How many medals do you expect from your Nation at the 2020 Olympics? (2021 "A" version)

[heywoodu 15,141]

4 minutes ago, Vic Liu said:

It's quite consistent to my prediction. Mine is 89 medals and 36 golds. It predicts 85 medals and 38 golds. I really wanna know the breakdown of the table.

One used to be able to click on the country and see a list of all medals, not anymore

 

Oh well, the most fun about the VMT is usually the people discussing all full of fire and sometimes even anger or frustration, whereas it's really nothing more than something to fill the time instead of a serious prediction for events  (that's how Gracenote itself sees it though, of course, but surely we know better  )

[Griff88 1,952]

A weak country with 270 million population can't even find itself in the table 

[Agger 1,663]

15 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

One used to be able to click on the country and see a list of all medals, not anymore

 

Oh well, the most fun about the VMT is usually the people discussing all full of fire and sometimes even anger or frustration, whereas it's really nothing more than something to fill the time instead of a serious prediction for events  (that's how Gracenote itself sees it though, of course, but surely we know better  )

Yeah. You need to pay for the breakdowns now unless media cares about it. Swedish media has reported the medals set for Sweden
https://www.svt.se/sport/tokyo-2020/statistiken-visar-sverige-gor-sitt-basta-os-i-modern-tid

 

But yeah, it's not really anything but a small, fun thing to spend 10 minutes on at the 100-days mark

[hckošice 14,831]

  1-5-10

 

I am more interseted by the 2022 WOG predictions. 

 

  monobob gold ahead of USA silver & Bronze

 

Norway winning 25 golds

Switzerland winning 9 golds

and I find it funny how they insist that all 3 medals of Poland will be only silver

[Benolympique 2,398]

PRONOSCTICS FRENCH MEDIA

OR 9  -  SILVER 13   -  BRONZE 19

TOTAL 41

Médaille	Sport	Athlète	Discipline
Or	Athlétisme	Kevin Mayer	Décathlon
Or	Cyclisme	Benjamin Thomas	Omnium
Or	Escrime	Enzo Lefort	Fleuret
Or	Escrime	-	Epée par équipes H
Or	Karaté	Steven Da Costa	-67kg
Or	Natation eau libre	Marc-Antoine Olivier	10km H
Or	Pentathlon moderne	Valentin Belaud	Individuel H
Or	Triathlon	-	Epreuves par équipes
Or	VTT	Pauline Ferrand-Prévot	Cross-Country F
Argent	Basketball 3x3	-	Tournoi F
Argent	BMX	Sylvain André	Individuel H
Argent	Cyclisme Route	Julian Alaphilippe	Course en ligne H
Argent	Escrime	-	Sabre par équipes F
Argent	Judo	Romane Dicko	+78kg F
Argent	Judo	Amandine Buchard Nordmeyer	52kg F
Argent	Judo	Clarisse Agbegnenou	63kg F
Argent	Judo	Madeleine Malonga	78kg F
Argent	Judo	-	Epreuves par équipes Mixte
Argent	Natation	-	Relais 4x100m F
Argent	Pentathlon moderne	Valentin Prades	Individuel H
Argent	Voile	Pierre Le Coq	RS:X
Argent	VTT	Jordan Sarrou	Cross-Country H
Bronze	Athlétisme	Alexandra Tavernier	Marteau F
Bronze	Athlétisme	Yohann Diniz	50km marche
Bronze	Aviron	-	Deux sans barreur
Bronze	Basket	-	Tournoi H
Bronze	Boxe	Billal Bennama	Poids mouches
Bronze	Boxe	Sofiane Oumiha	Poids légers
Bronze	Canoé-Kayak	Maxime Beaumont	K1 200m
Bronze	Cyclisme Piste	-	Vitesse par équipes H
Bronze	Cyclisme Piste	-	Madison F
Bronze	Equitation	-	Concours complet par équipes
Bronze	Escrime	Yannick Borel	Epée H
Bronze	Escrime	-	Fleuret par équipes H
Bronze	Handball	-	Tournoi F
Bronze	Haltérophilie	Dora Tchakounte	59kg
Bronze	Judo	Sarah-Leonie Cysique	57kg
Bronze	Judo	Margaux Pinot	70kg
Bronze	Tir	Clément Bessaguet	Pistolet 25m
Bronze	Triathlon	Vincent Luis	Individuel H
Bronze	Voile	Charline Picon	RS:X

[OlympicsFan 858]

13 hours ago, tjunior said:

14-22 medals

 

Athletics  0-1 Men's Hammer Throw (Halász Bence)

Basketball 0-1 ( If qualified, 3*3 Women's Team)

Canoe Sprint 5-6 (3-4 Women's kayak, 1 women's canoe, 1 men's kayak)

Fencing 1-2 ( Men's and Women's Sabre Team, Szilagyi, Szatmari, Pusztai and Marton Individual Sabre, Siklósi Individual Epée )

Judo 0-1 ( Tóth Krisztián or Karakas Hedvig)

Modern Pentathlon 0-1

Sailing 0-1 (Men's Finn)

Shooting 1 (Peni, Sidi, Major and if qualified Dénes, 10m rifle team)

Swimming 5-6 ( Milak 100/200 fly 100/200/400 free, Hosszú(?) 200/400 medley, Kapás 200 fly, Rasovszky 10km, maybe Verrasztő 400 medley, Kenderesi 200 fly and maybe maybe Szabó 100 fly)

Waterpolo 1

Wrestling 1 (Lőrinc Tamás,  Lőrinc Viktor and Muszukaev)

 

 

I think 5-6 medals in swimming is only realistic if Hosszu gets back close to her best (sub 4:32 and sub 2:08). Other athletes should combine for 2-4 medals. 2 medals for Milak and then maybe 1-2 medals for Kesely, Kenderesi and maybe Rasovszky.

[Oldira 88]

I expect 3-4:

 

Rowing:           1-2

Gymnastics    0-1

Boxing             0-2

Taekwando     0-1

Sailing              0-1

 

Then again I expected 3-4 in Boxing alone in Rio and we got none.

 

[OlympicsFan 858]

10 hours ago, Braulio said:

 

In the Women's 200m Breaststroke add South Africa's Tatjana Schoenmaker. She just posted a 2:20 at their Olympic Trials and is a current world championship medalist too. She could well win the gold there and a grab another medal in the 100m. 

 

 

She could definitely medal in both, but obviously she doesn’t belong on that list. There are multiple other woman who could swim between 2:20 and 2:21. I guess you didn’t really get what my list was about.

[OlympicsFan 858]

42 minutes ago, Benolympique said:

PRONOSCTICS FRENCH MEDIA

OR 9  -  SILVER 13   -  BRONZE 19

TOTAL 41

Médaille	Sport	Athlète	Discipline
Or	Athlétisme	Kevin Mayer	Décathlon
Or	Cyclisme	Benjamin Thomas	Omnium
Or	Escrime	Enzo Lefort	Fleuret
Or	Escrime	-	Epée par équipes H
Or	Karaté	Steven Da Costa	-67kg
Or	Natation eau libre	Marc-Antoine Olivier	10km H
Or	Pentathlon moderne	Valentin Belaud	Individuel H
Or	Triathlon	-	Epreuves par équipes
Or	VTT	Pauline Ferrand-Prévot	Cross-Country F
Argent	Basketball 3x3	-	Tournoi F
Argent	BMX	Sylvain André	Individuel H
Argent	Cyclisme Route	Julian Alaphilippe	Course en ligne H
Argent	Escrime	-	Sabre par équipes F
Argent	Judo	Romane Dicko	+78kg F
Argent	Judo	Amandine Buchard Nordmeyer	52kg F
Argent	Judo	Clarisse Agbegnenou	63kg F
Argent	Judo	Madeleine Malonga	78kg F
Argent	Judo	-	Epreuves par équipes Mixte
Argent	Natation	-	Relais 4x100m F
Argent	Pentathlon moderne	Valentin Prades	Individuel H
Argent	Voile	Pierre Le Coq	RS:X
Argent	VTT	Jordan Sarrou	Cross-Country H
Bronze	Athlétisme	Alexandra Tavernier	Marteau F
Bronze	Athlétisme	Yohann Diniz	50km marche
Bronze	Aviron	-	Deux sans barreur
Bronze	Basket	-	Tournoi H
Bronze	Boxe	Billal Bennama	Poids mouches
Bronze	Boxe	Sofiane Oumiha	Poids légers
Bronze	Canoé-Kayak	Maxime Beaumont	K1 200m
Bronze	Cyclisme Piste	-	Vitesse par équipes H
Bronze	Cyclisme Piste	-	Madison F
Bronze	Equitation	-	Concours complet par équipes
Bronze	Escrime	Yannick Borel	Epée H
Bronze	Escrime	-	Fleuret par équipes H
Bronze	Handball	-	Tournoi F
Bronze	Haltérophilie	Dora Tchakounte	59kg
Bronze	Judo	Sarah-Leonie Cysique	57kg
Bronze	Judo	Margaux Pinot	70kg
Bronze	Tir	Clément Bessaguet	Pistolet 25m
Bronze	Triathlon	Vincent Luis	Individuel H
Bronze	Voile	Charline Picon	RS:X

Kind of sad that even I could make better predictions than French media.

 

Your men’s 400 free relay 99.999 % won’t win silver. Olivier winning gold would also be a shock, given that both Wellbrock and Paltrinieri have far superior speed. Manaudou should win silver and maybe you will win a medal in men’s 800 free.
 

You can justify predicting gold for Mayer, but I wouldn’t feel comfortable about it. Predicting medals in women’s hammer throw and for grandpa Diniz also seems questionable. I would rather predict a medal in men’s pole vault and/or men’s 110 m hurdles.

[Vektor 3,326]

29 minutes ago, OlympicsFan said:

I think 5-6 medals in swimming is only realistic if Hosszu gets back close to her best (sub 4:32 and sub 2:08). Other athletes should combine for 2-4 medals. 2 medals for Milak and then maybe 1-2 medals for Kesely, Kenderesi and maybe Rasovszky.

Personally I am very pessimistic about Hosszú. Maybe she will pull through and win a medal like how László Cseh did at multiple Games where he wasn't at his best, but I have a bad feeling about where this is going for Hosszú. It's like Dániel Gyurta before Rio, except it might be an even worse situtation. Maybe the European Championships will paint a different picture, we will see. I also have a bad feeling about Késely, she lost a lot of her motivation when the Games got delayed and it still shows.