vs Mason Stowell
Bronze Medal Match #2: Roman Heydarov vs Enes Ozdemir

Women's Team Kata
Gold Medal Match: Spain vs Slovakia
Bronze Medal Match #1: Egypt vs Turkey "A"
Bronze Medal Match #2: Turkey "B" vs Turkey "C"

Women's Individual Kumite, -61kg
Gold Medal Match: Rozita Alipour vs Jovana Prekovic
Bronze Medal Match #1: Merve Coban vs Anita Serogina
Bronze Medal Match #2: Shima Alesaadi vs Ingrida Suchankova

Women's Individual Kumite, -68kg
Gold Medal Match: Silvia Semeraro vs Feryal Abdelaziz
Bronze Medal Match #1: Marina Rakovic vs Alisa Buchinger
Bronze Medal Match #2: Irina Zaretska vs Nesrine Bougrine

Women's Individual Kumite, +68kg
Gold Medal Match: Meltem Hocaoglu Akyol vs Sofya Berultseva
Bronze Medal Match #1: Johanna Kneer vs Guadalupe Quintal Catzin
Bronze Medal Match #2: Clio Ferracuti vs Vanesca Nortan

Men's Individual Kumite, -75kg
Gold Medal Match: Luigi Busà vs Dastonbek Otabolaev
Bronze Medal Match #1: Elhami Shabani vs Noah Bitsch
Bronze Medal Match #2: Erman Eltemur vs Alì Asiabari

Men's Individual Kumite, -84kg
Gold Medal Match: Zabiollah Poorshab vs Daniyar Yuldashev
Bronze Medal Match #1: Ivan Kvesic vs Michele Martina
Bronze Medal Match #2: Ugur Aktas vs Ahmed Ramadan Mohamed

Men's Individual Kumite, +84kg
Gold Medal Match: Sajad Ganjzadeh vs Ryzvan Talibov
Bronze Medal Match #1: Gogita Arkania vs Tarek Mahmoud Taha
Bronze Medal Match #2: Herolind Nishevci vs Asiman Gurbanli

by taking a quick look at the entries , I think these guys are my candidates to qualify. top 2 and 2 next best guys. this is only in freestyle. it was just hard for me to pick favorites in Greco. will be a very close competition, I will write more when we have the brackets.
 
57kg: --
65kg: --
74kg: --
86kg: --
97kg: --
125kg: --
 
in Greco this is just the list of favorite wrestlers in no order, I tried to make the list as short as possible. there are some other good guys in the entry list with relatively good chance to qualify.
 
60kg:
67kg:
77kg:
87kg:
97kg:
130kg:
 
ps: my knowledge is very limited about women's wrestling

At the Olympics there is no draw, it's all set according to the FIE ranking at that time: 1st vs 8th (or the winner of 8th vs 9th if there are 9 teams), 4th vs 5th, 3rd vs 6th, 2nd vs 7th.